IMF Drops Big News Iraq's Fantastic Year Ahead with Exchange Rate Revalu...

"ANALYSIS OF IRAQ NEWS" BY FRANK26, 21 DEC

 “FROM THE IMF, FROM THE HORSE’S MOUTH… GIVES PERMISSION TO PULL THE FINANCIAL LYNCHPIN ON THE GRENADE OF THE MONETARY REFORM !!! !!! !!!”…………F26

IMF Staff Concludes Staff Visit with Iraq

December 19, 2023

End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board.

Economic activity is recovering, although oil production cuts are weighing on overall growth, and at the same time inflation has declined.

The large fiscal expansion in the three-year budget law poses significant risks to fiscal and external sustainability over the medium term.

Fiscal prudence and structural reforms are critical to safeguard macroeconomic stability, ensure sustainability, and achieve durable and more inclusive growth.

Washington, DC: A staff team of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) led by Jean-Guillaume Poulain met with the Iraqi authorities in Amman, Jordan during Dec 12-17 to discuss recent economic developments and outlook as well as policy plans.

At the end of the mission, Mr. Poulain issued the following statement:

“Against the background of a large fiscal expansion, non-oil GDP is expected to grow by 5 percent in 2023. Continued budget execution should help sustain strong non-oil growth in 2024. However, lower oil production, following the closure of the Iraq-Turkey pipeline and OPEC+ production cuts, will reduce overall GDP growth in 2023 and 2024.

 Inflation has declined from its January peak and is projected to stabilize in the coming months—helped by the Central Bank of Iraq’s (CBI) tighter monetary policy, passthrough from the exchange rate revaluation, lower international food prices, and normalization of trade finance as compliance to the new anti-money laundering/combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) [GM1] framework improved.

“The three-year budget approved in June 2023 marked a shift in Iraq’s budgeting practice, envisaged to improve fiscal planning and continue important development projects over the medium term. Despite a late start of budget implementation, the fiscal balance is expected to shift from a large surplus in 2022 to a deficit in 2023. Staff projects that the deficit would widen further in 2024 reflecting the full year impact of recent measures. The large fiscal expansion, including a substantial increase in public hiring and pensions creates permanent spending that will put pressure on public finances over the medium term.

“Ensuring fiscal sustainability, in context of uncertain outlook for oil prices, requires gradually tightening the fiscal policy stance while safeguarding critical infrastructure and social spending needs. This would require mobilizing additional non-oil revenues, containing the large government wage bill, and reforming the pension system. These measures should be supported by moving toward a more targeted social safety net that better protects the vulnerable.

“The mission welcomed the government’s plans to strengthen public financial management including steps towards the establishment of the Treasury Single Account. In this context, the mission reiterated the importance of adhering to the framework for managing government guarantees.

“The CBI has appropriately tightened its monetary policy, including by increasing its policy rate and reserve requirement. The mission welcomed the progress in strengthening the domestic liquidity management framework and encouraged continued efforts to mop up excess liquidity and develop an interbank market to strengthen monetary policy transmission.

“Structural reforms to spur private sector led economic diversification and job creation remains pivotal for sustainable and inclusive growth. Priorities include creating a level playing field for the private sector through banking and electricity sector reforms, reducing distortions in the labor market, and continuing efforts to enhance governance and reduce corruption.

“The IMF staff team stands ready to support the authorities in their reform efforts and would like to thank them for candid and productive discussions during this mission.”

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2023/12/18/pr23462-iraq-imf-staff-concludes-staff-visit?cid=em-COM-123-47669

The Governor Of The Central Bank Sets The Conditions For Engaging In The Digital Technical Revolution, 21 DEC

 The Governor Of The Central Bank Sets The Conditions For Engaging In The Digital Technical Revolution

Wednesday 20, December 2023 14:40 | Economical Number of readings: 329  Baghdad / NINA / Today, Wednesday, the Governor of the Central Bank, Ali Al-Alaq, set the conditions for engaging in the digital technical revolution. While he pointed out that purging state institutions of corruption is fundamentally linked to the use of information technology, he stressed that providing data and information at the state level maximizes state revenues.

Al-Alaq said at the annual international scientific conference held under the auspices of the Minister of Finance: “The Financial and Accounting Training Center continues its efforts to cover basic and important aspects that represent the most important framework in aspects related to economic issues, especially in public finance and monetary policy,” indicating that “we are now in the midst of the fourth revolution.” Which was called at the Davos Conference in 2016 after the first, second and third industrial revolutions.

He added, “This fourth revolution is based on the pillars produced by the third revolution, which was represented by digitization and the use of the Internet in various fields, which changed many aspects of practices at all levels,” noting that “the fourth revolution is a revolution at the individual and societal levels, and it takes on broad dimensions that change everything.”

Today, many practices and trends are heading towards another world, through ministries without papers and without visitors, digital transformation in health, education and various sectors, and the transition to artificial intelligence, robotics, smart cities and other aspects that are expanding every day.”

He stressed that “reality indicates that we are far from the fourth revolution, and in the beginnings of engagement in the third revolution due to all the circumstances that the country has gone through and is going through,” pointing out that “the third revolution is a digital, technical revolution that has dimensions in organizing various aspects, and has broad economic and social effects.” ‘

And great, we are still finding the way for this revolution to take on its technical fields in agriculture, industry, trade, environment, education, health and other aspects that require a technical dimension that can carry out the process of managing these matters and these fields and sectors in another way.”

He stated, "We are still in the simple framework of digitization, which attempts to set the rules for work frameworks in their technical form, as this description and identification of what we are is very necessary in drawing the necessary steps and procedures to take the correct path," explaining that "engaging in the technical digital revolution requires a number of... Among the conditions that must be worked on and established in our reality so that we can actually be part of these transformations, including:

 First : eradicating technical illiteracy, in which we need to increase technical awareness and expand its fields, starting with education in all its stages to a higher level in our various institutions and sectors.

State institutions are making progress in engaging in this trend, as we undoubtedly have a broad government and large authorities and agencies that include many formations dealing with different fields and are crowded with human resources. Therefore, institutions must be a model and role model in using these technologies to the highest possible degree, especially since they complain There are many negative phenomena in the performance of its work, in the organization of its activities, in its efficiency, and in its outputs, and it has solutions, which are technical solutions.”

He continued, "Cleansing state institutions of corruption is largely and fundamentally linked to the use of techniques and information technology to reshape the relationship between the institution, society, and the individual, which removes many areas that are the cause of institutional confusion, performance, corruption processes, weakness, or delay in the various procedures related to what these institutions provide." Institutions,” explaining that “employing information technology in state institutions is very necessary.”

Third: It is necessary to provide the infrastructure for this transformation, especially within the framework of communications, in terms of speed, cost, and service availability at the best possible, because it is a necessary condition for the success of technological work. Fourth:

Allocating financial and human resources to stimulate innovation in this framework, which is described as not being a focus area. In general planning, this is observed in the state’s general budget and elsewhere, while what is required is for this aspect to have an exceptional focus and sufficient allocations.”

He stated that “when the government structure was reconsidered years ago, two important ministries were abolished at the time, namely the Ministry of Science and Technology and the Ministry of Environment,” explaining that “the Ministry of Environment was restored, but the abolition of the Ministry of Science and Technology contradicts the developments and desired goals of focusing on this aspect and embracing all energies.” that can work in this direction.

He continued, "The companies that operate within this framework are the most profitable in the world, and we have human resources and young energies that deserve to have a role in stimulating and developing this important aspect."

Fifth: Coordination between state institutions within an integrated framework of information and data. The outputs of each institution must be transformed into inputs for another institution to integrate data and information to benefit from them with correct planning.

He stated that "providing data and information at the state level represents the sound and correct basis for planning, organizing, and controlling the economic sectors that contribute to increasing gross domestic production and maximizing state revenues," pointing out that "the non-oil deficit exceeds 80 percent."

He stressed that "the Central Bank is the institution that most uses and benefits from modern and digital technologies," stressing "the necessity of stimulating and developing the development of these trends to regulate the work of the Central Bank."/https://ninanews.com/Website/News/Details?key=1096454

" ANALYSIS OF IRAQ NEWS" BY FRANK26, 21 DEC

 “OF COURSE TOOPIT LOL!!!”………..F26

Will agreements with international banks contribute to solving the monetary problem in Iraq?

12/16/2023 Follow-ups|..

Economic researcher, Ziad Al-Hashemi, confirmed on Friday that the agreements with the banks of the Emirati First Gulf, Turkish Labor, Singaporean Development and others will not end the monetary problem in Iraq.

Al-Hashemi said in a post on the “X” platform followed by “Newspaper”, that “it is expected that these agreements will provide multiple cash alternatives that will help the merchant.” Iraqis can transfer their trade funds quickly and flexibly and reduce dependence on the dollar in foreign transactions.”

He explained, “These agreements will also help reduce the demand for the parallel dollar by attracting the segment of merchants who previously turned to the parallel dollar in search of quick transfers away from the platform, its complications, and delayed approvals.”

He added, “However, the demand for the cash dollar will remain high, and the official dollar will continue to be withdrawn and converted into a parallel dollar by powerful parties that own huge amounts of dinars, and have no relation to regular or official commercial work, and will continue to put pressure on the Iraqi economy to obtain the dollar in all ways and means.”

He continued, “This fact was confirmed by the exchange rates during this period, which maintained their high levels and did not decline despite these agreements and despite hundreds of millions of (imported dollars). This is what makes the exchange rates ready to rise at any moment and with any new event.”

He stated, “Despite the Federal Reserve’s tightenings and the Central Bank’s attempts, it is expected that the problem of the cash dollar, the parallel dollar, and the imbalance in exchange rates will continue with us during the coming year, and we are waiting for more stringent, serious, and courageous solutions to end this problem from its roots.”   LINK

Iraqi Dinar🔥Fantastic Year Ahead With New Exchange Rates Revaluation🔥ira...

"ANALYSIS OF IRAQ NEWS" BY FRANK26, 21 DEC

 “BECAUSE OF THE FINAL DAYS OF THE MONETARY REFORM PROCESS, KTFA FAMILY PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THIS ARTICLE!!!”………F26

Association of Banks: The battle with dollar speculators has reached its final round

12/15/2023

The Iraqi Private Banks Association said today, Friday, that the battle with dollar speculators has reached its final round, and while it praised the Central Bank’s measures to regulate the movement of funds to achieve financial and bank reform, it confirmed that it will contribute to reclassifying banks, increasing their capital and raising the level of services provided. For citizens.

The economic and banking advisor to the association, Samir Al-Nusairi, told the Iraqi News Agency (INA): “The Central Bank’s measures and efforts that have been made since the beginning of 2023, with the support of the government, have yielded results and have begun to give results according to what was planned.” The so-called parallel (black) dollar has begun to die, and the speculators who deal with it have been besieged to harm the national economy, and currently the battle is with them in the final round.”

He added, “This is what was stated in detailed procedures and administrative, technical, and negotiating steps.” With the US Federal Bank and the US Department of the Treasury and the understandings related to regulating the financing of foreign trade by approving the opening of accounts for Iraqi banks in American, Chinese, Emirati and Turkish correspondent banks to deal directly with them for external transfers in the currencies of these countries, which include the dollar, euro, Chinese yuan, Indian rupee, Emirati dirham and Turkish lira, and leaving the electronic platform in The year is 2024

And the supply of dollars and foreign currencies into Iraq from Iraqi bank accounts at correspondent banks or abroad. Reaching agreements to open 40 accounts for Iraqi banks in correspondent banks for foreign trade,” noting that “the Central Bank’s new strategy to reform the banking sector will adopt the reclassification of banks and increase their capital to the ceiling set by the Central Bank in accordance with the specified time frames until the end of 2024

Which will lead to… Raising the capabilities of our banks to provide the best banking products and services to customers, which will reflect positively on the movement of the economy, investment, development and the transition to comprehensive digital transformation.” He added, “Since the beginning of the year 2023, financial policies have been reconsidered according to a new vision for banking reform that complies with the requirements of the global financial system, and a new strategy has begun to be implemented with mechanisms based on studying and diagnosing the causes of the imbalance and determining the road map and the executive steps and procedures that will be implemented.”

It has been and will be implemented at the level of the departments of the Central Bank, banks, bodies supporting banking work, and government agencies related to comprehensive economic reform, as the Central Bank has previously issued new instructions for external transfers for the year 2023 and three procedural packages to facilitate and control the circulation of foreign currency in the monetary and commercial market.

Al-Nusairi added, “In August of this year, the Central Bank issued its important statement in which it defined its new strategy for organizing the financing of foreign trade according to new foundations that move Iraq to the stage of regularity in the global financial system, and in which it explained the executive procedures to control the stability of the exchange rate.” 

Among its most prominent items: adopting the electronic platform exclusively for foreign transfer transactions, controlling illicit trade through official and unofficial border crossings, stopping trading and transactions in dollars on the black market, preventing all websites and media television channels from publishing exchange rates on the black market due to their violation of the law, and importers proving that all Their imports were made through the platform and at the official price, and the Customs Authority and the General Tax Authority implemented proposals and procedures for small merchants to enter the platform in accordance with the rules, and this is consistent with the government’s initiative to launch the national project to control prohibited imports.

He continued, “And we In the last days of 2023, the Central Bank’s strategy for banking reform in all its axes became clear for the coming year 2024 and subsequent years, and it is an embodiment of what it specified in the road map that it clarified in cooperation with the government in accordance with what was stated in the government’s curriculum in Axis 12 (Financial and banking reform) and paragraph 7 thereof and special By developing and enabling banks to contribute to development and investment.”

He explained, “Here we can summarize the Central Bank’s plan, which it is currently working to implement accurately, as follows:-

First – Providing a stable financial system lies in accompanying financial electronic systems. 

Secondly – Commitment to consolidating the rules of compliance, risk management, transparency and safety of financial operations.

Thirdly – The transition from the cash economy to the digital economy and what is called the fourth revolution and the accompanying measures that have achieved a shift. Quality of dealings between the government and the central bank. 

Fourth – Implementing the financial and banking reform plan that is characterized by international standards keeping pace with global developments in the field of the financial digital economy.

Fifth – Working to strengthen international relations, including establishing a network Relations with foreign correspondent banks.

Sixth – Establishing Riyada Bank in line with the Prime Minister’s initiative and redirecting work on initiatives to finance small and medium enterprises in accordance with specific standards.

Seventh – Preparation Launching a strategy for financial inclusion and putting it into effect in coordination with relevant authorities.

Eighth – Launching the national lending strategy, relying on the banks’ own financial capabilities to attract deposits and invest them in providing the best banking products to customers and contributing to development.     LINK

Sudanese adviser: Talks with 5 countries to import factories in exchange for sovereign guarantees, 21 DEC

 Sudanese adviser: Talks with 5 countries to import factories in exchange for sovereign guarantees

Prime Minister’s adviser to technical affairs, Mohammed Habih al-Daraji, revealed on Thursday, talks between Iraq, Germany, Italy, Spain, Japan and China to import factories in exchange for sovereign guarantees.Al-Darraji said in a statement, “There is a committee formed under the guidance of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ Al-Sudani to implement a paragraph in the budget that provides for granting the government sovereign guarantees in favor of importing production lines and agricultural equipment for the Iraqi private sector.

”He added that “the government is in the process of agreeing with the countries of Germany, Italy, Japan, China and Spain, as well as the Islamic Development Bank to supply factories to Iraq in exchange for sovereign guarantees and their management by the private sector.”He described the prime minister’s adviser for technical affairs as “excellent to strengthen the Iraqi economy and change its philosophy in performance.”

https://www.dijlah.tv/index.php?page=article&id=339830