Ministerial reshuffle and meeting with Biden and Erdogan within the month of Sudan
Mawazine News-Baghdad..
The Iraqi prime minister is preparing for a busy week when US President Joe Biden will meet, mid-April, and when he returns to Baghdad, he will receive Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the 22nd of the same month.
Sudanese travel to Washington, at the invitation of the White House, in a complex circumstance locally and regionally, as the government tries to control the truce of factions with US forces, even with the escalation that accompanied the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria.
Baghdad hopes to develop relations with Washington during the visit, which a senior Iraqi official said “will discuss the post-international coalition phase.”
The Sudanese needs new understandings with the United States on the status of the international coalition forces, and the agreement on a “security partnership” between the two countries, while the “coordination framework” is trying to obtain American “resilience” regarding sanctions on Iraqi banks and personalities.
The two presidents are also expected to discuss the oil export profile from the Kurdistan region, and the political and legal differences between Baghdad and Erbil.
But the most prominent political challenge facing Sudan is the political movement emerging against him from Shiite allies within the ruling coalition.
Exective leaders in the “coordinating framework” are trying to impose restrictions on Sudanese to prevent his participation in the upcoming elections expected in 2025.
Political sources said that the “coordinating framework” is divided over concerns about the gains that Sudani will make from visiting Washington in his favor, while they need it most, especially in terms of financial sanctions.
A source, who last week attended a session of Sudani with academics and opinion makers that lasted about 3 hours, said that “he does not feel that the early elections pose a danger to his government, if it is dismissed, because he sees such a plan difficult to implement under the current circumstances.”
The source explained that “the Sudanese, as he showed through his speech in that session, is in a better position now because of his focus on the ministerial program that focuses on services and the development of Iraq’s regional and international relations.”
The source pointed out that “the Sudanese realizes that talking about early elections is just media consumption because if the government happens and is removed and turned into a caretaker, this requires the dissolution of the House of Representatives itself, which is unlikely.”
The source went on to say: “When the Sudanese were asked if he wanted to make a ministerial reshuffle, he said that he was on the table, but he is waiting for parliament to resolve the position of his president.”
The coincidences are always better than the dates, and the Sudanese coincidence in that he will have a visit to the United States of America in the middle of this month to meet with US President Joe Biden, and in return to be a visit to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to Baghdad on April 22, perhaps not be easily repeated.
An official in the office of Prime Minister Mohammad Shiaa Al-Sudani confirmed the date of Erdogan’s visit, and said that it is on April 22, describing the upcoming talks as important, and historic to the two countries.
If Biden appears to be in a worried electoral situation, Erdogan is visiting Baghdad and has lost Istanbul and Ankara electorally, while only Sudanese will invest the two summits in his favor, according to Iraqi observers.
Iraqi political circles discuss that Biden does not have many conditions to put to the Sudanese, while the latter seeks to activate an agreement that Biden was active in preparing for, on days when a senator was a lot of traveling to Iraq (Biden visited Iraq after 2003 about 28 times).
According to observers, any progress Sudan could make in terms of the 2008 “strategic framework agreement” would be an advanced step that would defuse the tension swaved by armed factions under the pretext of resisting the American presence.
Erdogan, who after his internal losses is betting on external gains, is his eye on the “development path” that the Sudanese launched as soon as he reached office as one of the major strategic projects.
If all the details related to the development path that would revive the Turkish economy are signed, most of the other contentious issues between the two countries, especially the chronic water file and the PKK file, will become subject to better approaches.
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