Saturday, February 14, 2026

SANDY INGRAM: Iraq Government Delay: What the Political Stalemate Means for the Dinar, Development Projects & Investors

 Sandy Ingram recently addressed growing concerns over Iraq’s political gridlock, pointing out that months after elections, Iraq still has no fully formed government. For many observers, this raises a serious question:

What is Iraq doing — and what does this mean for its economic future?

Let’s break it down strategically, economically, and realistically.


Three Months After Elections — Still No Government

Iraq has historically faced prolonged government formation negotiations following elections. Coalition politics, factional influence, and regional pressures often lead to extended stalemates.

As Sandy points out, when conditions are not aligned in Iraq’s favor, the country tends to:

  • Stall negotiations

  • Pause forward movement

  • Avoid committing to major structural changes

While frustrating for investors, this pattern is not new in Iraq’s political landscape.


Billions of Dollars at Stake

Iraq reportedly holds over $100 billion in reserves — funds critical to stabilizing the economy and supporting its currency.

The Central Bank of Iraq has repeatedly emphasized strong foreign currency reserves, which serve as a buffer against economic shocks.

Protecting these reserves requires:

  • Political stability

  • Controlled spending

  • International cooperation

  • Confidence from global markets

Without a seated government, long-term fiscal planning becomes more complicated.


The Development Road Project: A Strategic Game-Changer

One of the most ambitious initiatives underway is Iraq’s Development Road Project — a massive infrastructure plan designed to connect the Persian Gulf to Europe through Iraq via railways, highways, and logistics hubs.

This project aims to:

  • Transform Iraq into a global trade corridor

  • Compete with alternative regional trade routes

  • Diversify revenue beyond oil

  • Attract foreign direct investment

Major regional players such as Turkey and United Arab Emirates are closely watching infrastructure expansions across the Middle East.

For Iraq to fully capitalize on this opportunity, political clarity is essential.


The Multi-Billion Dollar Tourism Opportunity

Iraq also holds untapped tourism potential, including:

  • Religious tourism

  • Cultural heritage tourism

  • Archaeological sites

  • Regional travel markets

Cities like Najaf and Karbala already attract millions of religious visitors annually.

Stability, security, and diplomatic goodwill are crucial for expanding tourism into a multi-billion dollar industry.

Remaining in good standing with regional and global partners strengthens that opportunity.


External Pressure and Quiet Influence

Sandy suggests Iraq may be facing silent pressure or subtle threats behind the scenes. While specifics are not publicly confirmed, Iraq’s geopolitical position places it between major global and regional powers.

Iraq must balance relationships with:

  • Western nations

  • Gulf states

  • Regional neighbors

  • Eastern economic powers

Navigating these relationships while forming a government requires careful strategy.


Featured Snippet: Why Doesn’t Iraq Have a Government Yet?

Why does Iraq’s government formation take so long?
Iraq’s coalition-based political system often results in extended negotiations between factions before a governing majority is formed.

Does political delay affect the dinar?
Political uncertainty can slow economic reform and delay major policy decisions, which may impact currency confidence.

What is at stake for Iraq?
Over $100 billion in reserves, large infrastructure projects, and a growing tourism sector depend on political stability.


Why Iraq “Stalls” During Uncertainty

Historically, Iraq slows forward momentum during political uncertainty to:

  • Prevent rushed decisions

  • Avoid irreversible commitments

  • Maintain internal balance

  • Protect financial reserves

While this can appear as dysfunction, it is often a defensive strategy.

However, prolonged delays can:

  • Reduce investor confidence

  • Slow infrastructure rollout

  • Delay foreign partnerships

  • Postpone monetary reforms


What This Means for Iraqi Dinar Watchers

Political stability is a key ingredient for:

  • Currency reform

  • Exchange rate policy adjustments

  • International banking integration

  • Large-scale investment flows

Without a formal government, sweeping economic reforms typically remain on hold.

This does not mean progress stops completely — but major announcements often require political consensus.


Q&A Section

Q1: Can Iraq function without a formed government?

Yes, but only at a limited administrative level. Major reforms and new legislation typically require a seated government.

Q2: Does political delay mean economic collapse?

No. Iraq still maintains oil revenue and foreign reserves. However, uncertainty can slow reform momentum.

Q3: Could the Development Road Project continue without a full government?

Preliminary work and planning can continue, but full-scale execution benefits from political stability and budget approvals.

Q4: Is Iraq aware of what’s at stake?

Iraq’s leadership understands the importance of reserves, international reputation, tourism potential, and infrastructure strategy.


Final Thoughts

Iraq’s political stall is not unusual — but the stakes are higher than ever.

With:

  • Over $100 billion in reserves

  • A strategic Development Road Project

  • Growing regional tourism potential

  • Increased global attention

The country stands at a pivotal crossroads.

Political formation may take time, but Iraq understands the value of what it has built — and what it risks losing.

For dinar watchers and global observers alike, patience and attention to official developments remain essential.


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Sandy Ingram  

This morning I woke up, there was still no government...Iraq understands they have over $100 million [billion?] dollars to protect. 

 We believe Iraq understands the progression and the progress they have worked so hard for and the plans of the development road project and other major projects happening in the Middle East...Iraq understands there is a multi-billion dollar tourism industry with its name on it and the way to take advantage of this is to remain in good favor with all nations...We believe Iraqis understand.  We also believe they are being pressured and quietly, silently, threatened.  We believe Iraq understands what's at stake.

This morning we all wake up and we wonder what the hell is Iraq doing?  I'm here to say to you, Iraq is doing what they always do when things are not right for Iraq.  They stall.  They shut down.  They do not move forward.  It has been three months since the election and there is still no government.

FRANK26…..VICTORY FOR SUDANI & US

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