🚨 MUST READ: WHY NOTHING MOVES IN IRAQ UNTIL THE RATE CHANGES
According to Jeff, one of the biggest problems right now is confusion — and misinformation surrounding Iraq’s political process.
Headlines and rumors are everywhere:
“Maliki is in”
“Maliki is out”
“Sudani is still running”
“Sudani is finished”
Jeff’s response is direct:
They’re not telling you the truth.
The situation is fluid, inconsistent, and unresolved — and that matters because nothing moves forward without a formed government and a rate change.
🗳️ ELECTION NOISE VS. REALITY
Jeff emphasizes that current election reporting is all over the board.
Key points:
Leadership claims change daily
No final decision has been locked
Political theater dominates headlines
His advice is simple:
Give it time and be patient.
Why? Because the exchange rate will not change until after the government is formed — and yet paradoxically, nothing progresses without the rate change either.
💱 THE RATE IS THE GATE
Jeff makes one of his strongest statements here:
Nothing in Iraq is moving forward until the government is formed and the rate is changed.
But he adds a crucial clarification:
The rate has to change before things can truly move forward.
This highlights a controlled sequencing:
Political formation
Rate change
Economic activation
Without the rate adjustment, reforms remain stalled on paper.
⚠️ THE MALIKI PROBLEM: WHY HE’S A DEAL-BREAKER
Jeff is clear about one scenario that could kill momentum:
If Nouri al-Maliki is brought forward
Jeff believes Trump would shut him down
Sanctions are seen as a very real possibility
Bottom line:
Jeff does not see the rate changing under a Maliki-led government.
This aligns with broader geopolitical pressure already discussed across other intel streams.
🌍 IRAQ & THE WTO: WHY MEMBERSHIP IS STILL ON HOLD
Question Asked:
“Do we know when Iraq will join the WTO?”
Jeff’s answer:
No — because it has never been officially announced.
However, there is important context.
🏛️ WHY IRAQ HAS BEEN STUCK AS A WTO OBSERVER SINCE 2004
Iraq has remained an observer member of the World Trade Organization since 2004.
Why?
Because several key requirements remain unfinished:
Laws
Taxes
Tariffs
Regulatory reforms
And here’s the critical point:
Some of these items cannot be finalized until the rate changes.
🔑 RATE CHANGE = WTO GREEN LIGHT
According to Jeff:
Iraq has been waiting on the rate to complete final steps
WTO accession requires economic consistency
Tariffs and taxes don’t work correctly under a distorted exchange rate
This explains why:
WTO membership has been “soon” for years — but never completed.
The rate is the missing piece.
📌 FEATURED SNIPPET: KEY TAKEAWAYS
Is Iraq’s election outcome settled?
No. Reporting is inconsistent and unresolved.
Will the IQD rate change before the government is formed?
Jeff believes the rate change is tied to government formation — but also necessary for progress.
Could Maliki block the rate change?
Yes. Jeff believes sanctions risk would halt momentum.
Why isn’t Iraq in the WTO yet?
Because key reforms, tariffs, and laws depend on a rate change.
❓ Q&A – QUICK CLARITY
Q: Is Iraq close to WTO membership?
A: Structurally yes — procedurally no, pending the rate change.
Q: Has WTO membership been announced?
A: No. Iraq remains an observer.
Q: Why does the rate matter so much?
A: It impacts tariffs, taxes, trade compliance, and reform credibility.
Q: Should we trust daily election rumors?
A: Jeff advises patience — not headlines.
🔔 BIG PICTURE: WHY JEFF’S VIEW MATTERS
✔ Political noise is masking real sequencing
✔ The rate change is foundational — not optional
✔ WTO accession depends on currency normalization
✔ Leadership choice directly affects timing
Jeff’s core message is clear:
The rate is the key that unlocks everything else.
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Jeff
The overall elections right now...they're not telling you the truth...They're saying Maliki's in, Maliki's out, Sudani's still in running, Sudani's out. They're all over the board right now...We have to give it time and be patient...because the rate is not going to change till after the government is formed.
Nothing in Iraq is moving forward until the government is formed and the rate is changed. The rate has to change before things will move forward.
I don't see the rate changing if they brought Maliki forward because I think Trump would shut him down, probably put sanctions on him.
Question: "Do we know when Iraq joins the WTO?"
No...it's never been announced. We know it's soon. There's still remaining pending items for Iraq to join the WTO...laws, taxes, tariffs. There's a few small things waiting for the rate to change before Iraq can join the WTO...Iraq has remained an observing member all the way back since 2004 because they've been waiting for the rate to change so they can complete the steps we've talked about - reforms, tariffs, taxes and certain laws.
