Friday, March 1, 2024
"THE DECLINE IN INFLATION IN IRAQ" BY GOLDILOCKS, 1 MARCH
GOLDILOCKS
"Shafaq News/ The International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicated a "significant decline" in inflation rates in Iraq, which was reflected in the decline in food and energy prices and the stability of the foreign exchange market in Iraq.
According to the Ministry of Finance, an Iraqi delegation headed by Finance Minister Taif Sami concluded its discussions with the IMF's Article IV mission experts in Amman, Jordan, during which many issues were discussed, including the implementation of the economic reform program, the improvements achieved by the Iraqi government in the field of development infrastructure, financial sustainability, and boosting non-oil revenues."
It looks like Iraq has been given permission to move forward with their economic reforms as we discussed in January this year was going to take place in February 2024 because of an announcement made during Article 4 consultation with the IMF.
This is why we are seeing the acceptance of Iraq in the WTO, and they can now join other countries in the WTO formulating new price mechanisms that will level the playing field in trade among other nations.
© Goldilocks
https://shafaq.com/en/Economy/IMF-acknowledges-decline-in-Iraq-s-inflation-rates-and-positive-economic-developments
207 trillion dinars.. How can the assets of the Central Bank of Iraq be preserved and what are the risks?, 1 MARCH
207 trillion dinars.. How can the assets of the Central Bank of Iraq be preserved and what are the risks?
After the assets of the Central Bank of Iraq rose to 207 trillion Iraqi dinars, questions arose about how to preserve them and whether the political positions of the Iraqi state are related.
The assets of the Central Bank of Iraq rose to 207 trillion Iraqi dinars, according to new economic statistics seen by Al-Sumaria News.
According to the head of the Future Iraq Foundation for Economic Research and Consultation, Manar Al-Obaidi, the mechanism of formation of these assets must be known, as the first process carried out by the Central Bank of Iraq is the issuance of cash currency, which it usually sells to various government and private agencies, “if any.”
Al-Obaidi added, “The largest buyer of the exported cash currency is the Iraqi government, which needs the local monetary mass as a result of a major dilemma that it has not been able to solve for years, which is that most of the state’s revenues are in US dollars as a result of the state’s revenues being dependent on oil, while most of the state’s expenditures are in Iraqi dinars.”
Therefore, the Central Bank buys foreign currency from the Iraqi government and converts it into assets in exchange for giving the exported cash currency to the Iraqi government to spend according to the sections set in the budget, according to Al-Obaidi, who confirmed that this money is in foreign currency, and the Central Bank resells it through banks for foreign commercial transactions and to collect the dinar. From banks.
Al-Obaidi stated that if there is a surplus of foreign currency at the Central Bank, it invests it in a way that ensures, first, the absence of any kind of risk, and second, investing it in institutions that provide the greatest amount of benefits and returns.
Therefore, according to its established policy, the Central Bank cannot invest this money except in guaranteed international bodies and institutions, or it can invest it in precious and stable metals, specifically gold, since the origin of all monetary currencies is gold, according to Al-Obaidi.
The division of the bank’s assets according to their investment locations represents the strength of the central bank and therefore the strength of the issued monetary currency, according to Al-Obaidi, who revealed that it is not possible in any way to put all the money in one basket, such as buying gold, although buying gold is the safest reserve, but the fluctuation of gold prices against the dollar It may lead to not creating a significant interest from the investment, so the bank resorts to distributing its assets into gold reserves, deposits in foreign banks with very high credit ratings, deposits in foreign central banks of countries with very high credit ratings, bonds and securities, and deposits with various financial institutions.
Al-Obaidi explained, “The most dangerous section of the bank’s assets currently in terms of non-recovery are the obligations of the Ministry of Finance amounting to 44 trillion dinars. In previous years, as a result of the state’s weak revenues from oil due to its low prices and the high government expenditure bill, the Iraqi government was forced to borrow from the Central Bank of Iraq to cover its expenses, and with improvement.” Oil prices and increased government revenues. The government has not reduced its obligations to the Central Bank, and in the event of a return to a decline in oil prices, it may be very difficult to return this money,” indicating that the rest of the other investments, such as bonds and deposits in foreign banks, are the safest and there are no major risks. economically”.
Risks may result from the presence of an emergency political circumstance that causes the central banks of the countries in which these funds and deposits are located to reserve and freeze these reserves, as happened to Iraq in the nineties and also what happened to Iran and Russia, according to Al-Obaidi, and he adds that preserving the components of the central bank, which includes a large part of it. Its reserves depend on the political position of the state and the political dealings of the state before it is economic.
In response to the question that is always asked why the Central Bank of Iraq does not invest its assets in institutions outside American control, such as Chinese or Asian institutions, Al-Obaidi explained that the answer, as I mentioned, depends on the credit strength of these institutions and countries, and there are also some investments in financial institutions in Singapore, Malaysia, and China. But not all investments can be placed and withdrawn from Western banks because of their impact on Iraqi-Western relations.
Al-Obaidi said, “The problem is not how investments are distributed and the attempt to withdraw them from Western banks. The problem is American hegemony over the world, which makes the first country economically, namely China, invest more than $800 billion in American treasury bonds and is considered the second holder of these bonds after Japan, despite All economic conflict cannot completely abandon the dominance of the US dollar,” he added, “Whenever major and giant countries are able to get rid of American hegemony, then let us think about getting rid of this hegemony as well if it conflicts with the interests of Iraq.”
He stated, “Demanding that Iraq, which is politically, economically, and security-fragile as a unit, detach itself from American hegemony and the dominance of the dollar without a global trend to create another economic pole, is a type of economic and political suicide currently. So let us wait what the results of BRICS will be, as it is the only initiative today to find an alternative to the dollar. Will this be able to do so?” Countries can break away from the dominance of the dollar, and then a direction and strategy can be developed for Iraq to distribute its investments among various countries. Is it really in Iraq’s interest to break away from the American dollar?
Earlier, the head of the Future Iraq Foundation for Economic Research and Consultation, Manar Al-Obaidi, revealed the assets of the Central Bank of Iraq and said, they were as follows:
* Securities and bonds 71 trillion Iraqi dinars
* Debts to the Ministry of Finance 45 trillion Iraqi dinars
* Balances with external banks 26 trillion Iraqi dinars
* Balances with external central banks 24 trillion Iraqi dinars
* Loans granted within the Small and Medium Enterprises Initiative 12.6 trillion dinars
* Existing gold reserves 12 trillion dinars
* Accounts with international organizations 12 trillion Iraqi dinars
* Foreign exchange reserves in bank vaults 443 billion dinars
* Balances with banks Local 153 billion dinars
*Total assets 207 trillion Iraqi dinars.
alsumaria.tv
"RV UPDATE" BY JEFF, 1 MARCH
Jeff
Article: "Iraq completes requirements to join WTO" Quote: "The Iraqi minister of Trade...affirmed that Iraq fulfilled the conditions necessary to become a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO) following the completion of economic reforms and the enhancement of the investment climate."
The starting point of the US interactions with Iraq was on March 17, 2003...Is it possible the US might end its actions with Iraq on the anniversary date of when it started...March 17, 2024?
In March the UN will be submitting their official, 'We're done', 'we're ending our mission in Iraq' report to Iraq...After Iraq has revalued is when it gets submitted and turned over to the Iraq government...
What was the number on thing in the month of January Iraq kept stating in all the news articles?
How they achieved critical stability. In order for Iraq, the number one thing they have to do is achieve overall stability, to be eligible to revalue. Article quote "For Iraq to further continue on the path of stability and progress, an enabling environment will prove essential"
She's stating Iraq is on a path of stability and progress and continuing in that direction will prove essential. Meaning allowing them to revalue the currency and get back on the world stage.
https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/02/rv-update-by-jeff-22-feb_0724660821.html
Central Bank of Iraq reveals rise in deposits and bank credit, 1 MARCH
Central Bank of Iraq reveals rise in deposits and bank credit
Shafaq News/ The Central Bank of Iraq revealed, on Wednesday, that the volume of deposits in the banking sector had increased to more than 180 trillion dinars, as well as an increase in bank credit to 69 trillion dinars, indicating that the volume of foreign cash reserves had reached 148 trillion dinars.
The Deputy Governor of the Bank, Ammar Hamad, said during a speech at the Finance and Banking Services Conference in Iraq, attended by a Shafaq News Agency correspondent, that “The Central Bank of Iraq faced all challenges with high responsibility and was able, through various monetary policy tools and its correct decisions, to achieve its goals set forth in its law, which is the main goal.” Achieving stability in the general level of prices through a decrease in the inflation rate since the beginning of 2023 from 7% to 4% at the end of last year and activating various monetary policy tools, in addition to issuing various financial instruments, including bank transfers and Islamic certificates of deposit instruments.”
He added, “These Islamic securities and certificates of deposit were considered an investment opportunity for Islamic and commercial banks operating in Iraq, in addition to using various monetary policy tools, including raising the mandatory reserve ratio from 15% to 18%. The purpose of all these tools was to manage excess liquidity in the Iraqi economy.” “.
He continued, “In addition, during the past year there was a clear growth in most monetary changes, for example the increase in the volume of deposits in the banking sector from 129 trillion dinars last year to 131 trillion dinars, as well as the increase in private sector deposits in the banking system from 54 trillion dinars to 55 trillion dinars.” Trillion dinars.
Hamad also pointed out “an increase in the volume of credit in the banking sector from 60 trillion to 69 trillion dinars in 2023, as well as an increase in the completion of the private sector from 35 trillion dinars to 40 trillion dinars, in addition to an increase in the volume of foreign cash reserves from 140 trillion dinars to 148 trillion dinars.” “.
He stressed that “the efforts led by the Central Bank of Iraq in cooperation with the government, especially with regard to the use of electronic payment tools, and there was a clear rise and growth in electronic payment tools in Iraq. For example, the number of POS points of sale increased from 10 thousand devices in 2023 to more than 20 thousand devices, and the number of ATM machines increased from 2,223 devices to about 3 thousand devices, and as for the various cards, their number increased from 15 million cards to 18 million cards, and the number is increasing.”
Hamad pointed out that “the past year witnessed great cooperation between the government and the Central Bank, especially with regard to enhancing confidence in the national currency through various decisions issued by the Council of Ministers and the Central Bank, and we notice that there is less use of foreign currency in daily transactions, in contrast to increased reliance on The national currency in local transactions”
He stated that “the use of electronic payment tools has been enhanced and expanded, as well as the development of private banking institutions to build sound and sound banking institutions, and the Central Bank of Iraq emphasizes the importance of enhancing commitment to compliance standards for all financial institutions in accordance with local and international standards.”
He added, “External transfer operations witnessed great discipline during the past year, and a high response from all banks to facilitate the operations of financing foreign trade and various external transfers, especially after the issuance of external transfer controls at the beginning of 2023. The Central Bank of Iraq was also able to strengthen its banking relationships with a number of… A large number of Arab and foreign financial and banking institutions will open wider areas to ensure a high flow of external transfers, especially the use of different channels for external transfers in different currencies other than the dollar or in addition to the US dollar.
Hamad explained, “The Central Bank seeks to strengthen banks by increasing their capital from 250 billion dinars to 400 billion dinars, and this increase will last until the end of the current year.”
He stated that “one of the most important projects launched by the Central Bank of Iraq last year and work is still underway during the current year is the establishment of Riyada Bank, which will specialize in providing financing for small and medium enterprises and preparing a national strategy for banking purposes due to the importance of the financial depth of the Iraqi economy and the importance of the role of finance in enhancing Production and investment opportunities in Iraq.
He concluded by saying, “This also aims to strengthen the role of non-banking financial institutions that support financial and banking stability in Iraq by strengthening the role of the Deposit Guarantee Company as well as the Loan Guarantee Company, in addition to starting to establish the National Company for Electronic Payment Systems, and we believe that this company will have a major role.” “Very important in regulating electronic payment operations in Iraq.”
shafaq.com
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