Thursday, January 8, 2026
AFTER SAVAYA’S MESSAGE… WILL 2026 OPEN A NEW CHAPTER FOR IRAQ?
AFTER SAVAYA’S MESSAGE… WILL 2026 OPEN A NEW CHAPTER FOR IRAQ?
Political analyst Ghazi Faisal commented on the recent message from Mark Savaya, the envoy of US President Donald Trump, to the Iraqi people, in which he called for the beginning of a new era based on respect for the constitution, building an independent state that is not subject to Iranian hegemony, and confronting political and financial corruption, the plundering of wealth, and the failure to develop industry, agriculture, and services.
Faisal said in a statement followed by “Al-Sa’a” that “the American message, despite continuing within the policy of containment, carried a different language that reflects the need for comprehensive radical reforms that restore the true sovereignty of the Iraqi people and allow them to confront poverty, backwardness, unemployment and economic chaos.”
He explained that “these imbalances did not arise spontaneously, but rather came as a result of an Iranian strategic dominance over Iraq, in which the Iraqi economy, security and society were exploited to pay the price for Iran’s internal crises.”
Regarding the possibility of the United States imposing a new equation that would make the Iraqi state the sole entity monopolizing weapons and decision-making, he pointed out that “the central challenge lies in correcting the course of a political system that began in 2003, which violated the constitution and produced parties that failed to build a modern state and an open economy.”
He stressed that “Iran has succeeded in creating more than 34 armed factions linked to the Revolutionary Guard, using Iraq as an arena for its regional influence at the expense of the country’s security and stability.”
He added that “the American message was directed directly to the Iraqi people in an attempt to reshape political legitimacy outside the traditional frameworks,” considering that “the current crisis is a deep legitimacy crisis, and that the Iraqi parliament has often become a formal facade, while the constitution stipulates that the people are the source of sovereignty.”
Faisal concluded by saying: “The year 2026 holds the potential for transformation, if a new national leadership and a clear strategic vision are available, capable of rebuilding a modern state based on democracy, a free economy, and stability, benefiting from Iraq’s wealth, estimated at more than $15 trillion, while moving away from the corrupt rentier system and engaging in a new regional project based on peace and sustainable development.”
📈 JEFF UPDATE: Iraq Budget Freeze Signals Imminent Rate Change & Historic $3.22 Reinstatement Logic 📈
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
This article reflects Jeff’s analysis and opinion regarding Iraq’s currency, budgets, and historical exchange rates.
All information is opinion-based and speculative and not financial advice.
🇮🇶 JEFF: WHY THE BUDGET FREEZE IS A MASSIVE RATE SIGNAL
According to Jeff, some of the strongest evidence yet that Iraq is critically close to a rate change is found not in rumors, but in Iraq’s own budget process.
Jeff emphasizes a fundamental point often overlooked:
🧾 A budget is nothing more than a law — and laws must be calculated using a currency value.
🏛️ WHY THE 2025 & 2026 BUDGETS ARE PAUSED
Jeff explains that:
The amended 2025 budget
And the 2026 budget
have not yet been approved, and this is not political gridlock.
🔑 The Real Reason:
All aspects required to approve a law must already exist.
👉 What does not exist yet?
The currency value that these budgets are calculated on.
Because budgets are numerically tied to the exchange rate, Iraq cannot finalize or approve them until the new rate is known.
⏸️ This is why the budgets are currently paused and suspended.
💱 BUDGETS & CURRENCY VALUE: THE DIRECT CONNECTION
Jeff stresses:
Budgets are math
Math requires a rate
A rate change must come first
Budgets follow immediately after
This creates a logical sequence:
Rate change
Budget approval
Legal implementation
📊 You cannot legally approve a budget using the wrong currency value.
⏳ WHAT CAUSED THE IQD TO FALL IN THE FIRST PLACE?
Jeff poses a critical historical question:
❓ What originally devalued Iraq’s currency?
👉 Answer:
U.S. and UN sanctions
Sanctions crushed Iraq’s economy
Currency value collapsed
Iraq lost access to global markets
🔄 THE RECIPROCAL LOGIC: SANCTIONS OFF = VALUE BACK ON
Jeff applies simple historical and economic logic:
In 2003, before sanctions fully took effect, the Iraqi dinar was valued at $3.22
At that time, it was one of the highest-valued currencies in the world
🧠 Jeff’s Key Point:
If sanctions brought the currency down, then removing sanctions should restore it.
🔁 Take off what caused the fall — and the currency reinstates.
After 22 years, removing sanctions would theoretically return the dinar to its original reinstatement value.
💵 THE $3.22 REINSTATEMENT ARGUMENT
Jeff’s logic leads to a clear conclusion:
Sanctions removed
Iraq sovereign again
Global trade restored
Currency reinstates
📍 Reinstatement level:
➡️ $3.22 per IQD
🇰🇼 KUWAIT COMPARISON STRENGTHENS THE CASE
Historically:
Iraq’s currency was slightly higher than Kuwait’s
Today, the Kuwaiti dinar is ~$3.25
Jeff notes that a $3.22–$3.25 range would be:
Historically consistent
Regionally logical
Economically justified
📈 Iraq returning near or above Kuwait’s level would not be unusual — it would be normal.
⭐ FEATURED SNIPPET
Why are Iraq’s 2025 and 2026 budgets frozen?
According to Jeff, Iraq’s budgets are paused because they must be calculated using a new currency value, signaling that a rate change must occur before budget approval.
🧠 WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE RV DISCUSSION
Jeff’s analysis suggests:
The rate change is not optional
It is legally required
The pause itself is the signal
History provides the benchmark
⏰ Budgets don’t wait — they force action.
❓ Q&A: KEY QUESTIONS ANSWERED
❓ Is the budget delay intentional?
Yes. Jeff believes it is strategic and necessary.
❓ Can Iraq approve budgets at the current rate?
No. The math would be legally invalid.
❓ Why $3.22 specifically?
That was Iraq’s pre-sanctions value in 2003.
❓ Does sanction removal matter?
Yes. Sanctions are what destroyed the value.
❓ Could the IQD exceed Kuwait?
Historically, Iraq’s currency has been slightly higher.
📌 KEY TAKEAWAY
Iraq’s frozen budgets are not a delay — they are a confirmation.
The missing piece is the currency value, and history strongly suggests where that value belongs.
💬 When the rate changes, the budgets move. Not the other way around.
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER
This content is opinion and analysis only, based on historical context and interpretation.
It is not financial advice. Always consult professionals.
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🚀 HASHTAGS
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Jeff
Very good information is coming out showing you how critically close the rate change is...You have to consider the budget is nothing more than a law. The budget is calculated off the currency value...The draft amended '25 budget and the '26 budget haven't been approved yet because all aspects of laws have to exist in order to approve them.
What doesn't exist yet would be the currency value that those two budgets are calculated off of. That's why they're being paused and suspended right now waiting for the rate to change...
What originally devalued the currency and brought it down?
It was US/UN sanctions that brought it down. At the time in 2003 when it was devalued it was the highest currency valued in the world at $3.22...Now let's do the reciprocal of that. What happens if you take the sanctions off that brought it down?
Theoretically it would reinstate back to the original 2003 value of $3.22. It reinstates...When you take the sanctions off after 22 years, it reinstates it back to where it was of $3.22...Historically Iraq's currency has always been slightly higher currency value that Kuwait's. Today Kuwait's currency is $3.25.
ATRUSHI: THE OIL AND GAS LAW MUST BE PASSED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
ATRUSHI: THE OIL AND GAS LAW MUST BE PASSED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.
The second deputy speaker of the Iraqi parliament, Farhad Atrushi, indicated that so far more than 40 people have nominated themselves for the position of president of the republic, but the two parties, the Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union, do not have a candidate. He stressed that in order to solve the financial problems and implement federalism, the oil and gas law must be passed as soon as possible. At the same time, regarding the parliamentary committees, he said: The committees are formed temporarily.
On Sunday, January 4, 2026, during his participation in the “Today’s Talk” program on Kurdistan24, Atroushi said: In Iraq, the parliament is the center of the political process and the center for making important decisions, so maintaining the position of Deputy Speaker of Parliament for the Kurds is very important.
He added: “Today the new parliament held its first session, during which I submitted a proposal that the parliament’s presidency should have special legislative authority for the next four years, in order to have clarity in the implementation of laws and the identification of important laws. They also welcomed the proposal.” He also said: “In the next session, we will decide on the general outlines of the parliament’s policy and form a special committee.”
He continued: “The oil and gas law must be issued in order to implement fiscal federalism, because a large part of Iraq’s revenues are provided through oil and gas, and without implementing the law and the constitution, no problem will ever be solved, and the constitution must be the arbite r.”
He added, “So far, more than 40 people have nominated themselves for the presidency, and we expect that number to increase tomorrow, but neither of the two main parties has yet put forward a candidate for the position.” He also stressed that the Kurds must be united on the issue of the presidency and have a single position.
He went on to say: “Tomorrow we will form a committee to lay some foundations and monitor the distribution of parliamentary committees,” and said: The distribution of parliamentary committees should be temporary only to carry out the work of parliament until the new government is formed.
📊 MILITIA MAN UPDATE: 10 Key Indicators Confirm Iraq’s Readiness for Global Financial Integration 📊
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
This article reflects Militia Man’s analysis and interpretation of publicly reported economic, political, and financial developments in Iraq.
All content is informational and opinion-based and not financial advice.
🇮🇶 MILITIA MAN: WHY THESE 10 INDICATORS MATTER NOW
According to Militia Man, a convergence of ten major indicators has created the conditions for prudent next stepsby the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) and international financial gatekeepers such as the IMF, U.S. Treasury (UST), and Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
Together, these indicators suggest Iraq has moved beyond preparation and into operational readiness for deeper global financial integration.
🔑 THE 10 KEY INDICATORS BREAKDOWN
1️⃣ UNAMI MANDATE ENDED – FULL SOVEREIGNTY
The United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI) officially ended on December 31, 2025.
Confirms full Iraqi sovereignty
Removes international administrative oversight
Clears a major requirement for independent monetary policy
🏛️ Sovereignty is essential for exchange rate authority.
2️⃣ SMOOTH PARLIAMENT LEADERSHIP TRANSITION
On December 29, 2025, Iraq’s parliament successfully elected new leadership:
Peaceful process
Political continuity
Strengthens institutional credibility
3️⃣ ASYCUDA AUTOMATION FULLY MANDATORY
The ASYCUDA customs automation system became mandatory on January 1, 2026.
Generated record non-oil revenues in 2025
Enhances transparency and tax collection
Reduces corruption and revenue leakage
4️⃣ DIGITAL DINAR & ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS LIVE
Iraq has now fully implemented:
Electronic payment systems
Digital dinar infrastructure
Planned phasing out of paper notes in 2026
💳 Digital compliance is a core IMF and BIS requirement.
5️⃣ LOW INFLATION & STRONG FOREIGN RESERVES
Iraq has maintained:
Low inflation
Foreign reserves near $115 billion
This level of reserves is exceptionally strong relative to peer economies.
6️⃣ BANKING SECTOR RESTRUCTURING
Significant advancements include:
Improved regulatory compliance
Banking modernization
Increased attractiveness to foreign partnerships
🏦 A compliant banking system is mandatory for international settlements.
7️⃣ TIR TRANSIT SYSTEM LAUNCHED
The TIR international transit system began its first shipments across Iraq in 2025.
Positions Iraq as a regional logistics hub
Critical component for WTO accession
Enhances trade efficiency
8️⃣ DEVELOPMENT ROAD PROJECT NEAR COMPLETION
Infrastructure progress includes:
Railway designs 87% complete
Navigation channels 100% complete
These projects:
Boost non-oil revenues
Support the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)
9️⃣ EXPANDING INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIPS
Iraq has expanded its global reach through:
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development involvement
Direct aviation links with China starting early 2026
🌍 Global connectivity strengthens trade and capital flows.
🔟 INTERNATIONAL VALIDATION & PRAISE
Major global institutions have issued strong endorsements:
IMF 2025 review praised prudent policies
BIS standards reportedly being adopted
U.S. Treasury commended compliance efforts
These validations reflect international confidence in Iraq’s readiness.
⭐ FEATURED SNIPPET
What indicators show Iraq is ready for global financial integration?
Militia Man highlights ten indicators including full sovereignty, digital dinar implementation, low inflation, $115B in reserves, IMF praise, BIS standards, and expanded international trade systems.
🧠 WHAT THIS MEANS FOR IRAQ’S CURRENCY REFORM
Taken together, these indicators show that:
Iraq has achieved sovereignty
Digital financial systems are live
Revenues are diversified beyond oil
Global institutions recognize compliance and stability
📈 This creates a foundation for exchange rate modernization and deeper global financial ties.
❓ Q&A: COMMON QUESTIONS
❓ Is Iraq fully sovereign now?
Yes. The end of UNAMI on December 31, 2025 confirms full sovereignty.
❓ Why is the digital dinar important?
It ensures transparency, traceability, and compliance with IMF/BIS standards.
❓ Are foreign reserves sufficient?
Yes. Approximately $115 billion is considered exceptionally strong.
❓ Does this mean an RV is imminent?
Militia Man suggests conditions are now met, but timing remains a policy decision.
❓ Why do IMF and BIS matter?
They act as global gatekeepers for financial integration and exchange systems.
📌 KEY TAKEAWAY
Iraq has moved from preparation to operational readiness. With sovereignty restored, digital systems live, revenues diversified, and international validation secured, the foundation is in place for next-level global financial engagement.
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER
This article is informational only, reflecting Militia Man’s analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct independent research.
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Militia Man
The following 10 indicators...create conditions for prudent next steps by the Central Bank of Iraq and gatekeepers - IMF, UST, BIS...
(1) United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq ended on December 31, 2025...This affirms full sovereignty for Iraq...
(2) Parliament leadership elected smoothly on December 29, 2025.
(3) ASYCUDA system
automations mandatory January 1, 2026...Generated record non-oil revenues...in 2025... (4) Electronic payments and...digital dinar in full implementation with paper notes phasing out in 2026...
(5) Low inflation maintained. Foreign reserves reached approximately $115 billion...That is phenomenal in comparison to other countries.
(6) Banking sector restructuring and advances...improves compliance and attracts foreign partnerships...
(7) TIR international transit system launched first shipments across Iraq in 2025...This positions Iraq as a reliable logistics partner...a key component to the WTO...
(8) Development Road designs reached 87% for railways...Navigation channels 100%. These enhance...non-oil revenues...which is going to support the Real Effective Exchange Rate.
(9) International partnerships expanded. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development...Direct aviation links with China start early 2026...
(10) The IMF 2025 review praised prudent policies. The BIS supposed standard adoption. The US Treasury commended compliance efforts. These measured validations reflect confidence in Iraq's readiness...These [10] indicators show Iraq reforms have created a stable foundation with sovereignty ...digital systems are live and revenues are diversified. The country is prepared for deeper global financial ties
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