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To avoid major chaos... indirect negotiations between Tehran and Washington in Baghdad
10/12/2024
Baghdad
An informed source revealed, today, Saturday (October 12, 2024), an unannounced movement for indirect negotiations between Tehran and Washington in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad.
The source said in an interview with "Baghdad Today", "Washington is very concerned about the acceleration of events in the Middle East and the direct clash between Tehran and Tel Aviv and the latter's pursuit of a military response targeting Iranian sites in response to the missile attack that targeted its bases weeks ago."
He added, "Washington is pushing towards creating an undeclared movement in coordination with Baghdad to hold indirect negotiations with Tehran in order to arrange matters and agree on specific paths that defuse any conflicts that lead the region into great chaos."
The source pointed out that "all Gulf countries support Washington's option to conduct direct or indirect negotiations with Tehran to avoid the conflict getting out of control," stressing that "according to the indicators, Gulf capitals are pressing America to prevent Israel from targeting Iranian oil or gas facilities, nuclear stations, or any targets that would lead to a comprehensive war in the region that could have serious repercussions that threaten its oil fields and energy sources in general.”
He added, "Baghdad has actually begun to arrange the atmosphere and seek to crystallize priority understandings that may be the beginning of upcoming meetings, especially since all parties are open to the negotiations file, even if they are indirect."
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered Israel's military leadership at least twice, in 2010 and 2011, to prepare for imminent strikes on Iran. However, in both cases, the security establishment questioned the legitimacy of the order, which was issued without the necessary authorization from the cabinet, which led to Israel not entering this war.
Today, Israel is once again on the verge of striking Iran, but this time Netanyahu will have no problem getting his government's approval, and the leaders of the occupation army are not as opposed to such a move as they were before.
According to a report by the British Economist Council, Israeli leaders believe that the ballistic missiles launched by Iran on October 1 left them no choice but to respond, and in fact, the form these retaliatory attacks may take could have far-reaching consequences for the Middle East and beyond.
According to the report, Israel is considering four types of targets. Netanyahu has long favored bombing sites where Iran enriches uranium and conducts research for its nuclear program. But these sites are spread across the country, in heavily fortified underground sites, which would require causing massive damage and launching large numbers of bunker-busting missiles from dozens of aircraft at a distance of at least 1,200 kilometers from Israel. However, it may be difficult for him to delay the Iranian nuclear program for more than a few months.
The most vulnerable strategic target is Iran's major ports, especially its oil terminals, which provide most of Iran's foreign exchange income. Israeli strategists believe that destroying these ports would deal a severe blow to Iran's already struggling economy. They hope this will spark further unrest inside Iran. Some dream that this could lead to the regime's downfall.
The third option for the occupation army is to target the country's leaders directly, just as Israel has attacked the leaders of the resistance factions (Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza). This option is very difficult, because senior figures in Iran will likely take refuge in secret, protected locations if an Israeli strike appears imminent. In fact, the impact of such attacks is far from certain. The question of who will replace Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is already the subject of much debate there.
But the most obvious military response, according to the British magazine, would be to launch a counterattack on Iranian missile bases, and this option is perhaps the least likely to provoke Iran again. But Netanyahu believes that Israel has a historic opportunity to reshape the region. And this time, some of his generals .agree with him, if not all of them.