Sunday, July 13, 2025
A Semi-Final Agreement With The Region To Begin Exporting Oil
July 12, 2025 Baghdad - Qusay Munther Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani revealed that a near-final agreement has been reached with the Kurdistan Region to resume oil exports via the Turkish port of Ceyhan. He noted that negotiations have reached their final stages after resolving most of the contentious issues between the two parties, with the exception of the issue of domestic consumption, which remains under discussion.
Abdul Ghani said in a statement yesterday that “the budget specified quantities of crude oil that must be delivered from the Kurdistan Regional Government to the federal government for export. It stipulated the delivery of 400,000 barrels per day to the federal government, specifically to the State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO), for export via the Iraqi-Turkish pipeline.” ]
He stressed that “during this period, intensive talks and negotiations took place to implement this initial agreement or what was stipulated in the budget law.
Based on these negotiations, the budget law was amended to expedite the implementation of the agreement and deliver the quantities according to the amendments. $16 was set for each barrel produced by the region as an advance payment, with the appointment of a consulting company within a clear scope of work to price the production of a barrel of oil in each field separately.”
He pointed out that “this agreement and amendment were presented to the regional government and received real approval from all parties,” indicating that “there are some issues that have hindered the implementation of this agreement, including the issue of the budget law and within the audit agreements between the Financial Supervision Bureaus in the federal and regional governments, where it was agreed to set the amount of refining or internal consumption at 46 thousand barrels per day, but the region is currently demanding that this amount be 65 thousand, which constitutes a violation of the budget law.”
Stressing that (almost all paragraphs were agreed upon except for this paragraph, and we hope that in the final stages the region will agree to the amount that was agreed upon within the Financial Supervision Bureau in the federal government and the region with the aim of implementing this agreement),
Abdul Ghani explained that (from our side as the federal government, the Turkish side and the Kurdish side were informed of our readiness to receive and export this amount, and I was in a meeting with the Turkish Minister of Energy, who confirmed that Ankara is ready to resume the process of exporting oil through the Iraqi-Turkish pipeline towards Ceyhan, but we are waiting for the brothers in the region to deliver this amount of oil so that it can be exported).
He continued, saying, "The federal government is now losing approximately 300,000 barrels per day, because the amount produced by the region is counted as part of Iraq's OPEC quota, even though the federal government does not benefit from this amount." On a related note, Iraq ranked 12th globally in proven natural gas reserves for 2025, according to the American magazine.
The magazine said in a report that (Russia, Iran and Qatar combined possess 51 percent of the world's proven natural gas reserves, totaling about 3.7 quadrillion cubic feet out of 7.3 quadrillion cubic feet available worldwide), and pointed out that (Iraq ranked 12th globally in proven natural gas reserves this year, amounting to 111 billion and 522 million cubic feet, which is equal to 1.61 percent of the world's reserves), adding that (Russia ranked first globally in proven natural gas reserves, amounting to 1 trillion and 688 billion and 228 million cubic feet, followed by Iran in second place with 1 trillion and 183 billion and 19 million cubic feet, and Qatar came in third with 850 billion and 98 million cubic feet).
The report continued, "The United States of America came in fourth place with the largest proven natural gas reserves, 322 billion and 234 million cubic feet, and Saudi Arabia came in fifth place with 303 billion and 284 million cubic feet of natural gas." LINK
MNT GOAT: "Global Recognition: Using the Dinar to Pay for Imports"
Mnt Goat
...what we really want to see is the use of the dinar to pay for imports and thus the demand for dinar by other countries as a currency of some value.
Right now, Iraq does send their dinars to some of the correspondent banks to pay for imports but this is still limited as many banks still want US dollars directly. But the conversion process (exchange of dinars for dollars) process is taking on steam and is rolling forward...
...I have said it many times that this reinstatement of the dinar is nothing but political...If it wasn’t, the Dr Shabibi coup would have never happened .Erbil is delaying the process and giving Baghdad a few days to resolve the salary crisis – Barzani's headquarters
Erbil is delaying the process and giving Baghdad a few days to resolve the salary crisis – Barzani's headquarters
"Last chance" to find a way out
Barzani's office announced on Saturday that the Kurdistan Democratic Party's (KDP) political bureau had decided to give Baghdad a final opportunity of several days to resolve the salary and financial dues crisis.
This came after Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein returned from a round of talks with federal parties in the capital, Baghdad, bearing promises of a settlement soon.
READ ALSO: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2025/07/firefly-imminent-deal-will-resolve-oil.html
In the name of God, the most gracious, the most merciful
Regarding the disagreements between the Kurdistan Region and the federal Iraqi government regarding the settlement of salaries, budget, and financial dues to the Kurdistan Region, the Politburo of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) held a meeting today to take the necessary stance.
However, Dr. Fuad Hussein also returned to Kurdistan today after holding a series of talks with Iraqi political parties. He informed the KDP Politburo that the political parties, figures, and the federal Iraqi government have pledged to resolve this issue and address the issue of sending salaries and financial dues to the Kurdistan Region within the next few days.
Based on their requests and promises, and in order to continue the dialogue in a calm atmosphere and with due consideration for the situation and the public interest, we decided to grant the federal Iraqi government in Baghdad a final opportunity to find a solution that would ensure a settlement to this problem.
This is based on our firm belief in preferring to resolve differences through mutual understanding, as long as the path to dialogue remains open. link
ARIEL : Iraqi Dinar Update 🇮🇶
ARIEL
Iraqi Dinar Update
Status of Listed Events in July 2025:
Basel III Endgame: Phase-in commenced July 1, 2025, with full compliance by July 1, 2028; focuses on capital requirements for large banks, increasing operational risk buffers by 9% for G-SIBs.
Trump's Tariffs: Imposed July 9, 2025, at 30% on Iraqi non-oil imports (exempting crude oil, 98% of exports); reduced from initial 39% threat, but risks reserve drains if oil prices fall 5-10%. No "end" occurred user reference may misalign with imposition date.
ISO 20022: Migration for cross-border payments on track, with Swift coexistence ending November 2025; Fedwire adoption confirmed for July 14, 2025.
Fedwire: Single-day ISO 20022 implementation July 14, 2025; ends legacy formats, enabling blockchain pilots for 20% of oil settlements.
GENIUS Act (Senate): Passed Senate June 17, 2025 (68-30 vote); establishes stablecoin framework, now pending House reconciliation.
CLARITY Act (House): Advanced from committees June 2025; slated for House floor week of July 14 during "Crypto Week"; divides SEC/CFTC oversight for digital assets.
Iraq WTO 4th Meeting: Third Working Party meeting July 18, 2024; fourth delayed to Q1 2026 due to reform gaps; accession hinges on tariff bindings and anti-corruption measures.
Ripple/SEC Ends: Ripple dropped cross-appeal June 27, 2025; SEC closed meeting July 10 could finalize; $125M penalty dispute ongoing, no confirmed July closure.
Peace in Middle East: Gaza armistice January 2025; Hezbollah-Israel truce November 2024; ongoing tensions with Israeli forces in Lebanon hills; no comprehensive July breakthrough.
US Dollar Tanks / Currencies Rise: Dollar down 10% H1 2025 (worst since 1991) from debt ($35T+), tariffs, and rate cut expectations; EUR/USD at 1.17, GBP/USD at 1.37 by Q3.
Hypothetical Impact if All Events Align:
Combined pressures tariff exemptions preserving oil revenues, ISO 20022 enabling digital settlements, crypto bills boosting USD alternatives, dollar weakness lifting emerging currencies, and WTO progress could force CBI to advance a managed float to Q3 2025 for reserve bolstering; blockchain tests cover 20% transactions, positioning for subtle tweak.
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