Sunday, June 22, 2025
US MEASURES RAISE THE DOLLAR’S VALUE IN IRAQ, AND AN EXPERT SAYS WAR WILL PUSH IT ABOVE THE 2,000-DINAR THRESHOLD
US MEASURES RAISE THE DOLLAR’S VALUE IN IRAQ, AND AN EXPERT SAYS WAR WILL PUSH IT ABOVE THE 2,000-DINAR THRESHOLD.
On Thursday, June 12, 2025, economic and financial expert Nasser Al-Kanani predicted that the dollar exchange rate in Iraq would rise again in the coming period due to recent tensions in the region. He also indicated that the exchange rate could exceed 200,000 dinars per $100 if war breaks out in the region.
Al-Kanani told Al-Jabal platform, “With the recent security tensions, threats, and American moves to withdraw diplomats from Iraq and some countries in the region, as well as the mutual US-Iranian threats, the dollar has risen significantly in the past few hours. This rise, according to the data, will continue in the coming hours and days with the increase in tension.”
He explained that “this tension will push many citizens, as well as traders, to withdraw the dollar from the market, and increase import quantities for fear of any emergency that may occur due to the expected war in the region.” He indicated that “the outbreak of any war in the region will raise the dollar high in the local market and will exceed 200,000 dinars for every 100 US dollars, and perhaps more than that. Therefore, the Iraqi economic situation will remain turbulent, anxious, and unstable during the coming period, which will witness a continuous rise in the exchange rate and perhaps the prices of some other basic commodities.”
The region is witnessing tensions, marked by US withdrawals from several embassies, including Iraq, following Iranian threats to target US bases.
Earlier today, the US Embassy in Baghdad revealed that the evacuation of its citizens from Baghdad and the US Consulate in Erbil is mandatory, not voluntary, due to escalating regional tensions.
The embassy said in statements monitored by Al-Jabal that “the evacuation of our citizens is not voluntary, but rather a mandatory departure by official order.”
She added, “The departure is immediate, and we will not reveal the number of employees leaving for security reasons,” noting that “the departure order includes the embassy in Baghdad and the consulate in Erbil.”
She pointed out that “the departure of non-essential government employees came due to escalating regional tensions.”
Earlier today, the spokesman for the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Sabah al-Numan, said that the evacuation of some US embassy staff was a “precautionary measure,” stressing that “the pace of stability is increasing.”
Al-Numan said in a statement received by Al-Jabal, a copy of which was received by Al-Jabal, that “all Arab and foreign diplomatic missions operating in Iraq enjoy the widest range of safe working conditions,” indicating that “the evacuation of some US embassy employees from Iraq or other areas in the Middle East is a precautionary and regulatory measure related to them.”
He added, “The evacuation decision has nothing to do with the presence of any security indicators on the ground within Iraqi territory.”
Al-Naaman pointed out that “all security indicators and briefings confirm the escalation of stability and the restoration of internal security throughout the country.”
He explained that “the security forces continue to implement their plans with high efficiency to ensure security and stability,” noting that “intelligence and field reports do not indicate the existence of actual threats that would impact the work of the missions or the general situation in the country.”
He continued: “The Joint Operations Command and other security agencies are monitoring all developments and confirming that they will continue to operate at a high level of readiness.”
STATUS OF THE RV, PART. 1 BY MNT GOAT
STATUS OF THE RV
There is not a lot to tell today. We all should know by now about the Israel / Iranian conflict going on, or should I say WAR? Either way you look at this war the questions that arise for all have us investors in the Iraqi dinar are –
How long is this going to take and will the U.S. get involved?
As far as the U.S. getting involved, I fully believe that there is an opportunity to end this global terrorism that should not get away at this point in time. We all want peace, but we also know Iran is stalling for time. Why? They want to mount a nuclear warhead on one of their ballistic missiles and destroy half of Israel in one blow.
This is the means of delivery and without it, Iran cannot launch their nuclear attack. Israel is striking hard on these missile sites. Go figure why?
I can say the next phase of the operation will be to at least attempt to use bunker -buster bombs on the many uranium enrichment sites to destroy them. Can they destroy them?
Are they too far down in the ground? Will it be able to penetrate? Right now, as I write this Newsletter the Israel IDF is softening up these enrichment sites from the ground in the hope that the bunker buster bombs can later penetrate. Will ground forces be needed?
Ground forces depend whether or not the U.S. Navy combat fleet can help. We certainly hope it will not go this far.
I will leave it to the experts to explain in more detail what is going on in this regard. There are some great videos of the recent news covered on this issue in the blog’s Political Section.
I encourage you to go watch them. I am not going to elaborate on them. You have ears and eyes, to watch them for yourselves. So, let’s concentrate instead more on how this all affects us investors, the dinar and the currency reform from the Central Bank of Iraq.
For timing of the RV standpoint, we are encouraged by the recent prophecies that this will not be a prolonged conflict with Iran and will end almost as soon as it begins. This to me means that whatever action is decided in the next two weeks by the Trump administration, it will not be an all-out ground war like the Operation Iraqi Freedom of 2003.
Much sooner than later there will be peace and prosperity in the middle east, but I cannot tell you a definite time period when this craziness will end. God is using Israel and the U.S. to cleanse the earth of this terrorist state. Remember God is spiritual and we are living in a physical world and so he choses to use physical resources to help him do his work on the earth.
IRAN IS ATTEMPTING TO IMPOSE A DILEMMA ON THE UNITED STATES
IRAN IS ATTEMPTING TO IMPOSE A DILEMMA ON THE UNITED STATES
Iran is attempting to impose a dilemma on the United States and the international community: either accept Iranian terms in nuclear negotiations or risk a long and challenging hunt for hidden Iranian nuclear material.
This dilemma is likely designed to harden Iran’s nuclear program against destruction either by securing an agreement on Iranian terms (which would presumably allow Iran to continue enrichment) or protecting Iranian nuclear material by hiding the material, thus making a US or Israeli effort to destroy the material more difficult.
Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Major General Mohsen Rezaei stated during an interview on June 20 that Iran has relocated its enriched material to a secure location to prevent it from being destroyed.
This statement is presumably intended to suggest to a Western audience that destroying all of Iran’s nuclear material would require a long, challenging, and possibly futile hunt for hidden material and that, therefore, the West should negotiate with Iran. Iranian officials have expressed their interest in negotiating a nuclear deal with the United States, but have not moderated their negotiating position from before the conflict.
Iran remains committed to preserving its stated “right” to enrich uranium. These Iranian demands over enrichment have been a non-starter for the United States and Israel in the ongoing negotiations, suggesting Rezaei’s statement is designed to increase the pressure on the United States and Israel to relax their positions. The United States and Israel have rejected Iranian demands and maintained that Iran will not be permitted to enrich uranium on Iranian soil. Israel launched its air campaign on June 12 to “degrade, destroy, and remove [the] threat” of Iranian weaponization of its nuclear program, and a senior Israeli official said that enrichment remains a red line. US President Donald Trump has threatened to support an air campaign targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure if Iran fails to meet US demands for zero enrichment.
Key Takeaways:
- Iran is using negotiations and its efforts to hide nuclear material to impose a dilemma on the United States and force Washington to decide between accepting Iranian terms in nuclear negotiations or risking a long and challenging hunt for hidden Iranian nuclear material. This dilemma is designed to protect the nuclear program by securing an agreement with allowances for enrichment or protecting enriched material by hiding it. Iranian officials have not relaxed their negotiating position, which US and Israeli officials are not willing to accept.
- The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group will arrive in the CENTCOM AOR by June 22.
- Iranian-backed Iraqi militias are attempting to deter US participation in the war by threatening to attack US forces if the US attacks Iran. These threats are probably informed by ongoing discussions in the West about a protracted war with Iran.
- The International Atomic Energy Agency director warned of a dangerous degradation of nuclear security at Iranian nuclear sites due to Israeli strikes.
- Israel continued to conduct strikes targeting the Iranian internal security and social control apparatus, which could destabilize the regime. CTP-ISW has not observed any indications that the regime is near collapse or that its control is significantly weakened at this time.
MNT GOAT : "ECONOMIC AND OIL EXPERTS NETANYAHU THREATENS IRAN PREDICT THE REPERCUSSIONS OF THE ZIONIST AGGRESSION AGAINST IRAN AND ITS IMPACT ON IRAQ."
MNT GOAT
"ECONOMIC AND OIL EXPERTS NETANYAHU THREATENS IRAN PREDICT THE REPERCUSSIONS OF THE ZIONIST AGGRESSION AGAINST IRAN AND ITS IMPACT ON IRAQ."
"Economic and oil experts have differing opinions regarding the repercussions of the Zionist aggression against Iran and its potential impact on trade flows in the region and the global oil market. They stress
that the current situation carries within it many variables that are difficult to predict accurately." — "Although it is outside the immediate circle of conflict, Iraq appears to be in the eye of the storm.
Its geographical location, its near-total dependence on oil, and the peg of its economy to the dollar exchange rate make it vulnerable to every geopolitical shock in the region." - " A tangible crises: rising
food prices, a volatile dollar, and fears of a slowdown in the flow of goods through ports and borders." All we can do now is hold-tight and see what happens. The banks are told not to exchange
any dinar at this time for fear of dolllars getting back to Iran to fund the war.
Their words not mine.....
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