IRAQ'S OIL LAW CRISIS

DINAR REVALUATION REPORT: International Coalition Withdrawal in Iraq: Government-Political Agreement 2024, 13 SEPT

 International Coalition Withdrawal in Iraq: Government-Political Agreement 2024

In a significant development, the United States and Iraq have agreed to initiate talks aimed at setting a timetable for the phased withdrawal of troops and the conclusion of the US-led military coalition's presence in Iraq. 1 

The US has maintained a military presence in Iraq since the 2003 invasion, with troops returning in 2014 to assist the Iraqi government in defeating the Islamic State (ISIL). The presence of US forces has been a contentious issue, particularly among Iran-aligned militias and politicians in Iraq.

The Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs has announced plans to formulate a specific and clear timetable for the gradual reduction and eventual end of the international coalition's presence in Iraq. 1 The statement emphasized Iraq's commitment to ensuring the safety of coalition advisors during the negotiation period and maintaining stability to prevent any escalation of tensions.

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin confirmed that these discussions would be part of a higher military commission, agreed upon in August 2023, focusing on the transition to an enduring bilateral security partnership between Iraq and the United States.  1

Regional Tensions Impacting Withdrawal

Recent developments have led to the postponement of announcing a definitive end-date for the US-led coalition's presence in Iraq. 3 Heightened tensions in the region, particularly with Iran, have raised questions about the future of the US military presence in Iraq. The potential for Iranian retaliation against Israel, in response to the killing of Hamas' political leader, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran, has added to the uncertainty.

Iran-backed militias in Iraq are exerting pressure on the Shia-led government to terminate the US troop presence. Attacks on US sites in Iraq have increased since October 7, 2023, with the US responding with retaliatory airstrikes against these groups. 3

Bilateral Relations and Strategic Reevaluation

The US-Iraq relationship has been under reevaluation since the capture of the Syrian town of Baghouz in March 2019, marking the end of the Islamic State's physical control. 4 The US military's return to Iraq in 2014 played a crucial role in helping the country rebuild its national forces, which were weakened by the IS offensive. However, the increasing influence of pro-Iranian factions within the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) has complicated the situation, leading to demands for a complete US withdrawal.  4

Iraq's government, led by Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al-Sudani, is attempting to balance relations with both Washington and Tehran. The ongoing war in Gaza has added another layer of complexity to the dynamics, affecting the strategic relationship between the US and Iraq. 4

Partial Withdrawal and New Security Agreements

The US and Iraq are nearing a pivotal agreement that would result in the gradual withdrawal of American-led coalition forces from Iraq. 5 Sources close to the Iraqi government have indicated that both parties are in the final stages of concluding the deal, with the understanding that the coalition's mission is drawing to a close. The agreement allows for some international and American forces to remain in the country under new security agreements, focusing on training Iraqi security structures. 5

Security and Political Developments

Iraq's Defense Minister, Thabit al-Abbasi, held discussions with US officials in Washington regarding future steps to end the Global Coalition's mission against ISIS. 6 Talks have centered on commencing the coalition's drawdown from Iraq in September 2024 and concluding the process by September 2025, with negotiations ongoing regarding the retention of some US military personnel in an advisory capacity. 6

Amid these developments, Iraq is also striving for regional cooperation in counter-narcotics efforts, hosting an international conference with the participation of neighboring countries to combat the growing issue of drug trafficking. 6

International Coalition.. Withdrawal by Government-Political Agreement, 13 SEPT

 Professor of Foreign Affairs at Al Nahrain University, Mohammed Al Shammari, commented on the decision to withdraw the international coalition forces from Iraq, describing it as a “governmental-political agreement.”

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Al-Shammari said, during his hosting in the {Free Talk} program broadcast on Al-Furat satellite channel this evening, that: “The decision to withdraw the coalition forces is Iraqi and did not come only from the Prime Minister, but rather by agreement of the political forces in the State Administration Alliance that brings together all spectrums, and as a result, it expresses the position of the state as a whole.” 

He added, “The Iraqi political decision necessitates the withdrawal of foreign forces and the move towards diplomatic relations, and distancing Iraq from regional challenges has become difficult in light of the presence of these forces.”
Al-Shammari added, “Moving from the formula of collective cooperation to a secondary one is logical, as a result, we want relations at all levels with the United States and other countries.”

He explained, “The presence of the international coalition is linked to a government request, and its exit is also subject to the contexts of the law and international agreements; however, the Iraqi forces do not need the support of the coalition forces, but rather need logistical and intelligence support.”

Al-Shammari continued, “The United States does not reject the withdrawal of its forces from Iraq, but is working to find a good formula to preserve its interests in the country, and the Iraqi side must work rationally without granting any concessions.”
Regarding the Iranian response, Al-Shammari said, “All indications confirm that Iran will not back down from its response to the Zionist entity; but it seeks to create a political balance that ensures that it is not dragged into ill-considered reactions.”
Defense Minister Thabet Al-Abbasi revealed details of the agreement to withdraw the international coalition from Iraq. He said in a press statement that the Iraqi-American committees agreed to withdraw while maintaining a security partnership. He explained that an Iraqi-American agreement to end the mission of the international coalition will be in two stages.
– The first stage of the American withdrawal will begin this year and continue until 2025, and the other stage of the American withdrawal will end in 2026 completely.
Al-Abbasi pointed to the proposal of the US Secretary of Defense {Lloyd Austin} that two years for the withdrawal is not a sufficient period. He announced the rejection of the US Secretary of Defense’s proposal to add another year to the withdrawal period.
Reuters reported that the United States and Iraq agreed on a plan to withdraw the international coalition forces from the country. It indicated that the understanding between America and Iraq will witness the departure of hundreds of soldiers by September 2025, and the departure of all forces in 2026.

Wafaa Al-Fatlawi

https://alforatnews.iq/news/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AF%D9%88%D9%84%D9%8A-%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%B3%D8%AD%D8%A7%D8%A8-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%81%D8%A7%D9%82-%D8%AD%D9%83%D9%88%D9%85%D9%8A-%D8%B3%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%B3%D9%8A

MILITIAMAN CC NOTES HIGHLIGHTS, 12 SEPT

 Summary

Iraq’s Ministerial Council of Economy is advancing economic unity between the federal government and Kurdistan, focusing on financial reforms and salary equivalency.

Highlights

• 🤝 Collaborative Meetings: Recent meetings between the federal government and Kurdistan aim for economic unity.
• 💰 Salary Equivalency: Discussions include ensuring salary parity for regional employees.
• 🔍 Budget Reforms: Emphasis on addressing financial issues like oil, energy, and border revenues.
• 📈  Private Sector Growth: Plans to enhance the private sector’s role in the economy.
• 🌍 Global Attention: Iraq’s economic strategies are gaining international interest.
• 📊 Unified Treasury Accounts: Establishing a unified treasury for better financial management.
• ⚖️ Constitutional Rights: Ensuring all citizens benefit from new economic policies aligned with constitutional rights.

Key Insights

• 🌐 Economic Integration: The meetings signify a critical step towards integrating Kurdistan’s economy with the federal framework, promoting a cohesive financial strategy.
• 💼 Private Sector Engagement: By focusing on private sector involvement, Iraq aims to diversify its economy and reduce dependency on oil revenues, fostering sustainable growth.
• 🔗 Unified Financial Framework: The establishment of a unified treasury account reflects a commitment to transparent financial management and accountability, which is vital for investor confidence.
• 📈 Revenue Streams: The focus on oil, energy, and border revenues indicates a strategic approach to harnessing Iraq’s natural resources for economic stability.
• 🤔 Constitutional Compliance: The emphasis on constitutional rights in financial discussions demonstrates a commitment to equitable governance and fair resource distribution.
• 🏛️ Political Dynamics: The support for Prime Minister Al Sudani highlights the political backing necessary to implement these reforms, ensuring stability during transitions.
• 🚀 Future Prospects: The positive atmosphere in these meetings suggests potential for significant economic progress in Iraq, attracting global attention and investment opportunities.

IRAQ & KURDISTAN : ECONOMIC UNITY IN ACTION !! #DINAREVALUATION #iraqidinar

When Will The Government Resort To Amending The Budget Law? An Economic Expert Explains, 12 SEPT

 Economic: Al Furat News} The economic expert, Abdul Rahman Al Mashhadani, clarified the date of the government’s resort to amending the financial budget.

Al-Mashhadani told {Euphrates News} that: "Despite the decline in oil prices, Iraq does not face a problem in the 2024 budget, as 8 months of the fiscal year have passed, and the situation is normal with oil prices rising above $70 per barrel."

He added, "Also, the report issued by the Ministry of Finance for the first 6 months had total spending of 58 trillion dinars, while it was supposed to be 105 trillion dinars for the first half of the year."

Al-Mashhadani added, "The largest part of the spending was for operational expenses, which amounted to 53 trillion dinars, and 5 trillion for investment expenses, and the remaining 4 months of the year can pass easily and without problems, and salaries and wages are secured considering that oil revenues cover the need."

"In addition to the government's continued existence of financing means that it has not yet used, such as deficit financing means, which were planned to be 64 trillion dinars deficit, with the Central Bank contributing 22 trillion dinars of it, government banks covering 3 trillion and treasury bonds,

 in addition to the existence of 14 trillion dinars in revolving surpluses, in addition to the existence of a legal authorization for the government to borrow domestically to secure its general budget, and this reassurance is present in 2024," Al-

Mashhadani pointed out. "If prices continue to decline and fall to higher levels of up to $55 per barrel or $60 in 2025, this will push the government to submit different data that will seek to reduce investment expenditures as happened in previous crises and stop the investment aspect, which is now considered to reach 45 trillion dinars."

He continued, "In addition to reducing non-essential operating expenses such as commodity and service requirements, which are spent at 17 trillion dinars annually and were not spent in the first half of the year, the government will also focus on securing governing expenses such as salaries, wages, pensioners' salaries, and the social protection network, which amounts to 90 trillion."

Al-Mashhadani continued, "In addition, purchasing food basket items, gas, and medicines for 10 trillion dinars, in addition to the interest and installments of the public debt, which consists of two parts, the simple part of which is the external debt, which has decreased to 9 trillion, and thus the interest and installments that will be due from government agencies such as the Central Bank and government banks, and its payment can be postponed."

He explained that "the governing expenses of wages and oil production costs and all these expenses will be around 145 trillion dinars, and this is what will determine government spending," noting that "if the problem becomes more complicated, the government can resort to other methods such as imposing taxes on salaries {the nominal salary} only and not on the total because the allocations constitute two-thirds of the general salary."   LINK

INFORMATION FROM INTEL SOURCE ADDS CREDIBILITY TO THE PREDICTIONS AND REASSURANCES ABOUT THE IRAQI DINAR'S FUTURE BY MELANIE HINDS, 12 SEPT

Summary

Melanie Hin shares insights on the Iraqi Dinar, offering exchange strategies while celebrating her birthday and encouraging community growth.

Highlights

• 🎉 Happy Birthday: Melanie celebrates her birthday while delivering crucial information.
• 💡 Unique Intel: Insights from a military source in Iraq about the Dinar situation.
• 📊 Big Picture: Emphasizes the importance of understanding multiple perspectives on the Dinar.
• 🔄 Currency Changes: Discusses the transition in Iraq’s currency systems and potential rate changes.
• 📈 Economic Developments: Highlights Iraq’s international partnerships and investment growth.
• 🌍 Global Impact: Mentions Iraq’s alignment with BRICS and its implications for the dollar.
• 🙏 Faith and Strategy: Encourages a faith-based approach to financial strategies and manifesting wealth.

Key Insights

• 📅 Birthday Blessings: Melanie’s birthday serves as a reminder of hope and community support, emphasizing the importance of celebrating milestones.
• 🔍 Intel Source Credibility: Information from military personnel adds credibility to the predictions and reassurances about the Iraqi Dinar’s future.
• 🌐 Comprehensive View: Understanding various viewpoints enables better decision-making regarding investments and currency exchanges.
• ⚖️ Transitioning Systems: Iraq’s shift in currency management indicates significant economic reforms, potentially leading to a new exchange rate.
• 💼 International Investment: The influx of foreign investment, particularly from Russia, signals a positive outlook for Iraq’s economy and currency value.
• 🔗 BRICS Connection: Iraq’s involvement with BRICS nations could reshape its financial landscape and reduce reliance on the US dollar.
• 🙌 Manifestation and Faith: Melanie encourages viewers to adopt a mindset of abundance and faith, which can influence their financial outcomes.