Thursday, December 18, 2025
THE CENTRAL BANK OF IRAQ ACKNOWLEDGES THE CRISIS: OIL PRICES AND LIQUIDITY WITHDRAWALS HAVE AFFECTED “CASH RESERVES”
THE CENTRAL BANK OF IRAQ ACKNOWLEDGES THE CRISIS: OIL PRICES AND LIQUIDITY WITHDRAWALS HAVE AFFECTED “CASH RESERVES”
The Central Bank of Iraq confirmed on Wednesday that the decline in oil prices and the withdrawal of liquidity from the markets are two factors that negatively affect Iraq’s hard currency reserves.
The bank said in a report, which was received by Shafaq News Agency, that “Iraq’s reserves are closely linked to the size of oil revenues, which makes them vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices. Also, the monetary sterilization carried out by the Central Bank to withdraw liquidity from the market has a negative impact, due to the need to utilize foreign reserves.”
The bank added that “oil prices fell from $81 for the second quarter of 2024 to $69 for the same quarter of 2025, and consequently reserves decreased from 142.69 trillion dinars to 126.16 trillion dinars for the same period.”
He pointed out that “the Central Bank’s withdrawal of cash liquidity from the market in order to maintain monetary stability led to an increase in cash receipts (i.e., the bank’s acquisition of dinars in exchange for selling dollars), from 18.37 trillion dinars to 21.66 trillion dinars for the same period (i.e., an increase in dollar sales), in addition to the practice of the general budget deficit, which has an impact on net foreign reserves.”
Frank26 Update: Sudani Confirms the CBI Holds the Key to the Exchange Rate
Frank26 Iraq Boots-on-the-Ground Report: What Was Really Said
A recent televised appearance by Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has reignited discussion around Iraq’s monetary reform and exchange rate authority.
What makes this moment important is not what was explicitly said — but how it was said.
Sudani’s Statement: The Exchange Rate Is the CBI’s Responsibility
FIREFLY (Iraq Boots-on-the-Ground):
Sudani made it clear:
The government has reduced the gap between:
The official rate
The parallel (street) market rate
Solely the responsibility of the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI)
This distinction is critical.
The government can:
Stabilize markets
Implement fiscal discipline
Reduce currency spread
But it cannot legally announce or execute a rate change.
Why Sudani Is Speaking Now
FRANK26 Analysis:
This appears to be Sudani’s role in the process:
Preparing Iraqi citizens psychologically
“Massaging” monetary reform messaging
Softening the population for future value changes
Saying the obvious — without violating the constitution
Iraq’s constitution forbids officials from directly stating:
“We are about to raise the value of the currency.”
But they can:
Suggest it
Hint at it
Illustrate mechanisms
Discuss removing zeros to add value
Educate without announcing
This is expectation management, not coincidence.
The Importance of the “Three Zeros” Language
Sudani and CBI-linked messaging often refer to:
Removing the three zeros
Adding purchasing power
Improving currency efficiency
This language:
Normalizes the concept of value change
Reduces public shock
Builds acceptance before execution
In short:
👉 Education before activation
The 1310 Rate: Alaq’s Statement Under the Microscope
OMAR Reminder:
CBI Governor Alaq stated:
“1310 will be active until the end of December.”
He did not explicitly say what happens after.
FRANK26 Commentary (Opinion, Not Fact):
Frank offers a personal interpretation:
If something is only active until December 31st,
then logically it may not be active on January 1st.
Important clarification:
This is Frank’s opinion
This is not an official CBI statement
Misinterpretation online is common
Why Discipline Matters Right Now
Frank also issued an important warning:
Social media is filled with undisciplined speculation
Words are twisted into guarantees
Opinions become “facts” overnight
This is dangerous during sensitive monetary transitions.
Responsible analysis requires:
Separating statements from interpretation
Understanding constitutional limits
Respecting timing and process
Featured Snippet: Who Controls the Exchange Rate in Iraq?
Who has the authority to change Iraq’s exchange rate?
Only the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI). The government can stabilize markets and reduce the gap between official and parallel rates, but it cannot legally announce or implement a rate change.
Why This Messaging Matters Right Now
Sudani speaking publicly about:
Exchange rate responsibility
Market gap reduction
CBI authority
…is not accidental.
It signals:
Alignment between GOI and CBI
Confidence in reform progress
A need to educate citizens before change
Historically, this type of messaging appears late in the reform cycle, not early.
Q&A Section
Did Sudani announce an RV?
No. He cannot legally do so.
Does this confirm a rate change is coming?
It confirms preparation and authority, not timing.
Is 1310 ending on January 1st?
That is speculation, not official confirmation.
Why talk about removing zeros instead of “RV”?
Because it is constitutionally acceptable language that prepares citizens.
Key Takeaway
This update is not about hype.
It is about:
Who speaks
What they are allowed to say
Why they are saying it now
Sudani is doing his part.
The CBI will do theirs — when the system is ready.
No Rumors. No Guarantees. No Misquotes.
Facts, context, and disciplined analysis only.
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Frank26
[Iraq boots-on-the-ground report]
FIREFLY:Sudani was on TV yesterday...talking about it's the responsibility solely of the CBI to change the exchange rate. He said he government has...lowered the gap between the official rate and the parallel market rate. But to actually change the rate is the responsibility of the CBI.
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