Question: "So the RV tomorrow 3:00? Lol" You need to change your thinking. There is no RV, never will be one. The only way that dinar can go up in value is 'gradually' over time based on the success and growth of Iraq's own economy.
Kaperoni
Article: "Establishment of the Commercial Arbitration Center in Iraq" Article quote: "the importance of commercial communication with various countries around the world and organizing relations in a way that achieves mutual benefit for all parties, especially as Iraq is on the verge of rejoining the World Trade Organization (WTO). He explained
that this project comes as one of the achievements within the file of Iraq's accession to the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC
)." WTO requirement. Establishment of the Commercial Arbitration Center in Iraq
---
Article quote: "new pipeline project at an amount estimated at approximately 6.5 billion Iraqi dinars ($4.9 billion)" Community Comment "The mathematical 'mistake' basically equals 1.32. This seems very very coincidental to the deletion of the zeros."Referencing the exchange rate in billions rather than trillions is an easy mistake to make. It happens all the time and everyone thinks there's something to it. Wrong.
Question: "What happens now that the auctions are soon to be over?
What does this mean for the Dinar holders out there Kap?" It means monetary policy is changing after 20 years to reflect the economic changes in Iraq. We'll have to wait and see what happens.
---
Floating the currency is the best option but only once they have created a diverse economy that is not dependent solely on oil.
...New currencies coming out in Iraq. Not true, the Iraqi dinar is the currency of Iraq. As far as any new smaller denominations, they will be introduced only as needed if and when the value increases and warrants so. There is no significant RV!
--
...The dinar to float at well over a dollar. Unlikely, the dinar when it floats will be whatever the current exchange rate is and could rise gradually accordingly.
Community comment: "Today the cbi says there are no new printing of bills"
That is correct. The Central Bank does not randomly print currency unless it's to replace damaged or worn out notes. There is no need for a new currency unless it is warranted. Moving to digital will eventually reduce physical notes.
Question: ----"They have a very largebudget ,without an increase in rate how do they meet the projects that is lined up?"
External expenses are paid in dollars since their primary revenue is dollars. Dinar is used to pay salaries, etc. in country.
CCommunity Comment: "Hopefully in the next 5 yrs we will see an appreciation of the currency price, based on the last year of progress."I agree! Iraq has an excellent opportunity now to diversify their economy and develop the banking system.
Much of the float articles that we have seen have concerns about speculators that is because they are referencing dealers speculating within the country. That will not happen.
All of these changes that they're talking about pertain to monetary policy. They have nothing to do with the exchange rate. Whether or not the exchange rate goes up or not is directly related to the economic success thereafter.
By the end of the year when the Central Bank of Iraq ends the currency auction, only transfers amongst established Iraqi banks and regional or International banks will occur. In other words, the float of the dinar and transfer of funds will be institutional.
What this means for us is the future of the dinar exchange rate is directly tied to the capital flowing through the CBI, economic growth, and success of Iraq. As Iraq prospers, so will the dinar! Though we may not see the dinar exchange rate improve initially. This is a significant change in monetary policy for the Central Bank of Iraq. Some 20 years in the waiting.
Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati is scheduled to visit Iraq in the coming hours, responding to an invitation from Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani.
The Lebanese newspaper "Al-Jumhuriya" quoted government sources in the country as saying that Mikati will be accompanied on his visit by a ministerial delegation that includes: Minister of Energy Walid Fayyad, Minister of Economy Amin Salam, Minister of Agriculture Abbas Hajj Hassan, and Minister of Industry George Bouchikian, in addition to a number of advisors.
The Iraqi government agreed in July to unload the fuel shipment despite Beirut not paying the financial dues it owes to Baghdad.
This comes after a call made by Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati to his Iraqi counterpart, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, and after Minister Fayyad had made several calls to his counterpart, Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani, the Iraqi Prime Minister’s Office, and the Iraqi Embassy in Lebanon, to address the fuel dues crisis and spare Lebanon total darkness.
The Lebanese Minister had previously announced that the Iraqi Oil Marketing Company (SOMO) had stopped unloading fuel oil tankers exported to Lebanon due to non-payment of the due funds for the second year in a row.
Fayyad said, "For the fifth consecutive month, the Central Bank of Lebanon has not transferred the price of fuel shipments to the Iraqi government's account, and thus Lebanon becomes financially exposed to Iraq, as the due funds have not been transferred for the second consecutive year," according to the Lebanese newspaper Al-Akhbar. LINK
Question: "How is Iraq going to do business in the international market with such a low currency rate?"
This is why Iraq will need to increase the value of its currency. Currency values... act as a silent force influencing a country's global competitiveness. When a country's currency value is low it can impact it's ability to compete...Iraq's top trading partners are China, India, South Korea and on the sidelines Iran. However things are about to change and fast. The development road project places Iraq right in the middle of the global financial markets. [We] have little doubt the Iraqi dinar will increase in value but we don't know when or how much.
A major financial change in Vietnam...Decree 52 regulates non-cash payment in Vietnam and will significantly alter Vietnam's financial landscape...Decree 52 marks a significant milestone in Vietnam's journey towards a cashless economy. If you have VND bank notes you will need to find out how you can comply with Decree 52 as a foreigner. [We] will research the topic and report back as soon as we understand the procedure. According to the news report the banks have 24 months to comply...
Removing zeros from a currency is a procedure undertaken by some countries in order to revalue the national currency and simplify financial transactions. This is done by removing a specific number of zeros from the nominal value of the currency, making it appear less inflationary and more stable.
For example, if the currency is the “dinar” and its value is equal to 1,000 dinars, after removing three zeros, its value will become one new dinar.
One of the possible reasons for deleting zeros is to combat inflation. When a currency suffers from high inflation, the nominal values can become very high and impractical to be offered in large quantities in daily transactions. Deleting zeros can contribute to enhancing confidence in the national currency, facilitating accounting operations and financial transactions; this may contribute to improving the country's image before investors and the international community.
Potential challenges of deleting zeros include printing new currency, modifying accounting systems, and training on how to use the new currency. It may initially cause some confusion among residents and consumers, and if the deletion process is not implemented well, it may lead to economic disruptions. As a result, deleting zeros is not a solution to all economic problems, but rather a procedure that requires good planning and careful implementation to ensure that the desired goals are achieved, according to experts.
Examples of countries that have taken this action include Turkey in 2005 when it removed six zeros from its currency, Brazil on several occasions in the 1980s and 1990s, Zimbabwe, which removed twelve zeros from its currency in 2009, and Venezuela, which removed five zeros in 2018. The number of cases in the world in which currency zeros were removed is estimated at 70 cases witnessed by the world since 1960.
In a renewed statement by the Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, Ali Al-Alaq, he said that “the project to remove zeros from the currency is still ongoing,” meaning removing three zeros from the Iraqi dinar. For example, the value of the 1,000-dinar banknote will be replaced with a one-dinar note from the new currency, five thousand with five dinars, ten thousand with ten dinars, and so on.
According to experts, the actual value of the money people own does not change after deleting the zeros, but this step contributes to simplifying the buying and selling processes for individuals and companies, and makes the financial amounts simpler and more understandable. Instead of dealing with huge numbers such as a trillion or a million (1,000,000 Iraqi dinars), they can be converted to just one thousand 1,000 dinars after deleting three zeros.
Removing zeros helps in issuing small currencies such as coins, enables the re-pricing of small goods at lower prices, facilitates their circulation and their survival in the markets, and gives a positive psychological boost to the population with the fact that the Iraqi dinar can now buy more goods and services.
Therefore, countries aim to remove zeros to restore confidence in the local currency among residents and investors, to increase demand for it, and for the local currency to become more competitive with foreign currencies and to be less replaced by other currencies.
The policy of deleting zeros is often linked to broader economic reforms, such as raising interest rates on bank deposits, to encourage people to save in banks and benefit from high interest rates on their bank deposits, in an attempt to withdraw liquidity from the market, reduce consumption and lower prices.
This also entails exploiting this liquidity to expand productive projects, attract local and foreign investments within the country and create many job opportunities so that the local economy can ultimately recover.
But on the other hand, deleting zeros may cost Iraq money to print new banknotes. For example, after deleting 3 zeros from the Iraqi dinar, when we talk about a 200-dinar banknote, it is actually equivalent to 200,000 dinars. As a result, it may be necessary to print 4 more 50-dinar banknotes instead of the 50,000-dinar banknote.
However, according to the available results, this may not have a clear impact on improving the local economy if it is not part of a package of economic reforms that help reduce the amount of money circulating among people and stimulate the economy, especially since Iraq's economy is an oil economy that needs to stimulate other productive sectors to drive the local economy.
Could removing zeros from the Iraqi dinar be a real start to stimulating the Iraqi economy, after it became clear that all plans were unable to rescue the dinar from its declining value?
In a statement by the financial advisor to the Iraqi government, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, he said that “the phenomenon of multiplying zeros in the monetary unit or adding zeros usually comes as a result of economies being exposed to rampant waves of inflation or sharp increases in the price level that continue for years due to wars, blockades and conflicts that lead to financing the deficit of government budgets through the issuance of money,” noting that the continuous rise in prices without stopping leads to the erosion of the value of the monetary unit, which necessitates the issuance of larger denominations of money due to the lack of value of smaller denominations of money and the disappearance of their ability to cover high-value transactions and exchanges in the market, according to his description.
Former member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, Ahmed Hama Rashid, believes that “Iraq is not prepared for the project of deleting zeros,” and explains, “We always hear the Central Bank’s statements about implementing a project, only to then back down from implementation for undisclosed reasons.”
Regarding the implementation of the project to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency, banking consultant Abdul Rahman Al-Shaikhli recalls that the printing of the Iraqi dinar in the nineties of the last century was done by poor printing presses and that “the first factor that stood in the way of the project was the discrepancy between the official exchange rate (now 1332 dinars per dollar) and the parallel market exchange rate (now rising above 1500 dinars) and it constituted an obstacle to the implementation of the project.”
He points out that "the project will be successful if an exchange rate of one thousand dinars for every one dollar is reached. At that time, deleting the three zeros will achieve its economic feasibility, as the exchange rate will be transformed into one dinar for every one dollar, and this is what the late former governor of the Central Bank, Sinan Al-Shabibi, aspired to," he said.
Al-Shaikhli added that the other factor that affected the project to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency was the call made by the government of former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki for the years 2006-2014, to legislate the infrastructure law, which was opposed by a number of political blocs in parliament at the time, as it leads to an increase in investments in Iraq through deferred payment, which limits the value of the monetary project, he said. LINK
Question: ...do you think the RV will happen in waves? First Dinar, then a few months later, VND? MarkZ: No, I think they will still...go at the same time.
“Iraq continues to add to their Maritime Fleet” They have 2 used ships with 5 under construction…this will cost a large amount of money.
Iraq has some long term goals. They have not paid for them yet- I believe Iraq is waiting for a change of value for the dinar.
I continue to hear that the most likely street rate will be $3.86 …I hope it's accurate. We won’t know until we get there.
That is not impossible [emails could start today]…but with the crazy conflicting stories floating around…I still think the timing will be a surprise. We need discernment and patience right now.