Saturday, August 24, 2024

DINAR REVALUATION UPDATE: Understanding the Rise in Foreign Dollar Remittances in Iraq and Its Economic Impact in 2024, 24 AUGUST

 Understanding the Rise in Foreign Dollar Remittances in Iraq and Its Economic Impact in 2024

In 2024, Iraq has seen a significant increase in foreign dollar remittances, a trend that has caught the attention of economists and policymakers alike . 

According to Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, the financial advisor to the Prime Minister, this increase is a direct result of a policy shift by the Central Bank of Iraq. 

The bank has altered its approach to foreign transfers and monetary market intervention, leading to a smoother and more flexible process for the private sector.


The Policy Shift and Its Effects


Saleh attributes the rise in foreign currency remittances to the Central Bank's decision to change its financing mechanisms for foreign trade for the private sector

Previously, the compliance platform rejected nearly 85% of foreign transfer requests, creating a bottleneck for businesses.

 However, the bank's new policy of strengthening the accounts of correspondents of Iraqi banks abroad has facilitated a more straightforward and efficient process.

 This change has enabled a high rate of daily foreign transfer requests to be processed directly through foreign correspondent banks, without the need for the compliance platform.

The impact of this shift has been positive on the national economy, particularly in stabilizing the supply and demand dynamics within the country

The increased flexibility in foreign currency transactions has helped in maintaining the stability of economic functions, supporting both the supply and demand sides of the market [6].


The Role of Foreign Remittances in Iraq's Economy


Foreign remittances play a crucial role in the economy of many developing countries, including Iraq [4]. These transfers of money by workers abroad to their families and communities back home have been growing rapidly and now represent a significant source of foreign income for Iraq. While the exact size of remittance flows can be difficult to estimate due to unofficial channels, the recorded international migrant remittances to developing countries are substantial [4].


In Iraq, the rise in foreign dollar remittances has a direct impact on the national economy. The ease of foreign transfers has not only stabilized the supply and demand functions but also contributed to economic growth and development. The increased liquidity and financial stability provided by these remittances can be used for investments, consumption, and other economic activities, which in turn can stimulate the economy [6].


Challenges and Opportunities


Despite the positive effects, Iraq faces challenges in managing the increased inflow of foreign remittances. Ensuring that these funds are used productively and contribute to sustainable economic growth is crucial. The government's strategy revolves around diversification, reducing reliance on oil revenues, and fostering partnerships to drive sustainable growth [5].


As Iraq moves towards a new era of development under Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani [5], the role of foreign remittances in the national economy becomes even more significant. The government is exploring public-private partnerships (PPPs) to finance major development projects over the next two years, which could be facilitated by the increased availability of foreign currency [5].


Conclusion


The rise in foreign dollar remittances in Iraq is a result of a strategic policy shift by the Central Bank. 

This change has had a positive impact on the national economy, contributing to stability and growth. 

However, managing these funds effectively and ensuring they contribute to sustainable development remains a critical challenge for the Iraqi government.

Saleh explains why the dollar’s foreign remittances are so high and their impact on the national economy, 24 AUGUST

 Saleh told {Euphrates News}

 that “the phenomenon of the increase in sales of foreign transfers from foreign exchange is due to the results of the important change that took place in the policy of the Central Bank of Iraq in dealing with foreign transfer and interfering in the monetary market through the shift in foreign trade financing mechanisms for the private sector from a compliance platform to new mechanisms represented in strengthening the accounts of correspondents of Iraqi banks abroad with foreign exchange at deliberate and sufficient levels commensurate with the requirements of financing foreign trade for the private sector of foreign exchange.”

He added, “After the compliance platform previously refused during the past months about 85% of external transfer requests, the policy of strengthening the accounts of Iraqi banks with their correspondents from sober international banks, became as an alternative policy, which is easy, easy and flexible,

 which made the implementation of daily external transfer requests available and achieved through foreign correspondent banks directly without passing through the platform and with a high percentage of 85% of the total demand for those daily external transfers.”


Saleh explained, “This high change in the flexibility of transfers has reflected positively on the national economy, especially in the stability of the total supply and demand functions within the national economy in two directions, the first of which is {supply side},

 represented by the availability of a wide commodity and service supply in the local market through flexible imports funded at the fixed official exchange rate of 1320 dinars per dollar.”


He explained, “The other trend is {the demand side}, which refers to the process of exchanging the Iraqi dinar to dollars for the purposes of financing foreign trade through the aforementioned transfers, which means that meeting the demand for the dollar represents a direct meeting of the demand for (foreign goods, services and benefits) for the benefit of the local market.”


He pointed out that “meeting the demand for foreign currency is an important pillar of the monetary policy of the Central Bank of Iraq, and achieving its operational objectives in addressing and controlling the excess domestic liquidity levels of the dinar, which constitutes the so-called {overcemand}. This control of local liquidity also represents a positive intervention of the Central Bank’s monetary policy in the cash market and control of the levels of that liquidity.”


Saleh continued, “This control leaves its positive effects in achieving a balance between the real current in the macroeconomic of goods, services and benefits and the monetary current within the economy itself,” noting that “such a balance between supply and demand achieves stability in the general level of prices and is the growth levels of inflation rates, which is reflected positively on the stability of the purchasing power of the dinar and the general monetary income.”

Raghid
 

https://alforatnews.iq/news/صالح-يوضح-سبب-ارتفاع-حوالات-الدولار-الخارجية-وانعكاسها-على-الاقتصاد-الوطني

MILITIAMAN: IQD Update - Iraq Dinar News - #iraqidinar #iraqidinarexchangerate USA /...

DINAR REVALUATION UPDATE: Impact of the Basel D-SIB Framework on Iraq's Banking System in 2024, 24 AUGUST

 Impact of the Basel D-SIB Framework on Iraq's Banking System in 2024

The Basel D-SIB (Domestic Systemically Important Banks) framework, published by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in October 2012, has been instrumental in strengthening the resilience of domestic banking systems worldwide. 

 As of 2024, Iraq has taken significant steps to align its banking sector with this framework, enhancing the loss absorbency capacity of its banks beyond the requirements set by Basel III. 

Enhancing Loss Absorbency and Risk Management

Iraq's banking system has undergone reclassification to better absorb shocks caused by economic failures. 

 This reclassification involves the adoption of stringent measures to ensure banks have sufficient capital and liquidity to support all risks in their business operations. 

Implementation of Basel Framework Pillar 

In June 2024, a mission was organized to strengthen the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) supervisors' capacity in Basel Framework Pillar 2. 

 This pillar focuses on the supervisory review process (SRP) and internal capital adequacy assessment process (ICAAP). 

 The mission aimed to enhance understanding and implementation strategies for these components. 

Treasury Single Account (TSA) Implementation

Iraq has also progressed in implementing the Treasury Single Account (TSA). 

 The third workshop on advancing TSA implementation was held in July 2024, with core members from the TSA Implementation Committee actively engaged in discussions and planning. 

 Actions agreed upon include advancing the TSA design, developing a database for TSA bank accounts, and designing portals for data collection. 

Impact on Currency and Global Banking Measures

Iraq's measures to reclassify its banking system indicate its preparedness to align with global banking stress measures. 

 While the immediate impact on currency reclassification is not explicitly disclosed, these steps signal a move towards greater financial stability and international compliance. 

Conclusion

Iraq's adoption of the Basel D-SIB framework in 2024 reflects its commitment to enhancing the resilience of its banking system and aligning with global financial standards

Through the implementation of Basel Framework Pillar 2 and the TSA, Iraq is positioning its financial sector to withstand economic shocks and participate effectively in the global economy



LATEST FROM GOLDILOCKS, 24 AUGUST

 GOLDILOCKS

A delegation from the Central Bank of Iraq travels to the United States of America to resume negotiations on the banking sector.


A source familiar with the Economy News told “Economy News” that a delegation from the Central Bank of Iraq will start its negotiations with the US side on the current 26th of Aug, in America.


He added that the central bank has moved to sign a contract with Oliver Wyman International to present a plan on reforming the private banking sector, over the next six months.


He pointed out that the plan proposed to be submitted includes the merger of some banks or the cancellation of the license of some banks.


https://search4dinar.wordpress.com/2024/08/24/iraq-and-america-resume-negotiations-on-banking-sector-next-monday/

--

In October 2012 the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published a document on “a framework for dealing with domestic systemically important banks” (the “Basel D-SIB framework”).


This followed the work that had already been done on the policy measures designed for global systemically important banks (“G-SIBs”), to enhance their loss absorbency capacity over and above Basel III requirements."


What does this mean for Iraq? It means that Iraq has reclassified their banking system to absorb the shocks of stress caused by economic failures. 


Iraq has protected their banks with gold and other commodities to ensure their banking system continues to flow into the new economy. 


Does this reclassify their currency? It sure does. We are not being told that it is presently in place just yet. All we know is that they have the means to reclassify their banking system if Global Banking stress measures need to be taken.


© Goldilocks


https://www.iomfsa.im/regulated-sectors/deposit-taking/domestic-systemically-important-banks/


https://cbi.iq/news/view/2649


https://youtu.be/cXADsXdx1oQ?si=IHe9Ato_xtnSeOgS

---

Selected Banks in Iraq have reached a new classification. More on this tomorrow.


These banks will be supported no matter what stress is taking place. 


© Goldilocks


https://youtu.be/cXADsXdx1oQ?si=Phm4jVLSYGSfJ4to

IRAQ'S BANKING REFORMS: A NEW DAWN?

DINAR REVALUATION UPDATE : INSIGHTS OF NEW PROGRESS IN IRAQ, 24 AUGUST

INSIGHTS OF NEW PROGRESS IN IRAQ

Iraq's Banking Sector and Private Sector Reforms: Updates and Negotiations

In the latest developments, Iraq and the United States have resumed negotiations on Iraq's banking sector as of August 24, 2024. 

 These talks, which began on Monday, are aimed at addressing issues related to financial regulation, anti-money laundering measures, and the overall stability of Iraq's financial system. The discussions come on the heels of Iraq's first three-year budget implementation, which included a significant fiscal expansion starting in 2023. 

Banking Sector Challenges and Reforms

Corruption and Regulatory Measures

Corruption in Iraq's banking system has been a persistent issue, despite ongoing efforts to reform and strengthen the sector.   In response, the Iraqi government has taken decisive action, banning eight local commercial banks from engaging in U.S. dollar transactions to reduce fraud and money laundering.  These measures are part of a wider crackdown on illegal currency activities, particularly in relation to neighboring Iran.

Talks with the U.S. Treasury

Iraq is currently in talks with the U.S. Treasury regarding banking and dollar restrictions.  The discussions focus on protecting the Iraqi financial system from abuse, which could lead to greater international connectivity for legitimate Iraqi banks through correspondent banking relationships. 

Economic and Political Context

Iraq's economic and political landscape is complex, with the country's stability undermined by non-democratic forces and powerful elites.  The private sector and foreign direct investments remain weak, hampered by political dynamics and corruption. 

Private Sector Reforms

Over the next six months, Iraq is expected to focus on reforming its private sector.  The goal is to advance economic diversification, achieve sustainable growth, and promote private sector-led development.  These reforms are crucial for enhancing export capacity, particularly in agricultural items, and for overcoming the challenges posed by widespread corruption and lack of basic services. 

Global Financial Architecture Reforms

In the broader context, reforms aimed at modernizing the global financial architecture are also underway.  These reforms address issues such as global economic governance, climate and development financing, sovereign debt restructuring, global tax architecture, and the global financial safety net. 

Conclusion

The ongoing negotiations between Iraq and the U.S. on banking sector reforms and the planned private sector reforms over the next six months are pivotal for Iraq's economic future. Addressing corruption, enhancing financial stability, and promoting sustainable growth are critical challenges that Iraq must overcome to achieve long-term economic prosperity.

MILITIAMAN CC HIGHLIGHTS NOTES, 23 NOV

 MILITIAMAN CC HIGHLIGHTS NOTES Summary Militia Man discusses recent developments in Iraq’s economy, including expectations for exchange rat...