Wednesday, March 25, 2026
AGREEMENT TO POSTPONE GOVERNMENT FORMATION: “CAUTIOUS WAITING” AND A TEMPORARY GOVERNMENT UNTIL THE WAR ENDS
AGREEMENT TO POSTPONE GOVERNMENT FORMATION: “CAUTIOUS WAITING” AND A TEMPORARY GOVERNMENT UNTIL THE WAR ENDS
Well-informed political sources revealed on Tuesday (March 17, 2026) that there is what they described as a “near agreement” among major political forces to postpone the completion of procedures for forming the new Iraqi government until the course and repercussions of the ongoing military conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel become clear, amid growing fears of the repercussions of regional escalation on the Iraqi interior.
Sources told Baghdad Today that “unannounced consultations took place during the past few days between the leaders of prominent political blocs, which concluded that it is necessary to adopt a policy of cautious waiting, in order to avoid forming a government that may face complex security and economic challenges in the event of an expansion of the scope of military confrontation in the region.”
She explained that “a number of political parties believe that the current stage requires a transitional government with limited powers or a continuation of temporary caretaker government until the regional scene stabilizes, especially with the possibility of Iraq being directly affected by military developments due to its geographical location and the entanglement of its political and economic interests with the parties to the conflict.”
The sources added that “internal disputes have not been fully resolved yet, but the regional factor has become an additional pressure that has prompted some forces to reassess their political priorities and focus on maintaining security stability and avoiding political division during the period of tension.”
While the region is ablaze with cross-border conflicts and escalating regional tensions, the Iraqi scene seems to be moving at a different pace, governed less by the results of the war than by deep internal disputes that extend from the Coordination Framework to the Kurdish forces, hindering the identification of both the Prime Minister and the President of the Republic. With no real signs of resolution, fears are growing that the political waiting will become a permanent state, making the formation of the next government a task postponed indefinitely.
Political sources confirm that there is no specific timeframe for forming the next government, indicating that the disputes between the Coordination Framework and the Kurdish forces remain unresolved, while emphasizing that the delay in forming the government is related to internal problems and not to the results of the ongoing war in the region.
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MNT GOAT: Status of the RV – Iraq’s Critical Turning Point in 2026
MNT GOAT: Status of the RV – Iraq’s Critical Turning Point in 2026
As the Lenten season reminds many across the world of faith, perseverance, and renewal, global events—especially in Iraq—continue to reflect a deeper struggle between instability and progress. While uncertainty still dominates headlines, recent developments suggest that important structural changes are quietly moving forward behind the scenes.
This comprehensive update breaks down the current status of the Iraqi dinar reinstatement (RV), key political developments, and why certain long-awaited reforms may finally be gaining traction.
⚠️ Iraq Government Formation Delayed Amid Regional Conflict
Recent reports confirm a near agreement among Iraqi political factions to delay forming a new government. The reason? Escalating tensions involving Iran, the United States, and Israel.
Key Takeaways:
- Government formation is paused until regional conflict stabilizes
- Political uncertainty continues to slow reforms
- External geopolitical pressure is directly impacting internal progress
This delay may seem frustrating—but it also highlights something critical: Iraq’s decisions are heavily tied to regional stability.
📈 A Glimmer of Hope: Parliament Resumes Activity
Despite earlier claims that sessions would halt, Iraq’s Parliament recently held Session #14, issuing an 8-point resolution focused heavily on economic reform.
This is significant.
Why? Because many of these points align directly with requirements long believed necessary for currency reinstatement and international financial integration.
🔥 The Oil and Gas Law – A Major Breakthrough
Fifth Resolution Point:
Enactment of the Oil and Gas Law within a defined timeline
This is HUGE.
For years, this law has been:
- Delayed
- Politically weaponized
- A core dispute between Baghdad and Kurdistan
Why It Matters:
- Establishes legal clarity for oil revenue sharing
- Resolves disputes tied to Article 140
- Removes barriers to foreign investment
- Aligns Iraq with international financial standards
👉 Bottom Line: This law is not just legislation—it’s a foundational requirement for economic stability and trust.
💰 Kurdistan Salary Payments – Longstanding Issue Addressed
Eighth Resolution Point:
Equal salary payments for Kurdistan employees
This issue dates back nearly a decade and has been a consistent demand from international financial institutions.
What’s Really Happing:
- “Salaries” are actually oil revenue shares
- Payments depend on oil production, pricing, and population
- Disputes have caused delays and political tension
Why It Matters:
- Stabilizes relations between Baghdad and Kurdistan
- Ensures consistent economic flow
- Reduces political boycotts that stall legislation
🏗️ The Bigger Picture: Moving Away from a Rentier Economy
Iraq is still heavily dependent on oil revenues—but change is coming.
Key Reform Goals:
- Expand private sector employment
- Reduce reliance on government salaries
- Increase industrial and trade output
This shift is essential for:
- Long-term economic growth
- Currency strength
- Sustainable development
📊 Other Key Economic Resolutions Explained
1. Expanding Oil Export Markets
Iraq is producing more oil than it can efficiently sell. Finding new buyers will:
- Increase revenue
- Strengthen reserves
- Improve credit ratings
2. National Control of Resources
Centralized control over production and distribution ensures:
- Transparency
- Efficiency
- Reduced corruption
3. Implementation of ASYCUDA System
A modern customs system that will:
- Boost tariff revenues
- Streamline trade
- Support the Development Road Project
4. Industrial & Energy Stability
Supplying fuel to factories ensures:
- Continuous production
- Reduced imports
- Economic independence
5. Pipeline Rehabilitation
Restoring key pipelines will:
- Increase export capacity
- Support global trade routes
- Strengthen Iraq’s strategic position
🌍 Security Concerns Still Block Progress
Ongoing attacks by Iran-aligned militias remain a major obstacle.
Why This Matters:
- Threatens foreign investment
- Destabilizes infrastructure
- Delays economic reforms
For Iraq to move forward:
👉 Security must be guaranteed
👉 Militia influence must be reduced
Without this, major financial steps—including RV—are unlikely.
🗓️ Timeline Insight: Eid al-Fitr Delay
Government operations paused from:
- March 18 to March 23
This aligns with earlier reports:
👉 No major political decisions expected until after the holiday
⚖️ The Real RV Question: What’s Holding It Back?
The reinstatement of the Iraqi dinar is not just about economics—it’s about:
- Political stability
- Legal frameworks (Oil & Gas Law)
- Security conditions
- International approval
Critical Insight:
The U.S. Treasury and global financial systems will not support reinstatement until:
- Iraq is stable
- Laws are enforced
- External influence is minimized
🔍 Featured Snippet: Quick Answer
What is delaying the Iraqi dinar RV in 2026?
The RV is delayed due to political instability, incomplete legislation like the Oil and Gas Law, security threats from militias, and regional conflict involving Iran, the U.S., and Israel.
❓ Q&A Section
Q1: Is the Iraqi dinar RV happening soon?
A: Progress is being made, but key conditions—especially political stability and legal reforms—must be completed first.
Q2: Why is the Oil and Gas Law so important?
A: It resolves revenue-sharing disputes, stabilizes governance, and is essential for international financial trust.
Q3: How does regional conflict affect Iraq?
A: It delays government formation, increases instability, and discourages foreign investment.
Q4: What role does Kurdistan play?
A: Kurdistan is central to oil production and revenue sharing—making its cooperation critical.
Q5: What is the biggest obstacle to RV right now?
A: Security concerns and militia influence remain the biggest barriers.
📢 Final Thoughts
While the surface-level news may seem repetitive, important structural progress is happening. The alignment of parliamentary priorities with long-standing international requirements suggests that Iraq may finally be moving in the right direction.
However, make no mistake:
👉 RV will not happen without stability, law, and security
👉 This is a process—not an event
Patience remains essential.
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Tuesday, March 24, 2026
DINAR REVALUATION: 🌐 2026 Highlights: Global Trade & Iraq’s Digital Dinar
🌐 2026 Highlights: Global Trade & Iraq’s Digital Dinar
1️⃣ Global Trade Context – WTO
- Global trade growth expected to slow to ~1.9% in 2026 due to Middle East conflict and energy market pressures.
- Freight, insurance, and supply chain costs are rising, affecting multiple markets.
- Iraq, as a major oil exporter, remains strategically important: higher energy prices can boost export revenue and strengthen diplomatic leverage.
- Slow growth ≠ contraction: opportunities exist to diversify trade, develop non-oil exports, and deepen WTO-aligned reforms.
Implication for Dinar: Strategic trade importance and stronger international status could support long-term confidence in the IQD, even amid short-term global headwinds.
2️⃣ Iraq’s Digital Dinar Transition – SITREP 2026
- Cashless & Digital Dinar Rollout: Full digital currency adoption across government institutions targeted by July 2026.
- Private Tiered Exchanges: High-value, NDA-protected forex transactions continue, maintaining stability while preparing for future revaluation.
- Tokenized Currency & Legislative Support: U.S. CLARITY & GENIUS Acts enable secure, auditable blockchain-backed currency frameworks.
- Oil Revenue & Reserve Stability: Central Bank manages liquidity effectively, reducing external pressures on the dinar.
Implication for Dinar: Digital infrastructure, regulated tokenized frameworks, and controlled liquidity create a foundation for potential strengthening or revaluation of the IQD over time.
3️⃣ Integrated Outlook: Long-Term Dinar Potential
| Factor | Potential Impact on IQD |
|---|---|
| Strategic oil exports | Sustains reserves, strengthens fiscal capacity, increases international confidence |
| Global trade integration (WTO reforms) | Improves Iraq’s reputation as a reliable trade partner → encourages foreign investment & reserves accumulation |
| Digital Dinar & tokenization | Reduces dollarization, enhances transparency, facilitates secure high-value redemption → supports controlled revaluation |
| Legislation & governance | Regulatory alignment ensures auditable, investor-friendly frameworks, increasing long-term currency credibility |
Bottom Line:
✅ Iraq’s strategic energy role + trade integration + digital currency modernization → strong foundations for long-term IQD stability and potential appreciation.
✅ Short-term global trade headwinds exist, but controlled liquidity, blockchain frameworks, and oil revenue resilience position the Iraqi Dinar for gradual strengthening over the next few years.
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Iraq 2026: Digital Dinar, Global Trade & the Future of the IQD #iqdrate #iqd #iqdupdate
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World trade growth set to slow to 1.9% this year, Iran war may weigh more, says WTO
📰 World Trade Growth Slows in 2026 – WTO
➡️ The World Trade Organization (WTO) reports that global trade growth is expected to slow significantly in 2026, largely due to the ongoing Middle East geopolitical crisis and energy market pressures. Global merchandise trade expansion is forecast to drop to around 1.9 % or lower this year, down from stronger growth in 2025. Rising energy costs and conflict‑related risks are cited as key factors weighing on global commerce.
⚠️ Middle East Conflict Influencing Global Trade
➡️ WTO officials warn that the war in the Middle East is clouding the global trade outlook, especially by increasing freight and insurance costs and disrupting supply chains — trends that could ripple into multiple markets beyond energy alone.
➡️ There are also concerns that prolonged conflict might slow global economic expansion even further and negatively impact food security and commodity flows.
🌍 What This Means for Iraq’s International Status
Although these WTO reports don’t single out Iraq specifically, the broad implications matter for Iraq’s role in global trade:
📌 1. Iraq as an Energy Exporter
Iraq is a major oil producer in global markets. Slower global trade growth and higher energy prices can:
- Boost Iraq’s export revenues when oil prices are strong,
- Increase its strategic importance as the world seeks stable energy supplies,
- Strengthen diplomatic and economic bargaining power with trading partners.
In other words, Iraq’s importance in energy markets can enhance its international role — even amid slower overall trade growth.
📌 2. Global Trade Slowdown ≠ Economic Contraction
Even though WTO forecasts show slower growth, a slowdown is not the same as negative growth — and it creates opportunities for countries that:
- Build resilience through diversified trade,
- Develop stronger regional partnerships,
- Expand non‑oil exports like services, agriculture, and infrastructure.
This gives Iraq a chance to push for deeper trade ties, potentially through WTO‑aligned reforms and agreements over time.
💡 How This Could Affect the Iraqi Dinar Long‑Term (Positive View)
📈 1. Stronger International Status, Better Trade Position
If Iraq can:
- Maintain steady oil exports,
- Expand its trade network (both regionally and globally),
- Pursue WTO‑friendly economic reforms,
Then global confidence in Iraq’s economy could grow over the long term — a factor that supports currency stability or eventual strengthening.
A stronger global reputation as a reliable trade partner can lead to:
- Higher foreign investment,
- More foreign reserves,
- Greater confidence in economic management.
All of these are positive foundations for the Iraqi Dinar’s long‑term strength.
📈 2. Higher Export Revenues
Even with slower global trade, elevated energy prices — which often accompany geopolitical disruptions — can boost Iraq’s oil revenue. Higher revenue supports:
- fiscal budgets,
- external reserves,
- currency stability.
A more robust economic position can help the Central Bank manage the currency with confidence.
📈 3. WTO Alignment & Global Integration
As global trade grows more complex and interconnected, alignment with WTO standards and broader trade integration can:
- deepen Iraq’s economic links,
- enhance legal protections for investors,
- encourage more stable inward capital flows.
Such integration often correlates with currency credibility and gradual strengthening over time.
✨ Optimistic Long‑Term Takeaway
✔ While WTO forecasts indicate slower global trade growth in 2026,
✔ Iraq’s role as an energy supplier positions it as strategically valuable,
✔ Continued international engagement and economic reform could help Iraq enhance its global standing,
✔ And a stronger economic foundation can support greater confidence in the Iraqi Dinar over the long run.
👉 In other words, short‑term trade headwinds don’t preclude long‑term opportunities — and Iraq’s strategic export base and potential for broader economic integration could help lay the groundwork for future economic and currency resilience.
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---------
World trade growth set to slow to 1.9% this year, Iran war may weigh more, says WTO
GENEVA,(Reuters) - Growth in world trade in goods will slow down markedly to 1.9% this year from 4.6% in 2025 and could decelerate even more if the Middle East war continues to push energy prices higher and disrupt global transport, a World Trade Organization report said on Thursday.
Last year a surge in artificial intelligence-related trade and goods front-loading to avoid a slew of U.S. tariffs enabled a better-than-expected growth performance.
The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here.
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While global trade remains resilient, buoyed by trade in AI-related products, the growth forecast is under pressure from the expanding U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said.
If crude oil and liquefied natural gas prices remain high throughout 2026 due to the conflict, global trade in goods could slow further to 1.4%, WTO economists said.
A prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, choking one-third of fertilizer urea imports, risks hitting major producers like India, Thailand, Brazil, fuelling food security risks, the WTO report said.
Sustained high energy prices could shave 0.5 percentage points off global merchandise growth, with Asian and European fuel-reliant importers hit hardest.
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Services trade also faces a 0.7-point drop from growth forecasts of 4.8% to 4.1% due to shipping and flights disruption, the report found. Last year services trade grew by 5.3%.
CONTINUED AI TRADE GROWTH A "BIG QUESTION MARK"
Last year, world merchandise trade grew at nearly double the forecast rate as a surge in demand for AI-related goods, such as chips and semiconductors, offset the impact of U.S. tariffs and subsequent trade turmoil, the report stated.
Trade in AI-enabling goods accounted for 42% of global trade growth in 2025, despite representing only one-sixth of global trade. It increased by 21.9% year-on-year to $4.18 trillion in 2025, according to the report.
However, the ongoing strength of investment in the sector is "a big question mark for 2026 and beyond," the report said.
This year, goods and services trade and global GDP are forecast to grow at around the same rate - of 2.7% for trade and 2.8% for GDP - following last year's respective growth of 4.7% and 2.9%.
Asia will lead merchandise import growth in 2026 with imports up 3.3% and exports up 3.5%, followed by Africa with 3.2% imports, 1.2% exports, the WTO forecasts. North America will stay flat at 0.3% imports, the report estimates.
Some 72% of world trade is being conducted on a Most-Favoured-Nation basis after falling from about 80% at the start of last year when Trump imposed higher import tariffs, WTO economists estimate. MFN requires WTO members to treat others equally.
Okonjo-Iweala said this figure served as a lesson ahead of the WTO's conference in Cameroon next week where trade ministers will meet to discuss reforms to the global trade body, that the rules-based system "may be battered, but it is far from broken".
Reporting by Olivia Le Poidevin, editing by Andrei Khalip
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
ARIEL: Iraq Foreign Currency Exchange SITREP 2026: Digital Dinar & Market Insights
Iraq Foreign Currency Exchange SITREP 2026: Digital Dinar & Market Insights
Introduction
The foreign exchange landscape in Iraq is undergoing a historic transformation as the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) moves toward a fully digital payment ecosystem by July 2026. This SITREP explores the implications for the Iraqi dinar, parallel markets, tokenized currency frameworks, and legislative underpinnings shaping the future of forex operations.
Iraq’s Digital Transition: What You Need to Know
Cashless Mandates and Digital Dinar Framework
The Iraqi government plans to enforce cashless operations across all state institutions. Key points:
- Deadline: July 2026 for full implementation
- Objective: Replace physical dinar notes gradually, aligning with modernization initiatives
- Supporting Firms: Banking sector reviews by firms like Oliver Wyman
The move reduces dollarization pressures while preparing the infrastructure for tokenized or multicurrency platforms, which may play a pivotal role in future revaluation events.
Parallel Market Dynamics
Despite the official 1,300 IQD/USD peg, private-sector and tiered liquidity pools continue to operate discreetly:
- High-value foreign currency exchanges occur in invitation-only channels
- Market gaps are narrowing due to strengthened reserves and stable oil revenues
- Historical cycles of private redemptions have bypassed public auctions since 2016
This layered liquidity system ensures market stability while positioning the digital framework for eventual integration.
Legislative & Regulatory Landscape
CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act 2025)
- House Passage: July 2025, 294–134 bipartisan vote
- Status: Stalled in Senate over stablecoin yield debates
- Provisions:
- Oversight by SEC & CFTC
- Certified blockchain systems
- Exemptions for digital commodities, enabling regulated tokenized foreign currency
GENIUS Act (July 18, 2025)
- Enforces 100% reserve backing for stablecoins
- Requires monthly disclosures
- Aligns federal and state regulations
- Lays groundwork for secure, auditable redemption flows
SAVE America Act (February 2026)
- Focused on voter integrity measures
- Removes procedural hurdles, indirectly facilitating broader market reforms
Private Exchange Operations: Tiered System Overview
Tier 4B Redemptions
- High-value, NDA-protected exchanges occur in secure facilities
- Operated by select banks, trusts, and military-affiliated nodes
- Detached from spot market, maintaining the official peg
These mechanisms hint at ongoing liquidity management and potential pre-revaluation positioning by high-net-worth participants.
Tokenized Futures & Redemption Infrastructure
Once legislative hurdles clear (expected Q2–Q3 2026 for CLARITY Act), tokenized frameworks are likely to:
- Certify blockchain-based foreign currency representations
- Enable auditable, non-R********d-linked redemption flows
- Integrate private redemption infrastructure into regulated platforms
This evolution represents a fusion of digital currency, blockchain technology, and secure forex channels, aligning with Iraq’s modernization agenda.
Strategic Implications
- Digital Dinar: A fully digitized currency could compress dollarization and stabilize the national economy
- Parallel Markets: Tiered systems allow discreet high-value transactions without disrupting official rates
- Legislation & Regulation: U.S. laws, such as the CLARITY and GENIUS Acts, facilitate tokenized currency adoption and security
- Revaluation Prospects: Controlled liquidity and blockchain-backed redemption systems position Iraq for future value adjustments
Key Takeaways
- Iraq’s digital dinar framework is set to replace cash by July 2026
- Private exchange channels maintain stability while preparing for high-value transactions
- Legislative alignment in the U.S. strengthens tokenized redemption possibilities
- Oil revenue stabilization and reserve management reduce external pressures
- Blockchain integration ensures transparency, security, and auditability
Featured Snippet for Google Discover
What is Iraq’s digital dinar plan for 2026?
Iraq plans a fully digital currency rollout across government institutions by July 2026. Parallel private exchanges operate discreetly, while tokenized frameworks and legislative support pave the way for secure, auditable redemption and potential revaluation.
Q&A Section
Q1: What is the official IQD/USD peg?
1,300 IQD/USD remains the public peg, though private exchanges may operate above or below it.
Q2: How do private Tier 4B exchanges work?
High-value, NDA-protected transactions are conducted through select banks and private trusts, bypassing public auctions.
Q3: When will the digital dinar fully replace cash?
The target is July 2026, aligning with central bank mandates for all government institutions.
Q4: What role does blockchain play?
Tokenized frameworks ensure auditable, secure, and compliant foreign currency redemption flows.
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ARIEL: Foreign Currency Exchange SITREP
Sitrep: Foreign Currency Exchange
So we now know that Iraq’s transition to a fully digital payment ecosystem in state institutions locks in by July 2026, with the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) enforcing cashless mandates across government offices and facilities. This builds on the 2025 announcement of a digital dinar framework to gradually supplant paper notes overtime, aligning with broader modernization drives that include banking sector reviews by firms like Oliver Wyman.
The shift compresses dollarization pressures while preparing infrastructure for tokenized or multicurrency platforms that could underpin future value adjustments. Something you all are familiar with by now. Parallel market gaps narrow as reserves strengthen and oil revenues stabilize, creating operational space for private-sector rate mechanisms detached from the visible 1,300 IQD/USD official peg. Please keep that in mind.
High-level exchanges already occured over the years through tiered, invitation-only channels whales and select entities have cycled positions for years without public rate disruption indicating layered liquidity pools that bypass CBI’s daily auctions. I told you all this has been going on since 2016. Which was when I was supposed to exchange.
This link should show you this revaluation is a primary goal for the current administration. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/15/devaluing-dollar-trump-trade-war-00152009
Next Up We Have This Particular Objective
U.S. legislative architecture accelerates in parallel, with the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act of 2025) having cleared the House in July 2025 on a 294-134 bipartisan vote but remaining stalled in the Senate over stablecoin yield disputes and banking industry pushback. The bill divides oversight between SEC and CFTC, certifies mature blockchain systems, and carves exemptions for digital commodities,
positioning tokenized assets including potential foreign currency representations as regulated instruments.
GENIUS Act (signed July 18, 2025) enforces 100% reserve backing for payment stablecoins, monthly disclosures, and federal-state alignment, laying groundwork for secure, auditable redemption flows.
SAVE America Act (passed House February 2026) focuses on v***r integrity measures like documentary proof of citizenship but carries no direct currency linkage its passage removes procedural hurdles in a broader reform environment, easing momentum for market-structure bills.
Privately speaking in recent years private foreign currency exchanges operated in compartmentalized tiers outside public forex. Tier 4B-style redemptions high-value, project-backed, NDA-enforced route through secure facilities (select banks, private trusts, military-affiliated nodes) at contract/historic rates detached from spot markets. These have processed discreetly for years, with whales cycling positions while maintaining surface stability at 1,300.
Future trajectories hinge on tokenized frameworks: once CLARITY clears Senate hurdles (likely Q2–Q3 2026 amid yield compromises), redemption infrastructure integrates blockchain certification for auditable, non-R********d-linked flows.
Trump-era directives prioritize updated systems evidenced in 2024 Politico reporting on devaluation/revaluation priorities bleeding legacy bloodline dominance through reserve diversification, digital rails, and sanction recalibrations.
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4/18 Latest Iraq Dinar Update and Govt Formation News
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