-The first axis: The continuation of the punishment of the previous banks, and there is no lifting of the sanctions on them, meaning that the ban on those banks trading in dollars will continue indefinitely.
The second axis: closing banks that continue to violate federal controls related to money laundering, dollar smuggling, and supporting sanctioned entities and countries.
The third axis: Preventing the Iraqi government from interfering in the dollar file, and for this file to be in the hands of the Central Bank of Iraq only.
He stressed that “the last axis explains that the Federal Bank has detected political influences from the Iraqi government,” noting that “the Iraqi Central Bank is today in a very embarrassing situation and is almost in trouble due to internal pressures on it to obtain a larger space for the dollar and its circulation.”
He stressed that “the Central Bank will only be able to delay and postpone federal procedures for the longest possible period of time, while achieving temporary protection for the Iraqi banking system and the Iraqi dinar.”
FRANK26:"YES... THE FLOAT WILL DEPEND ON THE IRAQI STOCK EXCHANGE."..........F26
The role of the Iraq
Stock Exchange in supporting monetary policy in Iraq
July 23, 2024
Lawyer and banking expert Saif Al-Halfi
The world is now moving with rapid steps racing with the wind in the role of stocks supporting monetary policies, especially since the old classical theories considered that stock markets are not among the tools of monetary policy. This concept reflected a traditional understanding where monetary policy focused on tools such as interest rates, monetary facilities, and banks’ cash reserves.
The development of theories and the difference in models of economic studies differ with the development of research, studies and the financial market from one country to another. It is difficult to make a theory applicable to all countries and different economies, from emerging economies to more complex economies. Because of this dialectic based on trying to understand and establish the nature of the relationship between financial markets and monetary policy, which has become more evident in many countries.
Stock markets have become part of the general economic strategy of governments and central banks, especially after the introduction of the idea of cryptocurrencies and digital banks, as they directly affect consumption, investment and economic confidence.
Iraqi market
In the case of the Iraqi model and long years of economic stagnation as a rentier economy that depends primarily on oil to finance its annual budgets and the state of price speculation on the stability of the dollar exchange rate in local markets or what is known as the parallel dollar situation, we can look at the Iraqi Stock Exchange as a tool supporting monetary policy and influencing the state of the rentier economy. This is done through:
1- Encouraging local and foreign investment. The stock market can be a quick and important means of attracting local capital, especially cash in circulation, and trying to return it to banking incubators and investing it in short-term investments through price maneuvers on the shares of emerging companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange or long-term investments by pumping these cash blocks into the shares of profit generating companies, which are companies that regularly achieve rewarding annual financial profits. Thus, it enhances the idea of withdrawing the accumulated cash liquidity and returning it to banking incubators in a way that reduces immediate and temporary speculation on the parallel dollar in the local market.
It also creates real opportunities for foreign capital moving between emerging markets to enter, which provides them with the opportunity for quick entry, profitable investment and safe exit.
2- Diversifying the economy from excessive dependence on oil. The stock market can be used to encourage local and international investments in sectors that create greater economic diversity than usual and a state of rapid sales and price maneuvers for shares of promising companies in Iraq.
3- Absorbing liquidity: The stock market can play an important role in absorbing excess liquidity in the economy, which helps control inflation. This depends on the ability of the Iraqi market to be quick in price transactions, buying and selling through the shares of the companies listed in it, and pressuring brokerage companies to apply and activate the latest smart systems and phone applications for daily sales and contracts executed in it, as well as encouraging the publication of financial data for Iraqi companies on international platforms that encourage understanding the culture of Iraqi company shares.
One of the most important economic theories that support that financial markets can be an effective tool in monetary policy is the Wealth Effec theory, which is summarized and almost consistent with understanding the dialectic of the Iraqi economy and the stock market economy. More consistent with the Iraqi model is the Wealth Effect Theory, written by Gregory Mankiw. Its summary is that the rise in the value of financial assets among individuals gives them an incentive to withdraw money and re-inject it into purchasing new assets and stocks in order to increase wealth and gives them a feeling of wealth, which prompts them to spend on consumption and develop the national economy.
In conclusion, all these theories and studies support the idea that financial markets can be an effective and successful tool in achieving economic stability and enhancing growth, especially in emerging markets such as Iraq. If the Iraqi stock market is exploited in the right way that attracts local and international investments, it can help diversify the Iraqi economy and create new opportunities that drive economic integration in Iraq, making the Iraqi Stock Exchange a valuable tool for monetary policies.
When they said the rate is going to be 1 to 1, they're not telling you the value is going to be a dollar...They will never tell you what the exchange rate is going to be. 1 to 1 means the purchase power before the rate changes is going to be the same after the rate changes.
Before the rate changes a 25,000 dinar note will have the same purchase power as a 25 note after the rate changes...
The exchange rate against the dollar is your multiplier. Let's say after the rate changes the new exchange rate is $3.00 for easy math...After the rate changes since all the currency has a value of $3...25,000 note times $3.00 would be worth $75,000 and after the rate changes a 25 note is worth $75. It's that simple.
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Jeff
President signed off on...the budget on June 27th. I want to show you a pattern here...Issue number 4781 published in the Gazette on July 1st 2024...then...
they skip issue number 4782 and advance to 4783...published on July 8th.
We believe the Gazette issue number that is missing 4782...is actually the budget itself. They just can't publish it in the Gazette because right now it's being deemed or perceived as an unconstitutional law.
Jeff
The budget is not posted in the Gazette. The budget hasn't been implemented because it's unconstitutional...
Delete the zeros has nothing to do with the exchange rate.
Deletion of the zeros simple means removing currency notes with multiple zeros on them.
There was a perception out there that the rate was going to change before the July 18th accession date to the World Trade...This was their 3rd accession World Trade meeting. There's a 4th meeting coming in Q1 of next year of '25...Many thought Iraq would become a full member as of July 18th. None of that happened.
Jeff
Some of you have said that parliament has nothing to do with this [the budget]...It actually does because they unconstitutionally approved the budget and the budget's approval has everything to do with it. That's the piece to the puzzle that is not understood.
Article "Parliamentary law challenges the 2024 budget tables" Parliament can only review and approve laws. It was parliament that did these amendments making their steps or actions of approving the budget unconstitutional. The courts possibly next week around Wednesday/Thursday declaring the budget itself as unconstitutional and overturning its approval...
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Jeff
Article: "The 2024 budget will be returned to the House of Representatives and the reason is revealed"
Iraq approved their budget on Monday June 3rd. I've known since June 4th Tuesday that the budget was unconstitutional...
I've stayed quiet since to let the news catch up. I knew this immediately was unconstitutional. I knew it was going to get overturned by the court, the whole time. Now you're witnessing it. The news is finally, a month and a half later, catching up...That's how far ahead we are...
Jeff
I told you guys the court would be overturning the budget because it is unconstitutional...I basically predicted the future for you. It's getting close to happening. They're most likely going to do this next week.
Article: "Legal:The Federal Court will vote on the unconstitutionality of the budget table" I told you the budget is unconstitutional. I told you nothing was going to happen to the budget. As you see I'm right. The budget is getting overturned. It is going to go back to an unapproved state.
The central bank announced their 3rd strategic plan... They'll be increasing gold reserves...they also said they're going to offer...FOR READ MORE:
The Iraqi embassy in the Egyptian capital, Cairo, discussed, today, Friday, with investors and businessmen of major Egyptian companies, opening up prospects for joint cooperation.
The Iraqi Ambassador to Cairo, Qahtaan Al-Janabi, told the Iraqi News Agency: "The meeting addressed many files, the most important of which is the fruitful cooperation between the two countries in all fields," noting that "the presence of major Egyptian companies specialized in energy, pharmaceutical industries, and transportation is important to transfer Egyptian experiences to the Iraqi market."
He added that "the investors' problems were listened to and how to work on solving their problems and working to overcome the obstacles that hinder their work and travel and providing all facilities with the aim of transferring their expertise to Iraq, especially since the number of companies is increasing day by day," indicating that Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, during his meeting with senior businessmen, praised their role in building the Iraqi infrastructure by implementing many projects such as bridges and others.
He pointed out that "Egyptian companies are very willing to open up prospects for joint cooperation and investment in Iraq, with the aim of achieving stability and economic growth and transferring Egyptian experiences and expertise to the Iraqi market and achieving sustainable development and providing job opportunities and diversifying sources of income in the country and advancing the economic and social future of Iraq."
In turn, the investors expressed "their happiness in increasing the volume of trade and economic exchange in Iraq, especially after the stability of the security situation, which has become attractive for the presence of Egyptian companies in Iraq, and transferring Egyptian experiences in development projects in many fields such as energy, housing, roads, agriculture and medicine, with the aim of transferring the Egyptian experience to the Iraqi market."
Former Minister of Transport Hani Dahi, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Nile Valley Company, explained to the Iraqi News Agency (INA) that "the security climate in Iraq is very encouraging for the presence of Egyptian companies in large numbers, especially since Iraq has become a safe and attractive environment for investment in all agricultural and industrial sectors. It is very important to transfer the Egyptian experience in all Iraqi governorates at the level of bridges, roads and electricity, especially since Egypt has great experiences in construction and reconstruction in light of a series of projects that it has implemented over the past ten years." link
Remember in 2003 when the old Swiss dinars were being exchanged for the new and current Iraqi dinar. The U.S. Army transported and distributed the currency throughout Iraq. The outgoing Swiss currency did not have three zeros.
The new Iraqi dinar had three extra zeros because it lost value. Because Iraq was post invasion and the nation had no industries or other methods to sustain its economies. That is why the dollar was brought into Iraq by the U.S. government as a means to keep the Iraqi economy alive.
Now, the situation has changed and through monetary policies the nation can justify restoring the value of the Iraqi dinar. Inflationary zeros were added to the notes back in 2003 by the U.S. government that paid for the printing of the Iraqi dinar. Now, the inflationary zeros will be removed because the government has met the requirements of the CBI.
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SkyWalker
Currency value and an exchange rate are two totally different things and are determined differently. Changing the exchange rate does not make value. Value is made by the monetary policies that CBI and Iraqi government have put in place...
Now, the inflationary zeros will be removed because the government has met the requirements of the CBI and made an economic environment that will support both the value of the dinar and keep the economy humming along. Value through policies must be restored first which will be represented with new notes being lower denominations...
Meaning the three zero notes will be physically removed from circulation and the lower notes without the extra zeros will be issued. Then and only then the exchange rate reflects an increase in the relative price of the Iraqi dinar compared to the price of another currency.
