Treat your investment seriously, not like clickbait promising weekly miracles every Sunday or Monday on platforms like X, YouTube, Telegram, etc.
Those claims are nonsense, preying on you for clicks—it’s wrong, and they know they’re lying to you. Here’s the truth you need to know:.
Explore 22 years of CBI history to understand its path to international banking and the potential for revaluing Iraq’s currency. The CBI just put this out for a reason.
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Evaluation of the Central Bank's journey in 22 years
A Must Read for Dinar Holders
Since 2003, the Iraqi economy has suffered from financial and banking challenges and crises due to the difficult and complex subjective and objective circumstances that the country has gone through over the past 22 years. Since the monetary policy of the Central Bank, according to its Law No. 56 issued in 2004, is responsible for achieving economic stability, overcoming the challenges of the financial and monetary system, and addressing the structural imbalance in the economy in the transition from a rentier economy to a real (productive) economy, as well as from a monetary economy to a digital economy.
During the above period, the Central Bank went through four important and basic stages:
First - reducing rampant inflation in 2003, which exceeded 35%, controlling the stability of the exchange rate, building foreign reserves, and controlling the money supply.
Second - overcoming the economic and security shocks in 2014. The Government took out external loans to cover the deficit.
Third - addressing the financial crisis during the Corona pandemic in 2020. Oil prices crashed triggering a Currency Devaluation from 1182 IQD to 1450 IQD
Fourth - controlling the exchange rate, regulating foreign trade financing, achieving digital transformation, enhancing financial inclusion, and complying with international standards in 2023 and 2024
Considering that the Central Bank, in cooperation with the government, has accomplished important steps towards implementing the financial and banking reform methodology and moving towards completing its strategy to achieve the goals according to the roadmap drawn up.
In 2025, it is necessary to evaluate and analyze the economic reality over the past 22 years with impartiality and high transparency and identify cases of failure and dysfunction in the productive economic sectors and procrastination in not implementing the economic reform programs that all successive governments have worked on but have not been able to achieve the goals of radical and comprehensive reform for the reasons above.
However, the reality of the situation and the reform efforts made in 2023 and 2024 have made us, as specialists, look with hope and optimism at what has been achieved and what is planned to be achieved in the next two years based on what is stated in the third strategy of the Central Bank with its main and sub-goals.
The banking reform steps taken by the Central Bank from 2003 to 2024 addressed the effects of the economic and security shocks in 2014, most notably the 75% drop in global oil prices and the government’s inability to pay employees’ salaries on time. The Central Bank was able to use its foreign exchange reserves and the method of rediscounting treasury transfers to support the government in the amount of 16 trillion dinars, and the crisis was overcome at the time.
In 2015, the Central Bank, in light of these difficult economic conditions, began to move to develop its plans for the coming years and draw up a methodology for banking reform and structural, technical and administrative development of the Central Bank. This resulted in the issuance of its first strategy for the years
(2016-2020),
which included 5 main objectives and 140 sub-objectives, 129 of which were achieved, at a rate of 92%, during the years of implementing the strategy. It contributed to establishing the basic structures and pillars for moving to a new stage of financial and banking reform,
accompanied by the strategic banking projects plan for the years (2019-2023) and the issuance of the second strategy (2021-2023) to complete the achievement of the sub-objectives that could not be implemented in the first strategy, which numbered (11) sub-objectives,
during which the government continued to seek help from the Central Bank and obtain (30) trillion dinars, and the total amount owed by the government became (46) trillion dinars.
In 2023, the Central Bank worked on studying the achievements of the two previous strategies and diagnosing the foundations of the desired reform. The efforts to prepare for the third strategy continued throughout 2023, and the foundations and foundations were built to set the goals
for this new strategy for the years (2024-2026), which derived its main and sub-goals from the state's general economic policies and its strategy for financial and banking reform adopted by the government in the government program and from Central Bank Law 56 of 2004.
It included programs with clear goals and initiatives for a period of three years in a special, complex economic and financial circumstance fraught
with risks and challenges at the level of internal and external economic and financial relations.
The third strategy identified the main goals with 7 goals, 24 sub-goals and 75 initiatives to achieve
the main and sub-goals and charted the path for banking and financial reform according to the following strategic goals:
1- Supporting and enhancing monetary stability.
2- Enhancing digital transformation, activating electronic payment and supporting cybersecurity.
3- Enhancing financial inclusion
4- Maintaining a sound financial system
5- Developing the organizational structure and human resource capabilities
6- Enhancing the position of the Central Bank locally and internationally
7- Enhancing compliance of the banking sector and the non-banking sector in line with international standards.
Programs, policies and initiatives have been identified to achieve the goals. Perhaps the most prominent program is the launch of the National Strategy for Bank Lending in Iraq (2024-2029) and the approval of the Council of Ministers to implement it,
which will restructure banking financing in Iraq, in addition to leaving the electronic platform (ending the currency) and adopting correspondent banks in foreign transfers, protecting the financial system, enhancing financial inclusion, managing monetary and financial stability,
developing oversight and supervision, developing regulation in the banking sector, completing the development of the infrastructure for digital transformation, licensing digital banks, implementing regulatory policies in the Central Bank in accordance with the frameworks and technologies adopted in global central banks, raising the capabilities of human resources, developing banking operations, strengthening the bank's internal and external relations, and representing it locally and internationally.
What has been presented accurately and transparently for the 22 years of the financial and banking reform process confirms that the next two years will inevitably result in the transition to a comprehensive and radical reform of the Iraqi banking sector and transforming it into a solid sector that contributes to sustainable development.
FRANK26: "EVERYTHING WAITS FOR THE NEW EXCHANGE RATE, END OF STORY.".....F26
Oil Minister announces imminent activation of export file via Turkish port of Ceyhan
3/6/2025
Baghdad
Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani Al-Sawad announced today, Thursday, the imminent activation of the oil export file to the Turkish port of Ceyhan and the possibility of increasing exports of Basra oil.
A statement by the Ministry of Oil received by "Al-Eqtisad News" stated that "the Minister of Oil chaired a meeting to discuss the work of the joint Iraqi-Turkish committee in the presence of committee members from the Iraqi ministries."
He stressed the "importance of the files related to the committee's work, especially the water and oil files."
He pointed out the "necessity of activating the water file in a way that serves Iraq's interests by achieving a fair share of water releases, pointing to the imminent activation of the oil export file via the oil pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan and the possibility of increasing exports via this pipeline of Basra oil."
The statement indicated that "the meeting discussed the topics included in the agenda related to the subcommittees in the fields of water, energy and oil, education, border crossings and communications, trade exchange, and the sports and youth file."
He stressed that "the meeting concluded with the importance of completing the technical requirements of the committees, and activating the joint committees with the Turkish side in a manner that serves the interests of the country."
Article: "The evaluation of the central bank's policy journey for 22 years"
They wanted to go do back from 2003 because inflation was so high, it exceeded 35%, now it's 3% or 5%...Huge difference now.
The stability Iraq has proven with their gold...foreign reserves ...non-oil income..
.taxes and tariffs...electronic system...all of that is going to support the value of their new currency.
Everything was based off just oil. It's not going to be that way anymore.
The real effective exchange rate is going to be based off real analysis in real time, international standards rules just like Iraq has done in the past, long long time ago.
Prime Minister's Advisor Explains Details Of "Bridge Borrowing"
Economy Yesterday, 13:19 Baghdad- WAA- Amna Al-Salami The Prime Minister's Advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, explained today, Thursday, the details of "bridge borrowing", while indicating that
more than 50% of the domestic debt is concentrated in the investment portfolio of the Central Bank. Saleh told the Iraqi News Agency (INA):
"Historically, government borrowing through treasury transfers is a type of short-term borrowing from the banking market that British public finance has adopted since the reign of Queen Victoria."
He added that "this type of borrowing was done for limited periods not exceeding weeks or financial quarters, and is known as (bridge borrowing), as
it aims to bridge the temporary deficit gap resulting from the slowdown in revenues compared to actual expenditures." He pointed out that
"due to the monthly financial obligations, public finance may resort to issuing treasury transfers as a financing tool to bridge the temporary deficit in the budget until cash flow stabilizes in the next period of the fiscal year." He added that
"in light of the fluctuations in the oil revenue cycle on the general budget over the past ten years, the government was forced to borrow multiple and accumulated,
which led to an increase in expenditures in three stages: the
first during the war on ISIS terrorism, the second due to the economic closure caused by the pandemic, and finally the increase in expenditures in the areas of reconstruction and implementation of suspended projects." He added that
"these circumstances resulted in the accumulation of domestic public debt, part of which was borne by government banks, as more than half of it was deducted from the Central Bank of Iraq through open market operations." He stressed that
"this necessitated a complementary monetary issuance that led to a significant increase in the monetary mass,
especially since the domestic public debt, amounting to 82 trillion dinars, is still mostly within the government financial and banking system, more than 50% of this debt is concentrated in the investment portfolio of the Central Bank." He added,
"On the positive side, this debt is covered by foreign currency by more than 100%
, which reflects a high level of monetary stability, as the annual inflation growth rate did not exceed 3%."
He added that "despite these challenges, both the monetary and fiscal authorities seek continuous consultation in order to gradually extinguish the domestic debt," stressing that
"the government relies on enhancing financial sustainability by reducing the public debt balance annually and
reducing the annual budget deficit to a percentage not exceeding 3% of the gross domestic product." He concluded that
"this approach is part of a fiscal policy aimed at providing financing and protecting economic activity, which contributes to achieving stability and
sustainable economic growth through coordination between fiscal and monetary policies."
😊I want to bring up another VERY IMPORTANT topic too. The topic is fighting inflation. If you look at the Dr Shabibi plan to get to the reinstatement you can clearly see the he planned to put the brakes on after each step, then monitor closely for inflation.
In our first article today, we see that in 2003 after the 10-year embargo and sanctions on Iraq, the inflation rate was rampant in 2003, which exceeded 35% and today it is only 2.8%. Only 2.8%? Yes, only 2.8% and this is fantastic and amazing news since this is way in line with acceptable inflation rates for country, according to the IMF.
Check out this article titled “INFLATION’S FREEFALL: IRAQ HITS 2.8%, ECONOMIC HOPES SOAR”. Announced by the CBI on Wednesday that Iraq’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 2.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 4% a year earlier. Folks the process is working……. 😊 😊 😊
Now let me joggle your memory a bit. What has the CBI told us many times is their main responsibility? Did they not tell us it was to manage the currency and monitor the inflation rate? Why is this so important then to get to 2.8% inflation only? Well, well today we confirm once again why this has been so important and still is. Saleh in this article stressed that these achievements come within the framework of “a comprehensive strategy aimed at achieving sustainable financial stability and enhancing the confidence of citizens and investors in the future of the Iraqi economy”, calling on all segments of society to engage more in the use of electronic payment tools in the interest of the national economy. Again Saleh emphasizes the use of electronic payment tools and no cash.
So in our conclusion today, what we all we should do now, as investors, is monitor the monitors, lol..lol..lol.. and watch this all play out. Just give it some time. They are almost there. Folks they are telling us they nearly broke the parallel market and is this not what my contact told us had to happen and if they could get the rate of the dollar of this parallel market down or very close to the “official” CBI rate, we would see the triggering of the “official” rate going even lower and for us this means more value to the Iraqi dinar. Yes, the in-country revaluation close to a buck we have been waiting for. This then would allow the kickoff to the Project to Delete the Zeros. No, my CBI contact, as part of the committee to head off this project, is not yet back on this effort, but she has told me all is going as planned and finally “real” success can be seen. She emphasized “real” and sounded very glad that finally the efforts of the CBI are showing substantial success.
But remember unlike how many of us investors think we go off half-cocked wanting everything now and have it our way. This is not how it works. We are not in control. Yes, we had a huge disappointment from last December through January hoping they could break the parallel market quickly by just using the correspondent banks and doing away with the currency auctions. However, this strategy alone did not work and fix it entirely so they moved on to other strategies, which are now working.
What else is in the news?
Next, I want to take another peek at the article by Samir Al-Nusairi titled “EVALUATION OF THE CENTRAL BANK’S JOURNEY IN 22 YEARS”. I want to pay attention especially to the part when it talks about going forward in future strategies. They talk about what they plan to do for the next 2 years. Will we have to wait for two years for the RV? I don’t think so but we don’t control it rather only follow the REAL news and where it takes us. I certainly also hope the US can finally breaks Iran leadership and the overthrow this insane terrorist dictator and supreme Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. So, in this article it talks about another phase of the strategy is about to be implemented. Why would they begin yet another phase if not finished with the previous one? What is this new strategy?
The third strategy identified the main goals with 7 goals, 24 sub-goals and 75 initiatives to achieve the main and sub-goals and charted the path for banking and financial reform. I am not going to list them as you can go read the article for yourself. But I do like the 6th and 7th goals which I quote “Enhancing the position of the Central Bank locally and internationally” and “Enhancing compliance of the banking sector and the non-banking sector in line with international standards”. I especially liked the part as the article goes on to say “strengthening the bank’s internal and external relations, and representing it locally and internationally.”
So this is telling us there is still work to be done in this area. They then go on to tell us that “What has been presented accurately and transparently for the 22 years of the financial and banking reform process confirms that the next two years will inevitably result in the transition to a comprehensive and radical reform of the Iraqi banking sector and transforming it into a solid sector.”
Folks, its all in the words of these articles today as they are packed full of good information. These next 2 years are going to be amazing. I firmly believe that within these next years we will see the reinstatement. Whether they do decide to go with a digital currency in the timeframe I do not know. This would seemingly bypass the Project to Delete the Zeros as there would be no necessity to do it. But we also know that they have talked and talked about the Project to Delete the Zeros for so long and my contact still says they plan to do it. So go figure.
Again, note I did not say we had to wait the full two years to fully implement this new strategy. There could be a benchmark with the strategy where they say they are ready and the US finally gives approval. I only report on progress and give you an HONEST & TRUTHFUL updates twice a week. You do want to know the TRUTH don’t you? So, what is the motto of this blog? Their words not mine…..No Rumors, No Hype, No Opinions ,,,,,