FRANK26…5-17-26….BANK STORY

 

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HERE’S WHY MAY 27th IS NOW CRITICAL FOR IRAQ’S FUTURE AND THE WEST’S MIDDLE EAST WITH COMMENTS OF MNT GOAT

HERE’S WHY MAY 27th IS NOW CRITICAL FOR IRAQ’S FUTURE AND THE WEST’S MIDDLE EAST

• Iraq’s Iran-aligned Coordination Framework nominated businessman Ali al-Zaidi as prime minister-designate, but he faces a difficult 30-day deadline to form a cabinet balancing pro-Iran factions, Kurdish and Sunni blocs, and U.S. pressure.

• If Zaidi fails, Iraq’s constitution allows the president to nominate another candidate while caretaker PM Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani remains in office.

• Iraq’s political future remains tied to the broader U.S.-Iran power struggle, with Washington, Tehran, Russia, and China all competing for influence.

After more than five months of political cajolery, threats, and infighting since Iraq’s 11 November parliamentary elections – the seventh since Saddam Hussein’s fall in 2003 – an erstwhile obscure businessman, Ali al-Zaidi, has been selected as the Prime Minister-designate of the governing Iran-aligned Shia Coordination Framework bloc. Regarded as a compromise candidate between more pro-West sitting Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani, and one of his predecessors, the pro-Iran Nouri al-Maliki, al-Zaidi now has until 27 May to form a government. This is done by selecting a cabinet, which must, in turn, be approved by Iraq’s parliament (the Council of Representatives). So, what happens if, as occurred in 2020, he as Prime Minister-designate cannot do so, and what happens if he can?

A cornerstone of Iraq’s 2005 Constitution was the safeguarding against the re-emergence of a single dominant force in Iraqi politics, especially any resurgence of Saddam Hussein’s Ba’ath Party. This meant a dispersal of executive power between three key jobs – Prime Minister, President, and Speaker of Parliament. These have traditionally been split between the three main groups in the country — the Prime Minister for the Shia Arabs (the largest demographic group), the Presidency for the Kurds (occupying the semi-autonomous state in the North), and the Speakership of Parliament for the Sunni Arabs (the other principal religious grouping). Although this power structure has indeed prevented any meaningful revival of the Ba’ath Party, it has also complicated what on the face of it looks a straightforward and quick procedure for choosing a new premier.

According to the constitution, once the general election results have been verified, the president asks the newly elected parliament to meet within 15 days. In that first gathering, parliament elects a speaker and two deputies by a simple majority vote. It can then choose a new president – provided there is a two-thirds majority for a single candidate — or extend the sitting president’s term. Once this has been finalized, the new president authorizes the bloc that holds the most seats in the new parliament to form a cabinet led by its chosen nominee for prime minister.

So what happens if al-Zaidi is unable to form a new government by  May 27th?

Under Article 76 of the Constitution, the President (Patriotic Union of Kurdistan member and former Environment Minister, Nizar Amedi) has 15 days from the date of the deadline’s expiration (taking us to 11 June) to task another candidate with forming the Council of Ministers. The new nominee then receives their own 30-day window to present a cabinet and government program to the Council of Representatives, and so the process would continue until any of the subsequent Prime Minister-designates can form a new government.

In 2020, two consecutive Prime Minister-designates failed to take office after proving unable to assemble a cabinet with parliamentary support. In the interim period, the outgoing government – currently led by al-Sudani – would continue to function in a caretaker capacity to prevent a political vacuum.

(Mnt Goat: This election could drag out all through the summer. Do you see it too? So let’s not go off half-cocked with these ideas that the RV is imminent. This is obviously stupid to say at this point in time since there is no evidence to back up this claim. The show is not over until the fat lady sings…. Lol…  But let’s pray for the best and for an honest, competent person will take over the helm and move Iraq forward not backward. Are you praying for Iraq? )

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