Wednesday, February 18, 2026
THE SUDANESE COALITION SENDS A SIGNAL: THE FRAMEWORK MAY CONVINCE MALIKI TO WITHDRAW HIS CANDIDACY
THE SUDANESE COALITION SENDS A SIGNAL: THE FRAMEWORK MAY CONVINCE MALIKI TO WITHDRAW HIS CANDIDACY.
Mohammed Al-Akeeli, a member of the Reconstruction and Development Alliance, suggested on Monday that the issue of nominating Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki would be decided by a decision from the Coordination Framework forces, noting that withdrawing the nomination – if it happens – will be with the approval of Al-Maliki himself, and not by an individual decision from him, in reference to efforts within the framework to address the political deadlock.
Al-Akeeli’s statements come in conjunction with indications of a decline in support for Nouri al-Maliki within the coordination framework, as the Victorious Bloc, affiliated with the Sayyid al-Shuhada Brigades, had previously hinted at the possibility of withdrawing al-Maliki’s nomination for the premiership due to “the importance of close economic relations between Iraq and America,” according to what was stated by MP Jassim al-Moussawi, while the Services Bloc, the political wing of the Imam Ali Brigades faction, called for collecting signatures to dissolve Parliament.
It appears that the bloc supporting Maliki is shrinking day by day. After his nomination began with the support of 10 out of 12 leaders within the Shiite coordination framework, the Victory Coalition, led by Haider al-Abadi, expressed its objection in a subsequent statement to the nomination decision.
The opposition bloc began with the leader of the Wisdom Movement, Ammar al-Hakim, who was absent from the meeting, and the leader of the Asaib Ahl al-Haq movement, whose circles raised clear voices and at unusual levels against al-Maliki’s nomination.
In the latest developments, Muhammad al-Akeeli, a leader in the Sudanese coalition, said in an interview with journalist Muhammad al-Khaza’i, which was followed by 964 Network , that “the constitution did not mention in its articles any punitive or penal matters for constitutional violations, which made the political blocs live in a state of relaxation that does not serve the interests of the Iraqi people.”
Regarding whether the Coordination Framework will proceed with or withdraw al-Maliki’s nomination, al-Akeeli said: “I don’t think Mr. al-Maliki will withdraw, but I think there will be a decision from the Coordination Framework, with Mr. al-Maliki’s approval, to withdraw his nomination.”
Al-Akeeli added, “The Reconstruction and Development Coalition forms an important part of the coordination framework, but the rest of the parties in the framework must take steps similar to the Reconstruction and Development Coalition. We first sent a message consisting of five points before supporting Maliki, and it served as a working guide for the coordination framework, but it was not taken into account, and we went to a deadlock. Then, the competition was limited to 3 candidates, so Mr. Al-Sudani withdrew in favor of Mr. Maliki, and we returned to a deadlock again. What more do you want the Reconstruction and Development Coalition to do?”
🔎 Jeff: Is Iraq Masking the Rate Change — Or Is Iran the Real Delay? February Window Analysis
Jeff’s latest commentary centers on one core question many investors are asking:
Is Iraq deliberately keeping the rate change timing hidden — or is geopolitical tension with Iran the real reason for delay?
Let’s break down the two scenarios he outlined and analyze them logically.
🧭 Scenario 1: Is Iraq Masking the Rate Change?
Jeff suggests one possibility is that Iraqi leadership is intentionally limiting transparency around:
Government formation timing
Parliamentary scheduling
Key reform milestones
The idea is that reduced visibility could prevent speculation about when the exchange rate might change.
Why Would They Do This?
Central banks typically avoid pre-announcing currency adjustments because:
It prevents speculative attacks.
It reduces arbitrage exploitation.
It protects financial stability.
It avoids premature capital movement.
The institution responsible for any rate adjustment is:
Central Bank of Iraq
If a change were imminent, silence would be strategic — not suspicious.
However, silence alone does not confirm timing.
🌍 Scenario 2: Iran & Geopolitical Tension
Jeff’s second theory focuses on developments involving:
Iran
The hypothesis:
Military or diplomatic actions between the U.S. and Iran may be influencing timing.
Regional stability directly impacts monetary decisions.
Any escalation could temporarily pause implementation.
Iraq’s economy is deeply sensitive to regional security dynamics.
Currency valuation depends on:
Trade flow reliability
Energy export continuity
Sanctions risk exposure
Investor confidence
If tensions escalate, delay becomes logical.
If tensions cool, movement becomes easier.
🇺🇸 U.S. Involvement
While Jeff references potential U.S. military posture, it is important to clarify:
The U.S. does not directly set Iraq’s exchange rate.
It does influence regional stability and financial compliance frameworks.
Treasury cooperation has historically shaped Iraq’s banking reforms.
Geopolitical alignment matters — but sovereignty remains with Iraq.
📅 February vs. Second Half of 2026
Jeff firmly rejects the idea of waiting until late 2026.
His position:
We are not that far away.
He remains positioned within February.
If no military escalation occurs, movement could happen this month.
This is an opinion-based timeline projection.
From a structural standpoint, timing depends on:
✔ Political stability
✔ Government formation clarity
✔ Regional calm
✔ CBI internal readiness
✔ Market confidence metrics
If those align — timing compresses.
If not — it extends.
⚖️ Logical Assessment
Let’s compare both scenarios:
| Factor | Masking Strategy | Iran Geopolitical Delay |
|---|---|---|
| Transparency | Low | Low |
| Risk Exposure | Financial speculation | Military escalation |
| Currency Sensitivity | High | Very High |
| Plausibility | Moderate | Moderate–High |
Both are possible.
Neither has official confirmation.
📌 Featured Snippets
❓ Is Iraq hiding the exchange rate change date?
Central banks often avoid announcing rate changes in advance to prevent speculation and protect financial stability.
❓ Could Iran tensions delay Iraq’s currency reform?
Yes. Regional instability involving Iran could affect Iraq’s monetary policy timing.
❓ Is the dinar waiting until late 2026?
There is no official confirmation of a 2026 timeline. Some analysts believe movement could occur sooner depending on stability factors.
❓ Who controls Iraq’s exchange rate?
The Central Bank of Iraq controls exchange rate decisions, not foreign governments.
🧠 Key Considerations for Investors
1️⃣ Rate changes are economic decisions — not emotional ones.
2️⃣ Silence does not equal inactivity.
3️⃣ Geopolitics heavily influences Middle East monetary timing.
4️⃣ Sudden activation is more likely than a publicly telegraphed date.
🔔 Final Thoughts
Jeff’s core message is urgency.
He believes:
We are closer than distant timeline theories suggest.
February remains viable.
Military escalation is the key variable.
Whether the delay is strategic silence or geopolitical caution, one thing remains consistent:
Security and stability drive monetary reform.
The CBI will not move until conditions support sustainability.
Stay analytical.
Avoid timeline attachment.
Monitor verified sources.
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🔥 Hashtags
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Jeff
Are they just trying to keep us in the dark about the formation of the government and its timing so we don't know when they're going to change the rate or is it the military actions of what the US government is doing towards Iran?
There's two different scenarios...I think they're either trying to mask the rate change date from us so we don't really know what's going on, or the military actions towards reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran. One of those two factors is what's so-called delaying
Some people keep talking about this happening in the second half of '26. Absolutely not.
We're not waiting till the second half of '26 on this. IMO we're not that far away...I'm still comfortably positioned within the month of February...If there isn't any type of military actions...the rate could change this month of February...
THE IRAQI ARMY AFTER THE INTERNATIONAL COALITION: A NEW PHASE OF PROFESSIONALISM AND READINESS
THE IRAQI ARMY AFTER THE INTERNATIONAL COALITION: A NEW PHASE OF PROFESSIONALISM AND READINESS
The Iraqi armed forces face a major responsibility to secure the borders and protect the country from any internal and external threats, following the withdrawal of the international coalition forces from the country.
This transformation comes as an opportunity to demonstrate the Iraqi army’s ability to assume full responsibility without relying on external support, with a focus on building a professional national army that is trained and equipped with the latest weapons and military technologies.
The history of the Iraqi army extends for more than a century, during which it has fought internal and external battles, from the Iran-Kuwait wars to confronting ISIS.
The spokesman for the Commander-in-Chief of the Iraqi Armed Forces, Sabah al-Nu’man, affirms that Iraq “is moving steadily towards building a professional military system based on field experiences accumulated in battles that were decided in favor of the state, and this vision is based on a unified national doctrine and the exclusive loyalty to the state and the constitution.”
Al-Nu’man adds to Shafaq News Agency that the Iraqi army seeks to achieve technical self-sufficiency by reviving military manufacturing and localizing military technology, while developing the air force, preparing for electronic warfare, and employing the army’s experience in urban warfare and confronting terrorist gangs, to become at the forefront of the region’s armies in terms of equipment and numbers.
Capacity building
Observers note that the “new” Iraqi army after 2003 relied on a volunteer approach to build a professional military institution, whose members choose military life voluntarily, while some experts point out that the “integration officers”, that is, the figures associated with political entities who were thrown into the army after the regime change, within the army affected the level of efficiency.
In this context, military expert Alaa Al-Nashou says, “Establishing a professional national army requires significant resources, and begins with forming military schools, institutes, and colleges to train officers and fighters, and proceeds to preparing military divisions and corps to lead operations internally and externally.”
Al-Nashou’ confirms to Shafaq News Agency that preparing a professional soldier is not limited to physical training only, but includes physical, psychological and tactical maneuvers that prepare him to deal with all military scenarios, from attack and defense to retreating combat.
The expert stresses the need to put in place mechanisms to ensure professionalism within the army, most notably keeping the military institution away from partisan and political conflicts, combating corruption and nepotism within it, and removing unqualified officers and ranks, especially “integration officers”.
It also calls for the need to grant military formations direct powers to confront any threat on the borders without the intervention of “armed factions,” and to form a military council of former commanders and officers to oversee the development of combat, organizational and moral capabilities, and to bring military personnel into training courses inside and outside Iraq, especially in countries with advanced military experience such as America, Europe and Russia.
Modern armament
Military experts believe that developing the air force has become a crucial element in protecting Iraq. Between August 2024 and October 2025, the Iraqi army received 15 American Bell 505 training aircraft, in addition to French Caracal aircraft designated for search and rescue, air transport and support for ground forces.
Observers note that these aircraft represent a qualitative leap in military training and pilot qualification, and contribute to providing fire support to ground forces and increasing their flexibility, at a time when Iraq is preparing to receive the Korean M-SAM air defense system during February to ensure the protection of the borders from any possible air intrusion.
In this regard, military expert Adnan Al-Kinani confirms that Iraq now possesses an advanced air force that includes fighter jets, drones, short, medium and long ballistic missiles, and an air defense system to protect the borders from infiltration.
Al-Kinani adds to Shafaq News Agency, “Iraq also has a local military manufacturing industry to provide weapons and equipment in the event of any potential aggression or difficulty in importing, and multi-specialty ground forces that include special forces, infantry, mechanized infantry, armor and artillery, and electronic warfare capabilities to counter modern threats.”
In conclusion, he notes the importance of having qualified national leaders to guide training, supervise armament, and carry out operations, stressing that the presence of unqualified leaders poses a threat to the army’s ability to protect the state.
🇮🇶 Frank26: Maliki, Iran Influence & U.S. Pressure — Is Iraq Nearing the Monetary Shift?
Frank26 delivered a strong message centered on one core issue:
Iraq cannot meaningfully raise the value of its currency without full political and security stability — and Iranian influence remains the obstacle.
Let’s break down the key points and analyze them through a factual, structured lens.
🇮🇷 The Iranian Influence Question
According to Frank26, Iranian-backed political pressure inside Iraq is preventing progress.
The central political figure discussed is:
Nouri al-Maliki
Maliki’s name continues to surface in debates about:
Prime Minister nominations
Coordination Framework alignment
Iranian influence in Parliament
Internal bloc control
Frank26 argues that as long as Iranian influence dominates key government sectors, Iraq cannot achieve the “security and stability” required for a higher exchange rate.
🇺🇸 U.S. Pressure & Political Leverage
Frank26 attributes strong positioning to the United States and specifically to:
Donald Trump
The claim centers on the idea that:
U.S. leadership is demanding removal of Iranian political influence.
Maliki cannot return to leadership.
Stability must be restored before monetary reform moves forward.
While such claims are opinion-based and not officially confirmed through Iraqi government statements, U.S.–Iraq relations historically have played a significant role in:
Banking compliance reforms
Anti-money laundering enforcement
Sanctions oversight
Monetary policy coordination
The broader policy objective has consistently focused on reducing destabilizing foreign interference.
🏛️ Coordination Framework & Political Deadlock
The Coordination Framework — Iraq’s largest parliamentary bloc — has struggled to form consensus leadership.
If Maliki remains a divisive figure:
Bloc fractures may intensify.
Alternative coalitions could emerge.
Judicial or parliamentary interventions could accelerate resolution.
Political gridlock delays economic confidence.
And confidence drives currency valuation.
🌙 Does Ramadan Affect the Exchange Rate Timing?
Frank26 addressed whether Ramadan is a determining factor.
Short answer:
Not necessarily.
Historically, Iraq has implemented reforms during Ramadan.
Religious observance does not automatically halt:
Banking operations
Monetary policy decisions
International agreements
Could it be symbolic to act before Ramadan?
Possibly.
Is it a hard deadline?
No.
💱 The Core Requirement: Security & Stability
The institution ultimately responsible for exchange rate adjustments is:
Central Bank of Iraq
The CBI has repeatedly emphasized two conditions:
Security
Stability
These are not vague buzzwords.
They include:
Functional government
Controlled militia activity
Clear fiscal policy
Reduced corruption risk
International banking trust
Without these, a stronger rate becomes difficult to sustain.
⚖️ Diplomacy vs. Escalation
Frank26 suggested diplomacy may be reaching its limit.
However, from a geopolitical standpoint:
Diplomatic leverage typically precedes physical escalation.
Economic pressure tools are usually deployed first.
Regional stabilization efforts involve multilateral coordination.
Any major action would require complex international alignment.
Speculation should be balanced with verified reporting.
📌 Featured Snippets
❓ Is Maliki blocking Iraq’s currency reform?
Some analysts believe Nouri al-Maliki’s political influence contributes to parliamentary deadlock, which may delay economic reforms.
❓ Does Ramadan delay the Iraqi dinar rate change?
There is no official evidence that Ramadan prevents exchange rate adjustments.
❓ Can the United States influence Iraq’s monetary reform?
The U.S. plays a role in banking oversight and compliance coordination but does not directly set Iraq’s exchange rate.
❓ What does the CBI require before raising the rate?
The Central Bank of Iraq requires security, political stability, and financial compliance before implementing major rate adjustments.
🧠 Strategic Outlook
If:
Maliki’s influence diminishes…
The Coordination Framework fractures or reforms…
Government formation stabilizes…
External interference decreases…
Then the environment for a stronger, internationally accepted rate improves.
But timing remains dependent on official decisions inside Iraq.
🔔 Final Thoughts
Frank26’s message reflects frustration with prolonged instability.
However, monetary reform is ultimately:
A sovereign decision.
Implemented by the Central Bank.
Dependent on measurable stability metrics.
Political resolution must precede monetary acceleration.
For investors:
Monitor official Iraqi publications.
Follow CBI announcements.
Avoid emotional narratives.
Consult qualified financial professionals before making decisions.
The path forward appears political before it becomes monetary.
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Frank26
I want Iraq to have an opportunity to raise the value of their currency. They're not raising it because Iran steals everything with their political influence in parliament, in the banking sectors...I'm concerned we may have to do something physical. But I am grateful...the United States of America has the ability to make this <snap> very quickly...
Is Ramadan an important factor of when they're going come out with the new rate? Not really. No. It would be nice to have it before it. Oh-yeah.
As much as diplomacy was the best route it is possible that time is up. It is possible that we need to remove Maliki...It is the Iranian influence that is pushing the coordinated framework to have Maliki be the nominee for the Prime Minister of Iraq.
It is Trump that is telling parliament and the Iranian infection inside of Iraq...get out of Iraq. Maliki cannot be prime minister...We are removing Maliki. Trump does not want any Iranian influence in Iraq whatsoever in order to bring forth the security and stability that is needed for the new exchange rate.
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