NADER FROM MID EAST: They been talking about the exchange rate every day ‪@DINARREVALUATION‬

 

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IRAQ’S MALIKI STANDOFF: THREE EXITS, NO EASY WAY OUT

IRAQ’S MALIKI STANDOFF: THREE EXITS, NO EASY WAY OUT 

Iraq’s political deadlock now turns on a single question: does Nouri al-Maliki come back? 

His bid to return to power has pushed the government formation crisis into a more volatile phase, deepening divisions inside the Shiite Coordination Framework and drawing an unusually blunt warning from Washington.  

For the second time, parliament failed to convene a session to elect a president and designate a prime minister. This time, the collapse was driven not by Kurdish infighting, but by disagreement over Maliki’s candidacy, according to sources inside the Coordination Framework, the Shiite coalition entitled to nominate the next government. 

Nearly two weeks after President Donald Trump warned that Maliki’s return would have consequences for U.S.-Iraq relations, Shiite leaders remain deadlocked. A Framework official told Alhurra that three scenarios are now under discussion.  

The first is persuading Maliki to withdraw in favor of a consensus figure acceptable domestically and internationally. The name most frequently mentioned is Hamid al-Shatri, Iraq’s intelligence chief, seen by several factions as a low-profile security figure with broad backing. This option hinges on Maliki stepping aside, which he has so far refused.  

The second scenario is pressing ahead with Maliki’s nomination and forcing a parliamentary vote. That path faces stiff resistance. Sunni blocs and key Shiite factions, including Ammar al-Hakim’s Hikma Movement, have declared their opposition, making it difficult to secure the quorum and votes required.  

A third option, now being discussed more openly, would keep Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s caretaker government in place for up to a year with expanded authorities, effectively postponing resolution while negotiations continue.  

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In Washington, the standoff is seen as more than an internal Iraqi dispute. A former U.S. ambassador to Iraq told Alhurra that Trump’s opposition reflects a broader judgment about Iraq’s direction. “This isn’t about personalities,” he said. “There is a view in Washington that returning to that model of governance would deepen instability and complicate Iraq’s external relationships.”  

Inside the Coordination Framework, intermediaries have tested whether the U.S. position is negotiable. According to a senior member, the response was clear: Trump’s opposition remains firm, and proceeding with Maliki would carry diplomatic and economic consequences.  

Maliki has rejected what he calls “blatant American interference” in Iraq’s sovereignty. But his stance has sharpened internal rifts, where resistance to his candidacy existed even before Trump’s intervention.  

For now, the Framework is stuck between escalation and retreat – pushing forward at the risk of confrontation with Washington or backing down at the cost of internal unity. With no consensus in sight, Iraq’s paralysis is deepening, and the question is no longer just who governs next, but how long the system can absorb the strain.  

MarkZ: CBI Rejects Dinar Devaluation Rumors as Iraq Political Pressure Builds

MarkZ: CBI Rejects Dinar Devaluation Rumors as Political Pressure Mounts in Iraq

A major headline is circulating across Iraq’s financial landscape:

“Iraqi dinar speculation misplaced: CBI boss”

According to commentary shared by MarkZ via PDK, the message from Iraq’s central bank leadership is clear:

The Iraqi dinar will not be reduced in value.

Let’s break down what was said — and why it matters.

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CBI Governor: No Devaluation Planned

The article references statements from Ali Al-Alaq, Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq.

Key points highlighted:

• The dinar’s value will not be lowered.

• Speculation about reducing the currency’s value is misplaced.

• Iraq has sufficient gold and foreign currency reserves.

• The CBI intends to continue supporting currency stability.

MarkZ emphasized that Iraq reportedly has enough reserves to back 140% of its currency supply, reinforcing the bank’s ability to maintain strength without devaluation.

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Strong Reserves & Gold Backing

One of the most significant takeaways is the emphasis on:

• Gold reserves

• Foreign currency reserves

• Monetary stability

Countries facing severe reserve shortages often devalue their currency. In this case, the CBI asserts the opposite — that Iraq is financially positioned to defend its exchange rate.

This reinforces earlier official messaging that stability remains the central bank’s priority.

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Historical Comparison: Kuwait & China

MarkZ pointed out that before major currency adjustments in:

• Kuwait

• China

Similar rumors reportedly circulated suggesting currency weakness before upward adjustments occurred.

While historical comparisons are often debated, the broader point is that rumor cycles frequently precede major monetary moves.

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However, each country’s situation is unique and must be analyzed independently.

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Political Developments: Pressure Builds in Parliament

Alongside monetary stability headlines, Iraq’s political scene remains tense.

A major headline reads:

“State of Law threatens to dissolve parliament over stalled Presidential vote.”

The State of Law Coalition, historically associated with Nouri al-Maliki, has reportedly threatened action if constitutional deadlines continue to be missed.

MarkZ commented:

• Constitutional deadlines have passed.

• There may be efforts to consolidate power.

• Pressure could be applied to the Kurdistan region.

• This may pave the way for Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani to solidify his position as Prime Minister.

According to his opinion, “things are moving.”

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Why Political Deadlines Matter

Missed constitutional deadlines create:

• Legal uncertainty

• Government formation delays

• Budget approval slowdowns

• International credibility concerns

In Iraq’s system, electing a president is a prerequisite for formally designating a prime minister and stabilizing governance.

Political resolution often precedes major economic implementation.

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Q&A Section 

❓ Is Iraq lowering the value of the dinar?

No. The Central Bank of Iraq has stated that speculation about reducing the dinar’s value is misplaced.

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❓ Does Iraq have enough reserves to defend its currency?

According to Governor Ali Al-Alaq, Iraq holds strong gold and foreign currency reserves sufficient to maintain exchange rate stability.

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❓ What is happening with Iraq’s parliament?

Parliament has missed key constitutional deadlines related to electing a president, leading to threats of dissolution and increased political pressure.

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❓ Could political pressure accelerate economic decisions?

Political consolidation can remove uncertainty, which may allow economic and monetary reforms to move forward more smoothly.

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Featured Snippet Summary 

• CBI Governor Ali Al-Alaq says speculation about dinar devaluation is misplaced.

• Iraq reportedly holds strong gold and foreign currency reserves.

• The State of Law Coalition threatens to dissolve parliament over missed deadlines.

• Political consolidation efforts may accelerate government formation.

• Currency stability remains official policy.

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What to Watch Next

Key indicators in the coming days:

• Emergency parliamentary sessions

• Statements from the Central Bank of Iraq

• Confirmation of constitutional actions

• Developments regarding Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ Al Sudani

• Official exchange rate adjustments (if any)

Monetary stability plus political resolution often go hand in hand.

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Final Analysis

The Central Bank’s position is firm: no devaluation.

Political actors, meanwhile, are applying pressure to break the deadlock.

When politics and monetary policy align, momentum can build quickly.

For now:

• The dinar remains officially stable.

• Reserves are reportedly strong.

• Parliament faces mounting pressure.

The situation is dynamic — and closely watched.

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 MarkZ  

 [via PDK]   Article:  “Iraqi dinar speculation misplaced: CBI boss”  Alaq is saying to stop speculating because we are not going to reduce the value of the dinar. 

They are going to continue to hold it strong. They have the reserves and they have the gold …they do not need to lower the value. They can back 140% of their currency. Remember – these were the kind of rumors in Kuwait just before they revalued. And the same rumors in China before they revalued.

  Comment:  Iraq headline: ”State of Law threatens to dissolve parliament over stalled Presidential vote”

  MarkZ:  Yup. The move is now to consolidate and force because they have passed constitutional deadlines. They may force the issue and force the Kurdistan region and this will pretty much sign Sudani up for Prime Minister…imo…Things are moving.