Monday, July 3, 2023
"RV UPDATE" BY TEXAS SNAKE, (SPANISH & ENGLISH) , 3 JULY
Lunes 03 Julio 2023
"IRAQ'S ECONOMIC ABILITY TO RV THE IQD IS IMPOSSIBLE TODAY" BY AWAKE-IN-3D, 3 JULY
Iraq’s Economic Ability to RV their Currency is Impossible Today
On July 3, 2023 By Awake-In-3D
We are told that Iraq is ready to RV, almost daily, out there in Dinar Land. Yet, when we examine Iraq’s current economic situation, it becomes clear that there is no logical or mathematical process that supports these frequent claims. Let’s take a look at the facts and see where they lead us.
Iraq’s Current Economy (May/June 2023 Reporting)
GDP: US$264 Billion
Oil Exports: 100 million barrels/month
Oil Revenues: US$7 Billion/month
Current Oil Price: US$70 per barrel
M2 Money Supply: 173 Trillion IQD
FX Reserves: 143 Trillion IQD
Current Exchange Rate: 1310 IQD per 1.00 US dollar
M2 Money Supply is the measure of IQD held inside the country of Iraq including cash on hand and in Iraqi bank account deposits. It is not a measure of IQD held outside of Iraq (the notes we all have).
What if Iraq RV’s their Currency Tomorrow?
Let’s assume that we are all holding 5 Trillion IQD collectively in Dinar Land. If Iraq were to RV the IQD at $1.00 per IQD tomorrow, and we all decided to exchange at that rate, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) would need 5 Trillion US dollars (or Euros, GBP, etc.) to cover those exchanges.
5 Trillion IQD x $1.00 = $5 Trillion to cover our exchanges.
Iraq’s entire GDP is only US$264 billion per year and they cannot just print or create other global currencies out of thin air to pay for our exchanges in our local currencies. Even if Iraq came out and declared that one IQD is now worth one US dollar, no Central Bank or Forex Platform in the world would recognize that new rate, much less cover IQD exchanges at that rate for any of us. The economic math doesn’t come close to justifying this newly “declared” exchange rate.
The simple fact is, Iraq’s economy would have to be 20 times larger than it is just to pay for our exchanges, much less cover their national operating expenses. By comparison, the United State’s GDP is over 76 times larger than Iraq’s GDP while the European Union’s GDP is over 64 times larger than Iraq’s.
If Iraq RD’s tomorrow, it would not be good for us international IQD holders under any scenario. Let’s assume that Iraq implements a new series of IQD notes without the 3 zeros. This means that the current 25,000 IQD note would be replaced by a new 25 IQD note.
As foreign holders of the old IQD notes, we would all have to trade in our 25,000 IQD notes for the new 25 IQD notes. This assumes that the Iraqi government would even allow foreigners outside of Iraq to trade in their old IQD notes – they most likely would not allow this to happen. But for this example, let’s assume that we are allowed to trade in our old notes at our local banks.
Now that we have the new 25 IQD notes, let’s also assume that the CBI revalues the new IQD notes a one-to-one for the US dollar. This means that we will receive $25.00 for one 25 IQD note. Furthermore, following the same math as above, the CBI would now only need US$5 Billion to cover our exchanges. This scenario is plausible since Iraq’s economy can afford this exchange rate with the new, lower denomination IQD notes.
5 Trillion in old IQD notes = 5 Billion in new IQD notes (deleting 3 zeros)
5 Billion new IQD x $1.00 = $5 billion in the new exchange rate
Clearly, this is not the IQD RV exchange scenario any of us want.
Bottom Line
Without the off-ledger gold deployed to collateralize and back the IQD (Our GCR), there is no possible way that we will benefit from any non-GCR revaluation or redenomination of the IQD. Without Our GCR fully released globally, Iraq cannot support an RV at $1.00, much less $3.00 or higher.
DINAR IRAQ & DONG VIETNAM UPDATE, 3 JULY
Disclosure of the date of approval of the oil and gas law
Coffee with MarkZ 07/03/2023
DINARLAND UPDATE, 3 JULY
Mountain Goat
Article from Dec 15, 2021:
“MUDHHER SALIH, OUTLINED THE IMPORTANCE OF THE WHITE PAPER AND ITS REFLECTION ON THE ECONOMIC REALITY“
I will remind you once again it’s the White Paper that is going to get us to the reinstatement … I also point out the clause that says they intend to move back to FOREX or a FOREX like global trading platform for the currency. Folks if you have been following the news since January you can clearly see the parallels from what is happening on the ground to this plan…it is moving ahead.
Member Question: Does a contract rate make sense when it is time to exchange …or do you think its just going to be an international rate?
MilitiaMan: I have heard lots of different things on that…personally I think we are going to see one exchange rate that’s going to be managed by the CBI and central banks in the region…
They’re saying Iraq ranks ninth in the world, that their raw wealth exceeds $15 trillion. That’s massive…And they have a currency exchange rate at 1310? …the Real Effective Exchange Rate is not 1310…this is the first time I ever recall Salih or anybody else come out and say Iraq’s value [$15 Trillion]. What they’re doing to me in my view is they’re supporting they’re going to make a move and they’re giving justification why they can support a Real Effective Exchange Rate.
They are de-dollarizing Iraq. Why are they lowing the exchange rate of the American dollar? You automatically increase the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar…the national sovereign currency of that country.
Question:
“Will you hold them [Iraqi dinars] or exchange them right away?”
I will exchange maybe 10% of what I’ve got and hold on to the rest of it as I watch it slowly increase during the float…
Have you picked up the pattern…? We’re talking about the national currency of Iraq. Not the program 3-zero punished currency they have. We’re talking about the national currency with the new exchange rate that is soon to come to the citizens of Iraq as promised by the CBI and Sudani. This is the vehicle they will use to go international. To float. To trade. To gain value for the Iraqi dinar.
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