๐ฐ ๐งพ What the CBI has ACTUALLY said (real foundation)
✔️ 1. The “delete zeros” project is still alive
Governor Ali al-Alaq has indicated:
“The project… still exists and is ongoing”
๐ Key point: It has not been canceled — it remains in planning
✔️ 2. It will be implemented when “conditions are right”
- The Central Bank of Iraq has consistently said it will move forward when the economy is ready
๐ Real meaning:
- They are waiting for the right strategic moment
✔️ 3. There is official intent to remove zeros
- Officials have confirmed there is intent to delete zeros
๐ This is no longer just speculation → it is a considered policy option
✔️ 4. It’s part of a broader monetary reform
- The plan aims to:
- modernize the financial system
- reduce cash usage
- improve efficiency
๐ This is structurally positive for the economy
✔️ 5. Strong control over the dinar
- The Iraqi dinar is not freely floating
- It is tightly managed by the Central Bank of Iraq
๐ Meaning:
๐ Any major change would be planned and controlled
✔️ 6. No exchange rate change for now
- The CBI has said it is not currently considering changing the rate
๐ Important nuance:
- This does not rule out future changes
๐ฎ ๐ OPTIMISTIC FORECAST (based on all of the above)
Now let’s connect the dots ๐
๐ง Phase 1 (Current – 2026): Quiet preparation
What we are seeing now:
- Active evaluation of the project
- Banking reforms (digitization, dollar control)
- Exchange rate stability
- Strong foreign reserves
๐ This is typical of countries preparing for monetary reform
๐ Phase 2 (Possible 2026–2028): Activation of “delete zeros”
If these conditions hold:
- controlled inflation
- modernized banking system
- political stability
๐ Then it is realistic that:
➡️ An official announcement of the project could happen
๐ก What happens in an optimistic scenario?
Here’s the key part:
Realistic optimistic scenario:
- 3 zeros are removed
- A new currency structure is introduced
- International confidence improves
- Foreign investment increases
๐ Likely result:
- ๐ Gradual strengthening of the dinar
- ๐ Reduction of the black market gap
- ๐ Greater global integration
๐ฅ Stronger optimistic scenario (still plausible)
If everything aligns:
- major foreign investment inflows
- sustained political stability
- strong oil revenues + diversification
๐ Then we could see:
➡️ A gradual revaluation (not overnight)
➡️ Long-term appreciation of the dinar
⚠️ Key clarification (without being negative)
Even in an optimistic case:
- ❌ It would NOT happen overnight
- ✅ It would be gradual and controlled
๐ Similar to what happened in countries like:
- Turkey
- Brazil
๐งพ ๐ง FINAL CONCLUSION (optimistic but grounded)
✔️ The project is real and active
✔️ The CBI is seriously evaluating it
✔️ There are real signs of economic preparation
๐ Best optimistic interpretation:
๐ก Iraq is preparing for a significant monetary reform
๐ก “Delete zeros” is a key part of that transformation
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