Friday, December 15, 2023
Coffee with MarkZ and Mr. Cottrell. 12/15/2023
Evaluation of the Iraqi economy, 15 DEC
Evaluation of the Iraqi economy, 15 DEC
There are indicators that enable the economic analyst to judge the economy of any country whether it is thriving, tired, or shrinking.
The real standard and basic indicator for evaluating the state of the economy, whether it is shrinking or thriving, is the purchasing power in that country.
Whenever the rate of consumption rises, it indicates economic recovery for the country, and vice versa, when the level of consumption decreases, it means that the country’s economy is shrinking (tired).
In light of this economic theory, how do we evaluate the state of the Iraqi economy?
Our assessment of the state of the Iraqi economy, regardless of the economic performance, is another matter.
The reality of the distortions in the structure of the Iraqi economy puts the analyst at a loss in assessing the economic situation, and this assessment is the basis for helping the economic policy maker to take sound and correct decisions to achieve balanced growth that sustains the recovery or treats it. Shrinkage.
But the structural distortion that afflicts our national economy puts everyone in a maze of miscalculation and planning.
Therefore, the economic reform process in the country faces challenges of this kind that hinder its achievement, and I mean the economic reform that we seek.
What complicates the economic scene most and hinders successful solutions is the absence of accurate statistics and numbers, which I previously discussed in a previous article here in Al-Sabah Economics, which was titled The Deception of Economic Numbers.
It is noted that most of the announced statistics are estimated and unrealistic, giving a distorted picture.
For example, the figures for unemployment rates, the poverty rate, the size of inflation, and the lives of the Iraqi population are also estimated due to the absence of a general population census for nearly four decades.
This is the second indicator of assessing the state of the Iraqi economy..
Perhaps the closest example of the blurring of the Iraqi economic landscape is when you look at consumption rates by all standards
Whether in basic or luxury goods, and the level of accelerating development in the expansion of urban expansion, whether in housing projects, malls, and restaurants, in addition to that, surplus goods and commodities littering the streets and sidewalks and filling warehouses without planning indicate to you that there is a major economic recovery.
On the other hand, when you read and hear about poverty rates and the estimated size of unemployment, it indicates to you that the economy is tired.
The reason for this contradiction is certainly the absence of accurate and true statistics, which confuses the government in addressing the conditions of the fragile and poor classes in a way that achieves social well-being for all.
From all of this, we conclude that assessing the state of the Iraqi economy is illogical and is the reason for distorting its true picture.
This indicator hinders the government in addressing poverty and unemployment and assessing actual needs, so the losses are many, which affects the possibility of correcting the structural distortion of the economy.
There are many examples.
There are many who appropriate shares of vulnerable classes to benefit from support decisions without entitlement.
If these losses were allocated to the deserving, it could eliminate poverty and reduce unemployment rates.
The greatest evidence is that there are cases discovered from time to time in large numbers that are not eligible for social welfare salaries, for example, and do not apply to them.
Controls for those included, and even the ration card, include many who do not deserve it, affecting the share of the poor, as many cases have been discovered and other categories are still not eligible.
The conclusion is that only the general population census can solve the problem of real numbers and significantly reduce poverty rates while the margins of standard errors in statistics remain valid and in accordance with the accuracy of the information and statistics.
"RV UPDATE" BY WOLVERINE, 15 DEC
Bearded PatriotUSA
Telegram post
12/14/23
Forwarded from Wolverine:
Guys get ready as I’m overwhelmed with so much positive news as we are now on the cusp of this happening.
It might to be today guys.
Please pray
Blessings
Wolverine
https://t.me/Bearded_PatriotsUSA/8877
---------
Telegram post
12/13/23
Forwarded from Wolverine:
*Good morning to all owners and beneficiaries*.
*The last step in the Redención centers* to complete the identification and training of their staff will end tonight, Wednesday, December 13.
">*The treasure of the U.S.A. told Redemption Centers* that they would have scheduled appointments for the next 7 to 9 days.
*Notification for Tier4B ( the internet group) would be sometime on Wednesday, December 13th to start appointments on Thursday, December 14th.
There is and was a push for this to be done before Friday, December 15th.
You will receive the release documents for the accounts that are being enabled in the NUVES.
KIND REGARDS.
Blessings
Wolverine
Al-Sudani: The Iranian side has no problem in dealing commercially with Iraq using dinars or tomans, 15 DEC
Al-Sudani: The Iranian side has no problem in dealing commercially with Iraq using dinars or tomans
Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani said today, Thursday, that: “Economic reform begins with the financial and banking sectors,” while noting that “the government is committed to providing the dollar at the official rate,” and stressed that “there is no problem on the Iranian side in dealing commercially with Iraq in dinars.” Or toman.
Al-Sudani said in a televised interview followed by “Al-Mutala’” that: “Conducting the population census, the first step in implementing Article 140 of the Constitution, was postponed to May 2024 after it was scheduled to be conducted this year due to the governorate council elections,” pointing out that “the time has come to lift the census.”
The outstanding problems between Baghdad and Erbil lie in the border crossings and the budget.” He added, "We went to borrow from the Ministry of Finance to pay the salaries of the employees of the Kurdistan region, and we are in favor of finding a solution with a legal amendment that considers the employees of the Kurdistan region as equal to the rest of the employees of Iraq," stressing, "The government is keen to end the suffering of the Kurdistan employees' salaries crisis." On the other hand, he stressed, "Economic reform is the gateway to financial and banking reform, and the issue of the exchange rate requires this reform. We are committed to providing the dollar at the official rate to merchants, investors, contractors, students, and travelers.
" He pointed out, "95 percent of our trade now passes through the electronic platform, and there are those who circumvent the law and buy the dollar at the parallel price because they do not want to apply legal procedures." He stressed, "We will not accept that the official price of the dollar be equal to the parallel price, because that would encourage smuggling." Regarding foreign trade, Al-Sudani said: “The Iranian side has no problem in dealing commercially with Iraq in the dinar or toman currencies.”
He continued: "The problem of commercial transfers to Turkey has been solved by opening accounts in the Turkish lira." He stressed that "food prices remained stable, despite the attempts of manipulators to speculate on the price of the dollar." link
"BEAVER WEST VIRGINIA CHASE BANK STORY: QUESTIONS", 15 DEC
Frank26 (KTFA)
[Beaver West Virginia Chase Bank Story]
BANK STORY LADY: …I got into the wealth department…The lady was very pleasant and nice and she said, ma’am I do have the currency…She explained they should be all set up a week from Friday.
FRANK: I guess it’s no secret.
Bank Story Lady: I said I would love to be your customer. You respect me, I will respect you...I asked what would I need to do? She says just come right up in here to this branch office and we’ll take care of you.
FRANK: They’re ready to do exchange with any foreign currency but they’re not ready for the dinar until a week from this Friday.
Bank Story Lady: …I said I do have dinars, but I do have others…[she says] Yes ma’am we should be ready a week from Friday.
FRANK: They didn’t deny the dinar will be exchangeable, they told you we’ll be ready for the dinar a week from this Friday…that’s the 21st or 22nd…
Question:
“How fast do you think the rate will increase [Once it floats]?”
Frank26: I always thought within a year. [Now] Anywhere within 3 to 6 months IMO.
1 to 1 is stupid…Did they not say their desire is to be on par 1 to 1 with the American dollar? Did they not say their desire is to take that relationship and de-peg from the dollar and go into a basket where the dollar, …instead of being pegged, will be paired with the dollar along with many other currencies…They told us that did they not? I didn’t make this up in my imagination. This is the monetary reform plan…They told us about what is going to happen on the 1st…1 to 1 in a basket to start out with? No. IMO when it comes to calculating…look at inflation factors…M1, 2 and 3 figures …No – 1 to 1 is stupid…it’s ridiculous.
RV UPDATED BY TEXAS SNAKE, 22 NOV
Texas Snake Banker will call me Sunday morning to confirm on Sunday morning but at this point in time, he has all his exchange specialis...
-
Frank26 [Bank story] This time we didn't go down, we just called [the bank]... We said we want to see if we can exchange some cu...
-
Bank appointment for Currency EXCHANGE Instructions/Checklist Bank Name_________________________________________ Bank 800#____________...
-
Walkingstick All these meetings that the CBI had with all these agencies that were helping them with their monetary reform are done. Al...