Showing posts with label #IraqCrisis #ExchangeRate #Dinar #JeffAnalysis #IraqEconomy #BankingReform #BudgetReform #NextGovernment #MonetaryPolicy #BreakingNews #DinarRevaluation #GlobalFinance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #IraqCrisis #ExchangeRate #Dinar #JeffAnalysis #IraqEconomy #BankingReform #BudgetReform #NextGovernment #MonetaryPolicy #BreakingNews #DinarRevaluation #GlobalFinance. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

JEFF: CONFIRMED IN PRINT: IRAQ ADMITS THE NEXT GOVERNMENT WILL CONTROL THE EXCHANGE RATE CHANGE

Introduction: When Analysis Gets Confirmed in Black and White

Sometimes the most important moments are not rumors or leaks — they are official confirmations in print.

In a recent article titled:

“Acknowledging the financial crisis… MP: Changing the dollar exchange rate is within the purview of the next government”

Iraq has now openly stated what analysts like Jeff have been saying all along.

The power to change the exchange rate does not belong to the current caretaker government.

It belongs to the next fully formed government.

And just like that — confirmation arrives.


Official Admission: The Next Government Controls the Exchange Rate

No More Guessing, No More Assumptions

The article makes it clear:

  • Iraq acknowledges a financial crisis

  • Exchange rate authority rests with the next government

  • Any change to the dollar rate must wait

This is not interpretation.


This is policy reality.

As Jeff put it plainly:

“What did I tell you? We’re waiting on the completion of the next government to change the rate. Bam. Right here — confirmed in print.”


Why the Current Government Cannot Change the Rate

Caretaker Status Has Limits

Iraq’s current administration:

  • Manages daily operations

  • Pays salaries

  • Maintains basic stability

But it cannot introduce major monetary changes, including:

  • Exchange rate adjustments

  • Structural banking reforms

  • International currency activation

That authority belongs solely to a newly seated government with full constitutional powers.


The Second Confirmation: Budget Reform Stalled Since 2009

And the Reason Is the Same

In another article, an economist stated:

“Budget reform has been stalled since 2009.”

Why would a country delay reform for over 15 years?

According to Jeff’s analysis, the answer is simple:

They are waiting for the exchange rate to change.


Why Budget Reform Depends on the Exchange Rate

You Can’t Reform What You Can’t Use

Budget reform is not just about numbers — it depends on:

  • A functional banking system

  • International settlements

  • Foreign currency interaction

But here’s the problem:

  • The dinar is not yet internationally tradable

  • Iraq’s effective trading currency remains the U.S. dollar

  • Sanctions and compliance rules limit foreign transactions

Without a tradable dinar, budget reform cannot function properly.


Banking Reforms and Foreign Currency Handling

The Missing Link

A major part of Iraq’s banking reform involves:

  • Foreign currency handling

  • Cross-border trade

  • International banking compliance

If the dinar cannot:

  • Trade freely

  • Settle internationally

  • Interact with other currencies

then banking reform remains theoretical — not operational.

That is why reforms have been stalled, not abandoned.


Sanctions, Compliance, and Going International

Why Timing Is Everything

Sanctions and international oversight demand:

  • Transparency

  • Stability

  • A recognized exchange rate

  • A tradable national currency

Iraq cannot “go international” financially until:

  1. A new government is formed

  2. The exchange rate is introduced internally

  3. The dinar becomes tradable

The sequence matters — and Iraq is following it.


Featured Snippet: The Core Confirmation

Iraq has officially confirmed that changing the dollar exchange rate is the authority of the next government, validating why budget and banking reforms have remained stalled since 2009.


Jeff’s Key Point: This Was Always the Plan

According to Jeff:

  • The delay was never confusion

  • The reforms were never canceled

  • The rate change was never abandoned

Everything has been waiting on one trigger:

The completion of the next government.

When that happens:

  • The exchange rate can be introduced

  • Banking reforms can activate

  • Budget reform can finally move forward


Why This Matters More Than Headlines Admit

Many focus on daily political drama.

But this confirmation tells us something deeper:

  • Iraq knows the problem

  • Iraq knows the solution

  • Iraq knows who has the authority

The system is paused — not broken.


Q&A: What This Confirms

Q: Who can change Iraq’s exchange rate?

A: Only the next fully formed government.

Q: Has Iraq admitted to a financial crisis?

A: Yes, officially.

Q: Why has budget reform been stalled since 2009?

A: Because it depends on a tradable dinar and exchange rate change.

Q: Can banking reforms happen before the rate change?

A: No. Foreign currency handling requires a tradable national currency.

Q: Is this speculation?

A: No. These confirmations now appear in official articles.


Key Takeaways

  • Iraq admits to a financial crisis

  • Exchange rate authority belongs to the next government

  • Budget reform stalled since 2009 for a reason

  • Banking reforms depend on a tradable dinar

  • The delay is structural, not accidental

  • Jeff’s analysis is now confirmed in print


Final Thoughts: When Reality Catches Up to Analysis

This is the moment analysts wait for.

When:

  • Articles confirm the timeline

  • Officials confirm the authority

  • And the logic finally becomes public

The message is clear:

Nothing moves until the next government is complete.

And once it is — the door opens.


Follow & Stay Connected

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Hashtags 

#IraqCrisis #ExchangeRate
#Dinar #JeffAnalysis
#IraqEconomy #BankingReform
#BudgetReform #NextGovernment
#MonetaryPolicy #BreakingNews
#DinarRevaluation #GlobalFinance

Jeff  

 Article:  "Acknowledging the financial crisis...MP: Changing the dollar exchange rate is within the purview of the next government"  They're saying the next government is the one that's going to have the powers to control changing of the dollar exchange rate...What did I tell you?  We're waiting on the completion of the next government to change the rate.  Bam.  Right here, confirmed in print...They're the ones that introduce the rate change within the country of Iraq...I love it when my work is confirmed.

  They announced in this article "An economist says budget reform has been stalled since 2009"   Why They're waiting for the rate to change.  Part of the banking reforms have to do with foreign currency - handling and dealings...If the dinar is not tradable, which right now their tradable currency is the US dollar, they're not able to trade, interact and work with foreign currencies due to sanctions waiting for the rate to change, going international, having a tradable currency.


The Quantum Financial System (QFS) “opened its gates" ‪@DINARREVALUATION‬ #dinaresgurus #iqd

 


Customs: Customs Regulations Have Become More Realistic And There Is Significant Trade Exchange.

 Customs: Customs Regulations Have Become More Realistic And There Is Significant Trade Exchange.

Money and Business   Economy News – Baghdad   The General Authority of Customs announced on Monday that there are reassuring rates in customs revenues after the implementation of the latest procedures, noting that these procedures are in place in most countries of the world.

The Director General of the Authority, Thamer Qasim, said that "customs demarcation has become more realistic, and there is a large trade exchange," noting that "there are reassuring rates in customs revenues."

He added that "the fee was previously paid as a lump sum per container, while today the fee is based on the size of the container, and this is the practice in most countries," noting that "the lump sum container fees represent a waste of public money and cannot be returned to this practice."

Regarding the implementation of the ASYCUDA system, Qassem confirmed that "some traders were increasing the amounts for imported goods before the implementation of the ASYCUDA system," noting that "a trader who feels wronged can submit a grievance to reconsider the assessment of the customs tariff for his goods." https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65513


Iran's Bold Move: US Base in Baghdad Attacked! #iraqnews

 


The Presidency Of The Government And The Presidency Of The Republic: To Proceed With A Balanced Policy And Resolve Constitutional Issues

 The Presidency Of The Government And The Presidency Of The Republic: To Proceed With A Balanced Policy And Resolve Constitutional Issues

Money and Business   Economy News – Baghdad   Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani received President Abdul Latif Jamal Rashid on Monday.

The meeting witnessed discussions on developments in the general situation in the country and the region, where the need to strengthen national unity and support the government’s measures and steps in enhancing Iraq’s pivotal role in the region was emphasized

The meeting also emphasized the government’s commitment to adopting a balanced foreign policy and its support for dialogue in resolving crises and establishing regional security and stability.

The meeting stressed the importance of resolving constitutional requirements towards forming a government capable of completing the development and economic revival process, and meeting the aspirations of the Iraqi people in the next stage.   https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65514

JEFF: WHY IRAQ’S BUDGET REFORM HAS BEEN STALLED SINCE 2009: THE EXCHANGE RATE TRUTH BEHIND BANKING REFORMS

Introduction: A Question That Changes Everything

In a recent article, an economist made a striking admission:

“Budget reform in Iraq has been stalled since 2009.”

At first glance, this sounds unbelievable. Why would a country rich in oil, resources, and international partnerships delay reform for more than a decade?

According to Jeff’s analysis, the answer is far simpler — and far more revealing — than most people realize.

They are waiting for the exchange rate to change.


Why Budget Reform Has Been Frozen for Over a Decade

It Was Never About Lack of Planning

Iraq has produced:

  • Budgets

  • Draft reform laws

  • Banking frameworks

  • Financial restructuring plans

So why hasn’t real reform happened?

Because budget reform cannot function properly without a tradable national currency.

As long as the Iraqi dinar remains restricted and non-international, meaningful reform remains impossible.


The Core Issue: A Non-Tradable Currency

Why Iraq Is Still Using the U.S. Dollar

Right now, Iraq’s primary tradable currency is the U.S. dollar, not the dinar.

This creates a fundamental problem:

  • Iraq cannot fully interact with global banking systems

  • Foreign currency exchange is limited

  • International settlements remain restricted

  • Sanctions complicate foreign transactions

Without a tradable dinar, Iraq cannot complete its financial transformation.


Banking Reforms and Foreign Currency Handling

What the Reforms Are Really About

A major component of Iraq’s banking reforms involves:

  • Foreign currency handling

  • International settlements

  • Cross-border transactions

  • Compliance with global banking standards

But here’s the catch:

If the dinar is not tradable internationally, banks cannot properly function within the global system.

This is why reforms appear stalled — they are paused, not abandoned.


Sanctions and the Waiting Game

Why Timing Matters

Sanctions and international oversight require:

  • Transparency

  • Stability

  • A recognized exchange rate

  • A currency that can move across borders

Iraq is essentially in a holding pattern, waiting for the moment when:

  • The exchange rate changes

  • The dinar becomes internationally tradable

  • Banking reforms can finally be activated

Until then, pushing reforms would be ineffective — or even dangerous.


Jeff’s Key Insight: Everything Hinges on the Rate

According to Jeff:

  • Budget reform

  • Banking reform

  • Foreign investment

  • International trade

all depend on one missing step.

A change in the exchange rate that allows the dinar to go international.

Without it, Iraq remains stuck using the dollar as a bridge currency — a temporary solution that cannot support long-term reform.


Featured Snippet: The Critical Insight

Iraq’s budget reform has been stalled since 2009 because the dinar is not yet tradable internationally, making full banking and foreign currency reforms impossible without an exchange rate change.


Why Reform Cannot Come Before the Rate Change

Sequence Matters

Many assume reforms should come first — but Iraq’s situation demands the opposite order:

  1. Exchange rate adjustment

  2. International tradability of the dinar

  3. Activation of banking reforms

  4. Functional budget reform

  5. Full global integration

Skipping step one breaks the entire process.


Q&A: Breaking It Down

Q: Why hasn’t Iraq reformed its budget since 2009?

A: Because meaningful budget reform requires a tradable national currency, which Iraq does not yet have.

Q: What currency is Iraq actually using for trade?

A: The U.S. dollar remains the primary tradable currency.

Q: How does this affect banking reforms?

A: Banks cannot handle foreign currency or international transactions properly without a tradable dinar.

Q: Are sanctions part of the delay?

A: Yes. Sanctions require strict compliance that hinges on exchange rate stability and transparency.

Q: What unlocks the entire process?

A: A change in the exchange rate that allows the dinar to go international.


The Bigger Picture: Not Delay, But Design

This isn’t incompetence or neglect.

It’s intentional sequencing.

Iraq is holding back reforms until the monetary foundation is ready. Once the exchange rate changes, reforms that have been “stalled” for years can be implemented rapidly.

That’s why observers often say:
“Everything is ready — they’re just waiting.”


Final Thoughts

Budget reform, banking reform, and economic modernization in Iraq are not separate issues.

They are all tied to one central reality:

You cannot reform a financial system without a tradable national currency.

Until the dinar goes international, Iraq remains in waiting mode.

And that is exactly why budget reform has been stalled since 2009.


Follow & Stay Connected

🔗 Blog: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/
📢 Telegram: https://t.me/DINAREVALUATION
📘 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100064023274131
🐦 Twitter / X: https://x.com/DinaresGurus
📺 YouTube: 
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Hashtags 

#IraqBudget #Dinar #ExchangeRate
#BankingReform #JeffAnalysis #MntGoat
#IraqEconomy #GlobalBanking #Forex
#FinancialReform #DinarRevaluation
#EconomicIntegration #BreakingNews

Jeff

  They announced in this article "An economist says budget reform has been stalled since 2009

  Why They're waiting for the rate to change. 

 Part of the banking reforms have to do with foreign currency - handling and dealings...If the dinar is not tradable, which right now their tradable currency is the US dollar, they're not able to trade, interact and work with foreign currencies due to sanctions waiting for the rate to change, going international, having a tradable currency.


FRANK26: The Big Question: What Is Still Missing for a New Exchange Rate? @DINARREVALUATION #iqd

 


Iraq reports mixed inflation trends in 2025

 Shafaq News- Baghdad

Iraq’s Ministry of Planning said inflation pressures eased in most months of 2025, with price declines recorded more frequently than increases across the country, including the Kurdistan Region.

Ministry spokesperson Abdul Zahra Al-Hindawi said data compiled by statistical teams showed inflation fell in seven months during the year. The steepest monthly increase came in August, when inflation rose by 0.8%, while the sharpest decline was recorded in June, with a drop of 1.2%.


The consumer basket monitored by the ministry covers 333 goods and services, representing about 88% of total household spending. These items are divided into 12 main expenditure groups, including food and beverages, and housing.


On an annual basis, compared with 2024, inflation followed a shifting pattern throughout the year. Prices increased during the first five months of 2025, peaking in January with an annual rise of 2.3%. From June onward, annual inflation turned negative and continued to decline through the final months of the year.


Iraq’s annual inflation rate stood at 2.6% in 2024, down from 4.4% in 2023 and 5% in 2022, according to recent figures released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).


FIREFLY: We can cover 100% on almost any rate that we want to come out with.!! ‪@DINARREVALUATION‬

 


US, Israel, and Iran step up military readiness as regional tensions grow

 Shafaq News

A background look at the forces, weapons systems, and defenses shaping the current standoff.

Israel’s decision to ban photography during its June 2025 war with Iran reflected the scale of damage caused by Iranian ballistic missiles that struck targets across multiple Israeli cities. A similar ban imposed by Iranian authorities aimed to conceal damage to nuclear facilities and other sites hit in cities and surrounding areas.


Attention has now shifted back to the possibility of renewed confrontation, with the United States emerging at the forefront of a potential conflict with Iran, while Israel positions itself behind Washington in an effort to steer the crisis toward a military option rather than negotiations. Israeli media have quoted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as saying that talks with Iran would not produce meaningful results.


As both sides increase military preparations, focus has turned to the capabilities of the potential adversaries: the United States and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other. Recent US military deployments are among the largest seen in the region, with Washington raising readiness levels at its bases near Iran and deploying aircraft carriers equipped with advanced offensive and defensive systems.


US Military Posture


The US Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced that the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group is currently operating in the Middle East “to enhance regional security and stability.” Military analysts often describe the carrier as a floating airbase.


The strike group includes the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln and three guided-missile destroyers: USS Frank E. Petersen, Jr., USS Spruance, and USS Michael Murphy. According to CBS, the carrier hosts squadrons of F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, EA-18G Growler electronic warfare aircraft, fifth-generation F-35C stealth fighters, and MH-60R/S helicopters.


In addition to the carrier group, Washington has deployed squadrons of F-15 fighter jets and C-17 transport aircraft carrying heavy equipment to the region.


A single Arleigh Burke-class destroyer, such as USS Frank E. Petersen, Jr., is capable of launching Tomahawk cruise missile strikes against Iranian targets and providing air defense for the carrier group through the Aegis combat system. The Arleigh Burke class is considered among the most advanced in the US Navy and is equipped with the Aegis system, designed to integrate sensors to counter anti-ship missile threats, according to Naval Technology.


The Aegis system can intercept ballistic missiles using SM-3 interceptors. The destroyers are also armed with up to 56 Tomahawk cruise missiles, including land-attack and anti-ship variants guided by inertial navigation.


EA-18G Growler aircraft are designed to conduct electronic warfare missions, including jamming enemy air defense systems. Similar capabilities were previously employed by the United States during operations targeting Venezuelan air defenses.


Iran’s Capabilities


On the Iranian side, ballistic missiles are viewed as the most influential element of its military arsenal. Leaked footage from previous confrontations showed missiles striking key administrative centers in Tel Aviv and the economic hub of Haifa.


According to the Office of the US Director of National Intelligence, Iran possesses the largest stockpile of ballistic missiles in the Middle East.


Statements and videos released by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) over time indicate that Iran operates multiple missile sites in and around Tehran, as well as at least five known underground “missile cities” across several regions, including Kermanshah, Semnan, and areas near the Gulf.


Iran’s ballistic missile inventory includes several systems with varying ranges, such as the Sejjil missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers, Emad with a range of 1,700 kilometers, Kadr with a range of 2,000 kilometers, Shahab-3 with a range of 1,300 kilometers, Khorramshahr with a range of 2,000 kilometers, and Hoveyzeh with a range of 1,350 kilometers.

In April 2025, Iran’s semi-official Student News Agency (ISNA) published a graphic showing nine Iranian missiles it said were capable of reaching Israel. These included a hypersonic Sejjil missile, which the agency said can fly at speeds exceeding 17,000 kilometers per hour with a range of 2,500 kilometers, the Kheibar missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers, and the Haj Qassem missile with a range of 1,400 kilometers.

Iranian officials have emphasized that these missile capabilities allow Tehran to target US military bases across the region, including in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkiye, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain.

In June 2023, Iran announced that it had developed its first domestically produced hypersonic ballistic missile. Hypersonic missiles travel at least five times the speed of sound and follow complex trajectories, making them difficult to intercept.

Iran has not indicated whether it would accept negotiations over its ballistic missile program. The issue remains a core concern for both the United States and Israel, which argue that limiting Iran’s missile capabilities is essential to any agreement. Iranian officials, however, have repeatedly described the missile program as a “red line,” insisting that negotiations should be confined to the nuclear file.

Read more: Redrawing the map: How Iran–Israel war is reshaping the Middle East

Tehran has used ballistic missiles in several operations, including a strike on the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. In January 2024, the IRGC said it targeted an Israeli intelligence facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, as well as Islamic State (ISIS) positions in Syria. Iran has also launched ballistic missiles at two bases belonging to an armed group inside Pakistani territory.

Saudi Arabia and the United States accused Iran in 2019 of carrying out a drone and cruise missile attack on facilities operated by Saudi Aramco. Tehran denied responsibility.

One of the most significant Iranian missile attacks against US forces occurred in 2020, when Iran struck the Ain al-Asad Air Base in western Iraq in response to the US assassination of Qassem Soleimani, commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force, in Baghdad.

Read more: Zero-sum game: Can the Iran-Israel conflict push Iraq toward frontline?

Despite Iran’s promotion of advanced air defense systems such as Khordad-15, Bavar-373, and Sevom Khordad, previous rounds of fighting showed that these systems, including Russian-supplied S-300PMU batteries, failed to prevent US and Israeli air strikes.

Israel’s Air and Missile Defenses

Israel’s primary military advantage lies in its air force, which is widely regarded as among the most capable globally. It is centered on squadrons of F-35, F-15, and F-16 fighter jets and has played a central role in Israel’s military campaigns across the region over the past two years.

Israel also relies heavily on its missile defense network, which intercepted a portion of Iranian missiles during the last conflict, though the systems showed signs of strain. The network is designed to counter Iranian drones, including the Shahed series, which fly at speeds of about 185 kilometers per hour, with ranges exceeding 2,500 kilometers and payloads of 30 to 50 kilograms of explosives.


Read more: Fragile Truce: Unpacking the uneasy ceasefire between Israel and Iran


Israel’s missile defense architecture consists of four operational layers, with an additional laser-based interception system announced but not yet used in combat. The existing systems include Iron Dome, which intercepts short-range rockets with ranges between four and 70 kilometers; David’s Sling, designed to counter medium-range threats between three and 400 kilometers; and Arrow-3, intended to intercept long-range and hypersonic missiles at distances of up to 2,300 kilometers.


The United States, which Israel depends on for logistics and intelligence, has also deployed the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system to support Israel’s defenses against missiles with ranges exceeding 3,000 kilometers.


Unused Capabilities


If a new war were to break out, it could involve weapons not previously used by all sides. Iran has yet to employ its naval forces deployed along the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman, the Strait of Hormuz, and the port of Bandar Abbas. According to Global Firepower, Iran’s navy ranks 37th globally.


Iran typically launches ballistic missiles at night, citing operational mobility and the technical requirements of liquid-fuel missiles. Night launches also reduce exposure to satellite surveillance, which has played a key role in US and Israeli monitoring of Iranian military movements and has assisted Israeli air operations in targeting parts of Iran’s missile infrastructure.

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