Iraq’s political crisis has intensified as parliament once again failed to convene to elect a president and designate a prime minister.
At the center of the storm is one controversial question:
Will Nouri al-Maliki return to power?
For many observers and investors, the implications of his possible return extend far beyond politics — potentially affecting economic reform, foreign investment, and confidence in Iraq’s monetary future.
Let’s break down the situation.
Parliament Fails Again – What Happened?
For the second time this week, Iraq’s parliament was unable to hold a successful session to:
Elect a president
Designate a prime minister
Move forward with government formation
Unlike previous breakdowns driven by Kurdish political disputes, this collapse centers largely around disagreement over Maliki’s candidacy.
According to reports, officials within the Coordination Framework are debating three possible scenarios to end the deadlock — but no final agreement has been reached.
Why Is Maliki So Controversial?
Nouri al-Maliki served as Iraq’s Prime Minister from 2006 to 2014.
Supporters argue:
He has experience managing the state.
He understands Iraq’s security structure.
He maintains influence across political blocs.
Critics argue:
His previous tenure contributed to sectarian divisions.
His leadership period coincided with instability.
His return may discourage foreign investors.
It could signal a reversal of reform efforts.
Within Iraq’s evolving political environment, perceptions matter — especially to international markets.
Why Is the Coordination Framework Pushing His Nomination?
The Coordination Framework, a coalition of primarily Shiite political forces, reportedly views Maliki as:
A stabilizing internal figure
A strong negotiator within factional politics
A power broker capable of consolidating influence
However, the growing resistance to his candidacy suggests:
Political fatigue
Fear of international backlash
Concerns over reform momentum
As more factions reconsider their support, some analysts describe Maliki’s candidacy as becoming politically “toxic.”
How Political Deadlock Impacts the Iraqi Dinar
Political instability directly affects:
Investor confidence
Budget approval timelines
Oil revenue planning
Monetary reform implementation
There is widespread belief among observers that meaningful economic reform — including any major currency developments — is unlikely while:
A government is not fully formed
Leadership legitimacy remains disputed
Parliament cannot function effectively
Monetary stability requires political stability.
The CBI’s Position Remains Firm
While politics remain gridlocked, the Central Bank of Iraq continues to maintain the official exchange rate.
The CBI has consistently emphasized:
Exchange rate stability
Strong foreign currency reserves
Controlled liquidity injections
Reduction of black-market distortions
Despite political noise, the central bank’s monetary stance has not shifted.
Q&A Section
❓ Why is Nouri al-Maliki’s return controversial?
Maliki’s previous tenure as prime minister was marked by political division and instability. Critics fear his return could undermine reform efforts and investor confidence.
❓ Has Iraq formed a new government?
No. Parliament has failed multiple times to convene and complete the presidential and prime ministerial selection process.
❓ Does political deadlock affect the Iraqi dinar?
Yes. Political instability can delay economic reforms and discourage foreign investment, both of which influence currency strength.
❓ Is the Central Bank changing the exchange rate?
No. The Central Bank of Iraq has maintained the official exchange rate and continues monetary stability efforts.
Featured Snippet Summary (Google Discover Ready)
Iraq’s parliament failed again to elect a president and designate a prime minister.
Disagreement over Nouri al-Maliki’s candidacy is a major factor.
The Coordination Framework is reportedly considering multiple scenarios.
Political instability may delay economic reforms.
The Central Bank of Iraq continues to maintain exchange rate stability.
Three Possible Scenarios Being Discussed
While not officially confirmed, reports suggest three broad options under discussion:
1️⃣ Proceed with Maliki despite opposition
2️⃣ Replace Maliki with a compromise candidate
3️⃣ Form a temporary political agreement to move forward
Whether any of these will succeed remains uncertain.
What Might Next Week Bring?
Key factors to watch:
Emergency parliamentary sessions
Public statements from major blocs
International diplomatic responses
Any shift in the CBI’s monetary language
Oil revenue and budget discussions
In Iraq’s political climate, momentum can shift quickly — but sustained reform requires consensus.
Final Analysis
Iraq stands at a crossroads.
Political unity is essential for:
Budget stabilization
Economic reform
Foreign investment
Long-term currency strength
Without resolution, uncertainty continues.
And markets dislike uncertainty.
The Central Bank remains steady.
Parliament remains divided.
The question now is: who moves first?
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MNT GOAT
MALIKI IS POISON TO IRAQ, POISON TO THE MIDDLE EAST AND POISON TO INVESTORS IN IRAQ. Then why is his nomination being pushed so
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hard by the Coordination Framework? Iraq's political deadlock continues as the end of the week nears. It now turns on a single question: does Nouri al-Maliki come back? For the second time,
parliament failed to convene a session to elect a president and designate a prime minister this week. This time, the collapse was driven not by Kurdish infighting, but by disagreement over Maliki's candidacy. As more and more change their minds about Maliki he is slowly becoming TOXIC to Iraq. A Framework official told news channels that three scenarios are now under discussion, to end the deadlock. Are they viable solutions or just talk? There isn't even
a far remote chance of a reinstatement of the Iraqi dinar while this election saga continues. When might it end and will it end successfully for all Iraqi people? Plus, the CBI stands firm on
the 'official' exchange rate. What might next week bring us?
Let's explore these issues together in today's Newsletter.