Friday, May 1, 2026
A BILLION DOLLARS TO PREVENT MALIKI… FINANCIAL INTERVENTIONS SHAKE THE SELECTION OF THE PRIME MINISTER
A BILLION DOLLARS TO PREVENT MALIKI… FINANCIAL INTERVENTIONS SHAKE THE SELECTION OF THE PRIME MINISTER
The spokesman for the Sayyid al-Shuhada Brigades, Kazem al-Fartousi, stated on Thursday that one billion dollars was paid to prevent the Coordination Framework from proceeding with the nomination of Nouri al-Maliki for the premiership, calling on the leaders of the Framework and the country to free themselves from American control, and indicating that American control over the flow of dollars to Iraq is not subject to the reaction of the armed factions, but rather to the rejection of its policies in the country.
Al-Fartousi denied, in a televised interview followed by Al-Sa’a Network: “targeting Saudi facilities or infrastructure from inside Iraq,” stressing that “the target was the American military bases, in addition to responding to the sources of fire .”
He added that “20% of the strikes that targeted Iraq were directed towards the factions, while the remaining percentage targeted other targets,
such as the Popular Mobilization Forces, the tribal forces, and some areas in Kirkuk .”
He continued, saying: “You have not freed yourselves from American restrictions, and you say that the dollar stopped because of us, but the truth is that the dollar stopped as a result of the American dictates imposed on Iraq.”
He added, “Whoever speaks of an independent state and rejects any infringement on its sovereignty by the factions must enforce this sovereignty and prevent attacks, and not turn the state into a ‘gas station’ where American planes land even on rooftops, and free up his money and engage in real commercial transactions, and then he can hold us accountable even for a Kalashnikov bullet .”
He denied “the existence of coordination between the Iraqi factions and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard during the ongoing war in the region,” stressing that “the factions know their duties and objectives, and have accuracy in identifying information, and that coordination was only in principle, and does not exist at the military level .”
Al-Fartousi stressed “the need to respect the Iraqi constitution, which guarantees the right to vote and run for office,” saying: “We have won seats and we have the right to participate in the government .”
He asked: “Do you want to abolish the Constitution because Trump doesn’t like it? Do you want to suspend it because he refuses to allow factions to participate in the government? This is a question that politicians must answer .”
He pointed out that “armed factions existed before the constitution, and he could have stipulated their prohibition if he had wanted to .”
He explained that “what is being circulated about American messages is sometimes used to eliminate opponents within the political process and to monopolize positions, as some parties try to use the American position as a pretext to exclude other parties from participating in the government .”
He added that “one billion dollars was paid to prevent the Coordination Framework from proceeding with the nomination of Maliki for the premiership,” while he declined to confirm or deny the party to which this amount was paid .
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🧭📊 Realistic 1–2 Year Timeline for the Iraqi Dinar
🧭📊 Realistic 1–2 Year Timeline for the Iraqi Dinar
Stability-first scenario leading to potential gradual strengthening
When analyzing Iraq’s monetary future, the key driver is not speculation, but political stability and institutional reform under the Central Bank of Iraq. Below is a realistic 12–24 month scenario based on how currency systems typically evolve in transitional economies.
🟡 0–6 Months: Political consolidation and monetary control
At the beginning of the cycle, the focus is not on currency value, but on system stability.
Likely developments:
- Formation or consolidation of a stable government
- Continued monetary policy management by the Central Bank of Iraq
- Stronger enforcement against dollar dominance in the local economy
- Expansion of digital payment systems
Currency impact:
- Stable and tightly managed exchange rate
- Reduced volatility in parallel markets
- Improved internal confidence, but no revaluation
📌 Key idea: Stability is being built, not valuation changes.
🟠 6–12 Months: Visible economic and banking reform
If political conditions remain stable, reforms become more structural.
Likely developments:
- Strengthening of the domestic banking system
- Wider adoption of electronic payments
- Greater formalization of the internal economy
- Improved coordination between fiscal and monetary policy
Currency impact:
- Narrowing gap between official and parallel exchange rates
- Increased domestic reliance on the Iraqi dinar
- Stability remains the priority over revaluation
📌 Key idea: System modernization, not currency appreciation yet.
🟢 12–18 Months: Gradual macroeconomic confidence building
At this stage, reforms begin to accumulate measurable effects.
Likely developments:
- Increased regional investor confidence
- Potential improvements in sovereign risk perception
- Stronger foreign currency inflows from oil exports
- Reduced cash-based economic activity
Currency impact:
- Possible slight market-driven strengthening (if fundamentals improve)
- Lower inflationary pressure
- More stable purchasing power domestically
📌 Key idea: Confidence grows before any currency movement.
🟢 18–24 Months: Potential gradual strengthening phase (if stability holds)
This is the most optimistic but still realistic outcome.
Likely developments:
- More advanced digital financial infrastructure
- Continued political stability without major disruption
- Stronger integration into regional financial systems
- Sustained economic reform momentum
Currency impact:
- Possible slow and controlled appreciation of the dinar
- Reduced spread between official and parallel markets
- Improved long-term currency credibility
📌 Key idea: Any improvement would be gradual, not sudden.
⚠️ Critical reality check
Even in this optimistic framework:
- ❌ No guaranteed sharp revaluation exists
- ❌ No evidence supports sudden overnight currency jumps
- ✔️ The most realistic outcome is stability first, gradual adjustment later if fundamentals strengthen
🧠 Final takeaway
In transitional economies like Iraq:
Currency strength is not driven by expectations or resources alone, but by sustained political stability, institutional trust, and long-term economic reform.
If Iraq maintains stability over the next 1–2 years, the most realistic positive outcome is not a dramatic revaluation, but a slow, controlled strengthening of monetary conditions over time.
Daily Iraqi dinar updates with insights from popular dinar gurus.
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The Future of the Iraqi Dinar Scenarios & Signals #iqd #dinarrevaluation
Daily Iraqi dinar updates with insights from popular dinar gurus.
Subscribe for more updates and breaking news.
We are not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or bank.
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MARKZ: ON THE BOND SIDE...
MarkZ 04-30-26
They are clouding the timing on purpose. Remember, they did this when Kuwait went. As Mr. C says “it’s a survival game”.
I do want to point out that I am very upbeat as to where we’re at.
On the Bond side:
Quiet. My one from Tuesday has not responded as to whether they got paid, whether they finished theirs. I finally got a response from them and all they said was “meetings went great, we have another one next week to close another deal”. Does it mean he got paid? Inquiring minds want to know, mine especially but yours probably more than mine and then we’ve got two more meetings today.
I very much believe Bond money started moving, I can’t prove it but very much believe it is moving which is very much why I’m upbeat.
Iraq:
The HCL is underway, it’s all coming together. I’m watching the evidence of them lifting the purchasing power.
What I’m hearing from my contacts is there has been a huge wake up movement in Europe with leadership regarding the Iranian conflict.
United Airlines has their own Refinery but Airlines soon will have to stop flying if this does not force decisions to be made.
WHAT WILL HE CHOOSE? THE SUDANESE GOVERNMENT FACES WASHINGTON’S DEMANDS TO CUT THE SALARIES OF THE POPULAR MOBILIZATION FORCES AND TARGET THE FACTIONS
WHAT WILL HE CHOOSE? THE SUDANESE GOVERNMENT FACES WASHINGTON’S DEMANDS TO CUT THE SALARIES OF THE POPULAR MOBILIZATION FORCES AND TARGET THE FACTIONS
The head of the Reconstruction and Development bloc, Bahaa al-Araji, revealed that there is a division within the coordination framework regarding the mechanism for choosing the next prime minister, between the “signatures” system adopted by the State of Law bloc and “direct voting,” stressing that Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is facing harsh American conditions, including cutting the salaries of the Popular Mobilization Forces and striking some factions .
Al-Araji said in a televised interview followed by Al-Sa’a Network that “Monday’s framework session resulted in the submission of 6 signatures from the State of Law coalition in favor of Basim Al-Badri, while Hadi Al-Amiri proposed the option of direct voting instead of signatures to choose the Prime Minister, and after his intervention the discussion moved to the selection mechanism .”
He added that “the proposed new mechanism is based on the candidate obtaining two-thirds of the votes of the leaders of the framework, and in the second stage two-thirds of the members of the House of Representatives from the framework. It was proposed by Al-Amiri, Al-Hakim and Al-Khazali, but it was rejected by the State of Law, and the discussion about it was postponed to the next session .”
He added that “the upcoming coordination framework meeting will not discuss the selection of the prime minister unless the selection mechanism is decided, with the direct voting option being the most likely to be fair .”
He pointed out that “Al-Asadi did not sign, despite being part of the Reconstruction and Development bloc, and expressed conditional approval related to the signing of other leaders in favor of Bassem Al-Badri, while the bloc did not adopt the mechanism of signatures at all and preferred to vote by raising hands as usual .”
He stressed that “choosing the prime minister is not the most important thing at the moment, but rather the unity of the coordinating framework, especially in light of international discussions related to the Iraqi political system .”
He added that “Al-Sudani prepared his government program before the elections, and it included restricting weapons to the state, and he rejects dealing with the issue with violence and prefers political and legal solutions .”
He explained that “the United States had put forward two main demands during the past period, which were to cut off the salaries of the Popular Mobilization Forces and to strike some factions, which Al-Sudani rejected .”
He explained that “the current stage includes American conditions, which does not mean accepting them, but it requires dealing with them under complex circumstances,” noting that “some strikes that targeted diplomatic interests contributed to strained relations and the departure of a number of missions .”
Al-Araji pointed out that “about 90% of diplomatic missions have left Iraq, especially the Arab ones, as a result of attacks targeting some countries, which has negatively affected the political and economic reality, including the delay in the flow of dollars into the country.
Daily Iraqi dinar updates with insights from popular dinar gurus.
Subscribe for more updates and breaking news. We are not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or bank. 🔗 Blog: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/ 🔗 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100064023274131 🔗 Threads: https://www.threads.com/@dinaresguru 🔗 Telegram: https://t.me/DINAREVALUATION
📡 SIGNAL MAP + CURRENT REALITY OF THE IRAQI DINAR
📡 SIGNAL MAP + CURRENT REALITY OF THE IRAQI DINAR
What conditions are actually being met today?
When analyzing the future of the Iraqi dinar, it is important to separate two things:
👉 what theoretically should happen for a meaningful currency strengthening
👉 and what is actually happening today within the economic system
The role of the Central Bank of Iraq is central in this process, as all monetary reforms depend on its capacity for control, stability, and execution.
🟢🟡🔴 REAL EVALUATION OF THE SIGNALS
🟡 1. Exchange rate market unification
✔️ PARTIAL
- Stricter controls on access to U.S. dollars
- Attempts to reduce distortions in the parallel market
- Still existing gaps between official and informal rates
📌 Conclusion:
Structural progress exists, but full unification has not been achieved.
🟢 2. Foreign reserves
✔️ RELATIVELY STRONG
- Steady oil revenues in foreign currency
- External reserves provide backing for the system
- Ability to sustain current exchange rate stability
📌 Conclusion:
Stable foundation, although highly oil-dependent.
🔴 3. Economic diversification
❌ WEAK / DEVELOPING
- Heavy reliance on the oil sector
- Limited private sector expansion
- Reforms exist but structural impact is slow
📌 Conclusion:
One of the main long-term structural challenges.
🟢 4. Reduction of cash usage
✔️ CLEAR PROGRESS
- Expansion of electronic payments
- Gradual banking digitization
- Increased formalization of transactions
📌 Conclusion:
One of the most visible and concrete reforms.
🟡 5. Political stability
⚠️ IN TRANSITION
- Ongoing government formation processes
- Continuous internal political negotiations
- Significant regional influence factors
📌 Conclusion:
Relative stability exists, but not yet fully consolidated.
🟢 6. Central bank communication
✔️ CONSISTENT
- Conservative monetary policy approach
- Focus on exchange rate stability
- Predictable institutional messaging
📌 Conclusion:
A stable and coherent institutional stance.
📊 OVERALL SUMMARY
🟢 Confirmed progress:
- Cash control and digitalization
- Relatively stable reserves
- Consistent central bank communication
🟡 Partial progress:
- Exchange rate market unification
- Political stability
🔴 Weak areas:
- Economic diversification
⚖️ FINAL CONCLUSION
Iraq is currently in a phase of:
👉 monetary system modernization and institutional strengthening
but not yet in a phase of:
👉 full structural currency value transformation
This means:
- ✔️ Foundations for future stability are being built
- ✔️ Reforms are real and ongoing
- ❌ But conditions are not yet fully aligned for a major shift in currency value
🧠 FINAL MESSAGE
Although the process is slow and often complex, economic history shows that real monetary transformations do not happen suddenly, but through the gradual accumulation of stability, reforms, and trust.
👉 For those following the dinar with expectations of a possible revaluation—even a gradual one—the key point is this:
systems do not change overnight, but they do evolve when the right foundations are consistently built over time.
💡 In that sense, as reforms, stability, and financial modernization continue in Iraq, there is always space for a long-term perspective where the currency could gradually strengthen if fundamentals keep improving.
Patience in economics is not passivity: it is the observation of how the real conditions for a currency’s value are slowly being built step by step.
Daily Iraqi dinar updates with insights from popular dinar gurus.
Subscribe for more updates and breaking news. We are not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or bank. 🔗 Blog: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/ 🔗 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100064023274131 🔗 Threads: https://www.threads.com/@dinaresguru
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