Wednesday, August 28, 2024

DINAR REVALUATION UPDATE: THE IMPORTANCE OF STABILIZE THE ECONOMY & THE MULTI-YEAR BUDGETING APPROACH , 28 AUGUST

 Iraq's Budget and Import Spending in August 2024

Iraq, heavily reliant on oil revenues, allocates a significant portion of its budget to imports, a practice that has persisted over the years.  As of August 2024, it is reported that the country spends nearly half of its budget on purchasing goods and services from abroad. This expenditure pattern underscores Iraq's need to import a wide range of products that it cannot produce domestically. 

Major Import Suppliers

The countries at the forefront of supplying Iraq with these imports have been identified as major trading partners. These nations play a crucial role in fulfilling Iraq's demand for various commodities and manufactured goods.  The specific list of top suppliers varies based on the type of goods and services Iraq requires and the prevailing trade agreements at any given time.

Impact of Import Spending

The high import spending has implications for Iraq's economy and budgetary planning. It affects the country's trade balance, potentially leading to a trade deficit if imports significantly outweigh exports. Moreover, the reliance on imported goods can stifle the growth of local industries and businesses, which might struggle to compete with foreign products. 

Budgetary Measures

In an attempt to address budget rigidities and manage fiscal space, the Iraqi government has implemented various measures. These include the introduction of a multi-year budgeting approach by Prime Minister Muhammad Shia' Al-Sudani, encompassing the fiscal years 2023-2025.  Such measures aim to enhance long-term planning and economic stability.

Economic Recovery and Oil Sector

Despite efforts to stabilize the economy, Iraq's recovery has been hindered by factors such as oil production cuts and disruptions in the oil sector. The OPEC+ supply restrictions have led to a decline in oil output and exports, which in turn affects Iraq's main source of revenue and GDP. 

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