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SUDDEN ‘VETO’ FROM IRAN THWARTS GOVT FORMATION EFFORTS IN IRAQ
(Mnt Goat: Am I missing something or what? Iran can interfere with Iraqi elections but the US should not? I don’t get the hypocritical attitude of Iranian leadership. Oh… but I do get it. They are corrupt and want Iraq as their puppet proxy state, especially now.)
From right to left: Prime Minister-designate Ali al-Zaidi, Coordination Framework member Hadi al-Amiri, and caretaker Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani. (Coordination Framework)
Two Iraqi officials revealed on Sunday that a sudden “veto” from Iran has thwarted efforts to form a new Iraqi government. Iran has expressed its objection to keeping pro-Tehran armed factions out of the new government.
Tehran has demanded that the ruling Shiite Coordination Framework refrain from voting in favor of a cabinet lineup that “harms the influence of its allies” in the Iraqi state, the officials told Asharq Al-Awsat.
Amid these developments, reports said that Esmail Qaani, commander of Iran’s Quds Force, the foreign arm of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), made a surprise visit to Baghdad as Prime Minister-designate Ali al-Zaidi had reportedly been making progress in the government formation process.
Significant throughout these developments is the United States’ pressure on al-Zaidi to keep the armed factions out of the new government, reflecting mounting tensions with Tehran that are playing out on a larger scale in the region over Hormuz and the war on Iran.
Sources said Qaani had arrived in Baghdad in recent hours with a message that “Tehran objects” to Iraq’s “complete subservience to Washington.”
An official compared to Asharq Al-Awsat the tensions in Iraq over the government to the tensions between Washington and Tehran over Hormuz.
‘Purely American government’
The two officials said Iran wants to prevent Iraq from forming a “purely American government,” amid US pressure on Baghdad to curb the activity of the pro-Iran armed factions.
Al-Zaidi was named PM-designate on April 27, receiving unprecedented American backing from President Donald Trump himself, who described his appointment as a victory for the Washington administration.
A PM-designate has no more than 30 days to present a cabinet lineup to parliament for a vote of confidence. Time is of the essence with several MPs travelling to Saudi Arabia for the Hajj, meaning the necessary quorum for the parliament session to be held may not be met.
American officials are expected to arrive in Baghdad within days. Sources said Washington not only wants the armed factions out of the government, but it wants to ensure that they will not seek “alternate arrangements” that would get them in the cabinet. This prompted Iran to resort to its “veto” and throttle the government negotiations.
The disagreements over the government in Iraq largely reflect the negotiations between the US and Iran in the region that have been ongoing for weeks without reaching a final settlement.
One of the Iraqi officials quoted a prominent member of the Framework as describing as “unprecedented” the US involvement in the formation of the government. He warned that the differences could turn into an “open conflict” between Washington and Tehran, concerns that were heightened with Qaani’s arrival in Baghdad ahead of American officials who are expected there soon too.
Should Iran resort to informing the Framework MPs to refrain from voting for al-Zaidi’s cabinet, Washington may in turn increase pressure on Baghdad, such as imposing sanctions and cutting off support, to get its way, a senior advisor in an influential Shiite party told Asharq Al-Awsat.
The ongoing dispute between Washington and Tehran may lead to al-Zaidi quitting as PM-designate, he warned.
The Iraqi officials, who are involved in the government formation efforts, revealed that al-Zaidi had received messages from several parties, including the US, over the need to from a cabinet that “does not have Iranian influence.”
Negotiators have said that Washington “is now interfering in the tiniest detail” in the formation process and it has “accurate information about how the factions operate to try to outmaneuver” American conditions.
The conditions are not only limited to the government, but also include restricting the factions’ economic and political connections with Tehran, especially issues related to water resources, oil, and independence of political decision-making, revealed political sources.
Al-Zaidi has tried to keep sovereign portfolios out of the hands of the armed factions and granting them “lesser” ministries. The move has angered Iran, which was hoping that it would retain influence over powerful ministries.
An informed source said noted the Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq movement, which boasts 27 MPs in parliament and has been demanding that its political weight be reflected in cabinet. It has been demanding that it be granted the Oil Ministry, putting it at great odds with Washington.
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MAJEED
Here is the summary of this whole interview
Proposed Reforms: - Issuing a New Currency: Mazen Al-Ishiqir proposed replacing the current currency with a new one pegged directly to the US dollar (1 Dinar = 1 Dollar) to ensure long-term stability. -Digital Governance Dashboard: Mazen Al-Saad emphasized the need for a “dashboard” management system based on real-time data to monitor state resources and oversee administration, replacing outdated paper-based bureaucracy. -Reactivating the Reconstruction Council: Al-Ishiqir suggested allocating 30% of state revenue to an independent Reconstruction Council to ensure funds are directed toward strategic projects, mitigating corruption. -Fair Tax Laws: The guests highlighted the importance of a progressive tax law to regulate revenue from the private sector (hospitals, universities, housing complexes), which currently utilize state assets without significant returns. Pegging the Dinar to the Dollar: -Al-Ishiqir stated that he discussed the idea of pegging the Dinar to the Dollar with the US Treasury, who informed him that the process could be technically achieved within three months, contingent upon the political will and an agreement between the Federal Reserve and the Central Bank of Iraq. Implementation of Digital Currency and Governance: -Mazen Al-Saad argued that digital transformation and managing state operations through a data dashboard can be initiated with a single decision, asserting there are no technical obstacles to the transition.📊 IRAQ REFORM PATH – BUILDING A STRONGER CURRENCY FUTURE 🇮🇶💱
💡:
Iraq’s reform momentum reflects an ambition to build a more credible, stable, and internationally trusted financial system — which in turn could support a stronger valuation of its currency over time.
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#IraqEconomy #CBI #FinancialReforms #CurrencyStrength #BankingReform #EconomicStability #GlobalFinance #IraqDinar #MonetaryPolicy #EmergingMarkets
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HERE’S WHY MAY 27th IS NOW CRITICAL FOR IRAQ’S FUTURE AND THE WEST’S MIDDLE EAST
After more than five months of political cajolery, threats, and infighting since Iraq’s 11 November parliamentary elections – the seventh since Saddam Hussein’s fall in 2003 – an erstwhile obscure businessman, Ali al-Zaidi, has been selected as the Prime Minister-designate of the governing Iran-aligned Shia Coordination Framework bloc. Regarded as a compromise candidate between more pro-West sitting Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani, and one of his predecessors, the pro-Iran Nouri al-Maliki, al-Zaidi now has until 27 May to form a government. This is done by selecting a cabinet, which must, in turn, be approved by Iraq’s parliament (the Council of Representatives). So, what happens if, as occurred in 2020, he as Prime Minister-designate cannot do so, and what happens if he can?
A cornerstone of Iraq’s 2005 Constitution was the safeguarding against the re-emergence of a single dominant force in Iraqi politics, especially any resurgence of Saddam Hussein’s Ba’ath Party. This meant a dispersal of executive power between three key jobs – Prime Minister, President, and Speaker of Parliament. These have traditionally been split between the three main groups in the country — the Prime Minister for the Shia Arabs (the largest demographic group), the Presidency for the Kurds (occupying the semi-autonomous state in the North), and the Speakership of Parliament for the Sunni Arabs (the other principal religious grouping). Although this power structure has indeed prevented any meaningful revival of the Ba’ath Party, it has also complicated what on the face of it looks a straightforward and quick procedure for choosing a new premier.
According to the constitution, once the general election results have been verified, the president asks the newly elected parliament to meet within 15 days. In that first gathering, parliament elects a speaker and two deputies by a simple majority vote. It can then choose a new president – provided there is a two-thirds majority for a single candidate — or extend the sitting president’s term. Once this has been finalized, the new president authorizes the bloc that holds the most seats in the new parliament to form a cabinet led by its chosen nominee for prime minister.
So what happens if al-Zaidi is unable to form a new government by May 27th?
Under Article 76 of the Constitution, the President (Patriotic Union of Kurdistan member and former Environment Minister, Nizar Amedi) has 15 days from the date of the deadline’s expiration (taking us to 11 June) to task another candidate with forming the Council of Ministers. The new nominee then receives their own 30-day window to present a cabinet and government program to the Council of Representatives, and so the process would continue until any of the subsequent Prime Minister-designates can form a new government.
In 2020, two consecutive Prime Minister-designates failed to take office after proving unable to assemble a cabinet with parliamentary support. In the interim period, the outgoing government – currently led by al-Sudani – would continue to function in a caretaker capacity to prevent a political vacuum.
(Mnt Goat: This election could drag out all through the summer. Do you see it too? So let’s not go off half-cocked with these ideas that the RV is imminent. This is obviously stupid to say at this point in time since there is no evidence to back up this claim. The show is not over until the fat lady sings…. Lol… But let’s pray for the best and for an honest, competent person will take over the helm and move Iraq forward not backward. Are you praying for Iraq? )
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Mnt Goat
...the CBI keeps moving ahead with banking reforms. I am not even following them too closely any longer as these reforms, as I am told by my CBI contact, are all part of the White Paper and the White Paper is as done as they need it to reinstate the dinar and go international.
Article: “WARNINGS AGAINST “MINISTERS OF FAILURE”… ADAI CALLS ON AL-ZIDI TO CONFRONT THE PRESSURES OF THE BLOCS AND APPOINT COMPETENT INDIVIDUALS TO MINISTERIAL POSITIONS”
...Yes, they are always filling these high paying govt jobs as favoritism rather that real skill to do a competent job. Is this also why we sit here over 20 years still waiting for the RV?
We are about to see it again with Nouri al-Maliki getting either a vice-presidential position or even now he wants the minister of oil, a Zaidi’s cabinet position. Did he horse trade his vote to let in al-Zaidi for this?
Of all positions in the cabinet (besides finance minister or minister of the interior) this is definitely also one you don’t want Maliki medaling around in.
He will most definitely mess up the current agreements made with Kurdistan and muck up the Oil and Gas Law now on the table in parliament. We need this law done to get us to the reinstatement...He actually wants to stop the Oil and Gas Law because he knows it will bring conclusion to this constitutional requirement, something the US is demanding prior to the reinstatement...This guy is bad news for any real progress in Iraq.
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📊 IRAQ POLITICAL PRESSURES, CABINET STRUGGLES & REFORM DELAYS – KEY HIGHLIGHTS
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#IraqPolitics #CBI #EconomicReforms #OilAndGasLaw #PoliticalStability #WhitePaper #Governance #IraqEconomy #ReformProcess #MiddleEastPolitics
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