LATEST FROM KAPERONI, 18 AUGUST

 Kaperoni  

Community Comment: "Seems like there's some good news & some so not good. I have the feeling we aren't close, by a long shot."  

I pointed out a few months ago that Iraq was ending the currency auction at the end of  this year.  Nothing is going to happen with the dinar until after that and they begin to diversify their economy.

Kaperoni 

  The Iraqi dinar is a currency of a country it's not a lottery ticket. There is no magical RV...Owning dinar is risky, which may strengthen over time, but it's a long-term investment.

 Article:   "Iraq speeds up steps to join WTO"  Those that follow me know that we posted information that stated the Central Bank of Iraq planned to end the currency auctions at the end of this year, joining the WTO sometime next year would also benefit them.

Kaperoni 

 Seems to be a lot of hype lately that people are getting excited for some Dinar RV.  Not how currencies work. Iraq has a lot of work to do...If and when the dinar goes up in value it will be based on the success and growth of Iraq's economy. 

Kaperoni 

  Community Comment: "Does this have a negative, positive or neutral effect on our investment?"

  Article: "Mazhar Muhammad Salih: Our cash reserves are the highest and there are no fears of the dollar rising"  This is good news.

--

Kaperoni 

   Question: "So the RV tomorrow 3:00? Lol"  You need to change your thinking. There is no RV, never will be one. The only way that dinar can go up in value is 'gradually' over time based on the success and growth of Iraq's own economy.

Kaperoni  

 Article:  "Establishment of the Commercial Arbitration Center in Iraq"  Article quote: "the importance of commercial communication with various countries around the world and organizing relations in a way that achieves mutual benefit for all parties, especially as Iraq is on the verge of rejoining the World Trade Organization (WTO). He explained

that this project comes as one of the achievements within the file of Iraq's accession to the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC)."  WTO requirement. Establishment of the Commercial Arbitration Center in Iraq

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Article quote: "new pipeline project at an amount estimated at approximately 6.5 billion Iraqi  dinars ($4.9 billion)" Community Comment "The mathematical 'mistake' basically equals 1.32. This seems very very coincidental to  the deletion of the zeros."  Referencing the exchange rate in billions rather than trillions is an easy mistake to make. It happens  all the time and everyone thinks there's something to it.  Wrong.  

 Question: "What happens now that the auctions are soon to be over?

 What does this mean for the  Dinar holders out there Kap?"  It means monetary policy is changing after 20 years to reflect the economic changes in Iraq. We'll  have to wait and see what happens.    

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Floating the currency is the best option but only once they have created a diverse economy that is not dependent solely on oil.

...New currencies coming out in Iraq. Not true, the Iraqi dinar is the currency of Iraq. As far as any new smaller denominations, they will be introduced only as needed if and when the value increases and warrants so. There is no significant RV!

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...The dinar to float at well over a dollar. Unlikely, the dinar when it floats will be whatever the current exchange rate is and could rise gradually accordingly.

  Community comment: "Today the cbi says there are no new printing of bills"  

That is correct.  The Central Bank does not randomly print currency unless it's to replace damaged or worn out notes. There is no need for a new currency unless it is warranted.  Moving to digital will eventually reduce physical notes.

 Question: ----"They have a very largebudget ,without an increase in rate how do they meet the projects that is lined up?"

  External expenses are paid in dollars since their primary revenue is dollars. Dinar is used to pay salaries, etc. in country.

 CCommunity Comment: "Hopefully in the next 5 yrs we will see an appreciation of the currency  price, based on the last year of progress."  I agree!  Iraq has an excellent opportunity now to diversify their economy and develop  the banking system. 

 Much of the float articles that we have seen have concerns about speculators that is because they are referencing dealers speculating within the country.   That will not happen.

 All of these changes that they're talking about pertain to monetary policy. They have nothing to do with the exchange rate. Whether or not the exchange rate goes up or not is directly related to the economic success thereafter.

By the end of the year when the Central Bank of Iraq ends the currency auction, only transfers  amongst established Iraqi banks and regional or International banks will occur.  In other words, the float of the dinar and  transfer of funds will be institutional.

 What this means for us is the future of the dinar exchange rate is directly tied to the  capital flowing through the CBI, economic growth, and success of Iraq. As Iraq prospers, so will the dinar!  Though we may not see  the dinar exchange rate improve initially. This is a significant change in monetary policy for the Central Bank of Iraq. Some 20  years in the waiting.  

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/05/rv-update-by-kaperoni-25-may.html

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/05/rv-update-by-kaperoni-26-may.html

Finance Ministry Contact Signals Major Currency Rate Change Soon! | Iraq...

It Attracts Investors And Limits Currency Smuggling.. A Specialist Explains The Importance Of “Digitizing” Iraqi Banks, 18 AUGUST

Economy | Yesterday, 15:00 |  Baghdad today – Baghdad  Today, Friday (August 16, 2024), Nawar Al-Saadi, an expert in financial and economic affairs, revealed the
 
importance of the benefits of “digitizing” the financial transactions of Iraqi banks, while noting that
 
digitization can enhance financial inclusion by attracting users who do not deal with traditional banks remotely. By providing services that are accessible and easy to use.  Al-Saadi told “Baghdad Today” that
 
 “digitizing financial transactions in Iraqi banks can provide great benefits, especially with regard to reducing cases of currency smuggling,” noting that
 
“by adopting digital systems, banks can track all financial transfers with greater accuracy and transparency.”
 
This means that every transaction is automatically recorded and saved in a central database that can be reviewed at any time.
 
This allows the relevant authorities to quickly monitor and detect suspicious financial activities, making it difficult for smugglers to exploit the financial system to smuggle currency.”  He added,
 
"The digitization of the banking system contributes to reducing cases of money laundering, as these operations usually depend on exploiting loopholes in traditional systems,
 
but with the presence of an advanced digital system, these operations become more complex, and
 
digitization allows the use of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence to analyze patterns." in banking data and identifying any abnormal or suspicious transactions,” stressing that
 
“this helps prevent money laundering by early identifying unusual activities and reporting them to the competent authorities.”  Al-Saadi explained,
 
 “To implement this digital transformation in Iraq, there is a need for investments in technological infrastructure and developing the institutional capabilities of banks,” noting that
 
“this requires providing modern technology, training employees to use it effectively, in addition to developing legislation and laws that protect users and encourage On digital transactions,
 
it is also important to enhance customers’ awareness of the benefits of digital transactions and build their confidence in the new systems.”  He stressed that
 
"digitalization in banks contributes to achieving more transparency and credibility in the financial system, as every transaction can be easily tracked and reviewed.
 
It also works to improve the operational efficiency of banks by completing transactions more quickly and at a lower cost.
 
From a security standpoint, digitization provides higher levels of security." Protection against fraud and theft through advanced encryption technologies.  The expert in financial and economic affairs concluded by saying,
 
 “Digitization can enhance financial inclusion by attracting users who do not deal with traditional banks by providing easy-to-access and easy-to-use services.
 
The digitization of financial transactions in Iraqi banks also carries great potential to enhance economic stability and reduce the risks associated with it.” Money laundering and currency smuggling, leading to a safer and more efficient financial system.” 
 
https://baghdadtoday.news/255745-تجذب-المستثمرين-وتحد-من-تهريب-العملة.-مختص-يبين-أهمية-رقمنة-المصارف-العراقية.html 

 

Q & A WITH FRANK26, 18 AUGUST

 Frank26  

Question: "How long do you think the US Treasury will be in Iraq?  Are they staying to see the finish?" 

 IMO yes.

  Question: "As far as the training videos, are there any more subjects remaining with the RI and monetary reform that the Iraqi have not seen?" 

  Yes.  Right now they're teaching them about the float.  They hadn't seen that up until two days ago.

 CBI document released [Sunday] This is good.  What is the reason why we don't have the monetary reform? 

 Because of the corruption.  Because of the profiteering from the bad parliament political people.  

You know where they are from. 

 What has Sudani done? 

 He took away their cash cow.  All the banks that were doing this with them, their clothes are gone.  This document is showing that there's only certain banks who will be able to [transact] and we're controlling them...

Question: "Why is no one speaking of the WTO meeting with Iraq on Friday?" 

 Because it's not that important.  They were supposed to get everything done by the 15th for the WTO.    What are they going to do Friday?  

They're just going to talk about it.  It's not until the value of the Iraq dinar is released and the lower notes and lifting of the three zeros, that's when they'll join the WTO...

Why do they want a sanctioned rate? ..

.They don't.  They know exactly what they're doing.

Digital Banks... Fears Of Money Laundering And Currency Smuggling To Banks That Do Not Have Branches (Witness), 18 AUGUST

 Special Sumerian   2024-08-15 | Source:  Sumerian   1,697 views  Alsumaria News - Local

 
Fears have been raised recently that so-called digital banks are being used for the purposes of money laundering and currency smuggling, especially since
 
they are nothing more than electronic pages that do not have branches on the ground,
 
thus opening a new door to corruption that directly harms the country's economic reality.
 
Economic affairs specialist Ali Tamer said in an interview with Al-Sumaria that
 
merchants and manipulators are lurking to exploit this (digital) card, as
 
this card has adopted the secret numbers of its holders, but these numbers can be adopted by other people as they are a number and not a handprint, indicating that the bank’s oversight The Central Bank has established a mechanism for dealing with this card that can limit these manipulations and currency smuggling outside Iraq.
 
Also, the issue of conducting financial transactions through a phone application and digital cards, some believe that it may open a wider door to corruption, especially since this process is not subject to close monitoring, and this facilitates making deposits at home, withdrawals from abroad, and smuggling money.
 
In an interview with Al-Sumaria, an economic affairs specialist, Duraid Al-Anazi, said that
 
money could be smuggled under the pretext of importing goods, but these goods did not arrive and the money was smuggled.
 
On the other hand, economists confirm that the idea of ​​establishing digital banks that provide their services through electronic channels without the presence of real branches on the ground raises suspicion and fear that it will contribute to confusing the economic situation through incomprehensible operations that could be exploited to harm the country’s economy.
 
To view the report, see the main image above   
 
https://www.alsumaria.tv/news/alsumariaspecial/497144/المصارف-الرقمية-تخوفات-من-غسيل-اموال-وتهريب-عملة-لبنوك-ليس-لها-فروع-شا   

LATEST FROM NADER FROM MID EAST, 17 AUGUST

 Nader From The Mid East 

 1310...1160...1400 never worked.  They just come out with number and give it to us and sometime you wake up and they take 1310 and sometime you can wake up and they tell you 1160 and sometime 1400...Don't tell me it worked because I know in my heart it's not 1310.  It never worked for 21 years.  It made the people poor.  It made the economy bad.  If it's going to stay like that the next couple of years it's going to make the economy worse.  They're going to have to change it.

[Iraq former government/UN employee friend Imad from Basra update]  

Question:  "Have they come out with the new notes in Iraq?" 

  No.  They working on it.

 [Iraq former government/UN employee friend Imad from Basra update]   

Question:  "The Untied States, do they have anything to do with the Iraq currency?"  

Of course, yes, they control it.  They have some interest between the two countries. 

Iraq's Offering Achievement & National Bonds!🚩Banks on 'Standby'🤔Dinar R...

Results of the War on "Hard Currency" Smuggling in 2024, 17 AUGUST

Results of the War on "Hard Currency" Smuggling in 2024

As of August 17, 2024, the global war on hard currency smuggling has seen significant advancements and challenges. 1 The decline of physical cash usage worldwide has accelerated, primarily due to the increasing preference for digital transactions. This shift has been driven by the convenience and security of digital payment methods, which have become the norm in many countries, making traditional cash less relevant.

Digital Currency Experiments

To keep their monetary systems relevant, central banks around the world have been experimenting with digital versions of their currencies. 1  Unlike private cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are issued by the state and function similarly to traditional money. The goal is to introduce these digital currencies in limited circulation, alongside physical cash, and gradually expand their use as cash usage diminishes.

China, Japan, and Sweden have been at the forefront of CBDC trials, while the Bank of England and the European Central Bank have been preparing their own digital currency experiments. The Bahamas has even launched the world's first official digital currency. These developments signal the impending end of cash as a primary medium of exchange, with far-reaching implications for economies, finance, and society.

Security and Digital Payments

One major benefit of digital currencies is enhanced security. Cash can be lost or stolen, posing risks for individuals and businesses. Digital currencies, while not immune to hacking, can be made more secure with advanced technologies. 1

United States and the Digital Dollar

In contrast to the actions of other countries, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been more cautious in its approach to digital currencies.  1 However, there is a growing argument that the United States should develop its own digital dollar. The benefits of a digital currency, including improved security and reduced transaction costs, outweigh the potential costs. The move toward a digital dollar is not driven by international competition but by the intrinsic advantages of digital currencies.

Global Conflicts and Economic Shifts

The global landscape in 2024 is marked by ongoing conflicts and significant geopolitical shifts. 2 These conflicts have affected core European interests and the global economy, particularly maritime routes. The changing dynamics have forced European countries to reassess their foreign policies and economic strategies.

The Syrian Regime and Captagon Trafficking

In the Middle East, the Syrian regime under President Bashar al-Assad has been using the trafficking of Captagon, a synthetic stimulant, to exert pressure on Gulf states, particularly Saudi Arabia. 3 This illicit trade has become intertwined with the interests of powerful groups within Syria, complicating efforts to curb drug supplies. The Syrian regime's cooperation would require significant concessions from Saudi Arabia, addressing the regime's need for financial resources and political support against Western demands for change.

Conclusion

The war on hard currency smuggling, driven by the global shift toward digital payments, has had a multifaceted impact on economies and international relations. While digital currencies promise enhanced security and efficiency, the transition is not without challenges. In regions like the Middle East, illicit activities such as drug trafficking have emerged as new forms of leverage, complicating diplomatic and economic strategies.

SOURCES: 

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/cash-will-soon-be-obsolete-will-america-be-ready/ 

https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch-list-2024

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/07/border-traffic-how-syria-uses-captagon-to-gain-leverage-over-saudi-arabia?lang=en

Evening News with MarkZ. 08/16/2024

Friday Evening News With MarkZ 

MarkZ  Update- Some highlights by PDK-Not verbatim

MarkZ Disclaimer: Please consider everything on this call as my opinion. People who take notes do not catch everything and its best to watch the video so that you get everything in context.  Be sure to consult a professional for any financial decisions

​​Member: Good Evening everyone

Member: Mark, it's Friday night... don't you think it's a perfect time for an EVENT

Member: So Mark could RV happen tomorrow night?

MZ: We don’t know, but there certainly is a tremendous amount of chatter. 

Member: Chief Fast Horse on Fearless Floyd today said the RV has started

MZ: I have heard the same rumors…that it has started and things are moving. I reached out to redemption people and banking folks …and they are on “stand-by” and have not been notified….yet.  They have not yet been told “this is it”

MZ: I spoke to one in Reno who is involved with a large group there and they have not been activated and told to come in yet. 

MZ: I am not saying it hasn’t started…I believe the overall process has started. Maybe just not getting to the redemption part yet-even for the whales. 

MZ: Have I heard that they are hopeful they can do it before the first part of the week- yes I have heard that. . 

Member: Are call centers to schedule appointments different than redemption centers? If yes, could be why they are not “scheduled” to work this weekend.

Member: If the redemption centers are the same that set appointments? Could it be possible notifications over the weekend and actual appointments next week? Hypothetically of course!!!!

MZ: I have heard fantastic things from the bond side – that they want a large portion of them to have spendable funds before the 20th. I am hearing fun stuff but staying grounded .

MZ: Don’t be too disappointed if the rumors are off by a day or two. 

​​Member: Three banks in my local area, today all three had a full staff parking lot.

Member: If it does go early next week….how long will we have to exchange?

MZ: I am hearing a bare minimum of 30 days for the preferred rates. You will need to set appointments within the first 10 days. I am told that is how it is going to work. 

Member: hearing about a substantially higher rate being offered if ALL funds are kept with 1 institution and NDA for rate. Will the rate for wise acct be different from rv rate?

MZ: The Wise rate should be exactly what the street rate is…..whatever that is. And whatever rate they post on forex. The international rate is what you should get for Wise. 

Member: Do you think the rate is going to float?

MZ: I do not. But if there is – I was told the float would be very managed and slow. If you hold foreign currency in a foreign currency/multi currency  wise account – it will float along with the currency…. 

Member: With all our SS numbers being stolen …..Maybe this how they release everyone’s debt, all at once! Since every Social Security number has now been stolen, when they release Nasara, they issue everyone a New ID number or sovereign #

Member: 8-17-2024 = 8-8-8

MZ: Having a stem cell treatment next week so you will be in Zesters capable hands on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. I will pop in when I can .I will be in communication though and will share with him. 

Member: Zester always said it would happen when you are gone

Member: May the Lord hold Mark in his loving and healing arms for comfort after his procedure. May he have a speedy recovery with the most excellent outcome! I ask in Jesus name! Let it be!

Member: Safe travels Mark, and praying your procedure goes well. 

THE CONTENT IN THIS PODCAST IS FOR GENERAL & EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY&NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE ANY PROFESSIONAL, FINANCIAL OR LEGAL ADVICE. PLEASE CONSIDER EVERYTHING DISCUSSED IN MARKZ’S OPINION ONLY

DINAR REVALUATION : Iraq's Financial Shift New Dinar Notes

Warnings of National Currency Collapse and Position Rotation in 2024 , 17 AUGUST

Warnings of National Currency Collapse and Position Rotation in 2024

As of August 17, 2024, warnings of a potential collapse of the national currency and discussions surrounding the rotation of positions have been prominent in economic circles. 1 These warnings are rooted in the financial instability that has characterized the global economy, particularly in the United States, where banking crises have been a recurrent concern.

Understanding the BTFP and Its Impact

The Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) was a critical response by the Federal Reserve to the failures of regional banks in 2023. These banks, including Signature, Silvergate, and Silicon Valley, were brought down by mass withdrawals due to customer concerns and the need to cover losses.  1 The BTFP helped stabilize the situation by allowing banks to borrow funds using their bonds as collateral, thus preventing further bank runs and providing a temporary solution to the liquidity crisis.

Weaknesses of the U.S. Dollar

The U.S. dollar, while a global reserve currency, is not immune to weaknesses that could trigger a collapse. 2 The fundamental weakness lies in its value being based solely on government fiat, a situation shared by other major national currencies. This lack of intrinsic value and the reliance on the government's promise of its worth can lead to instability if confidence in the government's fiscal policies erodes.

Rising Debt and Economic Concerns

The debt levels of the United States in 2024 have also been a cause for alarm, with analysts warning of a brewing crisis. 3 The accumulation of debt has the potential to undermine the economy's stability, especially if interest rates rise, increasing the cost of servicing the debt.

Market Predictions and Rate Cuts

Predictions for the stock market in 2024 indicate a cautious optimism, with expectations of rate cuts and a potentially mild economic downturn. 4 However, these predictions are contingent on several factors, including the effectiveness of monetary policy and the resilience of the global economy.

Financial Stability and Geopolitical Risks

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has highlighted risks to global financial stability, emphasizing that vulnerabilities in the banking system could turn into serious issues if the hoped-for soft landing of the global economy does not occur. 5Geopolitical tensions also pose significant challenges, with the potential for financial fragmentation and implications for the stability of financial markets.

The Rise of Nontraditional Reserve Currencies

In a striking development, the IMF has noted a decline in the U.S. dollar's share of allocated foreign reserves, which has not been offset by increases in the shares of other major currencies. 6 Instead, nontraditional reserve currencies such as the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Chinese renminbi, South Korean won, Singaporean dollar, and Nordic currencies have seen a rise in their shares. This shift can be attributed in part to new digital financial technologies and the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies.

Conclusion

The warnings of a national currency collapse and the rotation of positions in 2024 reflect the complex interplay of economic factors, including debt levels, banking stability, and geopolitical risks. The potential for a U.S. dollar collapse, while not imminent, is a concern that has gained traction due to the weakening of traditional reserve currency roles and the rise of alternatives. These developments underscore the need for careful economic planning and policy adjustments to navigate the challenges ahead.

SOURCE: 

https://theconversation.com/why-economists-are-warning-of-another-us-banking-crisis-224092

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex-currencies/091416/what-would-it-take-us-dollar-collapse.asp