Wednesday, April 3, 2024
Coffee with MarkZ. 04/03/2024
“THE STABILITY OF THE IRAQI DINAR AGAINST THE DOLLAR” BY MNT GOAT, 3 APRIL
PRESERVING FOREIGN RESERVES. AN IRAQI ACADEMIC STUDY ANSWERS THE QUESTION “THE STABILITY OF THE IRAQI DINAR AGAINST THE DOLLAR”
(This article is a history less of what happened in the past 4 years, even covers the Covid pandemic time period. But we want to know where the dinar is right now. Go to the next article for this information.)
Shafaq News / At a time when the price of the dollar is still fluctuating between high and low, and forcing the market to live in a state of confusion, because the hard currency constitutes an important tool in Iraqi trade, being a trade that depends on imports in most of the products in the local market, a researcher whose master’s thesis was discussed, at the Faculty of Administration and Economics at the University of Tikrit, on Monday, some possible solutions to hold and control the price of the dollar, as his message came about the role of the bank The central bank and the window of selling the currency and their role in the stability of the dinar against the dollar and the importance of maintaining foreign currency reserves.
Ahmed researcher Abdullah Okil told Shafaq News Agency that “the study aims to know and measure the extent of the impact of some of the Central Bank’s tools in achieving the stability of the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar against the US dollar during the period (2004-2022) in order to know the places of imbalance and negatives that hinder the stability of the value of the local currency according to what suits the nature of the Iraqi economy, as the goal of maintaining the value of the local currency was the main goal of the bank in order to maintain the level of prices mainly related to the exchange level local dinar against the US dollar.”
He added that “the variables of the study were analyzed and measured according to the program (Eviews 13), and it was found that there is a positive relationship between some of the Central Bank’s tools as independent variables and the official and parallel exchange rate as dependent variables in the short term, with some negative and positive correlations for some variables in the long term, as it was noted that some tools were ineffective in influencing the currency exchange rate, such as the legal reserve, the rediscount rate and open market operations, but the impact of some of them was limited to inflation.”
He pointed out that “while the impact of the interest rate and the window was positive on the value of the local currency as a result of its reduction to the nominal exchange rate, and this indicates the ability of the Central Bank to influence the stability of the exchange rate of the local currency against foreign currency, especially through the window of sale of currency throughout the study period, except for some last years of the study period, as the nominal exchange rate returned to rise, as well as the case in the parallel market by a decision of the monetary authority represented by the Central Bank, for the purpose of facing public expenditures. And facing the repercussions of the global health crisis related to the Corona epidemic and the accompanying decline in oil prices, which is the main source of the US dollar due to the rentier nature of the Iraqi economy.”
He continued: “It was also noted that the gap between the official exchange rate and its counterpart in the parallel market increased due to the increase in demand for foreign currency, and the study made a number of recommendations, the most important of which is to continue to work in the window without overusing foreign reserves and diversifying sources of obtaining foreign currency by advancing development and activating the real sector, industry and agriculture, in order to achieve a reduction in imports, which reduces currency depletion, in addition to tightening control measures to prevent the smuggling of foreign currency and works that affect the supply of it, which contributes to to stabilize the exchange rate of the local currency.”
He stressed that “continuing to work in the window of selling currency without wasting foreign reserves, and diversifying the sources of obtaining foreign currency so that the exchange rate does not remain hostage to oil prices, as it is almost the only source of obtaining foreign currency.”
He pointed out that “advancing development in Iraq, activating the real sector, activating industry and agriculture to reduce imports to relieve pressure on foreign reserves of the dollar, keeping the Central Bank away from political pressures and granting it the necessary powers to deal with fluctuations in the economic situation, including exchange rate fluctuations, and tightening control measures to prevent the smuggling of foreign currency abroad so as not to affect the supply of foreign currency, and thus the value of the local currency.”
Evening News with MarkZ. 04/02/2024
Tuesday Evening News with MarkZ
Some highlights by PDK-Not verbatim
MarkZ Disclaimer: Please consider everything on this call as my opinion. People who take notes do not catch everything and its best to watch the video so that you get everything in context. Be sure to consult a professional for any financial decisions
Member: Looks like another quiet day on the RV Front.
Member: it’s the calm before the storm
MZ: I think you are right.
MZ: It’s a nothing burger this evening. This is not a negative thing at all. It would be more fun if we had some real solid news like when to go, who to call and what bank to attend.
Member: The deep breath before the plunge.
Member: Jester said there has never been redemption centers
MZ: I know a person in banking that helped to set up 3 redeeming locations. Now whether you want to call them redemption centers or redeeming banks …these are locations that have trained their personnel and has the equipment to handle the process. You can call it whatever you want. One location in N. Carolina borrowed my currency and me to help make certain their staff was trained. For me they are very real.
MZ: Seems like everyone wants to call them something different .
Member: No word from your bond contact had a meeting at 3 pm today?
MZ: I tried to call and went straight to email.
Member: I wonder what day of the week do they usually like to RV?
Member: Have they already decided on a rate and date?
MZ: My contacts in the ministry in Iraq told me they have set the rate. We are just not privy to that or the date.
Member: Rumor is it’s going this weekend. already increased rate in country?
Member: There is a dinar investors video saying it already revalued and a possible release this weekend? This would correlate with walking sticks report
Member: Melanie seems to believe, through her contact that Iraq RV’d mid March and we go end of the week???
MZ: My contacts on the ground in Iraq have told me the rate has not changed there- yet Officially the rate is still 1310.
Member: Remember Sudani is coming to the US on April 15th. I believe it will be a post RV victory lap.
MZ: A lot of my contacts believe that as well. Some contacts think tomorrow may be the day. We will see. It’s not coming from enough sources to put a lot of stock in it though.
Member: Ramadan ends April 9th or 10th….they 3 days of Eid El Fitr….where they like to give each other gifts…..
Member: It would make sense for Sudani to give it to the people of Iraq before Eid El Fitr
MZ: That would make sense.. that is the celebration at the end of Ramadan. It would make a lot of sense for Sudani to release it about then.
Member: April 9th is the 159th anniversary of the end of the US Civil War. That would be a good date…
MZ: I found this interesting “After BRICS, 3 new countries ready to launch own currency” These are some of my favorite African countries rich in mineral wealth… Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso. They are filthy in oil , minerals and gold deposits. They are banding together to form their own currency. Completely untethered to the US dollar.
M ember: hello mark !!! do you hear about Zimbabwe just found 13 trillion tons of diamond and hope that will have enough gold to back Zim par 1:1 in USD
Member: It is starting to look like we are going to have to pay our Federal Income Taxes on April 15th
Member: I thought the white hats would not want billions of tax payer dollars going straight to the bad guys….guess I was wrong….and they don’t care.
Member: They gonna have to do something soon or all of us investors are gonna go on strike lol or riot (kidding)
Member: It will happen when we least expect it-BOOM
Member: I thoroughly appreciate all the work mark puts into vetting his sources and withholding until he can fact check before he tells us things. Thank you for all you do mark z
Member: Thanks to all the mods as well…..have a great evening everyone.
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Launching a new trading indicator, 3 APRIL
Launching a new trading indicator
4/2/2024 Baghdad/
The Iraq Stock Exchange and the Securities Commission announced today, Tuesday, the imminent launch of a new index for stock trading.
A statement by the Commission and the Market, received by Iraq Observer, stated that “the Securities Commission and the Iraqi Stock Exchange, after studying, analyzing and measuring the market index of traded stock prices, are preparing to launch a new index that operates under the title ISX15.”
The statement added, “The work and analysis team at the Securities Commission and the Iraqi Stock Exchange focused on measuring the new index and testing it on the experimental environment, and then starting the test on the real environment according to the most important principles, the most important of which is selecting a sample of companies for the best 15 companies in terms of continuing daily trading, as well as choosing the company’s weight.”
Based on the market value of the free float shares, provided that the effect does not exceed 20% at best for a single company as a maximum, and adopting the same prevailing base session for the ISX60 index after adjusting its weight based on the free float shares, as well as other additional variables that will be presented in the index guide.” LINK
"RV UPDATE" BY GINGER, 3 APRIL
GINGER
On Thurs. 14 March 2024 Ginger of the Liberty Lounge on Telegram1. Fines and Penalties are paid
2. Adjudicated funds are paid
3. Farm Claims are paid
4. CMKX recipients funded
5. Church groups (large) funded
6. The Admiral funded
7. T1-4a – funds liquidated
8. Then Tier 4b gets to go….
Above, many can “see” the $ in accounts, but there’s no liquidity. It’s not usable money until it’s liquid and they can actually spend it. We’re waiting for this liquidity, still. The positives are, most if not all the paymasters have been funded and have signed NDAs. Now we’re hearing reports of some group members signing NDA.
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