Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Iraqi economy enters "dark tunnel" and MPs are concerned about the delay in sending budget tables, 8 JAN

Iraqi economy enters "dark tunnel" and MPs are concerned about the delay in sending budget tables

Warnings are increasing that Iraq will face major economic difficulties during the current year and the coming years, for reasons most notably its reliance on oil as the sole source of the financial budget and the lack of alternatives, especially with the increase in population. 

Experts confirm that the failure to diversify the country's sources of income and invest oil revenues in providing job opportunities and producing goods and services threatens to spread unemployment among young people, while fluctuating oil prices threatens the country's economic and financial stability. 

In this regard, economic expert Nabil Al-Marsoumi warned today, Monday, of Iraq entering a dark and critical economic tunnel due to wrong policies, which affects the vulnerable and middle-income classes.  

Al-Marsoumi said in an interview with Al-Maalouma Agency, “Iraq has begun to enter a dark and critical tunnel due to wrong economic policies, failure to provide job opportunities, and resorting to appointments, and here lies the dilemma,” indicating that "When the state is late in paying salaries, the general economic movement and all components of the private sector and the fragile and middle classes will be affected."  

He added, "There is a lack of economic development and a development vision, and therefore things will continue as they are, and whenever oil prices decline, Iraq will find itself in the midst of great difficulties." He explained that "the increase in population requires raising public spending, while revenues are stagnant as a result of relying on oil as the sole resource for the budget and the failure to use its revenues to build a diversified economy that produces goods and services."  

He points out that "there is no short-term solution and the government may resort to deducting a percentage of the Central Bank's transfers and borrowing from domestic banks, and the real solution lies in providing new financial sources other than oil," noting that " Continuing things as they are now will lead to a major problem and unemployment among young people will increase in the coming years.” 

The 2025 budget has not yet been approved, while MPs confirm that the budget schedules have not been sent to the House of Representatives. 

MP Ahmed Al-Sharmani expressed his concern today, Monday, regarding the delay in sending the 2025 budget tables by the government to the House of Representatives, noting that the parliament is still not aware of the details of these tables until now.  

Al-Sharmani explained in a statement to / Al-Maalouma / agency, that “according to the Financial Management Law, the budget tables must be sent to the House of Representatives at the end of October of each year, and that delaying this is a legal violation, especially since this delay has been repeated annually for years,” explaining that “the current delay is another legal violation, as there is no specific date for sending the budget tables.” 

He points out that "there is a possibility that the government is linking the sending of these tables to amending the law proposed in Parliament, which will lead to an additional long delay in light of the ongoing disagreements over the proposal." 

He explained that “the House of Representatives is still not aware of the 2025 budget schedules yet, and there is no specific date for sending these schedules.” 

In contrast, the Prime Minister's financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, confirms that the growth rates of the non-oil GDP will rise to an unprecedented level during 2024, while pointing out that the government program has succeeded in controlling financial diversification in the general budget and the national economy in general.  link

Jon Dowling : A very appropriate term for the season we're in, 8 JAN

  Jon Dowling

 A very appropriate term for the season we're in. 

PM Sudani and the PM of Iran to meet tomorrow. Curious to see what comes of that.

 Meanwhile, President Trump issues an edict that if he doesn't get our hostages back in twelve days, all hell will break loose in the middle east. Could that be Trump forcing the hand of Iran off of Iraq? 


Which will allow Iraq to reset? Then Vietnam and so forth. Pray for the fires here in Southern California. The smoke makes the air quality terrible

FIREFLY: The feel on the streets we citizens know a new rate is coming! @DINARREVALUATION #iqd

 


Iraq and America discuss the existing partnership between the two countries and enhancing cooperation, 8 JAN

 Iraq and America discuss the existing partnership between the two countries and enhancing cooperation

Today, Tuesday, the Speaker of the Iraqi Parliament, Mahmoud Al-Mashhadani, discussed with the Chargé d'Affairs of the US Embassy in Baghdad, Ms. Elizabeth Trudeau, in the presence of the Director of the Political Section at the Embassy, ​​Ms. Michelle Siders, the general situation in Iraq, and ways to enhance cooperation and existing partnership between the two countries. 

The media office of the Speaker of the House of Representatives stated in a statement received by "Kalima News": "During the meeting, the general situation in Iraq was discussed, and ways to enhance cooperation and existing partnership between the two countries, with emphasis on the United States' support for Iraq in various fields, in a way that enhances stability and development."

According to the statement, the meeting also discussed "a number of topics of common interest, including developments in the regional situation and their effects on the Iraqi arena." 

Dr. Al-Mashhadani stressed the importance of strengthening relations between Iraq and the United States within the framework of common interests, stressing the need to continue dialogue and cooperation to support Iraq's stability and continue efforts to confront political and economic challenges. link

MAJEED: Iran is out of Iraq for good, 8 JAN

 MAJEED

Iran is out of Iraq for good🔥🔥🔥 Al-Sudani conveyed Trump's orders to Khamenei: ⭕ Forced to dissolve militias ⭕ Forced to stop importing Iranian gas ⭕ Forced to prevent currency smuggling to Iran ⭕ Forced to deal with the new Syrian government ⭕ Forced to cut off the air and land bridge between Iran, Iraq and Syria and close the borders and airspace. LFG

MAJEED: STATUS OF IRAQ TODAY,!! @DINARREVALUATION #iraqidinarinvestor #iraqidinar

 


Article 12 obstructs budget schedules and Parliament is unaware of the size of expenditures and deficit, 8 JAN

   Article 12 obstructs budget schedules and Parliament is unaware of the size of expenditures and deficit

 Member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, Jamal Kojer, expected on Tuesday that the budget tables would be sent in February, while he pointed out the possibility of delaying its passage due to disagreements over Article 12.

Kocher said in a statement to Shafaq News, "The Iraqi law requires the Council of Ministers to send the state's general budget to the House of Representatives in the ninth or tenth month of each year, but this has not happened in the past years."

Koger expected that the budget tables for the year 2025 would be sent to the Council at the beginning of next February, but the disagreements over Article 12 of the budget law may delay sending the tables from the government to Parliament.

Koger added that "the House of Representatives and members of the Parliamentary Finance Committee do not have any knowledge of the details of the budget schedules for the year 2025," noting that they do not "know the size of the budget in terms of operating and investment expenses and the deficit rate so far."

Article 12 of the draft budget law includes compensation for the Kurdistan Regional Government for the costs of production and transportation of oil extraction in the region.

It is noteworthy that the representative of the Kurdistan Democratic Party bloc, Jiay Timur, confirmed earlier to Shafaq News Agency, that "the Iraqi government previously calculated in the budget law the cost of extracting oil at $6, and this is a very small number," noting that "foreign companies that work on extracting oil at a cost of up to $26 per barrel."

In June 2023, the Iraqi Parliament voted on the draft general budget law for the fiscal years (2023, 2024, 2025).  link

EXCERPTS FROM MARKZ, 8 JAN

EXCERPTS FROM MARKZ

MZ: We hope it will happen before the 10th. There is a lot of stuff pointing to it possibly happening before the 10th. But there are a growing amount looking now for it to happen after the inauguration. Then it will let rip.

Member: Have you confirmed lower denoms have been released in Iraq?

MZ: No confirmations. There are some in Iraq telling us they are out- but no confirmations. I have seen pictures but do not know if they are old lower denoms or new on

MZ: I just want to warn you all of scammers out there. I have a great contact at Interpol that we send information to about people offering QFS accounts right now. That is a scam. One used my email address which is similar to my real address with an addition I in it…2 I’s in original…....its not spelled right.   People are trying to get you to send a couple hundred bucks to get a QFS account.

MZ: You CANNOT get a QFS account yet. The new system has not started. Anyone saying differently is a scam. Fortunately Interpol is starting to go after these companies WORLDWIDE. For the love of God people. Do not fall for this. Desperate people are being preyed on left and right.

MZ: When the new system is ready you will not have to pay for an account. All of our accounts will be on it.


MAJEED: WHEN BANK CARD BEING DISTRIBUTED, IT MEANS THE NEW RATE IS POPPING UP!! @DINARREVALUATION

 


IMPORTANT IRAQ NEWS: IS IRAQ FACING A CASH CRISIS? , 8 JAN

IS IRAQ FACING A CASH CRISIS?

The amount of money sold, domestically and internationally, by the Central Bank in dollars this year has exceeded $62 billion, resulting in the receipt of dinars in equivalent proportion, averaging approximately 80.6 trillion dinars for the year.

Here’s the very important part –à ereHNon-oil revenues generated from taxes, fees, and customs by the end of October 2024 amounted to 14.3 trillion dinars. Combined, these revenues total around 95 trillion dinars. However, by the end of October, Iraq’s total expenditures had reached 122 trillion dinars. With two months of expenditures still unaccounted for, it is evident that the dinar reserves derived from oil-based dollar revenues have been exhausted.

This comes despite reports from the Central Bank’s Foreign Currency Selling Window, which indicate that total transfers abroad (remittances and credits) this year have reached the highest level in seven years—34% higher than last year. Similarly, dinars returned to the Central Bank and subsequently to the Ministry of Finance in proportion to this increase. So why is there talk of a cash shortage affecting the distribution of December salaries for some ministries in Baghdad and the November salary allocations for the Kurdistan Region?

According to reports from the Iraqi Ministry of Finance on revenues and expenditures, total expenditures for the first nine months of this year amounted to 94.5 trillion dinars, including 85 trillion dinars in operating expenses and 9.5 trillion dinars in investment expenses. However, according to the Ministry of Finance’s October report, total expenditures had climbed to 122.7 trillion dinars, with operating expenses accounting for 100.6 trillion dinars and investment expenses rising to 22 trillion dinars.

Looking back at previous months, it becomes evident that average monthly expenditures ranged between 10 and 11 trillion dinars. For instance, total expenditures from the beginning of the year to July were 73 trillion dinars, increasing to 83 trillion dinars in August and 94 trillion dinars in September—demonstrating consistent monthly spending within this range. However, expenditures surged dramatically in October, reaching 28.2 trillion dinars and bringing the total for the year to 122 trillion dinars by the end of that month. This significant jump was driven by increases in both operating and investment expenditures. Operating expenditures, which typically ranged from 9 to 10 trillion dinars per month, rose to 15.6 trillion dinars in October, while investment expenditures, previously averaging 1 trillion dinars per month, soared to 12.6 trillion dinars in the same period.

As a result of the excessive expenditures in October, the Ministry of Finance now lacks the cash needed to cover expenses at the end of the year. October’s spending was nearly triple the average monthly expenditure of previous months.While total revenues for the first 10 months exceeded expenditures, converting the full oil revenue—received in dollars—into Iraqi dinars or conducting domestic transactions in dinars has not been feasible which is due to government policies mandating that all domestic transactions must be conducted in dinars, while foreign transactions must be conducted in dollars and processed through remittance.

According to the Iraqi Ministry of Finance, October’s expenditures rose so significantly that the total amount of dinars generated from selling dollars domestically and internationally, combined with non-oil domestic revenues, was insufficient to cover the spending. Total expenditures for the month reached 28 trillion dinars, approximately 18 trillion dinars more than in previous months. It remains unclear how the Ministry of Finance plans to manage expenses for the remainder of the year, as 95% of Iraq’s currency is held outside the banking system, which amounts to 95.5 trillion dinars out of a total of 101.3 trillion dinars by the end of November 2024.

The underlying issue here highlights the weaknesses in Iraq’s monetary system and the absence of a coherent expenditure and revenue policy. Despite having not spent 60% of its allocated budget, the Ministry of Finance is already encountering significant challenges. Had the budget been fully implemented as planned, cash shortages would likely have arisen mid-year rather than at year-end.

In conclusion, is it true that Iraq has cash problems? Yes, Iraq is indeed facing cash problems. However, these issues are not caused by low oil revenues, declining oil prices, or a shortage of money or dollar issuance. Instead, the root cause lies in the government’s economic expenditure policy, which allowed spending to surge by approximately 300% in a single month.

TIDBIT FROM MARKZ, 8 JAN

 MarkZ  

 [via PDK] 

  It’s been an exciting morning…Been proving and disproving pictures of lower denoms....There is a good chance one of my Iraqi contacts will be sharing pictures of the new Iraq $20 note today .

 We do not want to get folks hopes up falsely. So doing more vetting today. The conversation in Iraq is small denominations /notes. Why would they release small notes unless there is a value change?

MAJEED :RETIREES IN IRAQ RECEIVED THEIR SALARIES & FOUND THEY HAVE MORE MONEY THAN THE USUAL SALARY


 

IMPORTANT IRAQ NEWS: ECONOMIST: NEW STEPS BY THE CENTRAL BANK REGARDING DOLLAR TRANSACTIONS, 8 JAN

 ECONOMIST: NEW STEPS BY THE CENTRAL BANK REGARDING DOLLAR TRANSACTIONS

Economic expert Safwan Qusay revealed today, Sunday, that there are new steps by the Central Bank to enhance transparency and global openness.

Qusay said in a statement to Al-Maalouma Agency that “the Central Bank of Iraq and the US Federal Reserve are moving towards authorizing Iraqi banks to contract with international auditing companies, instead of relying on the dollar selling platform alone, with the aim of auditing credits and transfers before they are implemented.”

He explained that “this measure is in the interest of the Central Bank, as it contributes to avoiding the risks of money laundering cases and international sanctions,” noting that “this step is a turning point that contributes to drawing a clear map for the work of Iraqi banks on the global stage, as they will deal with international correspondents and financial guarantees in addition to instant transfers, which enhances their position in global markets.”

He pointed out that “it is possible to rehabilitate banks that are currently facing restrictions, which will lead to achieving greater stability in the exchange rate,” indicating that “the Central Bank attaches special importance in the next stage to increasing foreign currency reserves, which contributes to facilitating trade operations and supporting economic activity.” 

Frank26 : Sacramento California Chase bank story, 8 JAN

 Frank26 

 [Sacramento California Chase bank story] 

  A: [The wealth manager] before he even sits down, the first thing he said, you're right.  Right now we don't exchange [Iraqi dinar] but 'when it goes live' we can help you right over there and he pointed to the tellers. 

 I said do you guys verify on site? 

 He said yep, when it goes live you can just go stand in line right there, they'll run it through the machine and...then it will be right in your account...no hesitation...It was almost like he was saying, we're waiting for it to go live too, is how I took it...  

FRANK:  Nobody knows when, but they all have been put on alert.  That's why the mantra, it's a scam is no longer to be found anywhere.  It has become extinct because they are preparing to deal with this.

 

DINAR REVALUATION UPDATE: January's Pivotal Changes for Iraq's Economy!! @DINARREVALUATION

 


FIREFLY: THEY ARE TALKING ON TV WHAT WILL HAPPEN ONCE THE CURRENCY AUCTIONS STOP @DINARREVALUATION

 


THE IRAQI DOLLAR AND THE FIRST DAY “PASSED PEACEFULLY”.. THE CENTRAL BANK IS INNOCENT AND DEVOTED TO THE DINAR, 8 JAN

 THE IRAQI DOLLAR AND THE FIRST DAY “PASSED PEACEFULLY”.. THE CENTRAL BANK IS INNOCENT AND DEVOTED TO THE DINAR

Quick review by Mahmoud Dagher

“The first day passed peacefully,” said Dr. Mahmoud Dagher, a prominent financial expert, commenting on the first day of official work after the New Year’s holiday and the start of implementing the decision to cancel the dollar selling platform for traders and companies, which had been controversial for 20 years. Since Sunday morning, there has only been a slight increase in the dollar price. 

According to Dagher, who managed the operations of the Central Bank for many years, the platform’s function has changed from being a seller of dollars to Iraqi companies, to an intermediary between Iraqi banks and foreign correspondent banks (JP Morgan and Citibank), which will be responsible for auditing and approving the transfers, instead of the Central Bank of Iraq, which has cleared its responsibility in this way according to an understanding with international institutions and the US Federal Reserve, and is currently devoted to taking dinars from Iraqi traders and converting them into dollars to be transferred to foreign banks that have begun to organize Iraqi trade.

Dr. Mahmoud Dagher – Economic Expert:

Canceling the platform does not mean that the Central Bank is not converting dinars into dollars.

The Central Bank receives the dinar from the banks, which is the money of the customers (traders), and converts it into dollars and delivers it to the foreign correspondent banks. It will not undertake the auditing, but they will undertake that.

The currency selling window will remain, but its mission will not be to sell dollars but to convert dinars into dollars, and there was no problem in the market today, Sunday, although the dollar rose very slightly.

The Central Bank announced foreign currency sales (dollars) today, Sunday:

EXCERPTS FROM MAYHEM, 8 JAN

 ♦️Mayhem w/ Mel♦️

            Sizzling Sunday

                   01-05-25

♦️Welcome, welcome, welcome 

Ladies & Gentlemen, Remember 

Remember the 5th of November


♦️A BIG HAPPY NEW YEAR, January is equivalent to November in the New Calendar(Julian), today is Dec 21,YES the WH uses the Julian calendar 



♦️IRAQ to RELEASE LOWER DENOMINATIONS, which is equivalent to 1955 pricing, Going Back to the FUTURE, going BACK to happy, happier times, STAY FOCUSED on the FUTURE…..

Mel says see you all on the FLIP SIDE, bye for now..


♦️Sizzling Sunday w/ Mel


FIREFLY: The feel on the streets we citizens know a new rate is coming! @DINARREVALUATION #iqd

 


IMPORTANT IRAQ NEWS: AL-SUDANI: THE DEVELOPMENT ROAD PROJECT WILL ENHANCE IRAQ’S POWER IN THE REGION, 8 JAN

 AL-SUDANI: THE DEVELOPMENT ROAD PROJECT WILL ENHANCE IRAQ’S POWER IN THE REGION

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani confirmed today, Sunday, that the development road project will enhance Iraq’s strength in the region, politically and economically.

During his reception of the Director of the Iraqi Institute for Dialogue, Abbas Radhi Al-Amiri, according to a statement from his office received by “Al-Eqtisad News”, Al-Sudani was briefed on the work of the organizing committee for the Seventh Baghdad International Dialogue, whose activities will start on February 22-23, 2025 under the slogan “The Path to Iraqi Development… Alliance of Interests and Geopolitical Stakes”, noting that choosing this topic falls within the great Iraqi interest in the project, which gives the country a pivotal role in the regional system as an important point of communication between the East and the West.

According to the statement, Al-Sudani expressed his “sponsorship of this annual international gathering hosted by the capital, Baghdad, which hosts an elite group of the most important decision-makers in the region and the world.”

TNT TONY INTEL CALL FOR JANUARY 6, 2025, 8 JAN

 TNT TONY INTEL CALL FOR JANUARY 6, 2025.

 The Summary: 


1.  Tony said he is 99.9% sure the RV will happen within two days.  


2. The RV should have happened last week.  


3. There is a meeting going on right now discussing when to release the authorization codes.  


4. Today at 2:00 pm the window opened.  


5. They were making sure there was no problem with certifying the election for the President of the US.  


6. Tony was told that Tuesday or Wednesday the RV will start for us.  


7. Nothing else has changed.  


8. Tony was told over the weekend that it was our turn. That is "we are next in line." 


9. The window is open... 


10. The RV will be on FourX this Friday for the general public.  


11. Question: Do we need a trust now. Answer: No 


12. There was a long discussion on the Bolivar. The final word was $0.38 to $0.83 depending on the amount you have and your negotiating skills.  


13. All Bolivar dated 2018 plus are good.  


14. Question: People in Kurdistan are being paid now. We were told that when Kurdistan gets paid we were to be paid at that time. Answer: That's still true.  


15. All countries have stated they want the RV before January 20, 2025. Before trump takes the office of the President of the United States.  


16. Question: is this a done deal? Answer: Tony said he is 99.9% sure it is. He will only be 100% sure when he gets the Code.  


17. All banks work the same way. When you deposit a large check you can get a small amount of money at the time of said deposit. The exchange will work the same way. You can get 10% of your deposited amount immediately and 90% within 72 hours.  


End of the Summary

NADER FROM MID EAST:THE SPIKE ON FOREX: THE IQD LOST it's zero and it's .0014 instead of .0076

 


IRAQ AND AMERICA DISCUSS THE EXISTING PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES AND ENHANCING COOPERATION WITH COMMENTS OF MNT GOAT, 8 JAN

 IRAQ AND AMERICA DISCUSS THE EXISTING PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES AND ENHANCING COOPERATION

Today, Tuesday, the Speaker of the Iraqi Parliament, Mahmoud Al-Mashhadani, discussed with the Chargé d’Affairs of the US Embassy in Baghdad, Ms. Elizabeth Trudeau, in the presence of the Director of the Political Section at the Embassy, ​​Ms. Michelle Siders, the general situation in Iraq, and ways to enhance cooperation and existing partnership between the two countries. 

The media office of the Speaker of the House of Representatives stated in a statement received by “Kalima News”: “During the meeting, the general situation in Iraq was discussed, and ways to enhance cooperation and existing partnership between the two countries, with emphasis on the United States’ support for Iraq in various fields, in a way that enhances stability and development.”

According to the statement, the meeting also discussed “a number of topics of common interest, including developments in the regional situation and their effects on the Iraqi arena.” 

Dr. Al-Mashhadani stressed the importance of strengthening relations between Iraq and the United States within the framework of common interests, stressing the need to continue dialogue and cooperation to support Iraq’s stability and continue efforts to confront political and economic challenges.

(Let’s hope the Trump administration is much more responsive than the past Biden four years.)

Iraqi economy enters "dark tunnel" and MPs are concerned about the delay in sending budget tables, 8 JAN

Iraqi economy enters "dark tunnel" and MPs are concerned about the delay in sending budget tables Warnings are increasing that Ir...