DINAR REVALUATION

Monday, January 26, 2026

WALKINGSTICK: IRAQ WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENCY STABILITY PAIRING THE IQD TO A BASKET OF CURRENCIES

Iraq faces its toughest test yet: US threats to cut off oil revenues plunge the country into a complex crisis

Iraq faces its toughest test yet: US threats to cut off oil revenues plunge the country into a complex crisis.

Abbas al-Jubouri, head of the Al-Rafid Center for Political and Strategic Studies, warned on Sunday (January 25, 2026) of serious repercussions that the Iraqi state may face if political forces proceed with including armed factions in the next government formation, in light of clear American threats to cut off or restrict the revenues of Iraqi oil sales deposited in the United States.

Al-Jubouri told Baghdad Today that “activating this threat is not just a symbolic or political measure, but rather a very dangerous economic pressure tool, given that Iraq relies primarily on the American financial system to pass its oil revenues, which makes the national economy vulnerable to severe shocks that may affect salaries, service projects, cash reserves, as well as the stability of the dinar exchange rate.”

He explained that “the United States views the issue of involving armed factions in the government from an angle related to regional security and adherence to governance standards, and that any step that may be interpreted as legitimizing weapons outside the framework of the state may prompt Washington to take punitive financial measures, including freezing assets or imposing strict banking restrictions.”

He added that “Iraq today faces a very delicate sovereign test, which is to balance the requirements of internal political agreements with the international obligations imposed by the global financial system,” warning that ignoring this balance “may put the country in direct confrontation with the international community, and bring back scenarios of economic isolation and undeclared sanctions.”

Al-Jubouri stressed that “the solution does not lie in escalation or defiance, but rather in adopting a clear governmental approach based on restricting weapons to the state, strengthening the independence of political decision-making, and reassuring international partners that the next government will be run according to the logic of the state and institutions, not the logic of axes and external loyalties.”

He concluded by saying that “any tampering with oil revenues, which represent more than 90% of the state’s resources, will place the greatest burden on the Iraqi citizen,” calling on political forces to prioritize the national interest and realize that economic stability is organically linked to political and security stability.

The Associated Press published earlier on Saturday (January 24, 2026) a report by the India Times network, confirming that the United States had begun threatening Iraq with economic strangulation by preventing access to the dollar, following Washington’s control of Venezuelan oil and the start of its marketing in global markets.

The agency stated, according to what was translated by "Baghdad Today", that the American threats to impose direct economic sanctions on the Iraqi government and prevent the flow of dollars are unprecedented in Washington's dealings with its Iraqi partner, noting that the American position witnessed a remarkable shift after its control over Venezuelan oil.

The agency suggested that the new American hardening towards Iraq stems from Washington’s conviction that it can control the global oil market and prevent any price increases in the event of a halt in Iraqi exports, by compensating for them with Venezuelan oil, a scenario that could materialize if the United States proceeds to prevent the dollar from reaching Iraq.

The agency noted that the United States issued direct threats to the Iraqi government, vowing to impose comprehensive economic sanctions on the government itself, rather than targeting individuals or institutions, in addition to causing what it described as a “dollar famine” inside Iraq, in the event that armed factions participate in the next government formation.

The recent US threats to Iraq come in the context of a broader political-economic escalation led by Washington to rearrange the global energy market, after tightening its control over Venezuelan oil and beginning to market it as a possible alternative to oils coming from countries subject to complex political calculations.

Iraq relies heavily on the dollar-based international financial system to manage its oil revenues and finance its general budget, making any restrictions on dollar access a highly influential tool of pressure on the country’s economic and financial stability. link

WALKINGSTICK & MILITIAMAN: 🚨 Iraq on the Brink: Commercial Operations, Political Pressure & the Exchange Rate Question

🔍 The Big Question Everyone Is Asking

“When does the commercial operation start?”

According to Walkingstick, this is not a casual question — it’s one being asked by people with active contracts, standing by and ready.

“All my friends that have contracts are on pins and needles. They could literally be at the border because at any second they know their contract will be activated with the new exchange rate.”

This statement alone tells us something critical:
👉 Commercial mechanisms appear ready — they are simply waiting for a trigger.

📦 Commercial Contracts & the Exchange Rate Connection

Commercial operations at scale cannot function properly without an effective exchange rate that reflects reality.

Key implications:

Contracts already signed
Read also: THE STRUCTURED PAYOUT SYSTEM: The Amount Paid For Each Zim Dollar
Logistics positioned at borders
Companies waiting on activation clauses
Exchange rate is the final gate

This strongly suggests Iraq is not preparing — it is positioned.

🌎 Featured Snippet: Key Takeaway

Is Iraq ready to activate commercial operations?
According to sources close to active contracts, Iraq appears fully positioned for commercial activation, with companies waiting for a new exchange rate to trigger contract execution at any moment.

🏛️ Political Pressure: “The Carrot or the Stick”

Walkingstick highlighted growing geopolitical pressure, particularly involving the United States.

“Trump is going to offer Iraq and Iran some options. You can either take the carrot or I will give you the stick.”

What Does This Mean?

Clear pressure to remove Iranian influence from Iraq
Diplomatic incentives vs. economic consequences
Iraq is being pushed to choose sovereignty and stability

This type of pressure historically accelerates decision-making — not delays it.

🇮🇶 Internal Politics: Not Over Yet

Militia Man added critical context regarding Iraq’s political situation.

Current Developments:

Al-Sudani remains a key front-runner with strong support
Al-Maliki was nominated but did not secure the Prime Minister position
Situation remains fluid and not officially finalized

“Let’s see if the street fires up or if there’s something else we haven’t seen and we see a surprise.”

This suggests:

Public reaction still matters
Political outcomes may change quickly
Behind-the-scenes negotiations are ongoing

💰 Money Flow: The Silent Confirmation

Perhaps the most overlooked — yet powerful — signal:

“We see the money flow into Iraq nonstop.”

Think about this logically:

Massive capital inflows
Years of infrastructure investment
International contracts in place

The Key Question:

Would they risk all of that without a plan?

Militia Man’s answer is clear.

💱 Can the Exchange Rate Activate Before a New PM?

This is the million-dollar question.

“Could Alaq trigger the real effective exchange rate prior to another prime minister?”

Militia Man’s Answer:

“Yes. 100% in my opinion. 100%.”

This suggests:

Exchange rate authority does not require a finalized PM
Central Bank mechanisms are independent
Economic activation can precede political completion

Historically, this has happened before — economics often leads, politics follows.

❓ Q&A – What Everyone Wants to Know

Q: Are commercial contracts really ready?

Yes. According to Walkingstick, many are already signed and waiting on rate activation.

Q: Does political uncertainty stop the exchange rate?

Not necessarily. The Central Bank can act independently.

Q: Why is money still flowing into Iraq?

Because confidence exists that activation is coming.

Q: Is Iran’s influence a factor?

Yes. External pressure is pushing Iraq toward decisive action.

Q: Could this happen suddenly?

Absolutely. When positioned, activation often appears sudden to the public.

🧭 Final Analysis: Positioned, Pressured, and Ready

Iraq is showing all the classic signs of late-stage readiness:

✔ Commercial contracts waiting
✔ Capital already committed
✔ External pressure applied
✔ Political outcomes narrowing
✔ Exchange rate authority intact

This is not the beginning of the process.
This looks like the endgame phase.

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🔥 Hashtags

#IraqUpdate #CommercialActivation #DinarRV
#ExchangeRate #IraqPolitics #GlobalReset
#EconomicActivation #MiddleEastFinance
#EndGameSignals #CurrencyReform

Walkingstick

Question: "When does the commercial operation start?"

All my friends that have contracts are on pins and needles. They could literally be at the border because at any second they know their contract will be activated with the new exchange rate.

Trump is going to offer Iraq and Iran some options. You can either take the carrot or I will give you the stick. Your choice. Donald Trump wants the Iranians out of Iraq.

Militia Man

Al-Sudani was the front runner. He has the most seats but they nominated Al-Maliki. Let's see what happens. Let's see if the street fires up or if there's something else we haven't seen and we see a surprise...It's not over just yet. Maliki didn't make it to the Prime Membership. It's not official but he is the nominee.

We see the money flow into Iraq nonstop. We watched the progress...the contacts...All that money, all that effort, are they going to risk it...? Could Alaq trigger the real effective exchange rate prior to another prime minister? [Yes] 100% IMO. 100%.

MNT GOAT: “Digital Dinar on the Brink: Final Tests Point to Zero Removal...

Savaya met with the framework leaders and delivered Trump's message to them.

Savaya met with the framework leaders and delivered Trump's message to them.

On Monday, Amer Al-Fayez, a leader in the Coordination Framework and head of the Tasmeem bloc, revealed that Trump’s envoy, Mark Savaya, met with the framework’s leaders individually, noting that he delivered clear messages to them rejecting the Trump administration’s refusal to grant any high-ranking position in the government and parliament to figures affiliated with one of the Iraqi factions.

The winner said, in a statement followed by Al-Masalla, that “the envoy of the American president, Mark Savaya, conveyed a message written in English as a representative of Trump, which included the American government’s disapproval of the presence of armed factions or the like, and therefore its rejection of one of them assuming the position of deputy speaker of the House of Representatives.”

He added that Savaya “conveyed this message to some of the framework leaders individually, meeting with each one separately and explaining its contents to them over the past two days before he left.”

The winner explained that the coordination framework confirmed that “this matter is not within their (the Americans’) rights, as we are a fully sovereign and independent state, and this is an internal matter,” noting that “the message included an objection to the deputy speaker of parliament being from the factions.”

The head of the parliamentary design bloc warned that “the coordination framework will form a delegation or send a counter-message to inquire about the reason for the objection, given that the position of Deputy Speaker of Parliament is a civilian position.”

The winner suggested that “the Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq movement may not participate in the next government due to regional developments, and not out of a desire to move towards the opposition,” denying that Iraq had received “any official threat from Washington regarding cutting off the dollar.” link

CLARE: 🌍 Iraq Reclassified as a Secure Nation: UN Upgrade vs. US Financial Pressure

🔎 Big Picture: Progress Meets Pressure

Iraq is once again at the center of global attention — but this time, the signals are mixed.

On one hand, the United Nations officially upgraded Iraq’s security classification, recognizing major improvements in stability. On the other hand, the United States is warning of potential financial sanctions that could severely impact Iraq’s economy if certain political conditions are met.

This contrast tells us one thing clearly: Iraq is approaching a critical decision point.

🛡️ United Nations: Iraq Now Classified as a Secure Country

According to an official UN announcement, Iraq has achieved a major milestone in security and stability.

🔹 Key UN Statement:

“The United Nations has recorded remarkable progress in the security situation in Iraq, as it moved from classification (E) to classification (B), to be among the countries that are secure.”

This upgrade is not symbolic.

Why This Matters:

Classification (B) places Iraq among secure and stable nations
It is one of the most important indicators used by the UN to measure national security and stability
It directly impacts:
- Foreign investment
- International banking confidence
- Sovereign risk assessments
- Long-term economic planning

👉 In simple terms: Iraq now meets global security standards required for economic normalization.

📊 Featured Snippet: Key Takeaway

Has Iraq become a secure country?
Yes. According to the United Nations, Iraq has officially moved from a high-risk security classification to a stable and secure category, marking one of the strongest international validations of Iraq’s progress in decades.

💰 The Other Side: US Threatens Financial Sanctions

While the UN highlights progress, Reuters reports rising tension with the United States.

🔹 Reuters Quote:

“If armed factions participate in the next Iraqi government, the United States will take action and impose financial sanctions against Iraq.”

What Kind of Sanctions?

One of the most serious possibilities mentioned:

Preventing the repatriation of US dollars that Iraq receives from oil sales.

This would be devastating because:

Oil revenue is Iraq’s primary source of income
Those dollars fund:
- Government operations
- Public sector salaries
- Social programs
Blocking dollar access would immediately strain liquidity

⚖️ Stability vs. Sovereignty: The Real Message

The message from the global system is becoming clearer:

✔ Security progress is acknowledged
⚠️ Financial discipline and governance are non-negotiable

The UN says Iraq is secure enough to move forward.
The US says Iraq must choose who governs and how.

This pressure is not accidental — it is leverage.

🇮🇶 Why This Moment Is Critical for Iraq

Iraq now faces a narrowing window:

Security box ✅ checked
Infrastructure built over years
Global scrutiny intensifying
Currency pressure increasing
Oil revenue dependency exposed

These factors often precede major monetary or financial decisions.

Many observers believe this is exactly the environment required for Iraq to:

Normalize its financial system
Strengthen banking transparency
Make long-delayed currency decisions

❓ Q&A – What People Are Asking

Q: Does the UN security upgrade help Iraq economically?

Yes. It improves investor confidence, reduces risk ratings, and supports reintegration into global markets.

Q: Are US sanctions guaranteed?

No. They are conditional and depend on the composition of Iraq’s next government.

Q: Why is dollar repatriation so important?

Because Iraq’s oil sales are conducted in dollars, and blocking access would cripple government spending.

Q: Is this pressure intentional?

Most analysts believe it is a strategic push to force reforms and political alignment.

Q: Does this impact the Iraqi dinar?

Indirectly, yes. Stability and dollar access are critical factors in any currency strategy.

🧭 Final Analysis: Pressure Creates Movement

This is not a contradiction — it’s a convergence.

The UN confirms Iraq is stable
The US demands responsible governance
The global system applies maximum pressure at the moment of readiness

Historically, this is how countries are forced to act.

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🔥 Hashtags

#IraqNews #UNSecurity #IraqStability #DinarUpdate
#GlobalFinance #MiddleEastPolitics #EconomicPressure
#FinancialSanctions #IraqEconomy #GeopoliticalShift

Clare

Article: "The United Nations announces that Iraq has moved to the category of countries with stable security"

Quote: "The UN official also noted that the United Nations has recorded remarkable progress in the security situation in Iraq, as it moved from classification (E) to classification (B), to be among the countries that are secure, indicating that this classification is one of the most important indicators adopted at the level of the United Nations in measuring the quality of security and stability."

Article: "America threatens to impose new financial sanctions on Iraq"

Quote: "Reuters news agency, citing four senior Iraqi officials who asked not to be named, reported that if armed factions participate in the next Iraqi government, the United States will take action and impose financial sanctions against Iraq...One of the types of sanctions referred to is preventing the repatriation of dollars that Iraq receives from oil sales, which constitute the main source of government spending and employee salaries."