Analysts warn that Tehran could be facing a major decline, potentially forcing it to loosen its hold on Iraqi politics. Recent reports indicate that pro-Iranian Iraqi leaders are increasingly distancing themselves from Tehran, responding to both its political weakness and the looming possibility of U.S. military action under President Donald Trump.
The signs of a remarkable political shift in Baghdad are becoming clearer, less than 24 hours before a session that was expected to finalize decisions for the Shia Coordination Framework (CF) in forming a new government.
Tehran’s Influence Weakens in Iraq
According to analysts and local media like Al-Mada, the current situation suggests that Iran’s influence over Iraq could decline sharply. This decline is pushing Iraqi leaders who were once aligned with Tehran to reconsider their positions and alliances, particularly in the face of international pressures and domestic instability.
The political uncertainty reflects a larger geopolitical struggle in Iraq, where internal factions are recalibrating their strategies to remain in power while distancing themselves from Tehran’s faltering influence.
Al-Sudani Poised to Replace Maliki
The Shia Coordination Framework (CF) in Iraq has until February 27 to withdraw Nouri Al-Maliki’s nomination for Prime Minister. If no action is taken, sanctions and political consequences are expected.
Sources indicate that Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is emerging as the likely replacement, but his rise comes with conditions. The Dawa Party, historically influential under Maliki, may lose its premiership, signaling a major restructuring of Iraq’s political landscape.
“Data indicates a possible change in the nomination process that may lead to the removal of Nouri al-Maliki and the Dawa Party from the premiership in favor of the rise of Mohammed Shia al-Sudani as his replacement.” – Al-Mada Newspaper
Key Implications for Iraq and the Dinar RV
Iran’s declining influence could alter Iraq’s internal political alliances.
Al-Sudani’s potential rise may bring new leadership dynamics favorable to reform and stability.
The Dinar RV could be affected positively if political clarity and confidence return to Iraq’s governance.
Pro-Iran leaders distancing themselves indicates a shift toward more independent Iraqi decision-making.
Q&A: Understanding the Shift
Q: Why is Iran losing influence in Iraq?
A: Iran faces internal weakness and international pressures, including potential U.S. action.
Q: Will Maliki remain in power?
A: Current reports suggest that his premiership is at serious risk, with Al-Sudani likely replacing him.
Q: How does this affect the Dinar RV?
A: Political stabilization under Al-Sudani could increase the likelihood of a positive currency revaluation, but timing is uncertain.
Featured Snippets
“Pro-Iranian Iraqi leaders are distancing themselves from Tehran amid signs of political weakness.”
“Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is emerging as a replacement for Nouri Al-Maliki in Iraq’s premiership.”
“Iran’s declining influence in Iraq could create conditions favorable for the Dinar RV in the future.”
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MNT GOAT
"IRAN IS A SINKING SHIP": A REPORT DETAILS THE DISTANCING
OF ITS ALLIES IN IRAQ."
"Analysts say that Tehran could become a "sinking ship" and be forced to loosen its grip on Iraqi politics, which is pushing pro-Iranian Iraqi leaders to distance themselves from it, especially given the weakness it suffers and
the possibility that US President Donald Trump might resort to the option of war against it. In Baghdad, during the past few hours, signs of a remarkable political shift have emerged, 24 hours before a
session that was supposed to be decisive for the coordination framework in the government formation file. Data indicates a possible change in the nomination process that may lead to the removal of Nouri al-Maliki and the Dawa Party from the premiership in favor of the rise of Mohammed Shia al-Sudani as his replacement,
but with conditions, according to Al-Mada newspaper. Iraq's Shite Coordination Framework (CF) has until February 27 to withdraw Nouri Al-Maliki's nomination for
prime minister, a senior source within the alliance told Shafaq News on Tuesday, or sanctions will begin!
..Choo-Cho........... All I can say is I told you so, just give it time,