Economists Determine The Reasons For The Rise In The Dollar In Iraq And Expect It To Exceed 160,000, 5 OCT

 Economists Determine The Reasons For The Rise In The Dollar In Iraq And Expect It To Exceed 160,000

Economy     Iraq     Dollar prices     Dinar to rise    2024-10-03 01:23  Shafaq News/ The “Future Iraq” Foundation for Economic Studies and Consultations, on Thursday, attributed the reasons for the rise in the price of the dollar against the dinar in Iraq to the  decline in transfers of other currencies and the  inability to cover the demand for foreign currency for the purpose of import,  expecting the rise to continue, bringing the price of one dollar to 1,600. dinar in the coming period.
 
The head of the institution, Manar Al-Obaidi, said in a statement received by Shafaq News Agency, that the prices of the dollar against the dinar during the past days reached the range of 1,550 dinars per US dollar.

Al-Obaidi attributed  the reason for the rise to the decline in transfers of other currencies, specifically the UAE dirham and the Chinese yuan, as a result of the large restrictions set by correspondent banks that are in the process of enhancing the balances of these currencies,  
in addition to the reservation of the banks under the Citi-Pilot project in opening accounts for operating companies and limiting them to working with companies. She had previously been treated differently than others.

Among the reasons that the head of the institution spoke about is “the inability of all transfer mechanisms to cover the demand for external currency for the purpose of importing some goods, specifically mobile phones and gold, which are considered the highest value goods for import, which prompts importers to resort to the parallel market for the purpose of importing.”.

He added,  "It is expected that the dinar will continue to decline against the dollar, and it may reach rates of 1,600 dinars per dollar in the coming months if the problems are not addressed through practical solutions."
 
1- Increasing the network of correspondent banks around the world, especially in the UAE and China.
 
2- Controlling financial policy by limiting the entry of some types of goods in order to reduce demand for them versus supply.
 
3- Pressure on the banks under the Citi-Pilot project to be more open to accepting a wide range of clients.
 
4- It may be necessary to temporarily prevent the import of some goods to reduce the demand for foreign currencies until more organized and smooth solutions are found for the external transfer process. Al-Obaidi said,
 
 “Without adopting these solutions, the dinar will continue to decline against the dollar and may exceed the 1,600 barrier soon.”
 In turn, economic and financial expert Abdul Rahman Al-Mashhadani attributed the rise in the dollar exchange rates in Iraq to  political rather than economic reasons..

Al-Mashhadani said in a statement to Shafaq News Agency,   “The dollar has stabilized for a long period in the past few days at 149 to 150 thousand Iraqi dinars for a $100 bill, especially after transferring the dollars of real travelers to the airport, organizing the sales process in a smooth manner, and resolving the crisis of bottlenecks on exchange companies and payment companies available inside.”

"Airport." He added,  "There are no economic reasons or justifications behind the rise because the central bank is still financing large amounts of foreign trade, and this is the important element that covers the volume of orders for merchants."

The expert expected that  "the rise in exchange rates is due to the  
     unrest witnessed in the region and the
     fear that Iraq is one of the stations that could be targeted,
 
which prompted merchants to liquidate the accounts of debtors and creditors, especially those who have obligations to merchants abroad.
 
Fear of instability may cause a rise and thus will be affected."
 
The merchant must pay what he owes. He noted that the second matter “is the fear and panic that afflicts people in such crises.
 
They turn to converting dollars for fear that things will get worse and they will be forced to travel or emigrate, even if they are inside Iraq,” adding that “the dollar is the safest means at hand because it is needed in "Markets."
 
The price of the dollar rose in local markets to reach approximately 155 thousand dinars compared to 100 dollars after the events that the region witnessed, including military operations in Lebanon and Iran on the one hand and Israel on the other hand.   
 https://shafaq.com/ar/اقتصـاد/م-سسة-اقتصادية-تحدد-اسباب-ارتفاع-اسعار-الدولار-بالعراق-وتتوقع-وصوله-لـ1600-دينار