Introduction: Why This Moment Matters for Iraq
For years, Iraq’s political system has been locked in what many analysts call “the long struggle”—a cycle of stalled elections, delayed reforms, and power struggles behind closed doors. According to long-time Iraq analyst Mnt Goat, that cycle may now be reaching its conclusion.
The expected withdrawal of Nouri al-Maliki from the presidential equation could represent the single most important political unblocker Iraq has seen in years.
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Maliki’s anticipated withdrawal is widely viewed as the political key needed to unlock Iraq’s stalled presidential process.
The Core Issue: Why the Presidency Was Delayed
Was the Stalemate Accidental?
According to this analysis, the delay in electing Iraq’s president was not procedural confusion, but a deliberate political maneuver.
Key points include:
The presidency vote was repeatedly postponed
No clear nominee was advanced by Kurdistan
The process stalled precisely when Maliki’s path forward remained possible
This suggests that stalling was a defensive strategy, not dysfunction.
Kurdistan’s Strategic Silence Explained
Why Kurdistan Waited
Mnt Goat’s assessment highlights a critical insight:
Kurdistan would not announce a candidate unless they knew Maliki was out.
This implies that Kurdistan’s leadership was waiting for certainty, not speculating. The absence of a Kurdish nominee acted as a brake on the entire political process, preventing the next steps from triggering Maliki’s potential nomination.
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Kurdistan’s delay in naming a presidential candidate functioned as a strategic block against Maliki’s return.
Fuad Hussein’s Nomination: A Signal, Not a Coincidence
The announcement of Fuad Hussein as a Kurdish presidential nominee is widely interpreted as confirmation that the political landscape has shifted.
Why this matters:
It signals confidence that Maliki will not advance
It unlocks the constitutional sequence to elect a president
It allows Parliament to resume its role without fear of regression
In political systems like Iraq’s, timing is everything—and this timing speaks volumes.
Why Maliki’s Withdrawal Changes Everything
Ending the “Long Struggle”
Maliki’s presence has long been associated with:
Centralization of power
Resistance to reform
Heightened sectarian tensions
International mistrust
His exit—if formally announced—would remove the single most polarizing obstacle to political consensus.
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Analysts believe Maliki’s withdrawal could mark the end of Iraq’s prolonged political paralysis.
What Happens Next? The Expected Timeline
Based on the analysis:
A new parliamentary session to elect the president may occur early next week
Government formation steps would resume immediately after
Long-delayed reforms could re-enter the agenda
Political stability would improve investor and international confidence
This sequence is critical not only for governance—but also for economic and monetary reform discussions tied to stability.
Why This Matters Beyond Politics
Political clarity is often the first domino in larger national transitions.
Once leadership uncertainty ends:
Laws move forward
Budgets finalize
Reforms activate
International agreements regain traction
This is why many observers believe Iraq’s political resolution is foundational to everything that follows.
Q&A: Iraq’s Political Shift Explained
Q: Has Maliki officially withdrawn?
A: No official announcement yet. This article reflects analysis and expectations based on political signals.
Q: Why was Kurdistan’s role so important?
A: Kurdistan controls a key step in the presidential process and used that leverage strategically.
Q: Is Fuad Hussein guaranteed to become president?
A: No. His nomination signals progress, not a final outcome.
Q: Does this impact economic reforms?
A: Political stability is widely viewed as a prerequisite for sustained reform.
Key Takeaways (Google Discover Ready)
Iraq’s presidency delay was strategic, not accidental
Kurdistan waited for Maliki’s exit before acting
Fuad Hussein’s nomination signals political clarity
Maliki’s withdrawal could end years of paralysis
Stability begins with leadership resolution
Final Thoughts: A Political Chapter Closing
If confirmed, Maliki’s withdrawal would not simply be a personal decision—it would represent the closing of a political era.
The “long struggle” was never just about elections. It was about preventing regression and forcing Iraq’s system to move forward.
Now, for the first time in years, the path appears open.
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Mnt Goat
Article: “THE END OF THE “LONG STRUGGLE” …
MALIKI IS CLOSE TO ANNOUNCING HIS WITHDRAWAL EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT A NEW SESSION TO ELECT THE “PRESIDENT” WILL BE HELD EARLY NEXT WEEK.” My sincere belief, not opinion, is that this announcement is what Kurdistan was waiting for in order to announce their nominee for the presidency. Kurdistan would not have just announced their candidate Fuad Hussein, if they didn’t know that Maliki was out..
.this was the sole reason for the stalling in the election process in the first place as a delay in picking the president was just a reason to stall. In other words, a political maneuver by the Kurds to stall the process in order to take a step back and keep the next step from happening, which would have been Maliki’s nomination.