Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Government options to address the 2026 budget delay: borrowing or an emergency law similar to the food security law
Government options to address the 2026 budget delay: borrowing or an emergency law similar to the food security law
The Parliamentary Finance Committee revealed several options available to the government to address the delay in approving the 2026 budget, primarily resorting to borrowing laws or enacting an emergency law similar to the Food Security Law.
Committee member Jamal Kojar told the official newspaper, “There are several alternatives if the budget is delayed, including resorting to borrowing as happened in 2021, or enacting a law similar to the Food Security Law. However, this depends on the government’s needs and the level of coordination between it and the Parliament.”
He explained that “the current government is operating in a caretaker capacity and does not have the authority to submit major financial bills independently, which necessitates direct coordination with Parliament if borrowing or enacting exceptional laws is required.”
Kojar indicated that “the government can continue spending according to the (1/12) rule of the operational budget, which ensures the continued payment of employee salaries without the need for new legislation, except in some special cases such as including new contracts after 2025.”
He pointed out that “the option of borrowing is also linked to the speed with which the new government is formed. If this matter is resolved within the constitutional timeframe, the House of Representatives should exert pressure on the government to submit the draft budget law as quickly as possible, given its importance in regulating the state’s financial management, including appointments, transfers, and the allocation of spending.”
He emphasized that “the House of Representatives cannot legislate laws of a financial nature without coordination with the government, and the previous food security law was enacted at the request and with the approval of the executive branch.” He noted that “Parliament is capable of supporting the government by passing emergency laws when necessary, whether through a borrowing law or a law similar to the food security law, but there has been no official request in this regard so far.”
Kujer stressed that “there is no intention to adopt a three-year budget again, and the country will return to the usual annual budget system,” affirming that “any future steps will remain contingent on the government’s request and its actual needs.” link
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DINARES GURUS: 🇮🇶💰 Iraq’s Petro-Dinar Transition, REER Strategy & the Logic of Currency Appreciation
🇮🇶💰 Iraq’s Petro-Dinar Transition, REER Strategy & the Logic of Currency Appreciation
A deeper way to understand Iraq’s monetary direction is not through the lens of a single “RV event,” but through a broader framework of currency strategy, sovereign policy, and structural demand creation.
🛢️ Why Oil Sales in IQD Matter
If Iraq expands settlement of oil sales in Iraqi dinars (IQD)—even partially—it introduces a powerful monetary dynamic:
Foreign buyers, energy traders, and institutions may need access to dinars for settlement and liquidity purposes. That creates external transactional demand for IQD beyond Iraq’s domestic economy.
And that changes the conversation.
When a currency becomes tied more directly to strategic commodities like oil, it can begin functioning less as a local currency and more as a resource-linked monetary asset.
📈 Demand Creation Can Support Currency Value
This is where Petro-Dinar logic intersects with economics.
If more participants need IQD:
- Central banks may need to hold dinar liquidity
- Trade counterparties may accumulate dinars
- Settlement demand can increase currency relevance
- Supply-demand pressures can support valuation over time
This isn’t necessarily about an overnight repricing.
It can be about gradual support for stronger currency value through structural demand.
🏦 Why Would Iraq Pursue These Moves If Its Currency Didn’t Matter?
This is the key logical question:
Why would a country pursue monetary reforms, de-dollarization efforts, banking modernization, reserve management, and potential non-dollar trade channels if it did not care about strengthening the role of its currency?
Countries indifferent to currency strength don’t usually focus on:
- Exchange-rate management
- Payments modernization
- Reserve accumulation
- Trade settlement reform
- Monetary sovereignty initiatives
- Global financial integration
Yet Iraq has pursued many of these.
That strongly suggests Iraq cares about:
- Currency credibility
- Monetary sovereignty
- Long-term dinar utility
- Potential value support—even if gradual
💡 Strong currencies are often policy-built.
They do not emerge by accident.
📊 The REER Connection: Where This Gets Interesting
This is where the thesis deepens.
What is REER?
REER (Real Effective Exchange Rate) measures a currency’s competitiveness relative to trading partners, adjusted for inflation.
It matters because currencies often move toward levels supported by:
- Trade fundamentals
- Productivity
- External balances
- Inflation alignment
- Market competitiveness
🛢️ If oil trade increasingly touches IQD...
that could affect variables relevant to REER through:
- Increased trade-related demand for dinars
- Improved external balance positioning
- Greater currency utilization in cross-border flows
- Potential support for stronger equilibrium valuation
In simple terms:
If Iraq increases the international use of its currency while improving monetary fundamentals, pressure can build for stronger valuation alignment.
That’s not hype.
That’s monetary logic.
🚀 Revaluation vs Gradual Appreciation
This is an important distinction.
Speculative “RV”
A sudden one-time sharp repricing.
Structural Appreciation
A more conventional path:
- Managed strengthening
- REER alignment
- Demand-driven support
- Monetary normalization
- Gradual valuation improvement
This second path is often the more economically defensible thesis.
And arguably what policy actions would more naturally support.
🌍 From Petrodollar to Petro-Dinar?
Some view this as part of a broader shift away from exclusive dollar settlement.
If Iraq expands oil settlement touching IQD, even incrementally, it could:
- Strengthen dinar relevance in energy markets
- Support regional monetary influence
- Reduce reliance on dollar-only channels
- Position IQD as a more strategic resource-backed currency
And that changes how markets may eventually perceive the dinar.
🔑 Core Thesis
The central argument is simple:
A nation does not make strategic moves to elevate the use of its currency unless that currency matters to its long-term economic vision.
And if Iraq is pursuing:
- Monetary reform
- De-dollarization measures
- Oil-linked dinar demand
- REER alignment
- Sovereign financial modernization
…then those may be signals not of currency indifference—
but of currency intent.
And currency intent often precedes currency strength.
That strength may come gradually rather than suddenly.
But the logic remains:
When a currency becomes necessary to access strategic commodities, demand can change fundamentally — and valuation can eventually follow.
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DINARES GURUS: Iraq’s Petro-Dinar Transition: How It Could Support Long-Term IQD Appreciation
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Rumors are putting pressure on the currency market and disrupting prices
Rumors are putting pressure on the currency market and disrupting prices
The exchange rate of the dollar against the Iraqi dinar continues to rise, despite recent developments in the Middle East region. Economic experts attribute this to a set of overlapping internal and external factors, most notably increased demand and speculation in the market, in addition to regional tensions and regulatory measures.
Economic expert Walid Al-Agili said that the rise in the dollar is mainly due to increased demand for it, explaining that “speculation and rumors in the market play a major role in raising the price, as some traders and money changers stockpile dollars with the aim of selling them later at a higher price.”
He added that the spread of unconfirmed news about regional situations, such as talk of continued tensions or the closure of some trade routes, is driving individuals and traders to buy dollars as a hedge, exacerbating pressure on the market. Al-Agili pointed out that restrictions on foreign transfers and tightened financial procedures have also contributed to reducing the official supply of dollars, pushing some of the demand into the parallel market and thus driving up prices.
For his part, Professor of International Economics Nawar Al-Saadi explained that the political fluctuations in Iraq and the region are directly reflected in the exchange market, indicating that “the recent regional tensions have brought back a state of uncertainty to the markets, which has led to an increase in demand for the dollar globally and locally as a safe haven currency.”
He added that the heavy reliance on oil as a primary source of foreign currency makes the Iraqi economy more sensitive to any disruptions or concerns regarding its flows.
In conclusion, experts believe that the continued rise of the dollar is not linked to a single factor, but rather is the result of an interaction between local speculation, increasing demand, regional conditions, in addition to financial policies and regulatory procedures within the country. link
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MNT GOAT & STEPHEN TIDBITS: 🇮🇶💰 Iraq Currency Outlook: Pressure Rising Toward a Major Financial Shift
🇮🇶💰 Iraq Currency Outlook: Pressure Rising Toward a Major Financial Shift
📊 Mnt Goat Insights
💱 Current Forex data shows:
- 🇰🇼 Kuwaiti Dinar = $3.24 USD (strongest currency in the world)
- Iraq is geographically and economically close to Kuwait 🇮🇶🇰🇼
- Iraq’s asset base is said to be more than double Kuwait’s 💹
👉 This leads to speculation that the Iraqi Dinar (IQD) could potentially reinstate around $4.80 💵🚀
⚠️ Stephen Commentary
- 🇮🇶 Iraq is at a critical crossroads
- Pressure is increasing for a major financial decision 📉📈
- Two possible outcomes only:
- 💹 Currency revaluation/redenomination in the near future
- 💥 Or economic decline and long-term instability
- 🇺🇸 The USA is reportedly applying strong unprecedented pressure
- Belief that conditions are aligning for a possible Iraqi Dinar revaluation (RV) 🔥
🧠 Overall Summary
- Increasing speculation about Iraq’s currency direction 💰
- High geopolitical and economic pressure building ⚠️
- Expectations centered around a potential major monetary shift 🇮🇶📊
#IraqiDinar #IQD #Forex #GlobalEconomy #Revaluation #MiddleEast #CurrencyWatch #FinancialNews
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Mnt Goat
...right now, today you can go on FOREX and see the trends for the Kuwaiti dinar...
1 KWD is equal to $3.24 USD. Yes, the KWD is the strongest currency in the world. Take a look at the assets of Iraq as they more than double that of Kuwait. Yes, Iraq right next door to Kuwait. Why would anyone doubt that the IQD could possibly come out on a reinstatement at $4.80...
Stephen
We are at a very critical crossroads here. It's time for Iraq to either piss or get off the pot...We are either going to see a revaluation or redomination in the near future or their country goes to complete chaos and backwards by decades. Those are the only options.
The USA is pressuring them like I have never seen them pressure them before to act and do something...I truly believe everything is preparing for what we have been waiting and believing for which is an Iraqi dinar revaluation.
Iraq’s New Technocrat PM Sparks Optimism Amid Rising U.S.-Iran Tensions #dinaresgurus #iqd
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