Tuesday, September 10, 2024

DINAR REVALUATION REPORT: THE REDUCTION IN INFLATION CONTRIBUTES TO STRENGTHENING THE VALUE OF THE IRAQI DINAR, 10 SEPT

Iraq's Economic Growth and Inflation Rates in 2024: The Role of Central Bank Decisions

In 2024, Iraq's economy continues to demonstrate resilience and growth, significantly influenced by the decisions of the Central Bank.

 A key figure in this context is Mazhar Mohammed Saleh, the financial advisor to the Prime Minister, who has explained that the Central Bank's decisions have played a pivotal role in reducing inflation rates in the country

 This reduction in inflation not only benefits the general public by stabilizing prices but also contributes to strengthening the value of the local currency, offering a more stable economic environment.

Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), economic growth in Iraq is projected to continue, supported by a fiscal expansion policy.  This expansion is critical in absorbing the rapidly growing labor force, boosting non-oil exports, and broadening the tax base. The authorities are advised to focus on enabling private sector development, including reforms in labor markets, modernization of the financial sector, and restructuring of state-owned banks, along with reforms in the pension and electricity sectors.

Inflation Rates and Central Bank's Role

Inflation rates in Iraq have been on the decline, dropping from 7.5% in January 2023 to more stable levels, as reported by the official spokesman for Iraq's Ministry of Planning, Abdul Zahra Al-Hindawi.   This decrease is credited to the effective decisions made by the Central Bank, which have contributed to stabilizing the economy. The Bank's strategies have not only reduced inflation but have also played a crucial role in strengthening the local currency, thereby enhancing the country's economic stability.

Outlook and Challenges

Despite the positive outlook, medium-term vulnerabilities associated with oil price volatility have increased significantly.  Reducing oil dependence and ensuring fiscal sustainability while protecting critical social and investment spending will require a significant fiscal adjustment. The focus should be on controlling the public wage bill and increasing non-oil tax revenues.

Conclusion

In summary, Iraq's economic growth and the stabilization of inflation rates in 2024 are attributed to the strategic decisions of the Central Bank. These decisions have not only reduced inflation but have also contributed to strengthening the local currency. However, challenges remain, particularly in diversifying the economy and ensuring fiscal sustainability.

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