Militia Man
I don't think anybody's going to be able to prove me wrong, you drop the three zeros, the exchange rate changes from 1 USD to 1.32 just like al-Sudani says. Do the math it comes out to .76, apply the real effective exchange rate and that's where the show starts big time... .76 is $0.76 - it's slightly less than the dollar. That's value. It's not .0007 something. It's value. That's what they're talking about - Bringing value to the currency. That's what Al-Alaq is there for.
Article quote: "If we assume the Central Bank issues a new currency this will not affect the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar." This guy is not wrong...It won't in my view. The exchange rate will affect the new small denominations though...If they change the value of the exchange rate by dropping the three zeros, therefor the new denominations will be affected by it, which will be value. It's pretty simple.
If you raise the value of the currency it's going to have a ripple effect...Instead of being a pebble...or a brick in the pond this might be a boulder. There's going to be some waves. The World Bank, IMF, US Fed, US Treasury...Bank of International Settlements, everybody's going to need to know what you're going to do and when you're going to do it and pretty close.
They're not going to be broadcasting it like everybody thinks, 'What's the date and what's the rate?' That's not how it works. But we study it close enough to where...we can see it can't be far off...
If they're going to have liquidity and they don't have it now it's going to require new small category denominations to be in circulation. Just as al-Alaq's project to delete the zeros would require new denominations. Did they do that in 2018 and have them in storage? I believe they did...
They increased that gold supply by about 40 tons...Their currency reserves are around $110 billion. They have a massive amount of wealth. They have the ability to support their imports for about 16 months they say, which is about 5x what they need. That's important. They don't want to reduce those. They'd like to keep them on hand...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do and it'll only get better if he does.
If they change the value of their currency they're going to have more surpluses...The oil price is about $70 in the 2023 budget. That hasn't changed for '24 or '25 because that's a tripartite budget. They got a surplus. Oil is somewhere around $80. It's been as high as $91ish. The expectations of oil is to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $80/$90 and they even talk about $100/barrel...Iraq is going to be sitting pretty good...They have phosphates...sulfur...natural gas...Those non-oil revenue streams...taxes and tariffs are going to come online...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do.
Iraq is moving forward. They've got huge reserves...increased their gold, they're going to have the private sector, their stock exchange is going to be one to reckon with. It's an emerging market and a lot of money is going to be start flowing...
If they go on the Forex system it's going to be international. It's going to be fast and furious.
Could they do something within the county prior to that?
Sure, why not, educate the citizens, do what they got to do...
