Sunday, October 8, 2023

The Dollar’s Dance: Exchange Rate Fluctuations Impacting Baghdad and Erbil, 8 OCT

 The Dollar’s Dance: Exchange Rate Fluctuations Impacting Baghdad and Erbil, 8 OCT

Fluctuating Fortunes of the U.S. Dollar in Baghdad and Erbil

The U.S. dollar, a global benchmark of economic strength, has undergone significant fluctuations in Baghdad and Erbil. In Baghdad, the value of the dollar escalated to 158,350 Iraqi dinars for every 100 dollars, marking a noteworthy increase from the preceding day’s rate of 157,500 dinars. This surge has directly impacted the selling prices in local currency exchange shops, signaling a robust demand for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, in Erbil, the dollar’s value experienced a downfall, with a selling rate of 157,700 dinars and a buying rate of 157,600 dinars per 100 dollars in local currency exchange shops.

Role of Safe Assets in Dollar Value Determination

The value of the dollar against other currencies is significantly influenced by the demand for U.S. dollar safe assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds. This demand directly impacts exchange rates and influences the convenience yield that investors are willing to accept when purchasing U.S. dollars. The convenience yield can be understood as the market value of the tranquility and assurance that comes with investing in U.S. dollars.

The ‘Specialness’ of the Dollar

The U.S. dollar enjoys a special status in the global economy, primarily due to its ability to issue safe assets. U.S. Treasuries are perceived as the safest investment worldwide, enabling the U.S. government to pay lower interest rates on its bonds compared to other countries. This special demand for U.S. safe assets, particularly U.S. Treasuries, often results in the appreciation of the dollar against foreign currencies.

Future Ramifications of Dollar Value Fluctuations

According to recent research, a large fraction of the variation in dollar exchange rates can be attributed to the shifting value that foreign investors place on holding safe assets denominated in U.S. dollars. This revelation disrupts the traditional understanding of exchange rate movements, suggesting that the demand for U.S. dollar safe assets is a key factor in determining the dollar’s value in the global currency market. As the world continues to grapple with economic uncertainty, the fluctuations in the dollar’s value will undoubtedly have significant implications for global investors, policymakers, and economies at large.

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