The Prime Minister's Economic Advisor: The Fluctuation Of The Dollar Is Temporary And Is Not Based On Real Economic Data
Baratha News Agency168 2025-12-14 The financial advisor to the Prime Minister, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, confirmed on Sunday that the fluctuation of the dollar is temporary and is not based on real economic data.
Saleh told the official agency that "what happened in the parallel exchange market during the past few days is nothing more than an emergency and temporary fluctuation resulting from inaccurate information effects known in economic analysis as colored noise, which is distorted information that is mostly based on rumors, and leads to short-term speculation in the unregulated money market."
He added that "transitional periods usually witness such price movements, especially as the country continues in the post-legislative election phase, and in parallel with the implementation of the customs governance system and its digital procedures in accordance with international standards, including customs tracking systems and modern digital applications that enhance transparency and discipline in the commercial and financial environment together."
He explained that “the aforementioned fluctuation in the price of the dollar against the dinar in the parallel market has not left a substantial impact on the stability of the general price level, as monetary policy continues to achieve its operational and intermediate goals in stabilizing prices in general and maintaining the stability of the official exchange rate in particular, a path that is reflected in the decline of the annual inflation growth rate to normal fractional levels not exceeding 2.5% annually.”
He explained that "the policy of maintaining a stable exchange rate is an approved policy based on fundamental principles, foremost among them the efficiency of foreign reserves supporting the stability of the official exchange rate of 1320 dinars per dollar." https://burathanews.com/arabic/economic/468892
Currency exchange for the Iraqi dinar may take 90 days to six months.
Large U.S. dollar purchases of dinar off the streets suggest government efforts to reduce currency circulation, potentially increasing remaining currency value.
Insight: Iraq’s dinar appears substantially undervalued compared to regional peers, supported by asset and economic comparisons.
Geopolitical & Social Unrest
Rising religious and racial tensions, including anti-Semitic attacks (e.g., Sydney, Australia).
Growing military presence in Puerto Rico, Europe, and other regions.
Political shifts in Latin America, notably Chile, moving towards hard-right crime and immigration policies.
Discussions on media bias, societal division, and political polarization, with attention to immigration and crime in California.
Q&A: Evidence-Based Guidance
Q: How long will Iraqi dinar exchange take? A: 90 days minimum, up to six months.
Q: Does removing currency from circulation increase its value? A: Yes, assuming constant economic conditions.
Conclusion
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Iraqi Foreign Minister: Ending the UNAMI mission in Iraq reflects the progress and stability achieved.
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres expressed his pride in the ongoing cooperation with Iraq on Saturday, while Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein affirmed his country's appreciation for the international organization's role during previous phases.
A statement from the Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs, received by the Iraqi News Agency (INA), stated that "Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein received the Secretary-General of the United Nations, Antonio Guterres, upon his arrival at Baghdad International Airport."
The statement explained that "this visit came on the occasion of the announcement of the end of the work of the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI), after years of carrying out its tasks in supporting the political process, promoting stability, and providing advice and assistance in various fields."
During the reception, the Minister affirmed the Iraqi government's appreciation for the role played by the United Nations and UNAMI in supporting Iraq during previous phases, noting that "the termination of the mission's work reflects the progress and stability achieved, and embodies Iraq's ability to manage its national affairs and strengthen its sovereignty and constitutional institutions."
For his part, the Secretary-General of the United Nations expressed his "pride in the existing cooperation with Iraq," stressing "the continued support of the international organization for Iraq through new cooperation frameworks that are appropriate for the next stage, and that enhance sustainable development and international partnership."
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres arrived in Baghdad this morning to participate in the official ceremony marking the end of the mandate of the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq link
Iraq’s Monetary Reform Is Getting Louder: Why a Rate Change Narrative Is Building Toward 2026
For the fifth consecutive day, the same Iraqi economist has stepped forward to explain — clearly and precisely — that Iraq now has both the potential and the possibility for a currency rate change.
This is not random. This is not accidental. This is consistent messaging.
And consistency in economics is everything.
The Economist’s Message: Potential, Not Prediction
Let’s be clear about what is — and is not — being said.
Central Bank of Iraq (CBI), Prime Minister Sudani, President Saleh, and multiple economists have already provided the data points needed to understand the direction.
👉 In Frank26’s opinion, everything needed to calculate a new rate is already on the table.
Oliver Wyman: A Critical External Confirmation
One of the most important pieces of this puzzle comes from Oliver Wyman, the global consulting firm.
Their analysis pointed to 2026 as a year where a rate change would occur.
That statement alone:
Validates internal Iraqi commentary
Aligns with reform timelines
Adds international credibility
This is why the conversation has intensified.
Monetary Reform: Loud, Direct, and Impossible to Ignore
Frank26 described it perfectly:
“The monetary reform, oh my goodness, it is so loud. It is so direct and it’s so obvious.”
This reform is no longer whispered behind closed doors.
It is being:
Explained publicly
Repeated daily
Communicated directly to Iraqi citizens
The CBI Governor himself is now a central voice in this process.
The Role of the Central Bank Governor
One of the most important shifts is who is doing the talking.
The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq is:
Explaining monetary reform daily
Educating citizens on the process
Preparing the population psychologically and financially
This is critical.
💡 You do not educate a population daily unless something is coming.
Why January 1, 2026 Matters
According to Frank26’s opinion:
December 15th represents a requirement date
January 1, 2026 demands something new
The current 1310–1320 rate cannot continue unchanged
“There has to be something to replace 1310/1320.”
And the groundwork is clearly being laid.
Building Anticipation: A Deliberate Strategy
What we are witnessing is not chaos — it is structured anticipation.
Frank26 puts it bluntly:
“They are the ones building up the anticipation, the drama, the teasing.”
Every day:
New explanations
New confirmations
More clarity
And the Iraqi people are being told — daily — what is happening.
Featured Snippet: Key Insight
Iraq’s monetary reform messaging has intensified, with economists, the CBI governor, and international consultants signaling that the current 1310/1320 exchange rate may need replacement by January 1, 2026.
Q&A: Key Questions Answered
Q: Is Iraq officially announcing a new exchange rate?
A: No. But officials are providing the framework that suggests change is coming.
Q: Why is Oliver Wyman important?
A: As an international consulting firm, their 2026 timeline adds credibility.
Q: Why is the CBI governor speaking so often?
A: To prepare citizens for monetary reform and upcoming changes.
Q: Can the current 1310/1320 rate continue into 2026?
A: In Frank26’s opinion, it cannot.
Q: Is this momentum slowing down?
A: No. Each day appears stronger than the last.
Why This Wave Feels Different
Frank26 uses a powerful metaphor:
“We’ve been riding this wave… and it seems we cannot fall off our surfboard.”
Every indicator suggests:
Progress, not regression
Momentum, not hesitation
Clarity, not confusion
The Iraqi dinar is advancing in ways once considered only dreams.
Final Thoughts
This is not about hype. This is about pattern recognition.
Daily messaging. Consistent education. Aligned timelines. International validation.
When governments communicate this openly, they are preparing their people for change.
For a 5th day in a row the same [Iraqi] economist comes out and once again lays it out on the table very clearly, very precisely explaining that we have the potential, we have the possibility of a rate change because Oliver Wyman said in 2026 there would be a rate change.
Granted...he's not giving us a new exchange rate or saying we're gong to have one but he doesn't have to because the CBI, Sudani, Saleh and other economists have already given you everything to calculate the new rate IMO...
The monetary reform, oh my goodness, it is so loud. It is so direct and it's so obvious...
We have been riding this wave and it seems we cannot fall off of our surfboard because every day...is better that the last one.
IMO the Iraqi dinar is advancing in ways that we've only dreamed about...I see the governor of the Central Bank of Iraq explaining every day to the Iraqi citizens the monetary reform process.
Based on what the governor of the central bank and also on what Oliver Wyman said...and what December 15th requires...my opinion is on January 1, 2026 that has to be something to replace 1310/1320.
There has to be...They're setting it up that way. They are the ones building up the anticipation, the drama, titillation, teasing, however you want to describe it. Every freaking day they come out and they tell the Iraqi citizens, this is what's happening.
My perspective on the dinar and economic reform, based on what Dr. Nabil Al-Marsoumi wrote about them.
With all due respect to you, my dear professor Dr. Nabil Al-Marsoumi, and with all due appreciation for your knowledge and expertise, from which I have always benefited, I hope you will allow me to present the following points to you, in response and commentary on what you wrote about economic reform a few days ago, as follows:
1- The “White Paper” was never a reform paper, and it never will be. In it, the wrong measures and government corruption were imposed on the people, as they were exposed to inflation due to the reduction in the exchange rate of the dinar, and stagnation prevailed in the markets due to the contradictions in the economic measures, not to mention the exploitation of the economic crises by those in power and their entourages to make profits and accelerate the wheel of smuggling.
2- I agree with you, my dear professor, that the economic crises in developing countries are caused by errors in macroeconomic policies, and I also agree with you on the necessity of cooperating with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. However, I do not agree with you, nor with the pillars of the Iraqi government that approved the “White Paper” prepared by the World Bank, with nominal Iraqi participation, regarding many of the items and measures contained in the ill-fated White Paper.
I do not agree with placing the plans to address the Iraqi economic crises under the authority of the World Bank or others. Rather, I call for the solutions to be purely Iraqi, in cooperation with international financial institutions, as Iraq is full of good economic personnel, both inside and outside the government.
3- In my view, seeking to reduce the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar is an economic crime that should only be resorted to in extreme emergency situations, when other means are exhausted. Iraq has multiple available means to address its economic crises, such as borrowing, rationalizing the budget, reforming food rations and social welfare, regulating salaries, limiting appointments, and eliminating underemployment, among others. These measures will be painful, as you mentioned, but they are certainly better than the effects of stagflation, which will burden the rich before the poor.
4- Floating the Iraqi dinar, in the current state of the Iraqi economy, contradicts the most basic rules of economics, not to mention its contradiction with reason and logic. Economically, floating occurs in a balanced free market where there is a real opportunity to achieve a fair exchange rate. This is impossible to achieve in the current Iraqi economy, as the only party that possesses dollars and hard currencies is the Central Bank of Iraq. As for the Iraqi market, it obtains hard currencies from the Central Bank, because Iraq is an importing country and not an exporting one, and most traders do not possess hard currency because they do not export, but rather they depend on the Central Bank to provide foreign currency liquidity. Consequently, there is no balanced market in which hard currency is available to everyone, and it is a market governed by what the Central Bank provides of hard currency, so competition becomes impossible, and achieving a fair exchange rate becomes impossible.
5- Promoting the idea of floating the dinar and reducing its exchange rate in the markets and among the general public is extremely dangerous. It is a preemptive move for possible future measures that may not happen, and if they do happen, they may not be soon. Occupying the markets with this type of idea presented as a solution is harmful and not beneficial. Therefore, I recommend staying away from it and leaving the idea of floating the dinar and reducing its exchange rate to the next government.
6- The economic reform process will be harsh and costly for the poor and those with limited and middle incomes, as you mentioned. The government must strive to alleviate the burden of this harshness and cost by improving economic, security, and social performance, and by formulating a national reform paper, with the participation of the concerned parties, the government, society, and markets, and with the assistance of local, international, and UN financial institutions.
6- Economic reform measures will not be effective unless they are accompanied by good intentions from those who take them. Corruption and mismanagement have brought Iraq to this state, and its continuation means the inevitable failure of reform measures. I think the time has come for the marginalized class of the national elite and entrepreneurs in the markets to take their place in the constructive and effective contribution to managing the course of the economy in Iraq, whether those in power accept it or not. link