Coffee with MarkZ and Andy Schectman. 10/02/2024

Coffee with MarkZ and Andy Schectman. 10/02/2024

MarkZ  Update- Some highlights by PDK-Not verbatim

MarkZ Disclaimer: Please consider everything on this call as my opinion. People who take notes do not catch everything and its best to watch the video so that you get everything in context.  Be sure to consult a professional for any financial decisions

Member: Happy Hump Day!

Member: Mornin' Mark and Mods,you have no idea how much you're appreciated

Member: So what new today Mark???  Are we ever going to cross that finish line?

MZ: “ Kurdistan Regional Government unveils upcoming tripartite meeting to resume all oil exports” Things are moving. Stability is there. Along with salaries being paid – this is all part of the HCL agreement. They did not give up the date of this meeting…..It may have already occurred. 

MZ: “World Bank: Iraq has taken steps to develop Human capital” That sounds creepy due to translations. But it means they are taking care of their people. Education, Health Care and an educated work force. 

MZ: “Iraqi dinar under pressure amidst regional tensions” They hid in this article a piece that we really like…They are shrinking the dinar note count which will increase the value.

Member: Did your bond contact get back with you after last nights appointment?? @Mark

MZ: On the bond side. The contact I was hoping could give me an update said they are now under an NDA. I am confident they got paid something at the table or they would not have signed it.

MZ: A couple other bond folks told me they did get their final paperwork but the plan is not to pay the until early next week. So paperwork is final…process is started but they will not get full release of their funds until next week. 

Member: That figures…Its always next week…sigh

Member: Historic bondholders getting hysterical if they don't get fundible $ soon !

Member: Is this a bond can kick???

MZ: I don’t think it’s a bond can kick because of the number of people under an NDA. I wonder if it’s more of an international clearing process to get their spendable funds. In other words….2 of my contacts were in a group…so did they finish their final paperwork…then funds were given to the paymaster …then the paymaster has to clear those funds internationally ….this is an international transaction of billions of dollars…….then distribute those funds to all the people in the group?

MZ: If these billions were moved from Europe to the US- there would be safety checks and balances. This takes awhile 

MZ: I very much think and am very confident money has been moving on bonds…just not as quickly as we want it to be moving…If it was with the QFS- it would  arrive in 2.5 nano seconds….or very fast. 

Member….still looks like feet dragging to me. 

Member: So are these bonds- Zim bonds?

MZ: No – I am talking Historic bonds. I believe we will exchange Zim bonds when we get our notifications. 

Member: So whatever happened to the QFS?

MZ: As soon as we exchange it is there for us. Historic bonds go first. 

Member: If bonds are big $$$$ paid in fiat what better way to clear out old currency when when they convert to new currency?

Member: So, with storms, wars, dock workers strikes and all the awful things going on….will this delay the RV

Member: Maybe all those horrible things mean they have to speed up the RV????

Member: Talked to a friend yesterday who's husband works for the Railroad, they had a big meeting yesterday and was told the strike at the Port will NOT be as bad as being told.

Member: I think dock strike is the global switching of monetary systems. 80% of trade is through shipping

Member: I wonder what effect will ww3 in the middle east have on iraq rv?

Member: I still think no RV or Nesara until after the elections……Hope I am wrong. 

Member: Mtn Goat is saying RV not until after the election. I don't know why the election would affect the RV. Iraq is a sovereign country.

Member: Well…maybe the “October Surprise” is the RV

Member: I believe October is our month. 

MZ: I very much believe October will be our month…..I think we finally got off “stuck” in September and will see the fruition of it in October. 

Member: So they sell dollars for dinar, put in bank and BOOM …RV….Dinar more valuable …as I close?

MZ: Exactly…..You nailed it. 

Member: Did you hear the rumor that 150 bankers delaying the RV have been arrested?

Member: QQ Mark, could you do a segment to explain what the process will be during an RV appt--/ not sure what info to trust

Member: Recaps has many posts on exchange processes in their Post Rv and Archives sections….There was a couple good ones posted there. Fleming had a good one. 

Meber: Thanks all and enjoy your day. 

Member: Remain seated and buckled until the ride comes to a complete stop.

Member: The best is yet to come. 

Andy Schectman from Miles Franklin joins the stream today. {lease listen to the replay for his information and opinions 

STATUS OF THE RV, PART. 1 ; " WE WILL NOT SEE THE RV UNTIL AFTER NOV 5TH" , BY MNT GOAT, 2 OCT

STATUS OF THE RV

Welcome to October! Or should I say “Rocktober”. Get ready! 😊

Well, well, well it seems the kings of bullshitters TNT, Bruce, MarkZ and all you other idiotic intel gurus are wrong again. 

Oh… is that such a surprise? Where is the RV as you have been saying it was all done, done and done and that it had to be rolled out by the end of September? Really? 

Oh… but you said the same for May, June, July and August too. But what did Mnt Goat tell us? 

I am telling you that I know with 1000% certainty we will NOT see the RV until after the Nov 5th voting . So please, please stop all this head banging and nonsense.

In a conversation with my CBI contact on Saturday I was told that if all goes well in the US elections, we can expect to see the preparation gearing to the reinstatement by the start of the project to delete the zeros and the swap out of the larger notes for the smaller denominations.

 I was told this is now planned to begin shortly after the voting is over and the winners are announced. I was told we might have to wait for the inauguration ceremony to conclude to see the reinstatement occur. 

I was also told that in reading many of the articles about the project to delete the zeros, that we see in the Iraqi news, to use a bit of discernment. 

Many of them are negative based, as we can see the Iranian influence in these stories. Many economists also ill-informed and still do not see the big picture or realize the extent of the process and why it must be done. 

She told me many still don’t even know the newer, lower denominations have been already printed and the coins stamped years ago. This is evident when you read or listen to their commentary.

I was also told to watch for yet more articles in the news about the project to delete the zeros but to be aware that ONLY the ones coming from her committee on this subject matter can be trusted. 

As you know my contact works on the committee from the Central Bank and it has been given the task of ensuring a smooth process. I was also told that in late November or early December we will see the newer lower denominations and their pictures and features depicted on the CBI site. The ending of the currency auctions at the end of 2024 will also be signal to us that everything is moving correctly and we should see the IQD returned or reinstated back to FOREX in early 2025.

I know there is lots of gab out in the dinar community and people are already questioning the information given to me from the CBI on this matter.

 Folks, I am only the messenger and trying to figure this out like everyone else. I do not need a crystal ball or to make things up. I certainly pray that nothing interferes with the process. I was told by my contact that this raging war in the middle east on terrorism, if extended to Iraq, could be an issue but so far Iraq is desperately trying to stay neutral.

 I have read articles that try to tell us Iraq is going to support the terrorists against Israel and so how can anyone in their right mind believe this crap?...TO BE CONTINUED

https://mntgoatnewsusa.com/latest-mnt-goat-newsletter/

EXCERPTS FROM MARKZ : BANKS SCREEN SHOWING IQD RATE OF $3.57@DINARREVALU...

Expert Proposes A Single Proposal To Confront The Decline In Oil Prices And Issues A Warning To Producing Countries, 2 OCT

 Expert Proposes A Single Proposal To Confront The Decline In Oil Prices And Issues A Warning To Producing Countries

Baghdad Today - Baghdad   Oil expert Haider Al-Batat warned oil-producing countries today, Monday (September 30, 2024), noting that shale oil production is more economically feasible.

Al-Batat said in an interview with Baghdad Today that "the rise in oil prices leads to a slowdown in industrial growth and a decrease in demand for oil, with an increase in the trend towards the use of alternative energy. This represents a threat to oil-exporting countries, and the main beneficiary of this situation is the United States of America."

He added, "US shale oil production is only economically viable when the price per barrel exceeds $65. If the price of oil falls below $65, US oil production becomes economically unviable."

He explained that "this will force America to reduce its production of shale oil, which will make the market need 10 million barrels of oil, and this will lead to an increase in demand for oil produced by OPEC member states to compensate for the gap resulting from the decline in American production."

The oil expert concluded by saying, “This scenario is the only solution to confront the decline in oil consumption and the shift to alternative energy.

It will also increase industrial growth, thus pushing oil-producing countries to increase oil production to keep pace with the increasing global demand. Thus, they compensate for the decline in price by increasing quantities.

This in turn increases the costs of using alternative energy, which is ultimately much higher than the price of fossil energy, leading consumers to turn away from it and continue to rely on fossil energy while developing and upgrading it to be environmentally friendly.”

According to the US Energy Information Administration, the United States has the largest recoverable resource of shale oil in the world, amounting to 78.2 billion barrels so far, followed by Russia with 74.6 billion barrels.

Although China is a relative newcomer to the scene, it holds a significant position with reserves of 32.2 billion barrels, contributing 7.7% of the global share.

Argentina, Libya and the United Arab Emirates also made the top ranks, indicating the diverse distribution of shale oil resources around the world.  LINK

RV UPDATE: "CURRENCY SELLING WINDOW WILL CLOSE AT THE END OF THE YEAR" BY MNT GOAT, 2 OCT

 

https://mntgoatnewsusa.com/latest-mnt-goat-newsletter/

DINARLAND UPDATE: EXCERPTS FROM TNT & BRUCE TODAY @DINARREVALUATION

Internal And External Debts "Exhaust" The Iraqi Budget, And Experts Diagnose The Reasons, 2 OCT

 Internal And External Debts "Exhaust" The Iraqi Budget, And Experts Diagnose The Reasons

2024-09-30 06:37  Shafaq News/ The Iraqi government took a series of measures to reduce the external public debt from the financial surpluses achieved as a result of the rise in oil prices, and succeeded in reducing it. However, in return, the internal debt rose to exceed 70 trillion dinars to bridge the gap in financial liquidity and operating expenses.

Iraq continued to borrow externally after 2003, especially during the oil price collapse that coincided with security operations against ISIS in 2014, in addition to internal borrowing to cover the country's general budget deficit.

The International Monetary Fund said that Iraq's internal imbalances were exacerbated by the large financial expansion and the decline in oil prices, noting that Iraq needs to gradually correct the public finances to achieve debt stability in the medium term and rebuild financial reserves.

"Dead" Debts

Member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, Jamal Kojer, said in an interview with Shafaq News Agency, "The external debt found in the reports available to us is a dead debt related to the Gulf War. These debts date back more than 30 years and countries do not demand them, so they are not real debts. If the Iraqi state demands their cancellation, they will be cancelled."

He points out that "the internal debt, which exceeds 70 trillion Iraqi dinars, is gradually increasing because the state's revenues are less than expenditures, and despite that, it is not a frightening debt."

According to official data, Iraq's internal debts amount to $50 billion, which are collected within the official and governmental financial apparatus, in addition to the existence of outstanding debts to eight countries, including Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the Emirates and Kuwait, amounting to $40 billion. These debts are questionable from Iraq's point of view and have not been written off, despite being subject to the Paris Club.

Low External Debt

In turn, the financial advisor to the Prime Minister, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, explained in an interview with Shafaq News Agency, that "Iraq is considered one of the countries with very little external debt, as the total debts due do not exceed 10 billion dollars, and these have annual allocations in the federal general budget to extinguish them, and they must be extinguished by 2028."

"The external debt is the remnants of the pre-1990 settlements," he added, noting that "Iraq is considered to have high creditworthiness according to the classification of international companies such as S&P Global Ratings and Fitch, and therefore the external debt does not exceed 5% of the gross domestic product compared to the international standard that accepts debts up to 60% of the gross domestic product."

Saleh points out that "there are internal debts amounting to 76 trillion dinars caused by two financial crises, the first of which was between 2014 and 2017, which was the war against ISIS terrorism and the decline in oil prices, and the second crisis was the Corona pandemic, which led to the closure of global markets and a significant decline in oil prices, and thus large borrowings occurred."

He stresses that "domestic debt generally does not exceed 30% of the gross domestic product and is a debt within the government and not between the government and individuals or the market, and there are mechanisms to extinguish it within the government's financial and banking system, and therefore there are no risks."

Debt Is Not The Perfect Solution.

However, the economic expert, Dhurgham Muhammad Ali, sees the opposite of what the financial advisor said, and says in an interview with Shafaq News Agency, "The internal debts also pose a danger because they must be paid and must not exceed 50% of the country's annual gross domestic product."

He added, "Expanding domestic borrowing is not the ideal solution to cover the budget deficit, but rather it is an easy way to cover the deficit using primitive but effective methods, as long as they do not exceed the required limit, especially in light of the decline in financial inclusion and the low rates of bank deposits for the Iraqi citizen compared to neighboring countries."

He explains that "combating corruption and following up on Iraq's money that has been swallowed by corruption over the past years is slow and ineffective and faces obstacles and challenges, and recovering this money could pay off many internal debts."

Hard Currency

For his part, economic expert Hilal Al-Taan confirmed, in an interview with Shafaq News Agency, that "the internal debts do not have a significant impact on the Iraqi economy, and most of them are in favor of the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank, and other ministries."

He believes that "the major impact on the economy is on foreign debts because they are settled in hard currency, unlike domestic debts, which are settled in national currency. The state must first reduce foreign debts."

The largest part of the domestic debt is owed to the Central Bank of Iraq, the Rafidain and Rashid banks, and the Trade Bank of Iraq, which lent the government large sums of money to cover the federal budget deficit.   LINK