Kaperoni
Community Comment: "Hopefully in the next 5 yrs we will see an appreciation of the currency price, based on the last year of progress." I agree! Iraq has an excellent opportunity now to diversify their economy and develop the banking system.
Much of the float articles that we have seen have concerns about speculators that is because they are referencing dealers speculating within the country. That will not happen.
All of these changes that they're talking about pertain to monetary policy. They have nothing to do with the exchange rate. Whether or not the exchange rate goes up or not is directly related to the economic success thereafter.
By the end of the year when the Central Bank of Iraq ends the currency auction, only transfers amongst established Iraqi banks and regional or International banks will occur. In other words, the float of the dinar and transfer of funds will be institutional.
What this means for us is the future of the dinar exchange rate is directly tied to the capital flowing through the CBI, economic growth, and success of Iraq. As Iraq prospers, so will the dinar! Though we may not see the dinar exchange rate improve initially. This is a significant change in monetary policy for the Central Bank of Iraq. Some 20 years in the waiting.
No comments:
Post a Comment