An American institute: Washington does not object to al-Sudani remaining for a second term and believes that he gives Iraq a chance for a reasonable balance.
2/25/2026 Baghdad – One News
The American “Pro Kings Center” revealed that the Trump administration sees the rise of Maliki as a threat to its strategy in Iraq, especially with the growing concern about the influence of armed factions and their regional intersections, which makes American pressure likely to escalate if the dispute deepens.
The institute indicated in its report that Washington does not object to al-Sudani remaining for a second term, and believes that he gives Iraq an opportunity for a reasonable balance between the United States and Iran.
However, its problem is not with a specific name, but rather it is an explicit rejection of al-Maliki’s return, which seems to be an unchangeable message, no matter what assurances the latter provides.
The American center added that this scenario presents two bitter choices: either insisting on Maliki, which entails a political and economic confrontation with Washington, or sacrificing him, which carries the potential for an internal rift that could reshape the Shiite alliances map for years to come. LINK
In 2025, Iraq stands at a pivotal crossroads. According to commentary from Mnt Goat, we are witnessing essential components of an economic RESET that must occur prior to reinstatement. The financial reforms appear largely complete, and international oversight institutions have signaled satisfaction. However, political timing—especially the 2025 elections—has introduced a pause.
So what’s really happening behind the scenes in Iraq’s economic transformation? And how close could we be to major monetary changes?
Let’s break it down.
IMF Oversight: A Major Green Light for Iraq’s Economy
One of the strongest indicators of progress is the close monitoring by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Reports indicate that:
The IMF is satisfied with Iraq’s reform progress
The IMF has expressed approval of economic stability
Structural and monetary reforms are meeting expectations
stability—especially in emerging or reforming markets. Approval from the IMF suggests that:
Fiscal policy adjustments are working
Inflation is under control
Banking sector reforms are advancing
Monetary reserves are stabilized
For investors and observers, this is a major foundational pillar of any potential reinstatement scenario.
Economic Stability Achieved – Political Stability Pending
While economic metrics appear solid, the 2025 elections have introduced a temporary waiting period.
In transitional economies like Iraq, political stability is just as important as economic reform. Investors and global institutions look for:
A stable governing coalition
Smooth election transitions
Clear legislative direction
Long-term reform continuity
The economic groundwork may be complete—but political timing matters.
Once election outcomes settle and leadership continuity is confirmed, momentum could accelerate rapidly.
As Mnt Goat says: “Things can change on a dime.”
Parliament Waiting on the 2025 Budget
Another critical signal is the pending federal budget.
The Iraqi Parliament is reportedly waiting for the finalized budget framework before moving forward with additional key legislation. The budget is crucial because it:
Reflects projected oil revenues
Defines spending priorities
Signals fiscal discipline
Establishes long-term financial planning
Budget approval often serves as a launchpad for broader monetary adjustments.
Without a finalized budget, major economic announcements are typically paused.
The Oil & Gas Law: A Long-Awaited Catalyst
One of the most important legislative pieces still pending is the Oil and Gas Law.
Why does this matter?
Iraq’s economy is heavily oil-dependent. The Oil & Gas Law would:
Clarify revenue-sharing between Baghdad and regions
Provide stability to international oil investors
Reduce internal political disputes
Strengthen fiscal transparency
Passage of this law would remove a long-standing structural uncertainty in Iraq’s economic system.
Parliament is expected to address it soon after the budget moves forward.
This sequence—budget first, Oil & Gas Law next—suggests a deliberate roadmap.
Are We Near a Monetary Shift?
There are reportedly “too many signs” indicating proximity to a major shift.
Key signals include:
✔ IMF satisfaction ✔ Economic stability confirmation ✔
Budget preparation ✔ Oil & Gas Law pending ✔ Election cycle nearing conclusion
When reforms, stability, legislation, and political timing align, changes can occur quickly.
Financial transitions often appear quiet—until they aren’t.
Featured Snippet Section
What Must Happen Before Iraq’s Currency Reinstatement?
Before reinstatement, Iraq must demonstrate:
Sustained economic stability
IMF approval and monitoring compliance
A finalized national budget
Political stability following elections
Resolution of oil revenue legislation
Current indicators suggest economic requirements are largely satisfied, while political stability is still aligning.
Q&A Section
Q: Is the IMF satisfied with Iraq’s economic reforms?
Yes. Reports indicate that the IMF has expressed satisfaction with Iraq’s reform progress and economic stability metrics.
Q: Why are the 2025 elections important?
Political stability ensures continuity of reforms. Investors and international institutions wait for confirmed leadership before major monetary shifts occur.
Q: What role does the budget play?
The budget establishes fiscal discipline and signals financial readiness. Major economic announcements often follow budget finalization.
Q: Why is the Oil & Gas Law significant?
It stabilizes revenue-sharing and reduces internal disputes, strengthening investor confidence and economic transparency.
Q: Can things change quickly?
Yes. When political and economic stability align, shifts can happen rapidly.
Strategic Outlook for 2025
The pattern unfolding in Iraq suggests sequencing:
Economic reform completion
IMF approval
Election stabilization
Budget finalization
Oil & Gas Law resolution
Potential monetary adjustment
The waiting period may feel long—but in geopolitical timing, alignment matters more than speed.
“Wait and watch” may be the most accurate strategy right now.
Conclusion
Iraq’s economic RESET appears well underway. The IMF has signaled satisfaction with reform success and stability. The remaining piece is political alignment following the 2025 elections.
With Parliament preparing to move on the budget and Oil & Gas Law, the coming months could prove decisive.
There are indeed many signs suggesting we are very near.
Mnt Goat ...in Iraq we are witnessing parts of the RESET that must take place prior to the reinstatement. We know the IMF is closely monitoring the economy and have told us they are satisfied in all the reform success. They have told us they are satisfied with the STABILITY of the economy. But along came the 2025 elections and so now we wait for the political STABILITY to catch up.
I assure you things can change on a dime. Wait and watch! There are already too many signs we are very near. Parliament is waiting for the budget and will soon address the Oil and Gas Law.
CASH HOARDED IN HOME SAFES AND LOST TRUST IN BANK VAULTS
At the heart of the banking confidence crisis that is hindering the spread of electronic payments in Iraq, the majority of economic transactions are still conducted in cash, while savings remain completely outside the formal banking system.
However, the average Iraqi citizen manages his daily life entirely by relying on paper money, as he withdraws his salaries in cash, pays for his purchases in cash, and keeps his savings at home away from banks.
Meanwhile, electronic payment cards have become a routine part of daily life in neighboring countries, revealing that Iraq is about twenty years behind in adopting the simplest modern financing tools.
This delay reflects “weak confidence in banks,” as observers describe it, since the huge amount of cash is hoarded inside homes and exceeds 90 trillion dinars, or about 90 percent of the total cash in circulation, according to the latest data from the Central Bank.
In addition, statistics indicate that less than 20 percent of the population has bank accounts, compared to more than 50 percent in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, where digital payments have been commonplace for years.
A Baghdad resident said via Facebook, “I prefer to keep my money at home for fear of any potential banking crisis, as past experiences do not encourage trust.” A local economic activist stated, “The sector needs radical reforms to build trust, especially with the push to end cash payments in government institutions by July 2026.” A banking source noted that “electronic transactions grew by 17.7 percent in the first quarter of 2025, but reliance on cash still prevails despite the launch of platforms such as ePassole in the Kurdistan Region.”
Despite these government efforts, the biggest challenge remains convincing citizens of the security of the digital system amid fears of losing or freezing deposits.
They do not directly determine a fixed exchange rate in a modern managed currency system.
To back a 400× rate increase, Iraq would need:
Monetary base contraction
Massive redenomination
Structured capital controls
External trade recalibration
Gold alone cannot sustain that scale of currency appreciation without deep structural redesign.
🛢 Oil Revenue as Exchange Rate Support?
Oil priced at $80–90 per barrel certainly strengthens Iraq’s fiscal position. However:
Oil revenue:
Supports budget spending
Builds foreign reserves
Improves balance of payments
It does not automatically justify parity with the U.S. dollar.
Even major oil exporters like:
Saudi Arabia
Norway
Maintain carefully managed currency structures rather than hyper-revaluation events.
🏦 “Hyper-Liquidity Surge” Scenario
The claim suggests:
Purchasing power multiplies 400–1,300× overnight.
If this occurred:
Imports would become ultra-cheap
Domestic production would collapse
Inflation would likely spike due to demand shock
Government price controls would become necessary
Paradoxically, such a dramatic gain in currency value could destabilize internal markets rather than strengthen them.
💳 Banking System Overload & ATM Dry-Up?
A sudden 400× rate shift would create:
Immediate deposit revaluation issues
Contract renegotiations
Foreign debt repricing
Settlement confusion
Modern central banks avoid this by:
Gradual appreciation
Managed float adjustments
Controlled redenomination
Phased currency restructuring
There is currently no official confirmation that the CBI is launching a blockchain monetary layer tied to such an event.
📈 Inflation Spike Then Stabilization?
In reality, a sharp currency appreciation typically reduces import inflation. However:
If purchasing power multiplies instantly:
Consumer demand spikes
Asset bubbles form
Real estate surges
Speculative behavior accelerates
Stability would require extreme monetary discipline.
🏛 Political “Earthquake” & Proxy Removal
The post suggests political consequences involving:
Mohammed Shia' Al-Sudani
Removal of Iranian-linked proxies
While political reform and financial reform can intersect, exchange rate policy remains under the Central Bank of Iraq, not political factions directly.
Monetary policy decisions are technical and macroeconomic — not symbolic resets.
🔎 Featured Snippets
Could Iraq revalue from 1,310 IQD to 1–3 IQD per USD?
Such a 400× revaluation would be unprecedented in modern monetary history and would require massive structural reform.
Does gold backing guarantee a currency reset?
No. Gold reserves support balance sheet strength but do not automatically determine exchange rate value.
Would citizens become instantly wealthy after a 400× revaluation?
In theory, local purchasing power would rise dramatically, but severe economic distortions would likely follow.
Can a central bank raise a currency 1,000× overnight?
No modern central bank has executed an appreciation of that magnitude in a managed global system.
📊 Economic Reality Check
For Iraq to move from 1,310 to 1–3 IQD/USD, it would need:
Full redenomination (removing zeros)
Controlled monetary base contraction
Coordinated global banking transition
IMF-aligned structural reform
Formal international notification
Such a transformation would not occur covertly or “under the radar.”
❓ Q&A Section
Q: Is there official confirmation of a 1–3 IQD/USD rate?
No official statement from the Central Bank of Iraq confirms this.
Q: Does Iraq have significant gold reserves?
Yes, but gold reserves alone cannot justify a 400× exchange rate shift.
Q: Would inflation explode after such a revaluation?
Likely yes — due to sudden demand shock and asset speculation.
Q: Can oil revenue alone support dollar parity?
No. Exchange rate structures depend on monetary supply, reserves, trade balances, and macro policy — not just oil pricing.
📌 Final Perspective
Extraordinary financial transformations require:
Transparent policy communication
Coordinated international banking alignment
Legal frameworks
Monetary restructuring
A sudden 400× currency reset backed solely by gold and oil would contradict modern central banking practice.
Until official statements are issued by the Central Bank of Iraq, such projections remain speculative.
So I have something that was sent to me regarding some covert operations involving the C***l and possible contingencies they have in place for an Iran strike. This is from someone who apparently 1st posted this on Discord.
Exchange rate resets from ~1,310 IQD/USD to a targeted range of 1–3 IQD/USD (pre-1991 parity zone), backed by 145+ tons of gold reserves + proven oil at $80–90/barrel.
Hyper-liquidity surge: domestic purchasing power multiplies 400–1,300× overnight for citizens holding physical dinar or CBI accounts. Consumer spending explodes cars, real estate, imported goods flood in.
Banking system overload: ATMs dry up in days, physical cash shortages force emergency printing of new lower-denomination notes while digital platforms (CBI’s new blockchain layer) come online.
Inflation spike then stabilization: prices for food, fuel, housing double–triple in first month before CBI rate controls and gold backing cap runaway effects.
Wealth redistribution: middle-class and returning diaspora become instant millionaires in local terms; old Ba’athist and militia-linked families who hoarded dollars lose relative power.
Political earthquake: PM al-Sudani’s government faces immediate pressure to purge Iranian proxies from ministries as public demands accountability for past theft.
ECONOMIC RECESSION: EROSION OF PURCHASING POWER DEEPENS THE CRISIS IN IRAQI MARKETS
Due to the ongoing economic recession, Iraqi citizens are suffering from the erosion of their purchasing power, which has led them to prefer adopting a conservative spending behavior.
Today, Iraqis are facing an unfamiliar economic scene: houses for sale with no buyers, car showrooms crowded with onlookers but devoid of buying and selling deals, and prices moving faster than people can keep up with them!
Fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate, jumps in the price of gold, delays in salaries, and severe economic and living crises looming on the horizon, all these factors have combined to freeze buying and selling activity in important markets.
Citizens today are adopting a more conservative spending pattern, driven by concerns about economic instability and fluctuating incomes. They are forced to postpone major purchasing decisions, such as buying cars or real estate, or entering into long-term financial commitments.
This trend reflects a prevailing sense of anticipation and caution in the market. There is a preference for holding cash rather than investing it in costly purchases or investments, in anticipation of any unforeseen economic developments.
The Baghdad Provincial Council had attributed the stagnation of the real estate market in the capital to the high amounts of fines and taxes on subdivided houses, indicating during December 2025 that recommendations were nearing completion that included reducing the fine for subdividing houses from five million to 250 or 500 thousand dinars, as well as imposing the tax on the sold area only and not on the entire original plot of land, in an attempt to address this stagnation.
Citizen Abu Ahmed says in a press interview that he put his house up for sale more than four months ago due to financial circumstances, and to this day no serious buyer has come forward. He added in a press interview that everyone who asks about the house backs down when they know the price, or says they are waiting until the dollar prices stabilize.
He points out that in the past, a house would not remain on display for more than a month, but today the market is almost at a standstill.
An ill-advised gamble
Experts attribute this stagnation to the fluctuating exchange rate of the dollar against the Iraqi currency, and the high price of gold, which makes buying and selling real estate and cars an uncalculated gamble.
In this regard, economist Mustafa Faraj says, “There is a direct relationship between the price of gold and the dollar. Gold is a metal priced in dollars, and if the price of the dollar falls, the price of gold rises, and vice versa.”
He then explains that “Iraq is a rentier state and relies heavily on imports. Therefore, it is directly affected by the price of the dollar, especially in the field of cars, which are imported using hard currency,” adding that “the same applies to house prices. The dollar has a significant influence on the Iraqi market.”
He continues, saying that “real estate sales are currently experiencing a recession, which will continue in the coming period,” noting that “the situation of the Iraqi economy is difficult, due to a shortage of financial liquidity, which leads to delays in paying the salaries of state employees.”
According to Faraj, “Many people have resorted to investing in gold in light of the current geopolitical situation in the region. This has led to a surge in demand for gold, which has contributed to its price increase. In addition, there is a lack of trust among citizens in government banks. The fear of keeping money in banks pushes citizens to invest it in gold.”
Paralysis of buying and selling
Real estate office owners and car dealerships also complain of the stagnation and paralysis that has affected their businesses in the past period.
Radwan Al-Yassiri, owner of a car showroom in the Al-Bayaa area of Baghdad, confirms that he and his colleagues are suffering from an almost complete halt in car sales operations, noting in a press interview that “the direct sales area used to witness heavy congestion on Fridays, and the car market would be at its peak activity, but in recent weeks there have been very few sales and purchases.”
He adds that “the decline in car sales and purchases is linked to several factors, including the weak purchasing power of citizens, increased inflation, as well as the high customs duties imposed on car imports, the ban on importing cars that do not conform to specifications, in addition to the fluctuation of dollar exchange rates,” noting that “all these reasons have led to higher car prices, and made citizens hesitant to sell or buy them.”
He notes that “citizens are no longer buying new cars as they used to. Sales have dropped to near zero, and consumers have turned to buying used cars.”
Real estate agents who buy, sell, and rent properties face similar difficulties to those of showroom owners. Abdul Hassan Kadhim, a real estate agent in Baghdad’s Jihad neighborhood, says that the last house sale through his office was more than two months ago.
In a press interview, he explains that his current activity is limited to renting houses and organizing rental contracts, indicating that the fluctuation in the dollar exchange rate and the weakness of purchasing power are behind the stagnation of various sectors at the present time.
Erosion of purchasing power
According to specialists, the current stagnation in buying and selling in the real estate and automotive sectors is not a passing event, but may be a long-term indicator of a decline in the local economy.
Khaled Al-Jabri, head of the “Usul Foundation” for Economic Development, says that “what the economy is witnessing today is not a passing slowdown, but rather an actual contraction in demand, resulting from the erosion of the citizen’s purchasing power due to the delay in salaries, the increase in customs duties, and the stagnation of liquidity in .
