🔍 The Big Question Everyone Is Asking
“When does the commercial operation start?”
According to Walkingstick, this is not a casual question — it’s one being asked by people with active contracts, standing by and ready.
“All my friends that have contracts are on pins and needles. They could literally be at the border because at any second they know their contract will be activated with the new exchange rate.”
This statement alone tells us something critical:
👉 Commercial mechanisms appear ready — they are simply waiting for a trigger.
📦 Commercial Contracts & the Exchange Rate Connection
Commercial operations at scale cannot function properly without an effective exchange rate that reflects reality.
Key implications:
Contracts already signed
Logistics positioned at borders
Companies waiting on activation clauses
Exchange rate is the final gate
This strongly suggests Iraq is not preparing — it is positioned.
🌎 Featured Snippet: Key Takeaway
Is Iraq ready to activate commercial operations?
According to sources close to active contracts, Iraq appears fully positioned for commercial activation, with companies waiting for a new exchange rate to trigger contract execution at any moment.
🏛️ Political Pressure: “The Carrot or the Stick”
Walkingstick highlighted growing geopolitical pressure, particularly involving the United States.
“Trump is going to offer Iraq and Iran some options. You can either take the carrot or I will give you the stick.”
What Does This Mean?
Clear pressure to remove Iranian influence from Iraq
Diplomatic incentives vs. economic consequences
Iraq is being pushed to choose sovereignty and stability
This type of pressure historically accelerates decision-making — not delays it.
🇮🇶 Internal Politics: Not Over Yet
Militia Man added critical context regarding Iraq’s political situation.
Current Developments:
Al-Sudani remains a key front-runner with strong support
Al-Maliki was nominated but did not secure the Prime Minister position
Situation remains fluid and not officially finalized
“Let’s see if the street fires up or if there’s something else we haven’t seen and we see a surprise.”
This suggests:
Public reaction still matters
Political outcomes may change quickly
Behind-the-scenes negotiations are ongoing
💰 Money Flow: The Silent Confirmation
Perhaps the most overlooked — yet powerful — signal:
“We see the money flow into Iraq nonstop.”
Think about this logically:
Massive capital inflows
Years of infrastructure investment
International contracts in place
The Key Question:
Would they risk all of that without a plan?
Militia Man’s answer is clear.
💱 Can the Exchange Rate Activate Before a New PM?
This is the million-dollar question.
“Could Alaq trigger the real effective exchange rate prior to another prime minister?”
Militia Man’s Answer:
“Yes. 100% in my opinion. 100%.”
This suggests:
Exchange rate authority does not require a finalized PM
Central Bank mechanisms are independent
Economic activation can precede political completion
Historically, this has happened before — economics often leads, politics follows.
❓ Q&A – What Everyone Wants to Know
Q: Are commercial contracts really ready?
Yes. According to Walkingstick, many are already signed and waiting on rate activation.
Q: Does political uncertainty stop the exchange rate?
Not necessarily. The Central Bank can act independently.
Q: Why is money still flowing into Iraq?
Because confidence exists that activation is coming.
Q: Is Iran’s influence a factor?
Yes. External pressure is pushing Iraq toward decisive action.
Q: Could this happen suddenly?
Absolutely. When positioned, activation often appears sudden to the public.
🧭 Final Analysis: Positioned, Pressured, and Ready
Iraq is showing all the classic signs of late-stage readiness:
✔ Commercial contracts waiting
✔ Capital already committed
✔ External pressure applied
✔ Political outcomes narrowing
✔ Exchange rate authority intact
This is not the beginning of the process.
This looks like the endgame phase.
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Walkingstick
Question: "When does the commercial operation start?"
All my friends that have contracts are on pins and needles. They could literally be at the border because at any second they know their contract will be activated with the new exchange rate.
Trump is going to offer Iraq and Iran some options. You can either take the carrot or I will give you the stick. Your choice. Donald Trump wants the Iranians out of Iraq.
Militia Man
Al-Sudani was the front runner. He has the most seats but they nominated Al-Maliki. Let's see what happens. Let's see if the street fires up or if there's something else we haven't seen and we see a surprise...It's not over just yet. Maliki didn't make it to the Prime Membership. It's not official but he is the nominee.
We see the money flow into Iraq nonstop. We watched the progress...the contacts...All that money, all that effort, are they going to risk it...? Could Alaq trigger the real effective exchange rate prior to another prime minister? [Yes] 100% IMO. 100%.
