Wednesday, June 4, 2025

WHEN DO WE GET OUT OF THE RENTIER ECONOMY?

WHEN DO WE GET OUT OF THE RENTIER ECONOMY?

When do we get out of the rentier economy?

Jawad Al-Attar

The World Bank’s report on Iraq’s economic situation for the second half of this year and the first half of next year, released a few days ago, may be overlooked in the daily news cycle. However, it undoubtedly sounds alarm bells, as the economy is a fundamental component of any country’s national security architecture.

Although government advisors downplayed the report’s significance, asserting that Iraq’s economic situation is robust and capable of overcoming any obstacles or shocks in global oil prices, the Ministry of Finance responded seriously to the report and is moving within a framework that may temporarily extricate us from the crisis. This includes approving budget schedules for the second half of this year that secure funding for salaries and ongoing projects, along with partial payments to investors and a relative deficit based on an oil price of $60 per barrel.

However, the question remains: When will Iraq’s economy decouple from global oil prices? And when will we emerge from the crucible of a rentier economy?

These questions should be addressed by experts and decision-makers, and the country’s politicians should bear the responsibility for accomplishing these tasks by, first, operating productive public sector companies; second, facilitating routine procedures for the private sector and foreign investors; through real decisions, not ink on paper; third, diversifying sources of income; through regulated irrigation agriculture, complementary and transformation industries, and balanced inter-trade with neighboring countries; and fourth, providing the enabling environment and requirements that meet the above requirements; in the shortest possible time.

A country that has managed to oust the occupation and defeat terrorism is capable of overcoming economic crises and achieving growth if the political will is realized and politicians overcome their differences, their pursuit of privileges, and their desire to win elections.


TIDBIT FROM FNU LNU

 Fnu Lnu  

Citizens in the central portion of the country are ready to start burning down government residences like they did to Malaki because while the bureaucrats stall for more time to steal more money, the people are living in squalor and deprivation.

 To try to say that "Stability and Security" are the order of the day is ignorant..

.The citizenry are angry 

because they have been lied to by the PM and others about the "delete the zeros" program and currency revaluation.

 Hell, they won't even specify what delete the zeroes really means...

MARKZ: When those two came together- we would see a change in value of ...

THE PARLIAMENTARY INVESTMENT COMMITTEE CALLS FOR BREAKING THE LEGISLATIVE “STALEMATE” AND PASSING IMPORTANT “ACCUMULATING” LAWS.

 THE PARLIAMENTARY INVESTMENT COMMITTEE CALLS FOR BREAKING THE LEGISLATIVE “STALEMATE” AND PASSING IMPORTANT “ACCUMULATING” LAWS.

The Parliamentary Development and Investment Committee called for breaking the legislative deadlock to pass and address dozens of important laws that have accumulated and directly impact citizens’ lives. The committee emphasized the importance of fulfilling the government’s commitments under the ministerial program and budget-related spending plans.

Hussein Al-Sa’bari, deputy chairman of the parliamentary Development and Investment Committee, said, “More than 140 draft laws, including new ones and amendments to existing laws, are still pending in parliamentary committees and require a vote by parliament.” 

He added, “Many of these laws have been discussed by the relevant committees and are ready to be included on the agendas of the plenary sessions,” noting that “these projects relate to vital aspects that impact the lives of citizens and various state sectors.”

He explained that “the most prominent of these laws is the Popular Mobilization Law, in addition to projects related to higher education, the basis for granting certificates, and other legislation of a service and administrative nature .

He pointed out that “the upcoming parliamentary sessions are of particular importance as they will determine the fate of a large number of pieces of legislation, eagerly awaited by citizens and state institutions alike.” He explained that “delaying the passage of these laws could negatively impact the work of ministries and disrupt the provision of services.” 

Al-Sa’bari noted that “there is an increasing number of calls for regular and intensive parliamentary sessions to ensure that the legislative deadlock that accompanied previous periods is overcome and to fulfill the government’s commitments under the ministerial program and spending plans linked to the general budget.”

He explained that “Parliament’s legislative agenda also includes strategic laws such as the Oil and Gas Law, the Civil Service Law, and the Social Security Law, as well as laws related to administrative reform and oversight of government performance.” 


STATUS OF THE RV, PART. 4 BY MNT GOAT

 😊I find the following article VERY interesting is it titled “WHEN DO WE GET OUT OF THE RENTIER ECONOMY?”.

 To begin to answer this question you must first ask what a rentier economy is and how Iraq go their in the first place. A “rentier” economy is based solely on one form of revenue. Its dependence on it can make it unstable if the one revenue stream changes drastically. It can become unpredictable.

So, for Iraq they entered this path to the “rentier” economy the day the .U.S. decided to kill it economy with sanctions and then the use of the petro-dollar. The next step was to kill its currency. 

This put Iraq in a funny situation as it could only receive U.S. dollars and buy imports with U.S. dollars. Everything evolved around the U.S. If you re-read my definition of a “rentier” economy it clearly states one source of revenue stream. 

Today it still the U.S. dollar. Although Iraq is making progress to diversify its holdings of other foreign currencies and is also now allowed to pay for imports with these other currencies.

 This is all progress away from the “rentier” economy. But what about sources of revenue for stability’s sake?

In the article Jawad Al-Attar asks – When do we get out of the rentier economy?

I will leave it up to my readers to go read this entire article in the Articles Section. It is short and it does tell us that this won’t happen until Iraq can get off the petro-dollar as their main revenue stream.

 As investors in our study of this situation we know that many measures in Iraq have already taken place to shore up the lack of revenues from a sole source of oil. 

Just look at what is happening now and shock to their economy when oil dropped from $75 to $60. We learned about the future Customs and Tariffs revenues, tourism, the future Development Road project and all the minerals and agriculture yet to be tapped into. There is more but I can’t think of them now….lol..lol..

 However, my point is to show you that until Iraq puts on its Big-Boy pants and takes control of these other sources, they will not get out of the “rentier” economy. They must do it. If we read all these recent articles about their economy, they are doing it and that is what I wanted to emphasis to you. All the article about this situation put more and more pressure on the govt to do something about it and to make the citizens aware of what is causing their lack of salaries and pensions being paid on time.   

https://mntgoatnewsusa.com/latest-mnt-goat-newsletter/

🚨🌟 IQD RV IS COMING, PATRIOTS! THE TIME IS NOW! 🌟🚨 #iraq #iraqidinar

 


AL-ZUBAIDI: THE AMERICAN NEW MIDDLE EAST PROJECT IS AN IMPORTANT OPPORTUNITY FOR IRAQ, AND WE MUST JOIN IT

AL-ZUBAIDI: THE AMERICAN NEW MIDDLE EAST PROJECT IS AN IMPORTANT OPPORTUNITY FOR IRAQ, AND WE MUST JOIN IT

The best path for the future of Iraqis.

Iraqi politician Baqir Jabr al-Zubaidi called on Sunday for Iraq to be included in the American New Middle East Project. He said it represents a significant opportunity for a better future for Iraqis based on an economic foundation free from wars and conflicts.

As US-Iranian negotiations enter a serious and important phase, the new Middle East is taking shape in a way that will have significant repercussions for Iraq.

The US administration has openly declared its desire to forge a new Middle East based on an economic foundation, free from wars and conflicts. This represents a significant opportunity for Iraq, which possesses tremendous economic potential.

Trump’s visit focused on Saudi Arabia and Qatar for purely economic reasons, and the contracts signed are clear evidence of the economic agenda.

The Iranian-Saudi rapprochement has contributed and will contribute to greater stability, while the UAE, on the other hand, appears more preoccupied with conflict zones in Sudan and Libya.

Saudi Arabia has successfully struck a blow to the Qatari-Turkish project in Syria by spearheading the lifting of US sanctions on Damascus. In doing so, it sends a clear message that it will not stand idly by, especially given that the US side desires a Saudi role there.

Oman continues to play its historic role in the region and the world to the fullest, in line with Sultan Qaboos’ policy of “extending a hand to all.”

Jordan continues to lose its role as a mediator with Israel in the region amidst the changes taking place, and will attempt to find a new role to help it emerge from its internal crises.

The new Middle East will depend on oil markets, financial markets, and the flow of investment. It is up to decision-makers in Iraq to take the right path and set the country on this path for a better future for Iraqis.


🚨 POST-EXCHANGE WEALTH MANAGEMENT BLUEPRINT (IQD Scenario Planning Guide)

🚨  POST-EXCHANGE WEALTH MANAGEMENT BLUEPRINT (IQD Scenario Planning Guide) 💡  Key Financial Strategies (Beyond Basic Exchange Planning) 1....