ENDING THE CONFRONTATION BETWEEN AMERICA AND IRAN DEPENDS ON THREE FACTORS… AND CONTAINING THE ESCALATION WILL BE “GRADUAL” – URGENT
The escalating military confrontation between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran is raising numerous concerns and fears that the conflict could spread to encompass the entire region or the world, while international parties have warned that World War III is imminent as a result of the continuation of these confrontations.
Military confrontation and decisive factors
Strategic affairs expert Abbas al-Jubouri confirmed on Wednesday (March 4, 2026) that “the date for the end of the military confrontation between Iran, the United States and Israel is linked to three crucial factors.”
Al-Jubouri tells Baghdad Today, “Setting a precise date for the end of any potential or existing military confrontation between Iran on one side, and the United States and Israel on the other, remains a complex matter that depends on changing political and military developments, and not on a fixed timetable.”
Balancing interests and military resolution
The expert in strategic affairs explains that “the nature of the conflict in the Middle East region differs from traditional wars, as it involves factors of military deterrence, economic pressures, and international diplomatic moves, which makes the end of any escalation more related to a balance of interests than to a direct military resolution.”
Al-Jubouri points out that “there are three main factors that may determine the timing of the end of the escalation:
1.The first is the unannounced political understandings, as major crises often end through indirect negotiation channels led by international or regional powers, where an agreement is reached on a gradual de-escalation in exchange for limited concessions from all parties.
2.The second is the level of economic and military losses, as the higher the cost of the confrontation for the concerned parties, the greater the likelihood of moving towards a de-escalation, especially in light of internal pressures and global public opinion.
3.The third is the role of international mediators, as major countries and international organizations play a pivotal role in imposing a de-escalation or launching political initiatives that prevent the conflict from turning into a long-term, comprehensive war.”
