The $21 Trillion RV Question: Iraq’s Economic IQD Dilemma and the Gold Solution, 20 MARCH

 The $21 Trillion RV Question: Iraq’s Economic IQD Dilemma and the Gold Solution

On March 18, 2024  By Awake-In-3D

From Economic Impossibility to Golden Opportunity: The Path Forward for the RV of the Iraqi Dinar

I tremendously enjoy engaging with my subscribers at GCR Real-Time News.

The questions raised and the discussions held around currency revaluations, particularly concerning Iraq’s dinar (IQD), provide for compelling conversation on the limitations of fiat currencies and the potential for a shift towards a gold-backed monetary system.

As countries assess and plan realistic strategies to combat today’s growing fiat economic and monetary uncertainties, the conversation about the nature of currency value, the impact of oil revenues, and the feasibility of significant currency revaluations serve as both informative and relevant.

Here’s the summary breakdown of a recent conversation thread on GCR Real-Time News.

The Iraqi Dinar RV Conundrum

At the heart of the debate is Iraq’s consideration of revaluing its currency, the IQD, potentially to $3.00 (or higher) against the U.S. dollar, a move that poses significant mathematical and economic challenges.

With an estimated 7 trillion (or more) IQD notes held outside of Iraq, a revaluation (RV) at such a rate would require an unfathomable $21 trillion ($3.00 x 7 Trillion IQD) fiat Dollars to fund the RV.

A sum far beyond Iraq’s current financial capacity, generated primarily through its oil trade revenues of around $100 billion per year at current oil prices. It would take Iraq centuries to pay for a $3.00 RV exchange rate at Iraq’s current and future production capacities. No Oil Contracts or economic development project investments scenario gets Iraq to $21 Trillion in the near or long term.

Iraq produces around 4.2 million barrels of oil per day combined with constant geopolitical instabilities. The USA produces over 13 million barrels per day.

This stark reality highlights the inherent limitations of fiat currencies, which are not backed by physical commodities like gold but only by public confidence and a government’s declared ‘promises’.

The Gold-Backed Purchasing Power Solution

The potential solution lies in transitioning to a gold-backed currency system, a concept currently being explored by the BRICS nations as they seek to introduce an alternative to the fiat currency system dominated by Western economies.

A gold-backed currency promises enhanced stability and purchasing power, directly challenging the existing fiat system’s dominance.

If Iraq, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, etc., are accepted into BRICS, their currencies would participate in the new BRICS gold-backed common trade currency and financial system.

In other words, the IQD, VND, etc. would significantly gain purchasing power (exchange rate) against the Dollar, Euro, and other major fiat currencies.

So why can’t Iraq just peg the IQD to a high dollar exchange rate like Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain do?

Because unlike the other high-rate currencies in the region, Iraq has the unique problem of having over 7 trillion (or more) in IQD being held outside of Iraq by foreigners like you and me.

Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain do not have a fraction of their currencies being held by foreigners as does Iraq. This is why these other countries can maintain their high fiat exchange rate peg to the US Dollar. Iraq simply cannot repeg the fiat IQD value (purchasing power) with that many IQD held around the world. The Ripple Effect of a Gold-Backed System

Should a gold-backed currency system come to fruition, the implications become financially significant, forcing Western economies to reconsider their fiat monetary policies and potentially launch their own gold-backed currencies in order to stop their old currencies from massive devaluation.

This shift could dramatically increase the purchasing power of currencies from Iraq and other countries like Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Zimbabwe, making a revaluation of the IQD both mathematically and economically viable.

The key would be the relative devaluation of fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar against new gold-backed currencies, fundamentally and forever altering the global economic landscape.

In other words, the increase in the IQD’s purchasing power (exchange rate) would originate from the depreciation of the US Dollar vs. the gold-backed IQD – not from the IQD suddenly gaining purchasing power out of thin air (because it can’t).

There are not enough oil contracts or native economic development value-generation within Iraq’s realistic capability that could support (pay for) a fiat IQD revaluation to $3.00+ against the current fiat dollar.

Basically, $21 Trillion dollars rivals the total GDP of the entire United States. Let that sink in…

The Re-denomination vs. Revaluation Debate

Iraq’s ongoing strategy to re-denominate the IQD, removing three zeros from its notes, illustrates the difference between re-denomination and revaluation.

While re-denomination is a superficial change affecting the currency’s appearance and public perception (confidence), revaluation alters the currency’s actual purchasing power.

The Iraqi Ministry of Finance (MoF) and the Central Bank of Iraq’s consideration of this strategy underscores the complexities of currency management and the pursuit of public confidence in the IQD.

The Global Context and the Future of Fiat Currencies

The discussion extends beyond Iraq, touching on the broader dynamics of the global financial system, the role of free-floating currencies, and the managed pegs that stabilize many oil-dependent economies.

The possibility of transitioning to a gold-backed system raises questions about the sustainability of fiat currencies and their future in a world looking for more stable and reliable monetary foundations.

As all of us in the RV/GCR community seek to freely and openly discuss these issues, the situation in Iraq serves as a critical point of analysis for the future of the global financial system as a whole.

Sidebar of topics discussed at GCR Real-Time News Telegram Channel:

Estimated IQD Notes Held Abroad: 7 trillion IQD, as reported by Iraq’s Ministry of Finance.

Hypothetical RV Rate: If Iraq revalues (RVs) the IQD to $3.00 against the U.S. dollar.

Total Dollar Requirement for Hypothetical RV: $21 trillion (7 trillion IQD x $3.00).

Iraq’s Annual Oil Revenue: Approximately $100 billion at current oil prices.

Time Required to Cover RV Cost with Oil Revenue: Over 210 years, assuming 100% of Iraq’s annual oil revenue is dedicated to funding (paying for) the RV.

Current Exchange Rate Perception Issue: If Iraq re-denominates by deleting 3 zeros from the currency, 1 IQD equals 1.310 per dollar, compared to the less favorable current rate of 1310 IQD per dollar. But the purchasing power of the IQD remains unchanged.

Major Free-Floating Currencies: Dollar, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Russian Ruble, Indian Rupee, among others. These countries have highly diverse economies (their GDPs are not dependent on a single industry or service).

Countries with Pegged Currencies: China, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Singapore, Hong Kong, Iraq, and many others emphasizing the prevalence of stable, managed currency pegs and floats among oil-dependent, or less diverse economies.

Economic Dependency on Oil: The majority of GDP for many pegged/managed currency countries comes from oil revenues, highlighting the risk and volatility in oil markets if these countries utilized a free-floating currency exchange rate system.

The shift towards a gold-backed currency system could herald a new era in finance, challenging the status quo and offering a path toward greater economic stability and equity among nations.

The journey from fiat to gold-backed currencies is most certainly fraught with challenges and uncertainties, yet the potential rewards could redefine the essence of monetary value in the near future.

© GCR Real-Time News

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Iraqi Dinar🔥USD Price Slipped Against IQD In Baghdad And Erbil Today 202...

Parliamentary Committee: The region continues to export oil via Turkish Ceyhan, 20 MARCH

 Parliamentary Committee: The region continues to export oil via Turkish Ceyhan, 20 MARCH

Today, Tuesday, the Parliamentary Oil and Gas Board uncovered that the Kurdistan Locale keeps on trading oil through the Turkish port of Ceyhan, regardless of winning the choice to prevent sends out from the Worldwide Court of Paris, while affirming that no understanding has been reached to endorse the oil and gas regulation yet.

Council part Intisar Al-Jazairy said in a meeting with the , “There are numerous issues that block the section of the oil and gas regulation in spite of the numerous gatherings that were held during the past time frame,” taking note of that “the oil and gas regulation has not arrived at the Place of Delegates yet.” “.

She proceeded, “The joint councils of the Service of Oil and the Parliamentary Advisory group won’t pass on the oil record without tracking down definite answers for it and supporting the oil and gas regulation in the Place of Agents.”

An individual from the Oil and Gas Panel closed her discourse by saying: ” There are numerous extraordinary records with the Kurdistan Provincial Government, in addition to the oil send out document,” calling attention to that “the Kurdistan District keeps on trading oil through the Turkish port of Ceyhan, notwithstanding acquiring the choice to prevent the commodity from the Paris court.” International”.

The Kurdistan Provincial Government held onto oil send out incomes in concurrence with worldwide extraction and commodity organizations, as well as covered up concurrences with Ankara to carry oil and offer it to obscure gatherings at costs lower than global oil costs.

"RV UPDATE" BY TEXAS SNAKE, 20 MARCH

  TEXAS SNAKE

Mon. 18 March Texas Snake

 Most recent banker update occurred shortly after 10 am this morning Mon. 18 March.

  Word from those higher ups was that we were in a 24 to 36 hour (10 am EST to 10 pm EST Tues. 19 March) window for announcement with Thurs. 21 March still being an important day for the banks.

 Tier4b was in a 24 to 36 hour (10 am EST to 10 pm EST Tues. 19 March) window for announcement of how to set redemption appointments, with Thurs. 21 March  being an important day (to begin appointments?).

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/03/rv-update-texas-snake-19-march.html

"RV UPDATE" BY TEXAS SNAKE, (ENGLISH & SPANISH), 18 MARCH

Friday March 15, 2024

Texas Snake: It says

Tonight I will be making some comments about myself and my participation in Seeds of Wisdom. I have been involved with Salty since the beginning of his creation of this educational forum to provide assistance in determining the facts surrounding this valuation and provide some direction on how one should prepare to optimize monetary gains once this VR occurs.

It has never been my intention to financially benefit or cut anyone off their resources. I say all this because some people are on the edge waiting for this exchange and the purpose of this note is to wait, as we are about to see the climax of this company.

There is no date or time, but the preparations that are being carried out point certainly in our direction. Stay safe and GOD Bless you all for at least reading this and putting up with me. 

-----

TRANSLATION SPANISH

Friday March 15, 2024

Texas Snake : It says

Tonight I will be making some comments about myself and my participation in Seeds of Wisdom. I have been involved with Salty since the beginning of his creation of this educational forum to provide assistance in determining the facts surrounding this valuation and provide some direction on how one should prepare to optimize monetary gains once this VR occurs.

It has never..FOR READ MORE: https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/03/rv-update-by-texas-snake-18-march.html

🔥 Iraqi Dinar 🔥 24 Hours For Announcement 🔥 Guru Updates News Currency V...

Towards A Multipolar Global Monetary Policy, 20 MARCH

 Towards A Multipolar Global Monetary Policy

 Economical 03/18/2024

I do not believe that there is an authority stronger than the dollar in Iraq, as all authorities submit to it willingly, and there are those who justify themselves by defending their dollar interests and others who advise against harming this authority out of fear or greed.

Can we find a way out close to this authority that controls everything, especially since Most of Iraq's revenues are generated through the dollar.

In 2014, BNP Paribas was punished with a fine of $9 billion to be paid to the United States as a result of financing exports from Cuba, Sudan, and Iran with US dollars, because the three countries are under US sanctions, even though the financing process took a fraction of a second when it passed through an account ( Paribas) in New York and nothing more, which made an American court issue this heavy fine despite the fact that all the procedures followed in the transfers were legal according to European laws and despite the fact that the aforementioned bank is a global multinational institution and a financial services holding company that belongs to a friendly country and is headquartered in Paris and is knowledgeable.

The nature of international financial laws is broad, yet it was subjected to this harsh punishment, and  it was not taken into consideration that this bank belongs to allied countries and is one of the Big Five in the Security Council.

These harsh, unilateral measures enabled the Americans to impose their financial hegemony on other countries of the world.

As a result of this method and the fear of harsh sanctions, European companies left Iran in 2018 after they complied with the decision of former US President Donald Trump after his unilateral withdrawal from the Vienna Nuclear Agreement.

In 2015, when the government of Mr. Adil Abdul Mahdi refused to comply with the implementation of sanctions on Iran, it was overthrown.

It is clear that due to the strength of the dollar, the United States has dominated global trade for a long time, but recently the views of many global financial institutions have differed regarding the future of the US dollar, between those who believe in its weakness in the future and those who believe that it will remain strong as the only stable international currency guaranteed in circulation.

 Seventy-eight years ago, specifically after the end of World War II, the dollar became the undisputed reserve and exchange currency around the world,

but after the world became involved with it on the basis of replacing it with gold at a fixed price of $35 per ounce, and after central banks flocked to the dollar in order to build up their own reserves.

Its deposits were as stable as gold, in addition to being easy to keep or manage.

At that time, the Americans began to produce gold when they printed dollars as a counterweight to it.

For example, the Bank of France, starting in 1965, systematically replaced gold with the dollar, before America surprised the world on August 15. / August 1971, without prior coordination with any of its allies, by ending the direct international transfer from the dollar to gold.

After abandoning gold as a complete cover for money, the currency cover began to combine several components, including gold and the major foreign currencies the state owns (the dollar, the euro, the British pound, the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, the Australian dollar, and the Chinese yuan), which made every fluctuation in The financial and monetary policies in the United States lead to the instability of the currencies of emerging and developing countries, up or down in a way that does not reflect the economic performance of those countries, which constitutes a source of continuous economic danger.

This matter has prompted some countries to use their local currency to settle their commercial transactions in order to avoid the risks of dollar fluctuations or Use of currencies other than US currency.

 After the  significant rise in global oil prices starting in 1973 and  as a result of huge dollar bills, a problem or phenomenon called the “petrodollar” emerged, as the huge amounts produced by the energy markets began to be invested in American markets, which provided a comparative advantage for the United States economy, and led to great frustration among the people.

Its European partners in particular, which prompted them, as a natural reaction, to issue a unified European currency in 1999, where the euro was established as a global currency, but it was unable to compete with the dollar due to the lack of a unified European treasury corresponding to the liquidity of New York markets, and thus the dollar remained in its position and influence as the reserve currency. The main trading in the world.

When the global financial crisis occurred in 2008, it was expected that the dollar’s ​​dominance would decline because the crisis was the responsibility of the United States alone, but the strange irony is that its dominance was strengthened, which prompted President Barack Obama to confirm in March 2009 that the dollar would maintain its dominance over global trade, basing this on political reasons.

Not economic, which is (that America has the most stable and transparent systems in the world), and an example of that transparency is that everyone is aware of how the US budget, the Federal Reserve, and the financial system work, while their Chinese counterparts operate in a way that lacks complete transparency, which has made the dollar a safe haven without a real competitor.

In the short term, which prompts investors to resort to it in any subsequent financial crisis, but this does not negate the decline in its use globally, as the control of the American currency over the world has begun to lose its momentum with the emergence of the phenomenon of “weaponizing the dollar” after the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war, as it resulted in Western economic sanctions on Russia has a bad influence on the global economic, commercial and financial systems in a way that has raised great concerns in global markets regarding the modification of the global financial system.

This anxiety and fear led to a decline in global monetary reserves in dollars to 59% currently, after they constituted about 72% in 1999, which is a significant decline in a relatively short period.

However, the de-dollarization of the world will not be completed in the short term, but it is clear that the movement that has begun is irreversible,  especially since the United States acted “stupidly” when it made its currency a weapon of political pressure, and they (the Americans) have pushed the world - from... Unintentionally - to form a global movement to get rid of the dollar in order to shake the world’s confidence in American financial actions, especially the unilateral financial sanctions it imposed on many countries.

The United States was not satisfied with that, as it further depleted the reputation of the dollar when it froze the foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Central Bank denominated in dollars in 2022 after their participation as a party in the Russian-Ukrainian war, which made non-Western world leaders fear similar behavior with their countries if a country entered into a war.

With one of the neighbors, and that conflict did not satisfy Washington, this means that their countries will lose the bulk of their foreign exchange reserves, which prompted them to begin gradual work to reduce those dollar reserves.

 Global resistance to the dominance of the dollar has taken different dimensions, but the clearest example is the increased activity of the BRICS group in accelerating the launch of its own currency to finance its stock exchanges, and China’s development of its own electronic settlement system between banks to constitute an alternative to the Western-controlled SWIFT system after it banned the “SWIFT” association.

Almost all Iranian banks, and later Russian banks, stopped using the messaging system, as they justified their actions with money laundering problems and not with US sanctions, which prompted Tehran to link its domestic financial clearing system (SEPAM) to Russia’s financial message transfer system (SPFS), which theoretically enables the two countries. Of procedure Cross-border transactions.

This activity was then reinforced when Presidents Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping met on December 15 and announced plans to develop a joint system for financial messages and clearing between Russia and China.

This announcement included an invitation to international banks to join this system with the aim of deterring the continuing Western threat of economic sanctions.

 The BRICS group of countries, which includes the fastest growing economies in the world, represented by Russia and China, along with India, South Afric Brazil, and other developing countries that have recently joined and others are awaiting approval of their accession requests.

The five founding countries of the BRICS structure do not explicitly hide their intentions, namely that they are working to form a new international order that believes in pluralism and the rejection of exclusivity in political and economic decision-making.

They do not hide their political goals of attracting international forces that reject the current international order.

This group acknowledges its weakness, represented by the close relationship of some of its members with the United States,  but it considers it a challenge that can be overcome over time, through the availability of significant strength factors, such as its share of foreign currency reserves.

Four countries, including (China, Brazil, India, and South Africa) hold about 40% of the world’s total monetary reserves, while  China alone has about 2.4 trillion dollars, which is a very large number, if we know that it is enough to buy two-thirds of the companies in the Nasdaq index.

It is the second largest creditor after Japan.

 As for Russia, it classifies its battle with the West as an “existential battle,” and considers its membership in this group to be a protection for it.

It supports its strategic directions and its own choices in formulating a new global principle that emphasizes that all roads no longer lead to Washington alone.

The serious work of the BRICS group can be seen through the formation of a group of important financial institutions, such as the establishment of the New Development Bank, based in Shanghai, to become a counterpart and competitor to the World Bank, as well as the establishment of the BRICS Fund, opposite the International Monetary Fund.

These two important establishments  announced their goals of supporting growth and development at the international level, which     represents the first step in the BRICS countries’ plan to create a new global order, and to  liberate the world from the restrictions of the two financial institutions  (the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund) that the United States controls in formulating their general policy. In a way that serves its interests, as its opponents accuse it of.

 An important factor accelerating the emergence of the new system is the utilitarian nature of American economic institutions themselves. 

As it is expected to follow its interests and join the new system, it will simply not be more patriotic than the European economic institutions that abandoned Europe and left for America, when their interests required that, when America emerged as a unique power in the world at the financial level, and we may witness the transfer of American capital to China.

And its allies faster than expected, and then the new international bank and fund will be more attractive to international capital, which will contribute to increasing the growing competitiveness of the BRICS markets in attracting global capital, and this will help the group in overcoming the varying points of weakness among its countries represented by poverty rates.

Inequality, in addition to the geographical distance between these countries and the presence of ideological currents of a sharp competitive nature, as is the case between Russia and China.

 Iraq, as a developing country, is important to all parties to the global conflict because of its position in the Middle East and  its possession of the most important elements of the conflict represented by energy.

It can  make the right decision after the picture has become clear about the nature of the global economic trends and  work to attract everyone to compete in investments that benefit the people of Iraq and  provide... Important opportunities in building infrastructure that form the basis for those investments, both Western and Eastern, but he must choose emerging trends when he is in the position of choice, noting that what is rumored about devastating American sanctions against Iraq are merely ideas and stereotypes repeated by some teenagers in politics.

And the economy, because I believe that the United States will not resort to such a measure because it will close the expiry date of its remaining confidence as a global economic authority.

If it does so, it will lose Iraq forever, and it does not want that at all.    

https://alsabaah.iq/93642-.html    

"RV UPDATE" BY PIMPY, 20 MARCH

 Pimpy  

 Deleting of the zeros means a re-denomination.  

Article quote:   "The Iraqi government is currently weighing the question of changing the currency..."  

 CHANGING THE CURRENCY.  It didn't say exchange rate. What is says is currency... Definition "Re-denomination is a government policy in simplifying currency values without changing the exchange rate."  ...If we can get them to change the exchange rate without removing the zeros then we're sitting pretty...

 Vietnam became the 150th member of the World Trade Organization back in 2007...with the same icky exchange rate.  Not only that but...Vietnam is currently trading on the Forex...In addition to that Vietnam is on the Swift System...

When you try to look up Iraq there is no Iraq because they're not on the Swift System.  So you have Vietnam with a way worse exchange rate than Iraq part of the World Trade Organization...on Swift and they're trading on the Forex...If Vietnam is there with their current exchange rate then there's no doubt...Iraq...can be on these programs as well [at their current exchange rate].