What UAE did with OPEC and what Iraq is about to do along with Iran are not separate incidents but a coordinated progression towards a unified goal for currency revaluation.
Especially after the IMF report that came out requesting that Iraq support their national currency with gold.
(May 1st is shaping up to be a huge historical day for multiple countries.) ... Revaluation Support: A gold-backed dinar can hold a much higher exchange rate without collapsing back down.
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Foreign investors buy local bonds → they need local currency to settle→central bank prints or releases more local units → supply/demand imbalance pushes the currency stronger in the short-to-medium term.
This is textbook revaluation pressure, not fantasy. Vietnam is running this playbook right now. They are flooding international markets with bonds, strong in capital, and watching the Dong strengthen as money floods in. This is not random. It’s coordinated...
Iraq is under the exact same mechanics...When Iraq sells sovereign or reconstruction bonds internationally (already happening quietly through backchannels), foreign capital pours in, forces dinar demand, and compresses any remaining resistance to a strong, tradable rate...
LAUNCH OF THE “MERCHANT PLATFORM” IN IRAQ: A DIGITAL STEP TO SUPPORT THE ECONOMY AND DIVERSIFY TRADE
The Prime Minister’s economic advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, confirmed on Thursday that the electronic merchant platform represents a real test of Iraq’s ability to turn economic ambition into reality, while noting that Iraq is witnessing a remarkable expansion in its trade partnerships.
Saleh said in a press statement that “in a step that reflects a serious trend towards modernizing the economic structure, Iraq announced the launch of the electronic (Trader Platform) and the activation of automation procedures, within a strategic path aimed at facilitating trade and enhancing our country’s integration into the regional and international economy.”
He explained that “(the Merchant Platform) does not merely represent administrative development and high-level governance in transparency, accountability and participation, but rather indicates a qualitative shift in the philosophy of managing the economy, from the traditional pattern based on complexity and bureaucracy, to a more efficient digital model that keeps pace with the requirements of modern market systems that are explicitly stipulated in the constitution.”
He pointed out that “the electronic platform (the merchant platform) is a pivotal tool for empowering the private sector and advancing it institutionally, as it provides an integrated electronic environment for issuing import and export licenses, adopting the (one-stop shop) system for registering companies, in addition to providing banking facilities and loans that support commercial activities, which would reduce time and costs, stimulate investment, open the door to a wider segment of entrepreneurs and improve market climate standards in accordance with the global requirements of the World Trade Organization, the World Bank and other international partners.”
He added, “This step coincides with positive economic indicators, as Iraq continued to record growth in the volume of its foreign trade, which exceeded $65 billion, with a remarkable trade surplus driven by the rise in oil exports in the past few years. This performance also contributed to strengthening Iraq’s position among Arab and global economies, reflecting promising potential if it is properly invested.”
He pointed out that “the real challenge lies not in the size of the numbers, but rather in their nature, as exports still depend almost entirely on oil, which makes the economy vulnerable to the fluctuations of global markets. This is where the importance of the ‘Trader Platform’ comes in as a means to support the diversification of the economy, by facilitating non-oil trade and encouraging local production.”
On the regional relations front, Saleh affirmed that “Iraq is witnessing a remarkable expansion in its trade partnerships, whether with Arab countries or neighboring countries, indicating the restoration of its role as an active economic center. This trend is reinforced by the (Development Road) project, which is expected to transform the country into a strategic hub for transport and trade, linking the Gulf, Turkey, and Europe.” He explained that “the relevant official bodies are committed to the success of these projects with precision and to ensuring their actual implementation, providing a stable legal and regulatory environment, in addition to combating bureaucracy and removing obstacles to any real economic reform.”
He pointed out that “digital transformation in the trade sector is not a luxury option, but an inevitable necessity in a world that is rapidly moving towards a digital economy. If this step is properly invested, Iraq has a real opportunity to move from a rentier economy to a diversified economy that is more sustainable and competitive.”
He concluded by saying: “The (Trader Platform) represents a serious test of Iraq’s ability to translate its economic ambitions into tangible reality. It will either be a gateway to a modern economy, or it will remain just a promising project added to the list of incomplete opportunities.”
Omar You need a fully seated government in order to even consider a new exchange rate.
USA Trump congratulated Zaidi and gave him his full support. He even invited the new prime minister to come to Washington DC once the government is completed. They had a very good call.
FRANK:Trump is working with your guy because your guy is working with Trump. This is what we need, security and stability.
OMAR : The new candidate for prime minister just spoke on the television. He's saying he is eager and willing to work with all political forces inside...Iraq and
looking forward to meeting the demands of the citizens and he is going to continue the monetary reform.
FRANK: Wow! I am excited...because we know the demands of the Iraqi citizens. They want purchasing power. They want the CBI to release the new exchange rate...
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OMAR: The television news just announced that both Iran and the United States are giving them the green light to the new prime minister.
FRANK:It's the United States is the one that put him there. It is Iran that is accepting him.
Omar:Zaidi is the candidate for the prime minister picked by the Coordinated Framework. Turns out he is a compromise...USA seem to be ok because he doesn't have any direct ties to Iran... Everybody can tolerate didn't actually everybody love. He has 30 days to pick his cabinet...and only then the parliament vote on the whole team as a package...
FRANK:Next thing is your government will be formed. Everything else should follow in place after those 30 days which leads to a new exchange rate...
A BILLION DOLLARS TO PREVENT MALIKI… FINANCIAL INTERVENTIONS SHAKE THE SELECTION OF THE PRIME MINISTER
The spokesman for the Sayyid al-Shuhada Brigades, Kazem al-Fartousi, stated on Thursday that one billion dollars was paid to prevent the Coordination Framework from proceeding with the nomination of Nouri al-Maliki for the premiership, calling on the leaders of the Framework and the country to free themselves from American control, and indicating that American control over the flow of dollars to Iraq is not subject to the reaction of the armed factions, but rather to the rejection of its policies in the country.
Al-Fartousi denied, in a televised interview followed by Al-Sa’a Network: “targeting Saudi facilities or infrastructure from inside Iraq,” stressing that “the target was the American military bases, in addition to responding to the sources of fire .”
He added that “20% of the strikes that targeted Iraq were directed towards the factions, while the remaining percentage targeted other targets,
such as the Popular Mobilization Forces, the tribal forces, and some areas in Kirkuk .”
He continued, saying: “You have not freed yourselves from American restrictions, and you say that the dollar stopped because of us, but the truth is that the dollar stopped as a result of the American dictates imposed on Iraq.”
He added, “Whoever speaks of an independent state and rejects any infringement on its sovereignty by the factions must enforce this sovereignty and prevent attacks, and not turn the state into a ‘gas station’ where American planes land even on rooftops, and free up his money and engage in real commercial transactions, and then he can hold us accountable even for a Kalashnikov bullet .”
He denied “the existence of coordination between the Iraqi factions and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard during the ongoing war in the region,” stressing that “the factions know their duties and objectives, and have accuracy in identifying information, and that coordination was only in principle, and does not exist at the military level
.”
Al-Fartousi stressed “the need to respect the Iraqi constitution, which guarantees the right to vote and run for office,” saying: “We have won seats and we have the right to participate in the government .”
He asked: “Do you want to abolish the Constitution because Trump doesn’t like it? Do you want to suspend it because he refuses to allow factions to participate in the government? This is a question that politicians must answer .”
He pointed out that “armed factions existed before the constitution, and he could have stipulated their prohibition if he had wanted to .”
He explained that “what is being circulated about American messages is sometimes used to eliminate opponents within the political process and to monopolize positions, as some parties try to use the American position as a pretext to exclude other parties from participating in the government .”
He added that “one billion dollars was paid to prevent the Coordination Framework from proceeding with the nomination of Maliki for the premiership,” while he declined to confirm or deny the party to which this amount was paid .
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🧭📊 Realistic 1–2 Year Timeline for the Iraqi Dinar
Stability-first scenario leading to potential gradual strengthening
When analyzing Iraq’s monetary future, the key driver is not speculation, but political stability and institutional reform under the Central Bank of Iraq. Below is a realistic 12–24 month scenario based on how currency systems typically evolve in transitional economies.
🟡 0–6 Months: Political consolidation and monetary control
At the beginning of the cycle, the focus is not on currency value, but on system stability.
Likely developments:
Formation or consolidation of a stable government
Continued monetary policy management by the Central Bank of Iraq
Stronger enforcement against dollar dominance in the local economy
Expansion of digital payment systems
Currency impact:
Stable and tightly managed exchange rate
Reduced volatility in parallel markets
Improved internal confidence, but no revaluation
📌 Key idea: Stability is being built, not valuation changes.
🟠 6–12 Months: Visible economic and banking reform
If political conditions remain stable, reforms become more structural.
Likely developments:
Strengthening of the domestic banking system
Wider adoption of electronic payments
Greater formalization of the internal economy
Improved coordination between fiscal and monetary policy
Currency impact:
Narrowing gap between official and parallel exchange rates
Increased domestic reliance on the Iraqi dinar
Stability remains the priority over revaluation
📌 Key idea: System modernization, not currency appreciation yet.
🟢 12–18 Months: Gradual macroeconomic confidence building
At this stage, reforms begin to accumulate measurable effects.
Likely developments:
Increased regional investor confidence
Potential improvements in sovereign risk perception
Stronger foreign currency inflows from oil exports
Reduced cash-based economic activity
Currency impact:
Possible slight market-driven strengthening (if fundamentals improve)
Lower inflationary pressure
More stable purchasing power domestically
📌 Key idea: Confidence grows before any currency movement.
This is the most optimistic but still realistic outcome.
Likely developments:
More advanced digital financial infrastructure
Continued political stability without major disruption
Stronger integration into regional financial systems
Sustained economic reform momentum
Currency impact:
Possible slow and controlled appreciation of the dinar
Reduced spread between official and parallel markets
Improved long-term currency credibility
📌 Key idea: Any improvement would be gradual, not sudden.
⚠️ Critical reality check
Even in this optimistic framework:
❌ No guaranteed sharp revaluation exists
❌ No evidence supports sudden overnight currency jumps
✔️ The most realistic outcome is stability first, gradual adjustment later if fundamentals strengthen
🧠 Final takeaway
In transitional economies like Iraq:
Currency strength is not driven by expectations or resources alone, but by sustained political stability, institutional trust, and long-term economic reform.
If Iraq maintains stability over the next 1–2 years, the most realistic positive outcome is not a dramatic revaluation, but a slow, controlled strengthening of monetary conditions over time.
Daily Iraqi dinar updates with insights from popular dinar gurus.
Subscribe for more updates and breaking news.
We are not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or bank.
🔗 Blog: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/
🔗 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100064023274131
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