Frank26 delivered a strong message centered on one core issue:
Iraq cannot meaningfully raise the value of its currency without full political and security stability — and Iranian influence remains the obstacle.
Let’s break down the key points and analyze them through a factual, structured lens.
๐ฎ๐ท The Iranian Influence Question
According to Frank26, Iranian-backed political pressure inside Iraq is preventing progress.
The central political figure discussed is:
Nouri al-Maliki
Maliki’s name continues to surface in debates about:
Prime Minister nominations
Coordination Framework alignment
Iranian influence in Parliament
Internal bloc control
Frank26 argues that as long as Iranian influence dominates key government sectors, Iraq cannot achieve the “security and stability” required for a higher exchange rate.
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Pressure & Political Leverage
Frank26 attributes strong positioning to the United States and specifically to:
Donald Trump
The claim centers on the idea that:
U.S. leadership is demanding removal of Iranian political influence.
Maliki cannot return to leadership.
Stability must be restored before monetary reform moves forward.
While such claims are opinion-based and not officially confirmed through Iraqi government statements, U.S.–Iraq relations historically have played a significant role in:
Banking compliance reforms
Anti-money laundering enforcement
Sanctions oversight
Monetary policy coordination
The broader policy objective has consistently focused on reducing destabilizing foreign interference.
๐️ Coordination Framework & Political Deadlock
The Coordination Framework — Iraq’s largest parliamentary bloc — has struggled to form consensus leadership.
If Maliki remains a divisive figure:
Bloc fractures may intensify.
Alternative coalitions could emerge.
Judicial or parliamentary interventions could accelerate resolution.
Political gridlock delays economic confidence.
And confidence drives currency valuation.
๐ Does Ramadan Affect the Exchange Rate Timing?
Frank26 addressed whether Ramadan is a determining factor.
Short answer:
Not necessarily.
Historically, Iraq has implemented reforms during Ramadan.
Religious observance does not automatically halt:
Banking operations
Monetary policy decisions
International agreements
Could it be symbolic to act before Ramadan?
Possibly.
Is it a hard deadline?
No.
๐ฑ The Core Requirement: Security & Stability
The institution ultimately responsible for exchange rate adjustments is:
Central Bank of Iraq
The CBI has repeatedly emphasized two conditions:
Security
Stability
These are not vague buzzwords.
They include:
Functional government
Controlled militia activity
Clear fiscal policy
Reduced corruption risk
International banking trust
Without these, a stronger rate becomes difficult to sustain.
⚖️ Diplomacy vs. Escalation
Frank26 suggested diplomacy may be reaching its limit.
However, from a geopolitical standpoint:
Diplomatic leverage typically precedes physical escalation.
Economic pressure tools are usually deployed first.
Regional stabilization efforts involve multilateral coordination.
Any major action would require complex international alignment.
Speculation should be balanced with verified reporting.
๐ Featured Snippets
❓ Is Maliki blocking Iraq’s currency reform?
Some analysts believe Nouri al-Maliki’s political influence contributes to parliamentary deadlock, which may delay economic reforms.
❓ Does Ramadan delay the Iraqi dinar rate change?
There is no official evidence that Ramadan prevents exchange rate adjustments.
❓ Can the United States influence Iraq’s monetary reform?
The U.S. plays a role in banking oversight and compliance coordination but does not directly set Iraq’s exchange rate.
❓ What does the CBI require before raising the rate?
The Central Bank of Iraq requires security, political stability, and financial compliance before implementing major rate adjustments.
๐ง Strategic Outlook
If:
Maliki’s influence diminishes…
The Coordination Framework fractures or reforms…
Government formation stabilizes…
External interference decreases…
Then the environment for a stronger, internationally accepted rate improves.
But timing remains dependent on official decisions inside Iraq.
๐ Final Thoughts
Frank26’s message reflects frustration with prolonged instability.
However, monetary reform is ultimately:
A sovereign decision.
Implemented by the Central Bank.
Dependent on measurable stability metrics.
Political resolution must precede monetary acceleration.
For investors:
Monitor official Iraqi publications.
Follow CBI announcements.
Avoid emotional narratives.
Consult qualified financial professionals before making decisions.
The path forward appears political before it becomes monetary.
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Frank26
I want Iraq to have an opportunity to raise the value of their currency. They're not raising it because Iran steals everything with their political influence in parliament, in the banking sectors...I'm concerned we may have to do something physical. But I am grateful...the United States of America has the ability to make this <snap> very quickly...
Is Ramadan an important factor of when they're going come out with the new rate? Not really. No. It would be nice to have it before it. Oh-yeah.
As much as diplomacy was the best route it is possible that time is up. It is possible that we need to remove Maliki...It is the Iranian influence that is pushing the coordinated framework to have Maliki be the nominee for the Prime Minister of Iraq.
It is Trump that is telling parliament and the Iranian infection inside of Iraq...get out of Iraq. Maliki cannot be prime minister...We are removing Maliki. Trump does not want any Iranian influence in Iraq whatsoever in order to bring forth the security and stability that is needed for the new exchange rate.