DINAR REVALUATION REPORT: Al-Sudani's Statement on ISIS Threat to Iraq, 2 SEPT

 Al-Sudani's Statement on ISIS Threat to Iraq

In a recent statement, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani reassured NATO and the US ambassador that the remnants of ISIS no longer pose a significant threat to the Iraqi state as of September 2024. 1 This declaration comes amidst ongoing efforts to maintain stability in the post-ISIS era, where Iraq's leaders are attempting to balance their relationships with their two most powerful allies, the United States and Iran. 1

Iraq's Post-ISIS Era: Balancing Alliances

Since the U.S. invasion in 2003, Iraq has been a critical battleground for U.S.-Iran competition and, at times, indirect cooperation. 1 The country's strategic location and Iran's support for Iraqi paramilitary groups have positioned Tehran with significant leverage relative to other theatres. Iraq became a key flashpoint for U.S.-Iran tensions during the "maximum pressure" era, marked by direct and indirect confrontations involving attacks by Iran-backed paramilitary groups on U.S. and allied interests.  1

To ensure the fragile stability achieved post-ISIS, Iraqi leaders are navigating a delicate path between their two influential allies, the U.S. and Iran. 1 This involves balancing military and financial aid from the U.S. with the complex dynamics of Iran's influence in Iraq's security and intelligence sectors. 1

The War against ISIS: Global and Regional Dynamics

The war against ISIS has been a global effort, involving multiple regions and a diverse set of belligerents. 2 In Iraq, the conflict has seen involvement from the Iraqi Security Forces (ISOF), the United States, Iran, and Russia, among others. 2The situation in Iraq is part of a broader military landscape that includes the Syrian Civil War, the Second Libyan Civil War, and other regional conflicts. 2

As of September 2024, Al-Sudani's statement reflects a crucial phase in Iraq's post-ISIS recovery. The country has made significant strides in eliminating the physical presence of ISIS, but the ongoing challenge is to address the root causes that allowed the group to flourish. 1

Closing

Al-Sudani's assurance to NATO and the US ambassador highlights Iraq's progress in overcoming the ISIS threat. However, the complex geopolitical landscape and the need for continued vigilance against potential resurgence underscore the ongoing challenges faced by the Iraqi government and its allies in maintaining peace and stability in the region. 1