DINAR REVALUATION

Friday, May 31, 2024

Parliament finances talk about the deficit of the budget: we will adopt this mechanism to fill it, 31 MAY

Parliament finances talk about the deficit of the budget: we will adopt this mechanism to fill it

Economy News - Baghdad

Today, Thursday (May 30, 2024), the Parliamentary Finance Committee revealed the mechanism for bridging the financial deficit in the fiscal budget for the year 2024 sent by the government to the House of Representatives.

Committee member Moeen Al-Kazemi said that "the 2024 budget, according to the schedules sent by the government to the House of Representatives, amounts to (211) trillion dinars, and the government's oil and non-oil revenues amount to (147) trillion dinars, and this means that the deficit will be (64) trillion dinars, and we in the Finance Committee will follow up on this issue and give our perceptions regarding addressing the deficit in the upper limit."

Al-Kazemi indicated that "the government wants to address this deficit by borrowing from the Central Bank of Iraq in the amount of (20) trillion dinars and from other banks with a value of (5) trillion dinars and issuing new national bonds with (5) trillion dinars, and with a rise in oil prices, up to (16) trillion dinars, and for this we will have multiple meetings with the competent government agencies to find out the details of that process and how it is possible to fill the deficit away from borrowing and reduce it."

On Wednesday (May 22, 2024), the Parliamentary Finance Committee began holding its first meeting after receiving the 2024 budget tables, to review the budget tables and start studying them for the purpose of proceeding with their approval.

Later, the Finance Committee confirmed in a statement that it held its first meeting on the Federal Budget Law for the year 2024 with the aim of developing a comprehensive plan to review and analyze the budget tables and items related to them after their arrival from the Prime Minister's Office.

"RV UPDATE" BY RAYREN98, 31 MAY

RayRen98

NOTICE: ALL SYSTEMS ARE "GO" FOR TODAY...LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPENS. TIME WILL TELL...SOME BANKS SAW "PENDING" RATES ON WEDNESDAY.

"US BANK STAFFERS HAVE RECEIVED MEMOS INDICATING TO BE PREPARED AN INFLUX OF CUSTOMERS HAPPENING SOON"

3 LTRS ARE BACK AT IT AGAIN... EXPECTING SOME "IMMEDIATE ACTION" IN 24 HOURS! TIME WILL TELL...I'M EXPECTING THE "REST" OF MY MIRACLE...TUESDAY NITE NOW!

[via Babysmom]

...BANKS EXPECTING TO SEE RATES LIVE AFTER FOREX OPENS AT 5:00 P.M. EASTERN...

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PAST POSTS OF RAYREN98

"ACROSS THE POND" FOLKS ARE CLAIMING WTO ASCENSION & AN INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY. SOME 3-LTRS ARE STARTING TO CONFIRM AND ACKNOWLEDGE. TIME WILL TELL

SO, SOME AGREEMENTS WERE MET LAST NIGHT....LET'S SEE WHERE THAT TAKES US FOR LATER TODAY?

[via Babysmom] "EAST COAST BANK CONTACTS ARE "VERY EXCITED" AND ANTICIPATE INITIATING EXCHANGES EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME WILL TELL...

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EVEN THOUGH I DON'T SEE IT YET...THEY ARE TELLING US "IT'S DONE"...THIS HERE "RIDE" IS FINALLY COMING TO AN END...HOPEFULLY TODAY.

[via Vinterv] 3 LTR'S [3 LETTER AGENCIES] ARE ON A 24-HOUR WATCH...

♪♫•*¨*•.¸¸❤¸¸.•*¨•*♫♪ I'm so excited, and I just can't hide it. I know, I know, I know I see a RATE CHANGE! A SHO-NUFF "RATE CHANGE" ! ♪♫•*¨*•.¸¸❤¸¸.•*¨•*♫♪ Sooner THAN later ♫♪♫♪♫ I GOT A FEELIN ...TONIGHT'S GONNA BE A GOOD NIGHT ♫♪♫♪♫ times 3...

GOOD SOURCES INFORM THAT THEY ARE ATTEMPTING TO PUSH IT OUT "BEFORE" THE END OF THE MONTH...

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/03/rv-update-by-rayren98-3-march.html

"IRAQ'S ANNOUNCED THE DINAR NEW CURRENCY WITH NEW EXCHANGE RATE AND DENO...

Al-Sudani discusses with the New Generation bloc steps for economic reform, 31 MAY

Al-Sudani discusses with the New Generation bloc steps for economic reform

On Wednesday, Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani discussed with the New Generation Bloc the government’s steps towards economic reform.

The Prime Minister's media book stated in a statement received by Al-Maalouma, that "Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani received members of the House of Representatives from the New Generation Bloc, and during the meeting, they discussed the general conditions in the country, the conditions in the Iraqi Kurdistan region, and discussed the government's steps in Implementing the priorities of its program in economic reform, providing services, and alleviating unemployment and poverty rates, in a way that helps achieve a development renaissance that will be reflected in the economic and social situation in general.”

He added, "The meeting witnessed an emphasis on the importance of coordination and integration of work between the executive and legislative authorities, which is in the best interest of the country, and also stressed the need for political forces to make the required efforts in addressing issues and differences in visions, with the aim of enhancing stability throughout Iraq and preserving the democratic approach." Which supports the state and its institutions.” link

"RV UPDATE" BY MILITIAMAN, 31 MAY

Militia Man

Article quote: "If we assume the Central Bank issues a new currency this will not affect the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar." This guy is not wrong...It won't in my view. The exchange rate will affect the new small denominations though...If they change the value of the exchange rate by dropping the three zeros, therefor the new denominations will be affected by it, which will be value. It's pretty simple.

If you raise the value of the currency it's going to have a ripple effect...Instead of being a pebble...or a brick in the pond this might be a boulder. There's going to be some waves. The World Bank, IMF, US Fed, US Treasury...Bank of International Settlements, everybody's going to need to know what you're going to do and when you're going to do it and pretty close.

They're not going to be broadcasting it like everybody thinks, 'What's the date and what's the rate?' That's not how it works. But we study it close enough to where...we can see it can't be far off...

If they're going to have liquidity and they don't have it now it's going to require new small category denominations to be in circulation. Just as al-Alaq's project to delete the zeros would require new denominations. Did they do that in 2018 and have them in storage? I believe they did...

They increased that gold supply by about 40 tons...Their currency reserves are around $110 billion. They have a massive amount of wealth. They have the ability to support their imports for about 16 months they say, which is about 5x what they need. That's important. They don't want to reduce those. They'd like to keep them on hand...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do and it'll only get better if he does.

If they change the value of their currency they're going to have more surpluses...The oil price is about $70 in the 2023 budget. That hasn't changed for '24 or '25 because that's a tripartite budget. They got a surplus. Oil is somewhere around $80. It's been as high as $91ish. The expectations of oil is to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $80/$90 and they even talk about $100/barrel...Iraq is going to be sitting pretty good...They have phosphates...sulfur...natural gas...Those non-oil revenue streams...taxes and tariffs are going to come online...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do.

Iraq is moving forward. They've got huge reserves...increased their gold, they're going to have the private sector, their stock exchange is going to be one to reckon with. It's an emerging market and a lot of money is going to be start flowing...

If they go on the Forex system it's going to be international. It's going to be fast and furious.

Could they do something within the county prior to that?

Sure, why not, educate the citizens, do what they got to do...

Question: People want to know if they can drag this out until next year?

Militia Man: We don’t know the timing. But, I don’t think we are even close to go that long. There is way too much going on in the world and this is not only about Iraq. Remember all boats rise with the tide...I believe Iraq is ready to go with the rest of the world. Along with other countries like the Vietnamese dong.

Are they going to change the value of their currency...?

I'm pretty sure they are going to need to to pay for all these [reconstruction] objects...rebar, the cement - all that stuff is expensive at 1310. It's not so expensive if it's back at a 'previous era'....If they have the true value, their real effective exchange rate, it's going to be far cheaper...

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/05/rv-update-by-militiaman-25-may.htm

PART 1: Iraqi Dinar Guru News Highlights (5/30/24)

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"EDDIE TOLD ME, THE WORLD BANK IS ON IRAQIYA TV NEWS DISCUSSING THE CHANGES OF THE IQD EXCHANGE RATE!!!" BY FRANK26, 31 MAY

KTFA

FRANK26:"EDDIE TOLD ME, THE WORLD BANK IS ON IRAQIYA TV NEWS DISCUSSING THE CHANGES OF THE IQD EXCHANGE RATE!!!"............F26

Professor Frank Gunter launches a new white paper on de dollarisation of Iraqi economy.

29th May 2024

‘Two Cheers for Iraq: The Dinar – Dollar Exchange Rate Challenges’

Professor Frank Gunter publishes a new paper commissioned as part of a series by IBBC’s advisory council on the challenges of de-dollarisation for Iraq. The Advisory Council members and IBBC members have actively contributed to the paper in the past 4 months. It will be presented online on the 18th June in a webinar and in person at the Spring Conference on 2nd July. The Arabic translation will be published soon.

Professor Gunter provides an analysis of the drivers of impact on the dinar exchange rate and examines how best to deal with the parallel market of dinars to dollars. He outlines the practical policy initiatives that should reduce the gap between the official and parallel exchange rates in the medium-term. ---- In particular he lauds the Government of Iraq on its commitment to tackle corruption and to modernise the banking system in one fell swoop but warns of the pressure on the dinar exchange rate as budgets are overstretched and the new banking recipients (state banks) receive the liquidity to enable the economy to perform.
He writes ‘All three of these forces – the anti-corruption effort, the banking liberalization, and the lavish 2023-2025 budget – will create challenges for the management of the dinar exchange rate. One could argue that over the last two decades the Government of Iraq (GoI) had little control over its exchange rate; that exchange rate policy was determined by other sectors of the political economy in Iraq. But even if this is true, the level of the exchange rate and changes in that level are believed by many Iraqis and foreigners as providing valuable insight into the quality of economic management in Iraq. This importance is exemplified by the current efforts to de-dollarize the Iraqi economy while there is excess demand for dollars. This excess demand is shown by a parallel exchange rate of roughly 1500 dinars per dollar compared to the official exchange rate of 1310 dinars per dollar.
An important cause of this exchange rate gap is that the GoI, with the strong encouragement of the U.S. Federal Reserve, is attempting to reduce the use of the U.S. dollar in both Iraq’s internal economy and its external transactions. Since 2003, the U.S. dollar has facilitated economic growth in Iraq by providing a widely accepted medium of exchange for purchases as well as a reliable store of value for savings. In the long run, whether de-dollarization will have a significant adverse impact on the Iraq economy will depend on how rapidly the GoI can increase both the efficiency of alternative mediums of exchange and the perceived security of alternative stores of value.’

The report is available here to download.

https://iraqbritainbusiness.or.....qi-economy